基于Meta分析的中国森林生态系统生态服务功能价值转移研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

漆信贤  黄贤金  赖力 《地理科学》2018,38(4):522-530

构建中国森林生态系统生态服务功能价值的数据库和Meta模型,分析价值评估的影响因素,检验模型的有效性。研究表明：①研究方法、生态系统生态服务功能、植被类型、所处植被区域、受益人口数量及集聚程度是影响森林生态系统生态服务功能价值变化的主要影响因素;②有效性检验证明将基于Meta分析的价值转移运用在森林生态系统生态服务功能价值评估上是一种快速且有效的方法;③中国森林生态系统生态服务功能价值呈现东高西低、南高北低的特征,价值随时间推移而增加,涵养水源功能价值最高,提供林果产品功能价值最低。  相似文献   

大城市居民自评健康与环境危害感知的空间差异及影响因素——基于郑州市区的实证研究     

赵宏波  冯渊博  董冠鹏  苗长虹 《地理科学进展》2018,37(12):1713-1726

环境污染与健康的研究一直受到世界各国的广泛关注。基于2016年郑州市区的大规模问卷调查,运用GIS空间分析技术、多元线性回归模型以及logistic回归模型等方法,研究微观尺度下居民健康与环境危害感知的空间分布,并探讨影响居民健康的关键因素。研究表明：①郑州市居民对自身健康状况的感知总体上处于中等水平,多数居民认为空气污染最严重,其次是噪声污染,垃圾污染与水污染相对较轻,但这4种环境污染均对居民健康状况具有显著影响。②居民健康感知的空间差异显著,呈现出明显的“中间低—外围高”的分布特征,即市中心的居民健康水平较低,而处于外围地区的居民健康水平较高。③不同社会经济属性个体对自身健康状况感知差异明显,随着年龄的增长对健康状况的感知越来越差,尤其是60岁以上的人群感知最差;高学历与高收入者认为自己健康状况很好或者非常好的比例远大于低学历与低收入者;性别与婚姻状况对健康感知的影响并不明显。④居住地到工作单位的距离越远,健康状况感知很好或者非常好的人数比例越低,街道区位也是影响居民感知自身健康状况的显著因素。研究结果可为郑州市制定更加公平、有效的环境健康政策提供科学依据。  相似文献   

Analyzing vegetation dynamic trend on the Mongolian Plateau based on the Hurst exponent and influencing factors from 1982–2013     

Siqin Tong  Jiquan Zhang  Yuhai Bao  Quan Lai  Xiao Lian  Na Li  Yongbin Bao 《地理学报(英文版)》2018,28(5):595-610

This study analyzed the spatial and temporal variations in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) on the Mongolian Plateau from 1982–2013 using Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) NDVI3g data and explored the effects of climate factors and human activities on vegetation. The results indicate that NDVI has slight upward trend in the Mongolian Plateau over the last 32 years. The area in which NDVI increased was much larger than that in which it decreased. Increased NDVI was primarily distributed in the southern part of the plateau, especially in the agro-pastoral ecotone of Inner Mongolia. Improvement in the vegetative cover is predicted for a larger area compared to that in which degradation is predicted based on Hurst exponent analysis. The NDVI-indicated vegetation growth in the Mongolian Plateau is a combined result of climate variations and human activities. Specifically, the precipitation has been the dominant factor and the recent human effort in protecting the ecological environments has left readily detectable imprints in the NDVI data series.  相似文献   

轮轴式产业集群内企业网络特征及形成机理——基于2014年奇瑞汽车集群实证分析   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈肖飞  苗长虹  潘少奇  艾少伟 《地理研究》2018,37(2):353-365

随着全球经济格局调整和规则重构,全球“第四次产业转移浪潮”为中国轮轴式产业集群升级提供了一扇“区位机会窗口”。基于对以奇瑞汽车集群为代表的轮轴式产业集群实地调研,通过企业半结构式访谈和问卷调查,研究了2014年集群内部企业间的产业联系网络、创新合作网络和社会交流网络,深度刻画了企业网络结构特征和形成机理。研究发现：① 企业网络中心性较为突出,呈现显著的“核心—边缘”结构。说明以QR为代表的核心企业在集群内部拥有绝对的“市场权利”“技术权利”和“网络权利”,对企业网络形成具有重要的支配作用;② 企业网络整体发育层次较低,差异较大。其中产业联系网络发育水平相对较高,创新合作网络最低,说明企业间交往仍以产品垂直供货和水平分工协作为基础,虽然在核心企业主导下外围节点间存在社会交流现象但程度相对较弱,同时汽车生产系统技术差异及“小团体”“俱乐部”等现象也导致企业间创新合作网络的发育迟缓。③ 企业网络建构是地理临近性、关系异质性和认知互动性共同作用的结果。其中,企业地理空间接近和面对面交流为网络形成提供了基本条件,企业关系资产和行动者网络为网络形成提供了介质条件,企业技术关联和路径创造为网络形成提供了保障条件。  相似文献   

协同演化与集群成长——河南禹州钧瓷产业集群的案例分析   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

吕可文  苗长虹  王静  丁欢 《地理研究》2018,37(7):1320-1333

集群演化是经济地理研究的一个前沿方向,演化经济地理学和新生命周期理论可用于解释集群从形成、成长、成熟到衰退或再生的过程。与已有文献强调企业—产业—网络的协同演化不同,本文构建了以企业为核心的技术—制度—政府—市场协同演化的分析框架,通过对禹州钧瓷产业集群的案例分析,结果发现：① 集群的浮现与成长是一个多因素、多机制协同演化的过程,技术—制度—政府—市场的相互作用以及内在的路径依赖与路径创造、知识外溢与企业衍生、规模报酬与循环累积等机制,在集群发展的不同阶段发挥着各自不同但彼此协同的作用。② 以本地资源禀赋和历史文化传统为基础的制度—技术的协同,具有路径依赖机制,塑造了钧瓷产业发展的初始优势,是集群浮现和生命力维持的基础。③ 由政府主导的市场经济转型与国企改革等制度转型,通过企业衍生机制促成了民营钧瓷企业的兴起;而钧瓷消费市场扩大与新市场空间拓展所形成的市场规模效应,则为企业衍生和规模扩张提供了有效的需求;政府—市场的协同在循环累积机制作用下,形成了钧瓷生产规模与市场规模相互强化机制,促进了钧瓷产业集群的快速成长。④ 集群演化是路径依赖与路径创造相互制约又相互促进的复杂自适应过程,钧瓷烧制技术、工艺、釉料、产品和造型及功能创新成为企业生存和竞争力的根本来源,地方独特的产业氛围使知识外溢和路径创造成为钧瓷产业集群持续壮大的核心动力。  相似文献   

Frost heave analysis of ballasted track above box culvert and its influence on train vibration     

Bin Luo  Hao Lai  Tatsuya Ishikaw  Tetsuya Tokoro 《寒旱区科学》2017,9(3):229-235

The uneven frost heave of frost-susceptible subgrade soil causes track irregularity, which highly enhances train vibration and affects the comfort and safety of railway transportation. This paper presents a coupled thermo-hydro-mechanical (THM) analysis for the freezing behavior of railway located above a box culvert. The vertical acceleration of the vehicle, an indicator of riding comfort, is predicted through a vehicle dynamic model. The results reveal that the existence of a box culvert changes the subgrade thermal pattern, leading to a deeper frost penetration depth. The frost heave amount above the box culvert is larger than the adjacent section, resulting in uneven track structure upheave and track irregularity. This frost-induced track irregularity highly affects train vibration.  相似文献   

“苏拉”台风引发福建西部大暴雨成因分析     

冯晋勤  蔡菁  赖巧珍 《气象科技》2017,45(1):149-157

利用常规天气资料、NCEP 1°×1°再分析资料、地面降水资料以及福建新一代天气雷达资料对2012年"苏拉"台风登陆后引发福建西部大暴雨天气成因进行分析,结果表明:"苏拉"登陆后高空涡旋受大陆高压东侧偏北气流引导向偏南方向移动,同时,台风登陆后进入大的环境风垂直切变区并向切变左侧倾斜,使得台风南倾结构进一步加大。台风结构南倾为福建西部大暴雨区提供了良好的动力条件,"苏拉"自身带来的水汽及台风南侧西南气流为暴雨区提供了充足的水汽来源,高空冷空气入侵与低层的高温高湿区形成上冷下暖结构呈现出条件不稳定层结,有利于深厚湿对流产生,结合充分的水汽供应,出现大暴雨天气。大范围暖平流配合风速辐合,中高层冷空气入侵与低层西南暖湿空气结合以及低层的西南急流建立是三个强降水阶段对应的中尺度天气特征。  相似文献   

Trends and uncertainties in surface air temperature over the Tibetan Plateau, 1951–2013          下载免费PDF全文

Wei Hua  Guangzhou Fan  Yiwei Zhang  Lihua Zhu  Xiaohang Wen  Yongli Zhang  Xin Lai  Binyun Wang  Mingjun Zhang  Yao Hu  Qiuyue Wu 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2017,31(2):420-430

Trends and uncertainties of surface air temperature over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are evaluated by using observations at 100 meteorological stations during the period 1951–2013. The sampling error variances of gridded monthly data are estimated for every month and every grid box of data. The gridded data and their sampling error variances are used to calculate TP averages, their trends, and associated uncertainties. It is shown that large sampling error variances dominate northern and western TP, while small variances appear over southern and eastern TP. Every month from January to December has a positive linear trend during the study period. February has the largest trend of 0.34 ± 0.18°C (10 yr)^–1, and April the smallest at 0.15 ± 0.11°C (10 yr)^–1. The uncertainties decrease steadily with time, implying that they are not large enough to alter the TP warming trend.  相似文献   

Coarse sediment supply sets the slope of bedrock channels in rapidly uplifting terrain: Field and topographic evidence from eastern Taiwan     

Larry Syu-Heng Lai  Joshua J. Roering  Noah J. Finnegan  Rebecca J. Dorsey  Jiun-Yee Yen 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2021,46(13):2671-2689

The incision rate and steepness of bedrock channels depend on water discharge, uplift rate, substrate lithology, sediment flux, and bedload size. However, the relative role of these factors and the sensitivity of channel steepness to rapid (>1 mm yr⁻¹) uplift rates remain unclear. We conducted field and topographic analyses of fluvial bedrock channels with varying channel bed lithology and sediment source rock along the Coastal Range in eastern Taiwan, where uplift rates vary from 1.8 to 11.8 mm yr⁻¹ and precipitation is relatively consistent (1.5–2.7 m yr⁻¹), to evaluate the controls on bedrock channel steepness. We find that channel steepness is independent of rock uplift rate and annual precipitation but increases monotonically with sediment size and substrate strength. Furthermore, in reaches with uniform substrate lithology (mudstone and flysch), channel steepness systematically varies with sediment source rock but not with channel width. When applied to our data, a mechanistic incision model (saltation-abrasion model) suggests that the steepness of Coastal Range channels is set primarily by coarse-sediment supply. We also observe that larger particles are mainly composed of resistant lithologies derived from volcanic rocks and conglomerates. This result implies that hillslope bedrock properties in the source area exert a dominant control on the steepness of proximal channels through coarse-sediment production in this setting. We propose that channel steepness may be insensitive to uplift rate and flow discharge in fast-uplifting landscapes where incision processes are set by coarse sediment size and supply. Models assuming a proportionality between incision rate and basal shear stress (stream power) may not fully capture controls on fluvial channel profiles in landslide-dominated landscapes. Processes other than channel steepening, such as enhanced bedload impacts and debris-flow scour, may be required to balance rock uplift and incision in these transport-limited systems.  相似文献   

Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of Italy using kernel estimation methods     

Elisa Zuccolo  Mirko Corigliano  Carlo G. Lai 《Journal of Seismology》2013,17(3):1001-1020

A representation of seismic hazard is proposed for Italy based on the zone-free approach developed by Woo (BSSA 86(2):353–362, 1996a), which is based on a kernel estimation method governed by concepts of fractal geometry and self-organized seismicity, not requiring the definition of seismogenic zoning. The purpose is to assess the influence of seismogenic zoning on the results obtained for the probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) of Italy using the standard Cornell’s method. The hazard has been estimated for outcropping rock site conditions in terms of maps and uniform hazard spectra for a selected site, with 10 % probability of exceedance in 50 years. Both spectral acceleration and spectral displacement have been considered as ground motion parameters. Differences in the results of PSHA between the two methods are compared and discussed. The analysis shows that, in areas such as Italy, characterized by a reliable earthquake catalog and in which faults are generally not easily identifiable, a zone-free approach can be considered a valuable tool to address epistemic uncertainty within a logic tree framework.  相似文献