Seasonal climate hindcasts with Eta model nested in CPTEC coupled ocean–atmosphere general circulation model     

Isabel L. Pilotto  Sin Chan Chou  Paulo Nobre 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2012,110(3):437-456

This work evaluates the added value of the downscaling technique employed with the Eta model nested in the CPTEC atmospheric general circulation model and in the CPTEC coupled ocean?Catmosphere general circulation model (CGCM). The focus is on the austral summer season, December?CJanuary?CFebruary, with three members each year. Precipitation, latent heat flux, and shortwave radiation flux at the surface hindcast by the models are compared with observational data and model analyses. The global models generally overestimate the precipitation over South America and tropical Atlantic. The CGCM and the nested Eta (Eta + C) both produce a split in the ITCZ precipitation band. The Eta + C produces better precipitation pattern for the studied season. The Eta model reduces the excessive latent heat flux generated by these global models, in particular the Eta + C. Comparison against PIRATA buoys data shows that the Eta + C results in the smallest precipitation and shortwave radiation forecast errors. The Eta + C comparatively best results are though as a consequence of both: the regional model resolution/physics and smaller errors on the lateral boundary conditions provided by the CGCM.  相似文献   

Twentieth century Walker Circulation change: data analysis and model experiments   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Qingjia Meng  Mojib Latif  Wonsun Park  Noel S. Keenlyside  Vladimir A. Semenov  Thomas Martin 《Climate Dynamics》2012,38(9-10):1757-1773

Recent studies indicate a weakening of the Walker Circulation during the twentieth century. Here, we present evidence from an atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) forced by the history of observed sea surface temperature (SST) that the Walker Circulation may have intensified rather than weakened. Observed Equatorial Indo-Pacific Sector SST since 1870 exhibited a zonally asymmetric evolution: While the eastern part of the Equatorial Pacific showed only a weak warming, or even cooling in one SST dataset, the western part and the Equatorial Indian Ocean exhibited a rather strong warming. This has resulted in an increase of the SST gradient between the Maritime Continent and the eastern part of the Equatorial Pacific, one driving force of the Walker Circulation. The ensemble experiments with the AGCM, with and without time-varying external forcing, suggest that the enhancement of the SST gradient drove an anomalous atmospheric circulation, with an enhancement of both Walker and Hadley Circulation. Anomalously strong precipitation is simulated over the Indian Ocean and anomalously weak precipitation over the western Pacific, with corresponding changes in the surface wind pattern. Some sensitivity to the forcing SST, however, is noticed. The analysis of twentieth century integrations with global climate models driven with observed radiative forcing obtained from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) database support the link between the SST gradient and Walker Circulation strength. Furthermore, control integrations with the CMIP models indicate the existence of strong internal variability on centennial timescales. The results suggest that a radiatively forced signal in the Walker Circulation during the twentieth century may have been too weak to be detectable.  相似文献   

The global temperature anomaly and solar North-South asymmetry   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Il-Hyun Cho  Young-Sil Kwak  Heon-Young Chang  Kyung-Suk Cho  Yeon-Han Kim  Young-Deuk Park 《Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences》2012,48(3):253-257

We investigate whether the global temperature anomaly is associated with the solar North-South asymmetry using data archived approximately for five solar cycles. We are motivated by both the accumulating evidence for the connection of Galactic cosmic-rays (GCRs) to the cloud coverage and recent finding of the association of GCR influx and the solar North-South asymmetry. We have analyzed the data of the observed sunspot, the GCR influx observed at the Moscow station, and the global temperature anomaly. We have found that the mean global temperature anomaly is systematically smaller (??0.56 in the unit of its standard deviation) during the period when the solar northern hemisphere is more active than the solar southern hemisphere. The difference in the mean value of the global temperature anomaly for the two data sets sub-sampled according to the solar North-South asymmetry is large and statistically significant. We suggest the solar North-South asymmetry is related to the global temperature anomaly through modulating the amount of GCR influx. Finally, we conclude by discussing its implications on a climate model and a direction of future work.  相似文献   

Effect of salt of various concentrations on liquid limit,and hydraulic conductivity of different soil-bentonite mixtures   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Anil Kumar Mishra  Masami Ohtsubo  Loretta Y. Li  Takahiro Higashi  Junboum Park 《Environmental Geology》2009,57(5):1145-1153

Effect of the various concentrations of NaCl and CaCl₂ on the four different soil-bentonite mixtures has been evaluated. The results show that the liquid limit of the mixtures decreases with an increase in the salt concentration. Liquid limit decreased significantly with an increase in CaCl₂ concentration from 0 to 0.1 N. However, a further increase in the concentration did not produce any significant decrease in liquid limit. A quite opposite trend was observed for the NaCl solution. An increase in NaCl concentration from 0 to 0.1 N did not produce any major decrease in the liquid limit, but a further increase in concentration from 0.1 to 1 N decreased the liquid limit significantly. Consolidation tests were carried out on the mixtures to evaluate the effect of mineralogical composition of the bentonite on the hydraulic conductivity (k) of the mixture in the presence of various salts concentrations. The k for any mixtures was found to be decreasing with decrease in the salt concentration. At relatively low concentration, Ca²⁺ had more effect on the k in comparison to the same concentration of Na⁺. However, at 1 N of NaCl and CaCl₂ almost an equal value of k was observed. A comparison of the performance of four bentonites showed that the mixture with bentonite having highest exchangeable sodium percentage (ESP) exhibited the lowest k when permeated with de-ionized (DI) water, however, k increased with an increase in the salt concentration. Similarly, mixture with a bentonite of lower ESP exhibited a higher k with DI water but with the increase in the salt concentration alteration in the k, compared to all other mixtures, was relatively less.  相似文献   

Quantification of the saturation degree of nonaqueous phase liquid in the vadose zone using hydrocarbon partitioning tracers   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Giho Park  Sanghyun Jee  Seokoh Ko 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2009,59(3):511-518

Partitioning tracer tests, as an alternative to the core sampling method, were conducted to quantify the degree of saturation of water and nonaqueous phase liquids (NAPL) in the vadose zone. Hydrocarbon gases, which have less effect on global warming than conventional tracers, were used as partitioning tracers. Column tests using CH₄, C₃H₅, and C₄H₁₀ as non-partitioning and partitioning tracers were performed to determine the retardation factor and partition coefficient of the tracer into water and NAPL. The retardation factors of these tracers were estimated to be in the range of 1.0–7.0 based on breakthrough curves of the tracers. The partition coefficient of C₃H₅ to water and diesel phase was calculated to be 0.57 and 8.45, respectively. For a heavier tracer, C₄H₁₀, the partition coefficient to the water and diesel phases was 1.2 and 40.5, respectively. The average value of water and diesel saturation estimated from column tests agreed well with known values in unsaturated soil. A residence time longer than 7.5 h within soil pores was found to provide local equilibrium partitioning of the tracer to the diesel phase. The concentration of tracer had no effect on the partitioning process.  相似文献   

How accurately do coupled climate models predict the leading modes of Asian-Australian monsoon interannual variability?   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Bin Wang  June-Yi Lee  I.-S. Kang  J. Shukla  J.-S. Kug  A. Kumar  J. Schemm  J.-J. Luo  T. Yamagata  C.-K. Park 《Climate Dynamics》2008,30(6):605-619

Accurate prediction of the Asian-Australian monsoon (A-AM) seasonal variation is one of the most important and challenging tasks in climate prediction. In order to understand the causes of the low accuracy in the current prediction of the A-AM precipitation, this study strives to determine to what extent the ten state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere-ocean-land climate models and their multi-model ensemble (MME) can capture the two observed major modes of A-AM rainfall variability–which account for 43% of the total interannual variances during the retrospective prediction period of 1981–2001. The first mode is associated with the turnabout of warming to cooling in the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), whereas the second mode leads the warming/cooling by about 1 year, signaling precursory conditions for ENSO. The first mode has a strong biennial tendency and reflects the Tropical Biennial Oscillation (Meehl in J Clim 6:31–41, 1993). We show that the MME 1-month lead prediction of the seasonal precipitation anomalies captures the first two leading modes of variability with high fidelity in terms of seasonally evolving spatial patterns and year-to-year temporal variations, as well as their relationships with ENSO. The MME shows a potential to capture the precursors of ENSO in the second mode about five seasons prior to the maturation of a strong El Niño. However, the MME underestimates the total variances of the two modes and the biennial tendency of the first mode. The models have difficulties in capturing precipitation over the maritime continent and the Walker-type teleconnection in the decaying phase of ENSO, which may contribute in part to a monsoon “spring prediction barrier” (SPB). The NCEP/CFS model hindcast results show that, as the lead time increases, the fractional variance of the first mode increases, suggesting that the long-lead predictability of A-AM rainfall comes primarily from ENSO predictability. In the CFS model, the correlation skill for the first principal component remains about 0.9 up to 6 months before it drops rapidly, but for the spatial pattern it exhibits a drop across the boreal spring. This study uncovered two surprising findings. First, the coupled models’ MME predictions capture the first two leading modes of precipitation variability better than those captured by the ERA-40 and NCEP-2 reanalysis datasets, suggesting that treating the atmosphere as a slave may be inherently unable to simulate summer monsoon rainfall variations in the heavily precipitating regions (Wang et al. in J Clim 17:803–818, 2004). It is recommended that future reanalysis should be carried out with coupled atmosphere and ocean models. Second, While the MME in general better than any individual models, the CFS ensemble hindcast outperforms the MME in terms of the biennial tendency and the amplitude of the anomalies, suggesting that the improved skill of MME prediction is at the expense of overestimating the fractional variance of the leading mode. Other outstanding issues are also discussed.  相似文献   

Does the restoration of an inner-city stream in Seoul affect local thermal environment?     

Y.-H. Kim  S.-B. Ryoo  J.-J. Baik  I.-S. Park  H.-J. Koo  J.-C. Nam 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2008,92(3-4):239-248

Summary Changes in local thermal environment associated with the restoration of an inner-city stream in Seoul, Korea, are investigated using observational data. The stream, called the Cheonggye stream, which had been hidden and covered with cement/asphalt for 46 years, runs 5.8 km eastward through a central region of Seoul. Intensive observations were made in the stream area for a number of summertime periods before, during, and after the stream restoration to detect the effects of the stream on local environment and to quantify them. It is estimated that after the stream restoration the near-surface temperature averaged over the stream area dropped by 0.4 °C, with the largest local temperature drop being 0.9 °C. However, it cannot be stated that this 0.4 °C temperature drop is due entirely to the stream effect only, because synoptic-scale and local-scale weather conditions during the two periods were inevitably not identical. The stream effect on air temperature is also evident in the temperature distribution along a street traversing the stream. In the daytime after the stream restoration, the sensible heat flux was greatly reduced and the ratio of sensible heat flux to net radiative flux dramatically decreased. These first-time results of the restored-stream effects on urban thermal environment could contribute to the scientific basis of urban planning which aims to make a large city comfortable to live in and nature- and environment-friendly. Authors’ addresses: Yeon-Hee Kim, Il-Soo Park, Hae-Jung Koo, and Jae-Cheol Nam, Meteorological Research Institute, Korea Meteorological Administration, Seoul 156-720, Korea; Sang-Boom Ryoo, Suwon Meteorological Office, Korea Meteorological Administration, Suwon 441-856, Korea; Jong-Jin Baik, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul 151-742, Korea  相似文献   

Effects of upstream surface heat fluxes on the evolution of the South China Sea summer monsoon     

X. Shi  J. C. L. Chan  K. C. Chow  Y. Ding 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2008,100(1-4):303-325

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Effect of changes in water level on sediment pore water redox geochemistry at a reservoir shoreline     

Richard A. Wildman Jr.  Nathan W. Chan  Nathan F. Dalleska  Mark Anderson  Janet G. Hering   《Applied Geochemistry》2010,25(12):1902-1911

Pore water samplers with high vertical resolution were used to evaluate the response of sediment redox geochemistry during transient hydrologic conditions at Lake Powell, a large reservoir in Utah and Arizona, USA. Samplers were deployed at two different yet proximal shoreline locations, White and Farley Canyons, before and after exposure of sediment to air and subsequent resubmersion, which resulted from fluctuations in the water level of the reservoir. Before exposure to air, an observed increase in dissolved Mn concentrations and, at Farley Canyon, an observed decrease in dissolved U concentrations across and immediately below the sediment–water interface indicated reducing conditions in the sub-surface. After exposure and resubmersion of the sediment, pore water profiles at each site differed distinctly from those observed before the fluctuation in water level. At White Canyon, an increase in U concentrations and a decrease in Mn concentrations in pore water after exposure and subsequent resubmersion are suggestive of oxidative processes occurring during the period of sediment exposure. Data from Farley Canyon suggest that the same processes may be occurring, but to a lesser extent. Depth profiles of As and Pb were also examined, but were relatively featureless compared to those of Mn and U. At both sites, sediment evaluated for pore water chemistry in the second sampling was only fully resubmerged for 2–5 days prior to the second sampling event, yet reducing conditions were clearly evident in the Mn pore water profiles. This suggests that the dynamics of the biogeochemical processes occurring in surface sediment at Lake Powell are responsive on the timescale defined by the fluctuating water levels in the reservoir.  相似文献   

Fourier-series representation and projection of spherical harmonic functions   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Hyeong-Bin Cheong  Ja-Rin Park  Hyun-Gyu Kang 《Journal of Geodesy》2012,86(11):975-990

Computations of Fourier coefficients and related integrals of the associated Legendre functions with a new method along with their application to spherical harmonics analysis and synthesis are presented. The method incorporates a stable three-step recursion equation that can be processed separately for each colatitudinal Fourier wavenumber. Recursion equations for the zonal and sectorial modes are derived in explicit single-term formulas to provide accurate initial condition. Stable computations of the Fourier coefficients as well as the integrals needed for the projection of Legendre functions are demonstrated for the ultra-high degree of 10,800 corresponding to the resolution of one arcmin. Fourier coefficients, computed in double precision, are found to be accurate to 15 significant digits, indicating that the normalized error is close to the machine round-off error. The orthonormality, evaluated with Fourier coefficients and related integrals, is shown to be accurate to O(10^?15) for degrees and orders up to 10,800. The Legendre function of degree 10,800 and order 5,000, synthesized from Fourier coefficients, is accurate to the machine round-off error. Further extension of the method to even higher degrees seems to be realizable without significant deterioration of accuracy. The Fourier series is applied to the projection of Legendre functions to the high-resolution global relief data of the National Geophysical Data Center of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, and the spherical harmonic degree variance (power spectrum) of global relief data is discussed.  相似文献