Effect of climate change on corrosion rates of structures in Australia     

Nayruti Siddharth Trivedi  Murali Sankar Venkatraman  Clement Chu  Ivan S. Cole 《Climatic change》2014,124(1-2):133-146

As structures built now will be expected to last well past 2064 (50 years) it is vital that the effect of climate change be considered in their design and material selection. In particular changes in the rate of corrosion of metal components must be considered. To this end this study estimates the maximum likely change in the corrosion rate for the year 2070 so it can be included in current design. Changes in corrosion are estimated for 11 coastal and inland locations in Australia. For each station the climatic data (3-hourly) in 2070 is estimated by modifying current data with probable changes based on two climate change models (CSIRO: CSIRO-Mk 3.5 and MRI: MRI-CGCM 3.2.2). The former is for high global warming rate and the later the A1FI scenario. This climatic data is then run the Corrosion “predictor” (a multi-scale process model) to predict corrosion at each location. It is found that significant changes occur with corrosion in coastal locations increasing substantially, in contrast the corrosion at inland locations will decrease moderately. The increase in coastal locations is associated with a greater build up of salt due to less frequent rain evens while the reduction in inland locations is associated with a reduction in RH and thus surface wetness.  相似文献   

Ground Penetrating Radar Imaging of an Aquifer During a Pumping Test   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Anthony L. Endres  William P. Clement  David L. Rudolph 《Ground water》2000,38(4):566-576

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Direct simulations of the stress redistribution in the scaling organization of fracture tectonics (SOFT) model     

C. Narteau  P. Shebalin  M. Holschneider  J.-L. Le Mouël  & C.J. Allègre 《Geophysical Journal International》2000,141(1):115-135

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Laboratory Modeling of Aftershock Sequences: Stress Dependences of the Omori and Gutenberg–Richter Parameters     

Smirnov  V. B.  Ponomarev  A. V.  Stanchits  S. A.  Potanina  M. G.  Patonin  A. V.  Dresen  G.  Narteau  C.  Bernard  P.  Stroganova  S. M. 《Izvestiya Physics of the Solid Earth》2019,55(1):124-137

Izvestiya, Physics of the Solid Earth - Laboratory experiments on studying the aftershock regime are carried out on sandstone specimens at different levels of axial loading and uniform compression...  相似文献   

Complexities in Hindcasting Models—When Should We Say Enough Is Enough?     

Clement TP 《Ground water》2011,49(5):620-629

Groundwater models are routinely used in hindcasting applications to predict the past concentration levels in contaminated aquifers. These predictions are used in risk assessment and epidemiological studies, which are often completed either for resolving a court case or for developing a public‐policy solution. Hindcast groundwater modeling studies utilize a variety of computer tools with complexity levels ranging from simple analytical models to detailed three‐dimensional, multiphase, multispecies, reactive transport models. The aim of this study is to explore the value of using complex reactive transport models in hindcasting studies that have limited historic data. I review a chlorinated solvent exposure problem that occurred at a U.S. Marine Corp Base in Camp Lejeune, North Carolina and use it as an example to discuss the limits of hindcasting modeling exercises. The lessons learned from the study are used to reflect upon the following questions related to model complexity: How should we decide how much is enough? Who should decide when enough is enough?  相似文献