Adjusting to Policy Expectations in Climate Change Modeling   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Simon Shackley  James Risbey  Peter Stone  Brian Wynne 《Climatic change》1999,43(2):413-454

This paper surveys and interprets the attitudes of scientists to the use of flux adjustments in climate projections with coupled Atmosphere Ocean General Circulation Models. The survey is based largely on the responses of 19 climate modellers to several questions and a discussion document circulated in 1995. We interpret the responses in terms of the following factors: the implicit assumptions which scientists hold about how the environmental policy process deals with scientific uncertainty over human-related global warming; the different scientific styles that exist in climate research; and the influence of organisations, institutions, and policy upon research agendas. We find evidence that scientists' perceptions of the policy process do play a role in shaping their scientific practices. In particular, many of our respondents expressed a preference for keeping discussion of the issue of flux adjustments within the climate modeling community, apparently fearing that climate contrarians would exploit the issue in the public domain. While this may be true, we point to the risk that such an approach may backfire. We also identify assumptions and cultural commitments lying at a deeper level which play at least as important a role as perceptions of the policy process in shaping scientific practices. This leads us to identify two groups of scientists, pragmatists and purists, who have different implicit standards for model adequacy, and correspondingly are or are not willing to use flux adjustments.  相似文献   

The impact of seasonality on multi-scale feature extraction techniques     

Brian Moore  Jacob J. McKee 《International Journal of Digital Earth》2020,13(1):9-21

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The palaeoenvironment of the Bembridge Marls (Oligocene) of the Isle of Wight,Hampshire     

Brian Daley 《Proceedings of the Geologists' Association. Geologists' Association》1973,84(1):83-IN4

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The occultation of κ geminorum by Eros     

Brian O&#x;Leary  Brian G. Marsden  Robert Dragon  Emilie Hauser  Melissa McGrath  Peter Backus  Howard Robkoff 《Icarus》1976,28(1):133-146

The predictions and observations of the occultation of κ Gem by Eros on January 24, 1975, are described. At least eight positive and several critical negative observations were made in western New England. The paucity of observations on the western side of the track makes the analysis somewhat ambiguous, but a circular cross section of diameter up to 23 km gives a good fit to most of the available data. Consideration of a crucial, unconfirmed negative observation indicates that an elliptical solution 17 by 7 km (with the long axis in the direction of motion of the “shadow” of Eros) may be preferable, but this does not represent the positive observations so satisfactorily. The ellipse was therefore distorted into a more irregular shape about 20 km long and 7 km wide, rounded on one long side and flattened on the other. Both this irregular shape and the ellipse yield geometric albedos near 0.5, which is considerably higher than has been derived for most other planets or satellites lacking an atmosphere. The albedo that corresponds to the circular solution (0.1) is less than the polarimetric albedo of 0.21 for Eros. It is suggested either that the circle should be warped into an ellipse of dimensions 21 by 13 km, or, if some weight is given to the critical negative observation and the westernmost positive observation, that the profile is a kind of dumbbell.  相似文献   

The structure of rotating stars from an extension of the Kippenhahn-Thomas method     

Brian L. Smith 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1973,25(1):195-205

A method is presented whereby the structure of rotating stars may be determined from an initial guess at the geometry of equipotential surfaces. The method may be considered an extension of the work of Kippenhahn and Thomas in that a uniformly continuous geometry is defined in terms of the appropriate spherical model with Roche characteristics at the surface of the configuration and sphericity at the centre. A simple Cowling model in uniform rotation is employed to illustrate the technique and for comparison purposes with previous work.  相似文献   

Fishing for diplomacy in China's Seas     

Morton B 《Marine pollution bulletin》2003,46(7):795-796

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Hong Kong's gloom and doom     

Morton B 《Marine pollution bulletin》2003,46(11):1359-1360

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Potentiometric and F nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopic study of fluoride substitution in the GaAl₁₂ polyoxocation: implications for aluminum (hydr)oxide mineral surfaces     

Ping Yu  Brian L. Phillips 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2003,67(5):1065-1080

Fluoride replacement of oxygens in the GaO₄Al₁₂(OH)₂₄(H₂O)127+(aq) molecule [GaAl₁₂] was studied via ¹⁹F nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) at 4 < pH < 5 and 278 K in order to elucidate similar reactions at the surfaces of clays. Peaks are identified in the ¹⁹F-NMR spectra that correspond to both terminal and bridging fluorides on the GaAl₁₂ molecule, with relative peak positions similar to those previously identified in fluoridated aluminum (hydr)oxide mineral surfaces (Nordin, J. P., Sullivan, D. J., Phillips, B. L., and Casey, W. H. [1999], “Mechanisms for fluoride-promoted dissolution of bayerite [β-Al(OH)₃(s)] and boehmite [γ-AlOOH(s)]-¹⁹F-NMR spectroscopy and aqueous surface chemistry,” Geochim. Cosmochim. Acta63, 3513-3524). Fluoride substitutes for oxygen at three different sites in the GaAl₁₂ molecule, but at dramatically different rates.The kinetics of fluoride substitution follow a rate law that includes parallel and reversible transfer of fluoride from nonbridging sites to the two bridging sites. The essential features of the rate law are as follows: (1) fluoride replaces bound water molecules (η-OH₂) within minutes at 278 K at rates that are quantitatively similar to fluoride uptake by Al(H₂O)63+(aq) to form AlF²⁺(aq) at similar conditions; (2) fluoride substitutes onto the two topologically distinct μ₂-OH sites at different rates, as was previously observed for oxygen exchange, but here, the reaction is complete in hours to days at 278 K. Most importantly, rates of fluoride substitution onto μ₂-OH sites are 10² times more rapid than the corresponding rates of oxygen exchange with bulk waters, indicating that fluoride considerably labilizes the molecule, as is also observed at the surfaces of minerals. The largest cause of this labilization is the reduced molecular charge on the GaAl₁₂ upon replacement of bound waters by fluoride, which for mineral surfaces corresponds to a reduction in surface charge density.  相似文献   

The influence of diet on comparative trace metal cadmium,copper and zinc accumulation in Thais clavigera (Gastropoda: Muricidae) preying on intertidal barnacles or mussels     

Blackmore G  Morton B 《Marine pollution bulletin》2002,44(9):870-876

The influence of diet on comparative metal accumulation was investigated using a predatory muricid gastropod Thais clavigera. Individuals were fed for up to 56 days on either barnacles, i.e., Tetraclita squamosa, or mussels, i.e., Perna viridis, collected from metal-contaminated and clean sites. Barnacles and mussels have contrasting metal handling strategies and, therefore, different body concentrations, intracellular distributions and detoxification systems. Field collection of prey items that accumulated body metal concentrations over a lifetime of exposure allowed bioavailability to the predator, T. clavigera, to be assessed naturally, which may not be the case for prey exposed to metals for a short time in the laboratory. T. clavigera that was fed cadmium- and copper-contaminated barnacles or mussels ingested significantly greater amounts compared to those fed conspecifics collected from clean locations. T. clavigera body cadmium and copper concentrations were not, however, significantly different between individuals fed either contaminated or clean prey. Amount of zinc ingested was similar in mussels collected from clean and contaminated environments but much less when compared to the barnacle prey. The body concentrations of zinc in T. clavigera fed mussels collected from both sites fell. In contrast, the amount of zinc ingested from barnacle prey was significantly greater from those collected from the metal-contaminated site as compared to the clean one. This was reflected as significantly greater body zinc concentrations in T. clavigera fed contaminated barnacles compared to those fed clean individuals. Copper and zinc accumulation from prey was, therefore, complex. It varied between metal and between prey type, but appeared to be related to the amount ingested and the metal handling strategy of the prey.  相似文献   

Wide-Field Camera for Gravitational Microlensing Survey: MOA-cam2     

Toshifumi Yanagisawa  Yasushi Muraki  Yutaka Matsubara  Fumio Abe  Kimiaki Masuda  Sachiyo Noda  Takahiro Sumi  Yuji Kato  Mitsuaki Fujimoto  Shuji Sato  Ian Bond  Nicholas Rattenbury  Philip Yock  Pam Kilmartin  John Hearnshaw  Micheal Reid  Denis Sullivan  Brian Carter  Richard Dodd  Garry Nankivell  Noiman Rumsey  Morihiro Honda  Maki Sekiguchi  Masanori Yoshizawa  Takashi Nakamura  Humitaka Sato  Seiji Kabe  Makoto Kobayashi  Yoshiyuki Watase  Jun Jugaku  Toshiharu Saito  Barbel Koribalsky 《Experimental Astronomy》2000,10(4):519-535

We have constructed a large, mosaic CCD camera called MOA-cam2 which has 4096 × 6144-pixelsto search for gravitational microlensing events. MOA-cam2 has three4096 × 2048-pixel SITe CCD chips, which have a very high quantum efficiency (nearly 80% in the wave region 500 to 800 nm),and three buttable sides. We have placed the threechips side by side with 100 m dead space. MOA-cam2 has been installed on the 61 cm Boller and Chivens telescope of the MOA collaboration at the Mt. John University Observatory (MJUO) in NewZealand since July 1998. The field coverage is 0.92° × 1.38° per exposure. The technical details of MOA-cam2 and the first images obtained with the Boller and Chivens telescope are presented. MOA-cam2 introduces a second phase of research on gravitational microlensing by the MOA collaboration.  相似文献