基于人工神经网络的沿海风速多步预测研究     

刘志丰  丁锋 《气象科技》2022,50(6):851-858

基于气象历史观测资料,将长短期记忆网络LSTM方法和Transformer模型结合提出了混合短期风速多步预测模型BLSTM TRA。以山东半岛南部沿海6个台站为研究区域,通过气象台站观测数据构建数据集。经与2018年ECMWF模式6 h预报结果对比分析,得出如下结论：构建的BLSTM TRA多步预测模型可大幅度降低风速误差,BLSTM TRA的1 h单步预测结果和ECMWF预报模式结果对比,其RMSE平均降低了58.9%,MAE平均降低了63.2%;风速误差和大风统计过程分析发现,BLSTM TRA模型具有一定的抗干扰能力,可以抓住短时大风等敏感信息,对于大风预报结果明显优于ECWMF模式和传统LSTM模型。  相似文献   

Predicting size effect on diffusion-limited current density of oxygen reduction by copper wire     

芦永红  徐海波  王佳  钟莲 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2011,29(1)

The size effect of copper wire radius (0.04–0.82 mm) on the diffusion-limited current density of an oxygen reduction reaction in stagnant simulated seawater (naturally aerated 0.5 mol/L NaCl) is investigated by potentiodynamic polarization and electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) and compared with the results obtained in 0.5 mol/L H2SO4. In the oxygen diffusion-limited range, size effect is found to occur independent of electrolytes, which is attributed to non-linear diffusion. Additionally, to sati...  相似文献   

Distribution of nutrients and eutrophication assessment in the Bohai Sea of China   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

王修林  崔正国  郭全  韩秀荣  王江涛 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2009,27(1):177-183

Water samples were collected in 120 stations in the Bohai Sea of China to analyze the distribution of dissolved nutrients and assess the degree of eutrophication in August 2002. The result shows that the average concentration of DIN increased and the PO4-P concentration sharply decreased compared to the previous data of corresponding period. The high concentrations of DIN and PO4-P occurred in coastal waters, especially in the bays and some river estuaries, while the high concentrations of SiO3-Si in the surface and middle depth occurred in the central area of the Bohai Sea. The average ratio of DIN/ PO4-P was much higher than the Redfield Ratio (16:1). Apparently, PO4-P was one of the limiting nutrient for phytoplankton growing in the sea. The average concentrations of DON and DOP were higher than their inorganic forms. The results of eutrophication assessment show that 22.1% of all stations were classified as violating the concentration levels of the National Seawater Quality Standard (GB 3097-1997) for DIN and only 3.9% for PO4-P. The average eutrophication index in the overall area was 0.21±0.22 and the high values occurred in Bohai Bay, Liaodong Bay and near the Yellow River estuary. This means that the state of eutrophication was generally mesotrophic in the Bohai Sea, but relatively worse in the bays, especially some river estuaries.  相似文献   

祁连-秦岭造山带交接部位25亿年碎屑锆石的发现及其地质意义   总被引：4，自引：1，他引：4  

裴先治  孟勇  丁仨平  李佐臣  刘战庆  刘会彬  李高阳  李瑞保 《地球科学与环境学报》2007,29(2):111-116

对来自祁连与秦岭造山带交接部位秦安地区葫芦河流域的“葫芦河群”浅变质砂岩中大量碎屑锆石的LA-ICP-MS U-Pb测年结果发现,其中含有年龄为2 302~2 578 Ma的锆石颗粒。这些锆石年龄均十分谐和,且阴极发光图象上显示具有典型岩浆型振荡环带结构和岩浆成因锆石的w(Th)/w(U)为0.11~1.42,表明这些锆石为新太古代末期构造岩浆作用的产物。这些锆石是该区域迄今发现的最古老的锆石,表明祁连与秦岭造山带交接部位可能存在比陇山岩群和秦岭岩群更古老的陆壳。  相似文献   

The suspended sediment concentration distribution in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea     

BIAN Changwei  JIANG Wensheng  Richard J.Greatbatch  DING Hui 《中国海洋大学学报(英文版)》2013,12(3):345-354

The distribution of the suspended sediment concentration (SSC) in the Bohai Sea, Yellow Sea and East China Sea (BYECS) is studied based on the observed turbidity data and model simulation results. The observed turbidity results show that (i) the highest SSC is found in the coastal areas while in the outer shelf sea areas turbid water is much more difficult to observe, (ii) the surface layer SSC is much lower than the bottom layer SSC and (iii) the winter SSC is higher than the summer SSC. The Regional Ocean Modeling System (ROMS) is used to simulate the SSC distribution in the BYECS. A comparison between the modeled SSC and the observed SSC in the BYECS shows that the modeled SSC can reproduce the principal features of the SSC distribution in the BYECS. The dynamic mechanisms of the sediment erosion and transport processes are studied based on the modeled results. The horizontal distribution of the SSC in the BYECS is mainly determined by the current-wave induced bottom stress and the fine-grain sediment distribution. The current-induced bottom stress is much higher than the wave-induced bottom stress, which means the tidal currents play a more significant role in the sediment resuspension than the wind waves. The vertical mixing strength is studied based on the mixed layer depth and the turbulent kinetic energy distribution in the BYECS. The strong winter time vertical mixing, which is mainly caused by the strong wind stress and surface cooling, leads to high surface layer SSC in winter. High surface layer SSC in summer is restricted in the coastal areas.  相似文献   

氮钾配施对生姜产量和砂姜黑土肥力的效应     

李录久  郭熙盛  陈防  高杰军  陈勇  丁楠  张琳 《广东海洋大学学报》2004,24(6):50-56

研究了淮北平原砂姜黑土地区生姜氮钾配施的增产效应和对土壤养分的影响。结果表 明:氮钾配施可以大幅度提高生姜的产量,施钾的增产幅度,柴姜为15.3%～58.4%,平均增产率 为35.8%;狮子头姜产量提高18.2%～46.9%,平均增产28.7%。增施氮钾肥可有效提高土壤有 机质、全N、有效P、速效K、缓效K、有效Ca和有效Mg含量,降低NO3-盐含量,促使土壤pH趋于 中性,对全P和碱解N含量影响较小。土壤N素和P素大量盈余,不施钾时土壤K亏损严重,施钾 处理土壤钾基本上处于盈余状态,有利于维持和提高土壤肥力。  相似文献   

非球形轴对称粒子光散射的散射矩阵元素展开系数的数值计算     

丁继烈  许丽生 《成都信息工程学院学报》1999,(3)

扼要地介绍了非球形粒子光散射的散射矩阵元素按广义球函数展开的基本理论,以及球形粒子散射矩阵元素间的关系。在此基础上较详细地阐述了计算展开系数的方法以及在程序研制中所遇到的一些问题。最后,对非球形的Ｃｈｅｂｙｓｈｅｖ粒子光散射的散射矩阵元素的展开系数进行了计算,结果表明数值技术和计算的正确性。  相似文献   

Environmental anomalies in the northeastern East China Sea during the last 3 000 years:implications for El Nio activity in the Holocene     

常凤鸣  李铁刚  庄丽华  阎军 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2010,(1)

To reconstruct the productivity changes for the last 10 500 a in the northeastern East China Sea (ECS),biogenic compounds (such as carbonate,organic carbon and opal),marine micropaleontological fossils (planktonic foraminifera,benthic foraminifera,radiolarian and silicoflagellate) and the compositional characters of benthic foraminifera fauna analyses were carried out on a sediment core DOC082 obtained from the western slope of Okinawa Trough (29°13.93'N,128°08.53'E;1 128 m water depth).The long-term changes of biogenic and micropaleontological proxies display some similarities through the last 10 500 a,which show three different phases:lower values are recorded during the early and middle Holocene (before about 4 000 a BP),followed by an abrupt and remarkable increase at about 4 000 a BP,the late Holocene (after about 3 000 a BP) is characterized by continuously high values.The multi-proxy data of paleoproductivity and percents of benthic foraminifera genera (Uvigerina and Bulimina) show that during the early and middle Holocene (10 500-4 000 a BP) productivity was relatively low with a sudden and distinct increase at about 4 000 a BP,and the late Holocene (3 400-0 a BP) is marked by significantly higher productivity.Also,the radiolarian-based sea surface temperature (SST) records reveal a distinct decline in SST in the late Holocene after 3 200 a BP,very different from the early and middle Holocene.For the last 3 000 a,the enhanced biological productivity and distinctly lower SST indicate a major change of oceanographic conditions in the northeastern ECS.These marine environmental anomalies are consistent with other paleoclimatic records for the late Holocene in the Chinese continent and its surrounding regions.After analyzing the mechanisms of modern productivity and SST changes in the northeastern ECS,and based on the climatic anomalies in the Chinese continent and variations in the Kuroshio Current during modern El Nio periods,we suggest that the anomalous environmental conditions in the northeastern ECS may imply intensified El Nio activity during the late Holocene.  相似文献   

用重复重力测量测定垂线偏差时变的精度   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

李月锋  丁行斌 《天文学报》2005,46(4):460-473

列举两种垂线偏差时变测定的微分公式,从理论上对用重复重力测量的方法测定垂线偏差时变的精度进行了探讨．在目前情况下,垂线偏差时变测定精度可以达到0．005＂．远区域的点对它的影响可以忽略不计,通过对重力网的模拟计算,进一步得到验证．探讨了有效积分半径对垂线偏差时变测量精度的影响,并在此基础上讨论了重力网优化的问题．  相似文献   

A possible explanation for the electron/positron excess of ATIC/PAMELA     

Rui-Zhi Yang  Jin Chang  Jian Wu Purple Mountain Observatory  Chinese Academy of Sciences  Nanjing  China 《中国天文和天体物理学报》2010,10(1)

Results from PAMELA and ATIC indicate that the Kaluza-Klein type dark matter particles could be the annihilation source of the observed excess of electrons and positrons.Assuming the existence of a nearby black hole with 10000–100000 solar masses and a point source boost algorithm,we apply the standard propagation model and find that the results fit the data well.  相似文献