Assessing multidecadal runoff (1970–2010) using regional hydrological modelling under data and water scarcity conditions in Peruvian Pacific catchments     

Pedro Rau  Luc Bourrel  David Labat  Denis Ruelland  Frdric Frappart  Waldo Lavado  Boris Dewitte  Oscar Felipe 《水文研究》2019,33(1):20-35

In a context of water scarcity in Peruvian Pacific catchments as a crucial issue for Peru, added to the paucity of data availability, we propose a methodology that provides new perspectives for freshwater availability estimation as a base reference for unimpaired conditions. Under those considerations, a regional discharge of 709 m³/s to the Pacific Ocean is estimated with a significant increasing trend of about 43 m³/s per decade over the 1970 – 2010 period. To represent the multidecadal behaviour of freshwater runoff along the region, a regional runoff analysis is proposed based on hydrological modelling at annual and monthly time step for unimpaired conditions over the whole 1970 – 2010 period. Differential Split‐Sample Tests are used to assess the hydrological modelling robustness of the GR1A and GR2M conceptual lumped models, showing a satisfactory transposability from dry to wet years inside the thresholds defined for Nash–Sutcliffe and bias criteria. This allowed relating physical catchment characteristics with calibrated and validated model parameters, thus offering a regional perspective for dryland conditions in the study area (e.g., the anticlockwise hysteresis relationship found for seasonal precipitation–runoff relationship) as well as the impacts of climate variability and catchment characteristics.  相似文献   

Homeomorphic imaging approach — theory and practice     

Boris Gelchinsky  Shemer Keydar 《Journal of Applied Geophysics》1999,42(3-4)

The homeomorphic imaging (HI) approach is a generalization of the common mid-point (CMP) stack to media of arbitrary structures with the following key properties: it collects and enhances useful waves; no knowledge about the velocity structure of the overburden is required for correlation and stacking; and neither the resolution of nor the information about the target objects is degraded by stacking the data. The so-called common reflecting element (CRE) method, which has all three properties, was proposed by Gelchinsky [Gelchinsky, B., 1988. Common reflecting element (CRE) method. Explor. Geophys. 19, 71–75]. However, the CRE method did not only provide a generalization of the CMP method with the key properties; it also has a topological feature that led to the creation of the HI approach. Today, HI can be regarded as a system of methods and schemes for the study of seismic structures that are based on asymptotic wave theory and on fundamental topological ideas. HI is based on a single supposition: it assumes that a target wave exists on the chosen central trace. The next step makes use of the ensemble of all possible wave fronts that can be formed in the vicinity of the central ray corresponding to the chosen central trace. This approach is applicable to a medium of arbitrary structure without the assumption of a seismic model or its parameters.  相似文献   

Ecosystem dynamics of the Pacific-influenced Northern Bering and Chukchi Seas in the Amerasian Arctic   总被引：12，自引：0，他引：12  

Jacqueline M. Grebmeier  Lee W. Cooper  Howard M. Feder  Boris I. Sirenko 《Progress in Oceanography》2006,71(2-4):331

The shallow continental shelves and slope of the Amerasian Arctic are strongly influenced by nutrient-rich Pacific waters advected over the shelves from the northern Bering Sea into the Arctic Ocean. These high-latitude shelf systems are highly productive both as the ice melts and during the open-water period. The duration and extent of seasonal sea ice, seawater temperature and water mass structure are critical controls on water column production, organic carbon cycling and pelagic–benthic coupling. Short food chains and shallow depths are characteristic of high productivity areas in this region, so changes in lower trophic levels can impact higher trophic organisms rapidly, including pelagic- and benthic-feeding marine mammals and seabirds. Subsistence harvesting of many of these animals is locally important for human consumption. The vulnerability of the ecosystem to environmental change is thought to be high, particularly as sea ice extent declines and seawater warms. In this review, we focus on ecosystem dynamics in the northern Bering and Chukchi Seas, with a more limited discussion of the adjoining Pacific-influenced eastern section of the East Siberian Sea and the western section of the Beaufort Sea. Both primary and secondary production are enhanced in specific regions that we discuss here, with the northern Bering and Chukchi Seas sustaining some of the highest water column production and benthic faunal soft-bottom biomass in the world ocean. In addition, these organic carbon-rich Pacific waters are periodically advected into low productivity regions of the nearshore northern Bering, Chukchi and Beaufort Seas off Alaska and sometimes into the East Siberian Sea, all of which have lower productivity on an annual basis. Thus, these near shore areas are intimately tied to nutrients and advected particulate organic carbon from the Pacific influenced Bering Shelf-Anadyr water. Given the short food chains and dependence of many apex predators on sea ice, recent reductions in sea ice in the Pacific-influenced sector of the Arctic have the potential to cause an ecosystem reorganization that may alter this benthic-oriented system to one more dominated by pelagic processes.  相似文献   

Impacts as sources of the exosphere on Mercury     

Alexey A. Berezhnoy  Boris A. Klumov 《Icarus》2008,195(2):511-522

Chemical processes associated with meteoroid bombardment of Mercury are considered. Meteoroid impacts lead to production of metal atoms as well as metal oxides and hydroxides in the planetary exosphere. By using quenching theory, the abundances of the main Na-, K-, Ca-, Fe-, Al-, Mg-, Si-, and Ti-containing species delivered to the exosphere during meteoroid impacts were estimated. Based on a correlation between the solar photo rates and the molecular constants of atmospheric diatomic molecules, photolysis lifetimes of metal oxides and SiO are estimated. Meteoroid impacts lead to the formation of hot metal atoms (0.2-0.4 eV) produced directly during impacts and of very hot metal atoms (1-2 eV) produced by the subsequent photolysis of oxides and hydroxides in the exosphere of Mercury. The concentrations of impact-produced atoms of the main elements in the exosphere are estimated relative to the observed concentrations of Ca, assumed to be produced mostly by ion sputtering. Condensation of dust grains can significantly reduce the concentrations of impact-produced atoms in the exosphere. Na, K, and Fe atoms are delivered to the exosphere directly by impacts while Ca, Al, Mg, Si, and Ti atoms are produced by the photolysis of their oxides and hydroxides. The chemistry of volatile elements such as H, S, C, and N during meteoroid bombardment is also considered. Our conclusions about the temperature and the concentrations of impact-produced atoms in the exosphere of Mercury may be checked by the Messenger spacecraft in the near future and by BepiColombo spacecraft some years later.  相似文献   

Multiple cycles of magnetic activity in the Sun and Sun-like stars and their evolution     

Elena Aleksandrovna Bruevich  Vasily Vladimirovich Bruevich  Boris Pavlovich Artamonov 《天文和天体物理学研究(英文版)》2018,(7)

The wavelet transform method for high-quality time-frequency analysis is applied to sets of observations of relative sunspot numbers and stellar chromosphere fluxes of 10 Sun-like stars.Wavelet analysis of solar data shows that in a certain interval of time there are several cycles of activity with periods of duration which vary considerably from each other:from quasi-biennial cycles to 100-yr cycles.Cyclic activity was detected in almost all Sun-like stars that we examined,even those that previously were not considered as stars with cyclic activity according to analysis using a Scargle periodogram.The durations of solar and stellar cycles significantly change during the observation period.  相似文献   

Holocene temperature variations at a high-altitude site in the Eastern Alps: a chironomid record from Schwarzsee ob Sölden, Austria     

Ilyashuk EA  Koinig KA  Heiri O  Ilyashuk BP  Psenner R 《Quaternary Science Reviews》2011,30(1-2):176-191

Few well-dated, quantitative Holocene temperature reconstructions exist from high-altitude sites in the Central Eastern Alps. Here, we present a chironomid-based quantitative reconstruction of mean July air temperatures (T_July) throughout the Holocene for a remote high-mountain lake, Schwarzsee ob Sölden, situated above the treeline at 2796 m a.s.l. in the Austrian Alps. Applying a chironomid-temperature inference model developed from lakes of the Alpine region to a high-resolution chironomid record from the lake provides evidence for early Holocene (ca 10000–8600 cal yr BP) T_July of up to 8.5 °C, i.e. >4 °C above the modern (1977–2006) mean July temperature. The reconstruction reveals the so-called ‘8.2-ka cold event’ centered at ca 8250–8000 cal yr BP with temperatures ca 3 °C below the early-Holocene thermal maximum. Rather warm (ca 6 °C) and productive conditions prevailed during ca 7900–4500 cal yr BP. The chironomid record suggests a climate transition between ca 5200 and 4500 cal yr BP to cooler T_July. A distinct cooling trend is evident from ca 4500 until ca 2500 cal yr BP. Thereafter, the study site experienced its coldest conditions (around 4 °C or less) throughout the rest of the Holocene, with the exception of the warming trend during the late 20th century. Beside other factors, the Northern Hemisphere summer insolation seems to be the major driving force for the long-term trends in T_July at high altitudes in the Eastern Alps. Due to the extreme location of the lake and the limited temperature range represented by the applied calibration data set, the chironomid-based temperature reconstruction fails to track phases of the late-Holocene climatic history with T_July cooler than 4 °C. Further chironomid-based palaeoclimate model and down-core studies are required to address this problem, provide more realistic T_July estimates from undisturbed high-altitude lakes in the Alps, and extract a reliable regional temperature signal.  相似文献   

The relationship between intraseasonal tropical variability and ENSO and its modulation at seasonal to decadal timescales     

Daria Gushchina  Boris Dewitte 《Central European Journal of Geosciences》2011,3(2):175-196

The intraseasonal tropical variability (ITV) patterns in the tropical troposphere are documented using double space-time Fourier analysis. Madden and Julian oscillations (MJO) as well as equatorial coupled waves (Kelvin and Rossby) are investigated based on the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data for the 1977–2006 period and the outputs of an intermediate ocean-atmosphere coupled model named LODCA-OTCM. A strong seasonal dependence of the ITV/ENSO relationship is evidenced. The leading relationship for equatorial Rossby waves (with the correlation of the same order than for the MJO) is documented; namely, it is shown that intensification of Rossby waves in the central Pacific during boreal summer precedes by half a year the peak of El Niño. The fact that MJO activity in spring-summer is associated to the strength of subsequent El Niño is confirmed. It is shown that LODCA-QTCM is capable of simulating the convectively coupled equatorial waves in outgoing long wave radiation and zonal wind at 850 hPa fields with skill comparable to other Coupled General Circulation Models. The ITV/ENSO relationship is modulated at low frequency. In particular the periods of low ENSO amplitude are associated with weaker MJO activity and a cancellation of MJO at the ENSO development phase. In opposition, during the decaying phase, MJO signal is strong. The periods of strong ENSO activity are associated with a marked coupling between MJO, Kelvin and equatorially Rossby waves and ENSO; the precursor signal of MJO (Rossby waves) in the western (central) Pacific is obvious. The results provide material for the observed change in ENSO characteristics in recent years and question whether the characteristics of the ITV/ENSO relationship may be sensitive to the observed warming in the central tropical Pacific.  相似文献   

Seasonal oceanic variability on meso- and submesoscales: a turbulence perspective     

Galperin  Boris  Sukoriansky  Semion  Qiu  Bo 《Ocean Dynamics》2021,71(4):475-489

Ocean Dynamics - Seasonal variability of the upper ocean on meso- and submesoscales is investigated in the framework of the quasi-normal scale elimination theory, or QNSE. The longitudinal and...  相似文献   

Physical Modelling of Stress-dependent Permeability in Fractured Rocks   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Lifang Zou  Boris G. Tarasov  Arcady V. Dyskin  Deepak P. Adhikary  Elena Pasternak  Weiya Xu 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2013,46(1):67-81

This paper presents the results of laboratory experiments conducted to study the impact of stress on fracture deformation and permeability of fractured rocks. The physical models (laboratory specimens) consisted of steel cubes simulating a rock mass containing three sets of orthogonal fractures. The laboratory specimens were subjected to two or three cycles of hydrostatic loading/unloading followed by the measurement of displacement and permeability. The results show a considerable difference in both deformation and permeability trends between the first loading and the subsequent loading/unloading cycles. However, the micrographs of the contact surfaces taken before and after the tests show that the standard deviation of asperity heights of measured surfaces are affected very little by the loadings. This implies that both deformation and permeability are rather controlled by the highest surface asperities which cannot be picked up by the conventional roughness characterization technique. We found that the dependence of flow rate on mechanical aperture follows a power law with the exponent n smaller or larger than three depending upon the loading stage. Initially, when the maximum height of the asperities is high, the exponent is slightly smaller than 3. The first loading, however, flattens these asperities. After that, the third loading and unloading yielded the exponent of around 4. Due to the roughness of contact surfaces, the flow route is no longer straight but tortuous resulting in flow length increase.  相似文献   

Numerical analysis of pile behaviour under lateral loads in layered elastic–plastic soils     

Zhaohui Yang  Boris Jeremi&#x; 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2002,26(14):1385-1406

This paper presents results from a finite element study on the behaviour of a single pile in elastic–plastic soils. Pile behaviour in uniform sand and clay soils as well as cases with sand layer in clay deposit and clay layer in sand deposit were analysed and cross compared to investigate layering effects. Finite element results were used to generate p–y curves and then compared with those obtained from methods commonly used in practice. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献