活动双星AR Lac的周期研究     

钱声邦  刘清耀  杨毓兰 《天文学报》1999,40(1):26-31

用Ｋａｌｉｍｅｒｉｓ等人提出的分析周期新方法对ＲＳＣＶｎ型双星系统ＡＲＬａｃ的ＯＣ曲线进行分析,结果表明这颗食双星的轨道周期在长期减小的同时也含有周期为４７年、振幅为１．５６×１０－５天的周期性变化．对引起轨道周期变化（非周期性变化和周期性变化）的各种物理机制进行了分析研究,并求出了它们的关键性物理参量．研究表明该系统轨道周期的变化可能是由于次子星周期性的磁场活动和由磁滞引起的角动量损失引起  相似文献   

拉萨地体南缘早始新世荣玛辉长岩年代学、岩石地球化学特征及其地质意义          下载免费PDF全文

董咪  郎兴海  邓煜霖  王旭辉 《地球科学》2022,47(4):1349-1370

印度-欧亚大陆初始碰撞后的新特提斯洋板片断离过程至今尚未得到较好的约束.对拉萨地体南缘荣玛地区早始新世辉长岩开展了锆石U-Pb定年、全岩主微量及Sr-Nd同位素分析,探讨了岩石成因及动力学意义,以进一步约束新特提斯洋板片断离过程.研究结果表明,荣玛辉长岩的锆石U-Pb年龄为51±1 Ma,形成于早始新世;地球化学特征显...  相似文献   

Impact of Climate Change on Hydrological Regimes and Water Resources Management in the Rhine Basin   总被引：18，自引：2，他引：18  

H. Middelkoop  K. Daamen  D. Gellens  W. Grabs  J. C. J. Kwadijk  H. Lang  B. W. A. H. Parmet  B. Schädler  J. Schulla  K. Wilke 《Climatic change》2001,49(1-2):105-128

The International Commission for the Hydrology of the Rhine basin (CHR) hascarried out a researchproject to assess the impact of climate change on the river flow conditionsin the Rhine basin. Along abottom-up line, different detailed hydrological models with hourly and dailytime steps have beendeveloped for representative sub-catchments of the Rhine basin. Along atop-down line, a water balancemodel for the entire Rhine basin has been developed, which calculates monthlydischarges and which wastested on the scale of the major tributaries of the Rhine. Using this set ofmodels, the effects of climatechange on the discharge regime in different parts of the Rhine basin werecalculated using the results ofUKHI and XCCC GCM-experiments. All models indicate the same trends in thechanges: higher winterdischarge as a result of intensified snow-melt and increased winterprecipitation, and lower summerdischarge due to the reduced winter snow storage and an increase ofevapotranspiration. When the resultsare considered in more detail, however, several differences show up. These canfirstly be attributed todifferent physical characteristics of the studied areas, but different spatialand temporal scales used in themodelling and different representations of several hydrological processes(e.g., evapotranspiration,snow melt) are responsible for the differences found as well. Climate changecan affect various socio-economicsectors. Higher temperatures may threaten winter tourism in the lower wintersport areas. The hydrologicalchanges will increase flood risk during winter, whilst low flows during summerwill adversely affectinland navigation, and reduce water availability for agriculture and industry.Balancing the required actionsagainst economic cost and the existing uncertainties in the climate changescenarios, a policy of `no-regretand flexibility' in water management planning and design is recommended, whereanticipatory adaptivemeasures in response to climate change impacts are undertaken in combinationwith ongoing activities.  相似文献   

Theoretical discussion and Monte-Carlo simulations for a Negative Binomial process paradox     

M. Lang 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》1999,13(3):183-200

The idea of an over-threshold sampling is to retain all the events of a time-series exceeding a given threshold. The probabilistic analysis implies estimating two statistical models, one describing the occurrence of the events (date of the events), the other describing their magnitude (value of the local maximum). These two models are then combined to obtain the distribution of the annual maxima. A well-known result of a Poisson process is that waiting time, defined as the duration between two successive events exceeding the threshold, is exponentially distributed. The assertion that the waiting time of a Negative Binomial process is also exponentially distributed seems to be in obvious contradiction with the Poisson process properties. A theoretical discussion and Monte-Carlo simulations are presented to solve this apparent paradox.  相似文献   

Diseases and parasites of Baltic cod (Gadus morhua) from the Mecklenburg Bight to the Estonian coast     

Mellergaard  S.; Lang  T. 《ICES Journal of Marine Science》1999,56(2):164-168

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Statistical facies classification from multiple seismic attributes: comparison between Bayesian classification and expectation–maximization method and application in petrophysical inversion          下载免费PDF全文

Dario Grana  Xiaozheng Lang  Wenting Wu 《Geophysical Prospecting》2017,65(2):544-562

We present here a comparison between two statistical methods for facies classifications: Bayesian classification and expectation–maximization method. The classification can be performed using multiple seismic attributes and can be extended from well logs to three‐dimensional volumes. In this work, we propose, for both methods, a sensitivity study to investigate the impact of the choice of seismic attributes used to condition the classification. In the second part, we integrate the facies classification in a Bayesian inversion setting for the estimation of continuous rock properties, such as porosity and lithological fractions, from the same set of seismic attributes. The advantage of the expectation–maximization method is that this algorithm does not require a training dataset, which is instead required in a traditional Bayesian classifier and still provides similar results. We show the application, comparison, and analysis of these methods in a real case study in the North Sea, where eight sedimentological facies have been defined. The facies classification is computed at the well location and compared with the sedimentological profile and then extended to the 3D reservoir model using up to 14 seismic attributes.  相似文献   

Effect of irregular structural configuration on floor acceleration demand in hill‐side buildings          下载免费PDF全文

Mitesh Surana  Yogendra Singh  Dominik H. Lang 《地震工程与结构动力学》2018,47(10):2032-2054

A suite of reinforced‐concrete frame buildings located on hill sides, with 2 different structural configurations, viz step‐back and split‐foundation, are analyzed to study their floor response. Both step‐back and split‐foundation structural configurations lead to torsional effects in the direction across the slope due to the presence of shorter columns on the uphill side. Peak floor acceleration and floor response spectra are obtained at each storey's center of rigidity and at both its stiff and flexible edges. As reported in previous studies as well, it is observed that the floor response spectra are better correlated with the ground response spectrum. Therefore, the floor spectral amplification functions are obtained as the ratio of spectral ordinates at different floor levels to the one at the ground level. Peaks are observed in the spectral amplification functions corresponding to the first 2 modes in the upper portion of the hill‐side buildings, whereas a single peak corresponding to a specific kth mode of vibration is observed on the floors below the uppermost foundation level. Based on the numerical study for the step‐back and split‐foundation hill‐side buildings, simple floor spectral amplification functions are proposed and validated. The proposed spectral amplification functions take into account both the buildings' plan and elevation irregularities and can be used for seismic design of acceleration‐sensitive nonstructural components, given that the supporting structure's dynamic characteristics, torsional rotation, ground‐motion response spectrum, and location of the nonstructural components within the supporting structure are known, because current code models are actually not applicable to hill‐side buildings.  相似文献   

西南某岩溶区地下水系统示踪试验与解析     

张浪  李俊  潘晓东  黄晓荣  彭聪 《中国岩溶》2020,39(1):42-47

以西南某典型岩溶区为例,解析示踪试验在岩溶管道连通性以及获取水文地质参数中的应用。选择落水洞为投放点,分别从落水洞西侧和东侧寻找地下水出露点作为接收点,判别落水洞地下径流的实际去向以及落水洞与接收点之间的水力联系。结合Qtracer2软件对示踪试验成果进行定量解析,确定示踪剂回收率、地下水平均流速、最快流速,估算出岩溶管道结构特征和水文地质参数。结果表明:落水洞与接收点JS01、JS03之间不存在直接水力联系;落水洞与接收点JS02存在水力联系且岩溶管道极为发育,含水介质不均匀,地下水运移路径较为通畅,为典型的紊流流态;落水洞地下径流的主要方向是由西向东,但在丰水期雨量较大期间,接收点JS04能够接收到荧光素钠,说明丰水期水位上涨后两者间会有水力联系,导致部分水量向落水洞西侧排泄。  相似文献   

基于组合权重与灰色关联度分析法的地铁深基坑开挖稳定性评价     

郎秋玲  王伟  高成梁 《吉林大学学报(地球科学版)》2020,50(6):1823-1832

伴随着城市的快速发展,地铁深基坑工程越来越多。在开挖过程中如何对其稳定性进行评价,是当前需要重点关注的问题。以成都地铁十七号线凤溪站深基坑支护开挖工程为依托,利用层次分析确定的主观权重与利用熵值法确定的客观权重计算获得组合权重,并与灰色关联度分析法相结合,通过现场数据采集并进行综合评判,客观评价地铁深基坑开挖的稳定性。结果表明,各监测项目对基坑稳定性的重要程度从大到小依次为桩顶水平位移（0.29）、地表沉降（0.24）、建筑物沉降（0.19）、桩顶沉降（0.18）、内支撑轴力（0.10）,基坑稳定性综合评判结果等级为"非常好"。所建立的评价模型可为类似地铁深基坑开挖稳定性评价提供新的方法。  相似文献   

Spatially distributed hydrotope‐based modelling of evapotranspiration and runoff in mountainous basins     

Joachim Gurtz  Andri Baltensweiler  Herbert Lang 《水文研究》1999,13(17):2751-2768

River basins in mountainous regions are characterized by strong variations in topography, vegetation, soils, climatic conditions and snow cover conditions, and all are strongly related to altitude. The high spatial variation needs to be considered when modelling hydrological processes in such catchments. A complex hydrological model, with a great potential to account for spatial variability, was developed and applied for the hourly simulation of evapotranspiration, soil moisture, water balance and the runoff components for the period 1993 and 1994 in 12 subcatchments of the alpine/pre‐alpine basin of the River Thur (area 1703 km²). The basin is located in the north‐east of the Swiss part of the Rhine Basin and has an elevation range from 350 to 2500 m a.s.l. A considerable part of the Thur Basin is high mountain area, some of it above the tree‐line and a great part of the basin is snow covered during the winter season. In the distributed hydrological model, the 12 sub‐basins of the Thur catchment were spatially subdivided into sub‐areas (hydrologically similar response units—HRUs or hydrotopes) using a GIS. Within the HRUs a hydrologically similar behaviour was assumed. Spatial interpolations of the meteorological input variables wereemployed for each altitudinal zone. The structure of the model components for snow accumulation and melt, interception, soil water storage and uptake by evapotranspiration, runoff generation and flow routing are briefly outlined. The results of the simulated potential evapotranspiration reflect the dominant role of altitudinal change in radiation and albedo of exposure, followed by the influence of slope. The actual evapotranspiration shows, in comparison with the potential evapotranspiration, a greater variability in the lower and medium altitudinal zones and a smaller variability in the upper elevation zones, which was associated with limitations of available moisture in soil and surface depression storages as well as with the evaporative demand of the local vegetation. The higher altitudinal dependency and variability of runoff results from the strong increase in precipitation and the decrease in evaporation with increased altitude. An increasing influence of snow cover on runoff as well as evapotranspiration with altitude is obvious. The computed actual evapotranspiration and runoff were evaluated against the observed values of a weighting lysimeter and against runoff hydrographs. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献