Flow estimations for the Sohu Stream using artificial neural networks   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：1  

M. Taghi Sattari  Halit Apaydin  Fazli Ozturk 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2012,66(7):2031-2045

In this study, daily rainfall–runoff relationships for Sohu Stream were modelled using an artificial neural network (ANN) method by including the feed-forward back-propagation method. The ANN part was divided into two stages. During the first stage, current flows were estimated by using previously measured flow data. The best network architecture was found to utilise two neurons in the input layer (the delayed flows from the first and second days), two hidden layers, and one output layer (the current flow). The coefficient of determination (R ²) in this architecture was 81.4%. During the second stage, the current flows were estimated by using a combination of previously measured values for precipitation, temperature, and flows. The best architecture consisted of an input layer of 2 days of delayed precipitation, 3 days of delayed flows, and temperature of the current. The R ² in this architecture was calculated to be 85.5%. The results of the second stage best reflected the real-world situation because they accounted for more input variables. In all models, the variables with the highest R ² ranked as the previous flow (81.4%), previous precipitation (21.7%), and temperature.  相似文献   

Environmental problems at the Nevşehir (Kozakli) geothermal field,central Turkey     

Suzan Pasvanoğlu  Ahmet Güner  Fatma Gültekin 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2012,66(2):549-560

The Kozakli–Nev?ehir geothermal field extends a long a NW–SE direction at SE of the Centrum of Kozakli. The area is not rugged and average elevation is 1,000 m. The Kozanözü Creek flows towards north of the area. In the Kozakli thermal Spa area, thermal waters are manifested along a valley with a length of 1.5 km and 200 m width. In this resort some hot waters are discharged with no use. The thermal water used in the area comes from wells drilled by MTA. In addition, these waters from wells are also utilized by hotels, baths and motels belonging to City Private Management, Municipality and private sector. The measured temperature of Kozakli waters ranges from 43–51°C in springs and 80–96°C in wells. Waters are issued in a wide swampy area as a small group of springs through buried faults. Electrical conductivity values of thermal spring and well waters are 1,650–3,595 μS/cm and pH values are 6.72–7.36. Kozakli cold water has an electrical conductivity value of 450 μS/cm and pH of 7.56. All thermal waters are dominated by Na⁺ and Cl–SO₄ while cold waters are dominated by Ca⁺² and HCO₃ ^?. The aim of this study was to investigate the environmental problems around the Kozakli geothermal field and explain the mechanisms of karstic depression which was formed by uncontrolled use of thermal waters in this area and bring up its possible environmental threats. At the Kozakli geothermal field a sinkhole with 30 m diameter and 15 m depth occurred in January, 17th 2007 at the recreation area located 20 m west of the geothermal well which belongs to the government of Nev?ehir province. The management of the geothermal wells should be controlled by a single official institution in order to avoid the creation of such karstic structures affecting the environment at the source area.  相似文献   

Validation of the Meteosat Second Generation (MSG) fire monitoring product using ground observations over Turkey     

Ibrahim Sönmez  Ahmet Emre Tekeli  Erdem Erdi  Fatih Demir  Murat Arslan 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2014,7(8):3389-3398

Validation of the active fire monitoring (FIR) product from Spinning Enhanced Visible and Infrared Imager sensor of Meteosat Second Generation satellite is performed over Turkey. Ground truth data from the Ministry of Environment and Forestry for the years 2007, 2008, and 2009 is used by taking the active fire months of April–September into consideration. The contingency tables are obtained on a monthly basis and categorical statistics of probability of detection (POD) and false alarm rate (FAR) are derived. The results are introduced for each subclass, namely probable, possible, and combined cases. The highest POD amounts of 8.5, 1.93, and 9.4 % are obtained for the possible, probable, and combined cases, respectively, with the lowest FAR amounts of 70.9, 4.5, and 86.1 % for the same categories. FIR product validation with respect to predefined burnt area thresholds is introduced in the second part of the study in order to investigate burnt area effect in active fire detection. Increasing POD values with respect to burnt area amount is obtained with relatively higher values in probable than possible type. On the other hand, FAR variation is observed to be not correlated with the burnt area amount.  相似文献   

Mapping of total nitrogen,available phosphorous and potassium in Amik Plain,Turkey   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Veli Uygur  Ahmet Irvem  Sema Karanlik  Rifat Akis 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2010,59(5):1129-1138

Soil nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium concentrations accurately revealed spatial distribution maps and site-specific management-prone areas through inverse distance weighting (IDW) method in the Amik Plain, Turkey. Spatial mapping of soil nitrogen, phosphorous, and potassium is a very severe need to develop an economically and environmentally sound soil management plans. The objectives of this study were (a) to map spatial variability of total N, available P, and exchangeable-K content of Amik Plain’s soils and (b) to locate problematic areas requiring site specific management strategies for the nutrient elements. Spatial analyses of Kjeldhal-N, Olsen-P, and exchangeable-K concentrations of the soils were performed by the IDW method. Mean N content for surface soils (0–20 cm) was 1.38 g kg⁻¹, available P was 28.19 kg ha⁻¹ and exchangeable-K was 690 kg ha⁻¹ with the differences between maximum and minimum being 7.63 g N kg⁻¹, 242 kg P ha⁻¹, and 2,082 kg K ha⁻¹. For the surface soil, site-specific management-prone areas of Kjeldahl-N, Olsen-P, and exchangeable-K for “low and high + very high” classes were found to be 20.1–17.8%, 24.7–10.0%, and 4.1–39.6%, respectively. Consequently, lands with excessive nutrient elements require preventive-leaching practices, whereas nutrient-poor areas need fertilizer applications in favor of increasing plant production.  相似文献   

Applications of hybrid genetic algorithms in seismic tomography     

Pantelis Soupios  Irfan Akca  Petros Mpogiatzis  Ahmet T. Basokur  Constantinos Papazachos 《Journal of Applied Geophysics》2011,75(3):479-489

Almost all earth sciences inverse problems are nonlinear and involve a large number of unknown parameters, making the application of analytical inversion methods quite restrictive. In practice, most analytical methods are local in nature and rely on a linearized form of the problem equations, adopting an iterative procedure which typically employs partial derivatives in order to optimize the starting (initial) model by minimizing a misfit (penalty) function. Unfortunately, especially for highly non-linear cases, the final model strongly depends on the initial model, hence it is prone to solution-entrapment in local minima of the misfit function, while the derivative calculation is often computationally inefficient and creates instabilities when numerical approximations are used. An alternative is to employ global techniques which do not rely on partial derivatives, are independent of the misfit form and are computationally robust. Such methods employ pseudo-randomly generated models (sampling an appropriately selected section of the model space) which are assessed in terms of their data-fit. A typical example is the class of methods known as genetic algorithms (GA), which achieves the aforementioned approximation through model representation and manipulations, and has attracted the attention of the earth sciences community during the last decade, with several applications already presented for several geophysical problems.In this paper, we examine the efficiency of the combination of the typical regularized least-squares and genetic methods for a typical seismic tomography problem. The proposed approach combines a local (LOM) and a global (GOM) optimization method, in an attempt to overcome the limitations of each individual approach, such as local minima and slow convergence, respectively. The potential of both optimization methods is tested and compared, both independently and jointly, using the several test models and synthetic refraction travel-time date sets that employ the same experimental geometry, wavelength and geometrical characteristics of the model anomalies. Moreover, real data from a crosswell tomographic project for the subsurface mapping of an ancient wall foundation are used for testing the efficiency of the proposed algorithm. The results show that the combined use of both methods can exploit the benefits of each approach, leading to improved final models and producing realistic velocity models, without significantly increasing the required computation time.  相似文献   

Ambient vibration based seismic evaluation of isolated Gülburnu highway bridge     

Ahmet Can Altunişik  Alemdar Bayraktar  Barış Sevim  Şevket Ateş 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》2011

This paper describes ambient vibration based seismic evaluation procedure of an isolated highway bridge. The procedure includes finite element modeling, ambient vibration testing, finite element model updating and time history analysis. Gülburnu Highway Bridge located on the Giresun–Espiye state highway is selected as a case study. Three dimensional finite element model of the bridge is created by SAP2000 software to determine the dynamic characteristics analytically. Since input force is not measured, Operational Modal Analysis is applied to identify dynamic characteristics. Enhanced Frequency Domain Decomposition and Stochastic Subspace Identification methods are used to obtain experimental dynamic characteristics. Analytical and experimental dynamic characteristic are compared with each other and finite element model of the bridge is updated by changing of material properties to reduce the differences between the results. Analytical model of the bridge after model updating is analyzed using 1992 Erzincan earthquake record to determine the seismic behavior. EW, NS and UP components of the ground motion are applied to the bridge at the longitudinal, transverse and vertical directions, respectively. It is demonstrated that the ambient vibration measurements are enough to identify the most significant modes of highway bridges. Maximum differences between the natural frequencies are reduced averagely from 9% to 2% by model updating. It is seen from the earthquake analyses that friction pendulum isolators are very effective in reducing the displacements and internal forces.  相似文献   

Monitoring the tectonic plate movements in Turkey based on the national continuous GNSS network     

Turgut Uzel  Kamil Eren  Engin Gulal  Ibrahim Tiryakioglu  Ahmet Anil Dindar  Haluk Yilmaz 《Arabian Journal of Geosciences》2013,6(9):3573-3580

In recent decades, the space geodesy has been applied to the areas such as transportation, infrastructure planning, navigation, etc. Among them, the precise positioning at the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) stations yields better view in the understanding of the crustal deformation that requires global-scale measurements. There have been numerous studies examining the data process of continuous GNSS observations in the field of earth monitoring. More recently, GNSS stations established for continuously operating reference station networks have been beneficial resources in the tectonic plate-monitoring studies in lieu of campaign-type observations. However, this requires that the Continuously Operating Reference Station (CORS) should be established on stable structures acting like foundations and requires investigation of the long-term repeatability time series. This study aims to introduce recently established national CORS network, named CORS-TR, covering the entire Turkey and Northern Cyprus, and to explain the process of the long-term data obtained from the network on the characteristics of the tectonic plate movement within the area. The results of the CORS-TR data process present a great potential of using continuously operating reference stations not only in real-time kinematic applications of conventional geodesy studies but also in detecting and monitoring the crustal deformations of those that are crucial in earthquake-prone areas like Turkey. Since the findings are computed from the results of the all permanent stations of CORS-TR network, this study also examines the GNSS observation quality of the network for the given time interval. One of the major conclusions of the data process conducted in the study displays that the CORS-TR stations established on the carefully selected large and low-rise existing building had been more stable than the stations on the ground which have been subjected to soil settlement since the construction.  相似文献   

M5 model tree application in daily river flow forecasting in Sohu Stream, Turkey   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

M. Taghi Sattari  Mahesh Pal  Halit Apaydin  Fazli Ozturk 《Water Resources》2013,40(3):233-242

This study investigate the potential of M5 model tree in predicting daily stream flows in Sohu river located within the municipal borders of Ankara, Turkey. The results of the M5 model tree was compared with support vector machines. Both modelling approaches were used to forecast up to 7-day ahead stream flow. A comparison of correlation coefficient and root mean square value indicates that M5 model tree approach works equally well to the SVM for same day discharge prediction. The M5 model tree also works well up to 7-day ahead discharge forecasting in comparison of SVM with this data set. An advantage of using M5 model tree approach is the availability of simple linear models to predict the discharge as well use of less computational time.  相似文献   

Investigation of Leachate Treatment with Electrocoagulation and Optimization by Response Surface Methodology          下载免费PDF全文

Harun Akif Kabuk  Fatih İlhan  Yasar Avsar  Ugur Kurt  Omer Apaydin  Mustafa T. Gonullu 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2014,42(5):571-577

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Malibogazi groundwater dam: an alternative model for semi-arid regions of Turkey to store and save groundwater     

Ahmet Apaydin 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2009,59(2):339-345

In central Turkey, there are serious groundwater quality problems in the main river valleys and plains, and even in the lower parts of the secondary basins due to the underlying evaporitic geological formations. Groundwater quality improves towards the upstreams in the alluvium aquifers in most secondary valleys; however, groundwater potential decreases as well due to the reduced basin area, areal extent and thickness of the aquifers. The Malibogazi valley is situated to some 100 km north of Ankara. The dam constructed in the narrowest section of the valley has an average storage coefficient of 0.2 and the total and active storage capacities of 110,000 and 55,000 m³, respectively. The 20-m-thick aquifer extends for 6–7 km till the dam site within valley with an average width of 50–70 m. It mostly comprises sandy–gravely alluvial deposits. Malibogazi groundwater dam is a valve-controlled gravity flow dam. When the valves are opened, the water from the aquifer reservoir flows by gravity through supply pipe to the main irrigation channel, but when the valves are closed the water is stored in the aquifer and groundwater level begins to rise. Average groundwater discharge was about 20 l/s in 2005–2006 irrigation period. In this period, groundwater levels were about 2 m higher compared to the groundwater levels in the same seasons before the construction of the groundwater dam. Because the dam is of gravity flow type, it means an important contribution to the farmers since the operation cost is quite low. Malibogazi groundwater dam represents one of the first experiences of Turkey in the field of groundwater storage. Although the dam has small storage capacity, it may be a model for Turkey from the viewpoints of investigation, construction, dam wall, intake facility and measurements etc.  相似文献