BoxCox multi-output linear regression for 10.7 cm solar radio flux prediction     

Rui-Fei Cui  Ya-Guang Zhu  Huan Zhang  Ri-Wei Zhang  Hong-Yu Zhao  Zheng-Lian Li 《天文和天体物理学研究(英文版)》2021,(4):147-156

We consider the problem of predicting the mid-term daily 10.7 cm solar radio flux(F10.7),a widely-used solar activity index.A novel approach is proposed for this task,in which BoxCox transformation with a proper parameter is first applied to make the data satisfy the property of homoscedasticity that is a basic assumption of regression models,and then a multi-output linear regression model is used to predict future F10.7 values.The experiment shows that the BoxCox transformation significantly improves the predictive performance and our new approach works substantially better than the prediction from the US Airforce and other alternative methods like Auto-regressive Model,Multi-layer Perceptron,and Support Vector Regression.  相似文献   

东亚地区春季一氧化碳的输送特征研究   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

葛萃  张美根 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2009,39(2)

以ECMWF ERA-40再分析资料构建的气象场为驱动场,利用全球三维大气化学模式MOZART-2,模拟了2001年3月大气污染物浓度的全球时空分布,并以一氧化碳(CO)作为示踪剂分析了春季东亚污染物向西太平洋地区输送的路线和机制.为了检验模拟结果的合理性,对TRACE-P 期间典型天气过程下的模拟结果与观测结果进行了比较.比较结果显示,模拟结果可以较好地再现2001年春季冷锋过境期间与东南亚深对流运动加强的天气形势下,东亚污染物向西太平洋地区输送的2大主要路径及其特征:(1) 污染物被冷锋系统提升后,在对流层中层向西太平洋快速传输;(2) 强烈的大气对流运动可以导致东南亚生物质燃烧产生的污染物在对流层上层向西太平洋输送.  相似文献   

海洋中的烃及其迁移和衰变   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

崔仙舟  尹相淳 《海岸工程》1995,14(4):25-32

对海洋中有关烃类的研究工作进行回顾和总结，分别介绍海洋中烃的来源，迁移和衰变及石油对海洋的污染。  相似文献   

光合细菌在对虾育苗生产中的应用   总被引：6，自引：1，他引：6  

崔竞进  丁美丽  孙文林  刘慧  王道本  于洪仁  孙兰凤 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》1997,(2)

１９９５年４月２４日～５月８日，在文登高岛盐场育苗场５０ｍ３水体育苗池，进行了用几株光合细菌（ＲｈｏｄｏｐｓｅｕｄｏｍｏｎａｓＳ．Ｐ．）混合菌液作为中国对虾（Ｐｅｎａｅｕｓｃｈｉｎｅｎｓｉｓ）苗期水质净化剂及辅助饵料，取得了明显效果。育苗池水透明度提高约２０ｃｍ，幼体挂脏率下降５０％，变态提早１ｄ左右，且多产仔虾百万尾  相似文献   

中国北方四条河口的汞——以大辽河、鸭绿江、滦河、东村河为例     

刘素美  张经  崔俊芝 《中国海洋大学学报(自然科学版)》2001,31(1):136-142

分别于1989年，1992年，1991年8月，1991年5月对大辽河口、鸭绿江口、滦河口、东村河口水体中总汞进行了取样和分析，其中又对大辽河口和东村河口进行了溶解态汞的分析。大辽河口和东村河口溶解态汞的含量分别为85～460ng/L和180～500ng/L，平均值分别为210和324ng/L；总汞含量分别为95～550和400～1000ng/L，平均值分别为310和640ng/L。大辽河河流段和河口段溶解态汞和颗粒态汞是主要存在形式。河口溶解态汞和颗粒态汞随氯度变化趋势相似。东村河口溶解态汞约占50%。鸭绿江口和滦河口总汞含量分别为30～2500和3700～6700ng/L，平均值分别为700和5700ng/L。鸭绿江口总汞随氯度变化趋势与随浊度变化趋势一致。而在滦河口总汞含量随两者变化趋势则不同。还讨论了滦河口、东村河口、鸭绿江口和大辽河口汞的污染程度。  相似文献   

基于水声环境空间中多模态深度融合模型的目标识别方法研究          下载免费PDF全文

李琦  孙桂玲  黄翠  刘颉  常哲  于金花  文洪涛 《海洋技术学报》2019,38(6):35-45

随着对水下目标特性研究的深入和声学探测技术的发展,基于单模态的阵列式信息融合或基于空间信息的分布式信息融合的水下目标识别方法研究已有一定成果,但针对复杂海况导致单一物理场或单一融合层次的系统识别性能提高有限等方面影响的水下目标识别方法研究还有所不足,因此,开展基于多模态深度融合模型的水下目标识别方法研究可利用模态互补,共享信息而提升识别率。文中在国内外研究基础上,深入研究了基于到达时差法和多模态方法组合的检测方法,初步形成了基于水声环境空间中多模态深度融合模型的识别框架,开展了海洋中典型自然与人为事件的信号分析与特征提取,并在此基础上,设计新型基于海底基站的被动识别系统。该系统同步记录和由位置等组成的时间序列标记声、磁和压数据,可实现高精度、高分辨率的识别。本研究可满足未来海洋观测对高性能水下目标探测、定位和跟踪系统的迫切需要,为海洋安全监管、海洋突发事件应急响应等领域提供新的技术手段和科学参考。  相似文献   

Environmental impact of fluidized solidified silt casting on surrounding water bodies     

Yunquan Li  Silin Wu  Shi Shu  Yiyan Lv  Yan Cui 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2020,38(5):604-610

Abstract

With the growing demand for underwater refill engineering, the construction technology of implementing fluidized solidification in underwater pouring has recently received increased attention. However, the environmental impact of underwater casting on surrounding water bodies, especially when the silt is polluted, is still unclear. In this study, a simulated underwater pouring test and a static immersion release test were conducted separately to study the quality of the surrounding water during and after pouring. The results showed that fluidized-solidified silt casting could increase the pH of the surrounding water, even after the pouring had stopped, by approximately 1.0 and the turbidity could reach 200 NTU. No diffusion of Zn and Cu into the surrounding water was observed and while Ni and Cr exhibited slight diffusion, this was at a level well below international water quality standard. During construction, reducing the distance from the seafloor to the bottom of the pouring catheter could reduce the level of pollution. After construction, the use of neutral solidified materials can effectively reduce the pH of the surrounding water and the potential risk of heavy metal dissolution.  相似文献   

Compression reference of soil structure evaluation with reconstituted clays at different initial water contents     

Ling-Ling Zeng  Zhen-Shun Hong  Yu-Jun Cui  Martin D. Liu 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2018,36(7):759-767

  相似文献   

Assessment of prospective hazards resulting from the 2017 earthquake at the world heritage site Jiuzhaigou Valley,Sichuan, China     

Xiao-qing Chen  Jian-gang Chen  Peng Cui  Yong You  Kai-heng Hu  Zong-ji Yang  Wei-feng Zhang  Xin-po Li  Yong Wu 《山地科学学报》2018,15(4):779-792

On August 8, 2017, a Ms = 7.0 magnitude earthquake occurred in the Jiuzhaigou Valley, in Sichuan Province, China(N: 33.20°, E: 103.82°). Jiuzhaigou Valley is an area recognized and listed as a world heritage site by UNESCO in 1992. Data analysis and field survey were conducted on the landslide, collapse, and debris flow gully, to assess the coseismic geological hazards generated by the earthquake using an unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV), remote-sensing imaging, laser range finders, geological radars, and cameras. The results highlighted the occurrence of 13 landslides, 70 collapses, and 25 potential debris flow gullies following the earthquake. The hazards were classified on the basis of their size and the potential property loss attributable to them. Consequently, 14 large-scale hazards, 30 medium-sized hazards, and 64 small hazards accounting for 13%, 28%, and 59% of the total hazards, respectively, were identified. Based on the variation tendency of the geological hazards that ensued in areas affected by the Kanto earthquake(Japan), Chi-chi earthquake(Taiwan China), and Wenchuan earthquake(Sichuan China), the study predicts that, depending on the rain intensity cycle, the duration of geological hazard activities in the Jiuzhaigou Valley may last over ten years and will gradually decrease for the following five to ten yearsbefore returning to pre-earthquake levels. Thus,necessary monitoring and early warning systems must be implemented to ensure the safety of residents,workers and tourists during the construction of engineering projects and reopening of scenic sites to the public.  相似文献   

同步辐射标定平面镜反射率不确定度分析方法研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

陈伯伦  杨正华  曹柱荣  董建军  侯立飞  崔延莉  江少恩  易荣清  李三伟  刘慎业  杨家敏 《海洋学报》2010,32(10):7078-7085

为了提高多通道软X射线能谱仪的测量精度,2009年在北京同步辐射(BSRF)软X束线源上对多种材料的掠入射平面镜的反射率进行了标定.在标定实验的基础上,对光源的单色性、高次谐波以及源强稳定性、探测器响应一致性和数据采集统计误差等多项不确定因素进行了评估,给出了反射率的修正方法和相应的不确定度分析结果.  相似文献