European Venus Explorer (EVE): an in-situ mission to Venus   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

E. Chassefière  O. Korablev  T. Imamura  K. H. Baines  C. F. Wilson  D. V. Titov  K. L. Aplin  T. Balint  J. E. Blamont  C. G. Cochrane  Cs. Ferencz  F. Ferri  M. Gerasimov  J. J. Leitner  J. Lopez-Moreno  B. Marty  M. Martynov  S. V. Pogrebenko  A. Rodin  J. A. Whiteway  L. V. Zasova  J. Michaud  R. Bertrand  J.-M. Charbonnier  D. Carbonne  P. Raizonville 《Experimental Astronomy》2009,23(3):741-760

The European Venus Explorer (EVE) mission was proposed to the European Space Agency in 2007, as an M-class mission under the Cosmic Vision Programme. Although it has not been chosen in the 2007 selection round for programmatic reasons, the EVE mission may serve as a useful reference point for future missions, so it is described here. It consists of one balloon platform floating at an altitude of 50–60 km, one descent probe provided by Russia, and an orbiter with a polar orbit which will relay data from the balloon and descent probe, and perform science observations. The balloon type preferred for scientific goals is one which oscillates in altitude through the cloud deck. To achieve this flight profile, the balloon envelope contains a phase change fluid, which results in a flight profile which oscillates in height. The nominal balloon lifetime is 7 days—enough for one full circumnavigation of the planet. The descent probe’s fall through the atmosphere takes 60 min, followed by 30 min of operation on the surface. The key measurement objectives of EVE are: (1) in situ measurement from the balloon of noble gas abundances and stable isotope ratios, to study the record of the evolution of Venus; (2) in situ balloon-borne measurement of cloud particle and gas composition, and their spatial variation, to understand the complex cloud-level chemistry; (3) in situ measurements of environmental parameters and winds (from tracking of the balloon) for one rotation around the planet, to understand atmospheric dynamics and radiative balance in this crucial region. The portfolio of key measurements is complemented by the Russian descent probe, which enables the investigation of the deep atmosphere and surface.  相似文献   

Nuclear field shift effect as a possible cause of Te isotopic anomalies in the early solar system—An alternative explanation of Fehr et al. (2006 and 2009)     

Frédéric Moynier  Toshiyuki Fujii  Francis Albarède 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2009,44(11):1735-1742

Abstract— We explore the possibility that Te isotopic anomalies measured in Ca‐Al‐rich inclusions (Fehr et al. 2009) and in leachates of carbonaceous chondrites (Fehr et al. 2006) may be due to mass‐independent effects controlled by nuclear field shift rather than to nucleosynthetic processes. Fehr et al.'s spectrum of mass‐independent anomalies of Te isotopes shows a smooth correlation with mass number and nuclear charge distribution. Ratios of even to odd isotopes, as the ¹²⁵Te/¹²⁶Te ratio used by these authors for normalization are particularly prone to nuclear field shift effects. We show that the alternative normalization of isotopic ratios to ¹³⁰Te/¹²⁶Te strongly reduces the trend of isotopic fractionation with mass number, leaving only ¹²⁵Te as truly anomalous. For both normalizations (¹²⁵Te/¹²⁶Te and ¹³⁰Te/¹²⁶Te), Fehr et al.'s results fit the theory of Bigeleisen (1996), which suggests that the nuclear field shift effect can potentially account for the observed Te isotope abundances, as an alternative to nucleosynthetic processes. We propose that these mass‐independent effects may be acquired during accretion of sulfides from the solar nebula.  相似文献   

Exploring the link between climate change and migration   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Sabine L. Perch-Nielsen  Michèle B. Bättig  Dieter Imboden 《Climatic change》2008,91(3-4):375-393

Previous research has postulated that climate change will lead to mass migration. However, the linkages postulated between the two have not been explicitly demonstrated but have rather been derived from ‘common sense’. In this paper, the connection between climate change and migration via two mechanisms, sea level rise and floods, is investigated and depicted in conceptual models. In both cases, a connection can be traced and the linkages are made explicit. However, the study also clearly shows that the connection is by no means deterministic but depends on numerous factors relating to the vulnerability of the people and the region in question.  相似文献   

Delayed carbon sequestration and rising carbon prices     

Alejandro Caparrós 《Climatic change》2009,96(3):421-441

We set out a dynamic model to investigate optimal time paths of emissions, carbon stocks and carbon sequestration by land conversion, allowing for non-instantaneous carbon sequestration. Previous research in a dynamic general equilibrium framework, assuming instantaneous carbon sequestration, has shown that land conversion should take place as soon as possible. On the contrary, previous research within a partial equilibrium framework has shown that, with increasing carbon prices, it is optimal to delay carbon sequestration through land conversion. We show that land use change alternatives, e.g. reforestation, have to be used as soon as possible before the singular path is reached, i.e. the unique trajectory that brings the system to the steady-state. We also show that faster increasing carbon prices can induce a reduction in the rate of reforestation, and that this may take place after an initial phase of increased reforestations or even immediately, depending upon the shape of the increase in carbon prices. Finally, we show that the type of species used is relevant and that the land conversion rate gets smaller the longer it takes the trees to grow. We analyze four different carbon accounting methods, describing the conditions that make them efficient and discussing the comparative advantages of each of them.  相似文献   

Stratospheric intrusion index (SI2) from baseline measurement data     

P. Cristofanelli  F. Calzolari  U. Bonafè  R. Duchi  A. Marinoni  F. Roccato  L. Tositti  P. Bonasoni 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2009,97(3-4):317-325

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Time-dependent response of a zonally averaged ocean–atmosphere–sea ice model to Milankovitch forcing     

Andrés Antico  Olivier Marchal  Lawrence A. Mysak 《Climate Dynamics》2010,34(6):763-779

An ocean–atmosphere–sea ice model is developed to explore the time-dependent response of climate to Milankovitch forcing for the time interval 5–3 Myr BP. The ocean component is a zonally averaged model of the circulation in five basins (Arctic, Atlantic, Indian, Pacific, and Southern Oceans). The atmospheric component is a one-dimensional (latitudinal) energy balance model, and the sea-ice component is a thermodynamic model. Two numerical experiments are conducted. The first experiment does not include sea ice and the Arctic Ocean; the second experiment does. Results from the two experiments are used to investigate (1) the response of annual mean surface air and ocean temperatures to Milankovitch forcing, and (2) the role of sea ice in this response. In both experiments, the response of air temperature is dominated by obliquity cycles at most latitudes. On the other hand, the response of ocean temperature varies with latitude and depth. Deep water formed between 45°N and 65°N in the Atlantic Ocean mainly responds to precession. In contrast, deep water formed south of 60°S responds to obliquity when sea ice is not included. Sea ice acts as a time-integrator of summer insolation changes such that annual mean sea-ice conditions mainly respond to obliquity. Thus, in the presence of sea ice, air temperature changes over the sea ice are amplified, and temperature changes in deep water of southern origin are suppressed since water below sea ice is kept near the freezing point.  相似文献   

Variations of levels and composition of PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 at an insular site in the Western Mediterranean     

Jorge Pey  Xavier Querol  Andrs Alastuey 《Atmospheric Research》2009,94(2):285-299

The insular suburban site of Castillo de Bellver was selected for the study of the variability of PM levels and composition in the Western Mediterranean Basin (WMB).Mean annual (in 2004) PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 levels at this site were 29 and 20 µg/m³, respectively. These levels may be regarded as relatively low when compared with other suburban insular locations in the Eastern Mediterranean Basin (EMB), but they are higher than those recorded at most of the European suburban sites, especially in Northern and Western Europe. Seasonal variability of PM levels at this site is governed by meteorology rather than local emissions, whereas the daily cycles are clearly defined by the anthropogenic emissions, mainly coming from the urban area of Palma de Mallorca and the harbour area of the same city.Concerning the aerosol composition at this site, the main PM constituent is the mineral matter (29% in PM₁₀ and 16 % in PM_2.5), more than 50% (in PM₁₀) being attributable to African dust. The amount of secondary inorganic aerosols is also very high (27% in PM₁₀ and 34% in PM_2.5), with the predominance of fine ammonium sulphate, and in a less proportion fine ammonium nitrate (in winter) and coarse Ca and Na nitrate (with higher importance in summer). The carbonaceous particles, dominantly fine, account for 17% of PM₁₀ and 25% of PM_2.5. The elemental carbon/organic carbon (EC/OC) ratio reached a mean value of 0.17, similar to those observed at regional background sites in the WMB coast of Spain. The sea spray aerosols (mainly coarse) represented around 10% of PM₁₀, and only 4% in PM_2.5. Finally, the unaccounted fraction increased from 15% to 20% in PM_2.5, being mostly attributed to water.The concentrations of trace elements in PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 were usually in the range to those observed in regional background sites in the Iberian Peninsula, with the exception of the typical tracers of road traffic such as Cu, Sb, Zn, Sn and Ba, which presented concentrations in the range of urban sites of Iberia. Other elements such as Cr, Zr, Hf and Co have been identified as the main tracers of the harbour contributions.  相似文献   

Adaptation of the optimal fingerprint method for climate change detection using a well-conditioned covariance matrix estimate   总被引：3，自引：3，他引：0  

Aurélien Ribes  Jean-Marc Azaïs  Serge Planton 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(5):707-722

The “optimal fingerprint” method, usually used for detection and attribution studies, requires to know, or, in practice, to estimate the covariance matrix of the internal climate variability. In this work, a new adaptation of the “optimal fingerprints” method is presented. The main goal is to allow the use of a covariance matrix estimate based on an observation dataset in which the number of years used for covariance estimation is close to the number of observed time series. Our adaptation is based on the use of a regularized estimate of the covariance matrix, that is well-conditioned, and asymptotically more precise, in the sense of the mean square error. This method is shown to be more powerful than the basic “guess pattern fingerprint”, and than the classical use of a pseudo-inverted truncation of the empirical covariance matrix. The construction of the detection test is achieved by using a bootstrap technique particularly well-suited to estimate the internal climate variability in real world observations. In order to validate the efficiency of the detection algorithm with climate data, the methodology presented here is first applied with pseudo-observations derived from transient regional climate change scenarios covering the 1960–2099 period. It is then used to perform a formal detection study of climate change over France, analyzing homogenized observed temperature series from 1900 to 2006. In this case, the estimation of the covariance matrix is only based on a part of the observation dataset. This new approach allows the confirmation and extension of previous results regarding the detection of an anthropogenic climate change signal over the country.  相似文献   

Classification of natural mineral and spring bottled waters of Portugal using Principal Component Analysis     

Carla Lourenço  Luís Ribeiro  José Cruz 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2010

Considering its area, Portugal is one of the world's richest countries in mineral and spring waters. There are 33 different types of bottled water, 18 of which are classified as natural mineral water and the remaining as spring water. The majority of these waters are of low mineralisation in comparison to most European bottled waters.  相似文献   

Abundance and fractionation of Al,Fe and trace metals following tidal inundation of a tropical acid sulfate soil     

Scott G. Johnston  Edward D. Burton  Richard T. Bush  Annabelle F. Keene  Leigh A. Sullivan  Douglas Smith  Angus E. McElnea  Col R. Ahern  Bernard Powell 《Applied Geochemistry》2010

Tidal inundation was restored to a severely degraded tropical acid sulfate soil landscape and subsequent changes in the abundance and fractionation of Al, Fe and selected trace metals were investigated. After 5 a of regular tidal inundation there were large decreases in water-soluble and exchangeable Al fractions within former sulfuric horizons. This was strongly associated with decreased soil acidity and increases in pH, suggesting pH-dependent immobilisation of Al via precipitation as poorly soluble phases. The water-soluble fractions of Fe, Zn, Ni and Mn also decreased. However, there was substantial enrichment (2–5×) of the reactive Fe fraction (Fe_R; 1 M HCl extractable) near the soil surface, plus a closely corresponding enrichment of 1 M HCl extractable Cr, Zn, Ni and Mn. Surficial accumulations of Fe(III) minerals in the inter-tidal zone were poorly crystalline (up to 38% Fe_R) and comprised mainly of schwertmannite (Fe₈O₈(OH)₆SO₄) with minor quantities of goethite (α-FeOOH) and lepidocrocite (γ-FeOOH). These Fe (III) mineral accumulations provide an effective substrate for the adsorption/co-precipitation and accumulation of trace metals. Arsenic displayed contrary behaviour to trace metals with peak concentrations (∼60 μg g⁻¹) near the redox minima. Changes in the abundance and fractionation of the various metals can be primarily explained by the shift in the geochemical regime from oxic–acidic to reducing-circumneutral conditions, combined with the enrichment of reactive Fe near the soil surface. Whilst increasing sequestration of trace metals via sulfidisation is likely to occur over the long-term, the current abundance of reactive Fe near the sediment–water interface favours a dynamic environment with respect to metals in the tidally inundated areas.  相似文献