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31.
基于对第二松花江流域上游小山、松山、两江水电站中长期水文预报研究成果,论述了综合中长期水文预报的研究思路和定性预报、定量预报的分析研究方法。该研究通过2002年实践检验,具有较高的预报精度。 相似文献
32.
L. Seeber O. Emre M.-H. Cormier C.C. Sorlien C.M.G. McHugh A. Polonia N. Ozer N. Cagatay The team of the R/V Urania Cruise in the Marmara Sea 《Tectonophysics》2004,391(1-4):239
Bends that locally violate plate-motion-parallel geometry are common structural elements of continental transform faults. We relate the vertical component of crustal motion in the western Marmara Sea region to the NNW-pointing 18° bend on the northern branch of the North Anatolian Fault (NAF-N) between the Ganos segment, which ruptured in 1912, and the central Marmara segment, a seismic gap. Crustal shortening and uplift on the transpressive west side of the bend results in the Ganos Mountain; crustal extension and subsidence on the transtensional east side produce the Tekirdağ Basin. We propose that this vertical component of deformation is controlled by oblique slip on the non-vertical north-dipping Ganos and Tekirdağ segments of the North Anatolian Fault. We compare Holocene with Quaternary structure across the bend using new and recently published data and conclude the following. First, bend-related vertical motion is occurring primarily north of the NAF-N. This suggests that this bend is fixed to the Anatolian side of the fault. Second, current deformation is consistent with an antisymmetric pattern centered at the bend, up on the west and down on the east. Accumulated deformation is shifted to the east along the right-lateral NAF-N, however, leading to locally opposite vertical components of long- and short-term motion. Uplift has started as far west as the landward extension of the Saros trough. Current subsidence is most intense close to the bend and to the Ganos Mountain, while the basin deepens gradually from the bend eastward for 28 km along the fault. The pattern of deformation is time-transgressive if referenced to the material, but is stable if referenced to the bend. The lag between motion and structure implies a 1.1–1.4 Ma age for the basin at current dextral slip rate (2.0–2.5 cm/year). Third, the Tekirdağ is an asymmetric basin progressively tilted down toward the NAF-N, which serves as the border fault. Progressive tilt suggests that the steep northward dip of the fault decreases with depth in a listric geometry at the scale of the upper crust and is consistent with reactivation of Paleogene suture-related thrust faults. Fourth, similar thrust-fault geometry west of the bend can account for the Ganos Mountain anticline/monocline as hanging-wall-block folding and back tilting. Oblique slip on a non-vertical master fault may accommodate transtension and transpression associated with other bends along the NAF and other continental transforms. 相似文献
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海岸带临港工业、海运物流与全球化大生产的探讨 总被引:5,自引:0,他引:5
海岸带是世界人口密集、经济发达的地带,在全球经济一体化和全球化大生产中具有重要的地位。近半个世纪以来,海岸带临港工业迅速崛起并持续高速发展,依托海港建设、大型船舶运输发展起来的临港工业和海运物流,在跨国公司的运作下形成了现代意义上的全球化大生产。这种生产方式使资源贫乏的日本快速发展成发达国家;深圳赤湾临港工业区成为中国高效益工业的典范。本文着重讨论了海岸带经济建设中大力发展临港工业对地区、国家和全球经济的影响,指出中国21世纪应大力开发利用海岸带港湾资源、重点建设全球化大生产的大进大出的基地,建立若干个具有国际竞争力的海岸带产业中心,推动国民经济持续、快速发展。 相似文献
35.
V.?Srinivasan Shubham?Srivastava Priyanka?GhoshEmail author 《Geotechnical and Geological Engineering》2016,34(1):59-73
By using the air pluviation technique, it is aimed to achieve the desired relative density with uniform void ratio throughout the specimen in order to maintain the homogeneity and to avoid the spatial variability. Further, in order to achieve the maximum deposition intensity, a systematic optimization study has been carried out rigorously in a test tank to determine the diameter of the orifice to be employed for the sieve plates of different porosity and the number of sieve plates to be installed in the diffuser sieve sets. The study has been conducted with four different patterns of sieves with different porosity to achieve a wide range of relative densities for four different uniformly graded Indian sands. The dynamic penetrometer which is considered to be one of the cost effective instruments has been efficiently used to determine the soil resistance at various locations of the test tank for every given height of fall in order to check the uniformity of placement density throughout the sand bed. The study reveals that the sand beds of different relative densities could be achieved using different patterns of diffuser sieves at optimum sand flow rate without compromising the uniformity. The effect of height of fall as well as porosity of diffuser sieves on the relative density of different sands has been studied in detail. The deposition intensity and the relative density obtained from the present study are compared with the values available in the literature. 相似文献
36.
E. A. Mareev V. N. Stasenko A. A. Bulatov S. O. Dement’eva A. A. Evtushenko N. V. Il’in F. A. Kuterin N. N. Slyunyaev M. V. Shatalina 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2016,52(2):154-164
This review contains the most significant results of Russian studies in the field of atmospheric electricity in 2011–2014. It is part of the Russian National Report on Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences to the International Association of Meteorology and Atmospheric Sciences (IAMAS). The report was presented and approved at the XXVI General Assembly of the International Union of Geodesy and Geophysics (IUGG).1 The review is followed by a list of the main published works on the studies of atmospheric electricity of Russian scientists in 2011–2014. 相似文献
37.
In order to study the origin of the spatial structure of the Northern Hemisphere Annular Mode (NAM),a linear stochastic model is constructed empirically from the output of a GCM run.Optimal stochastic forcing in terms of the maximum variance contribution,which may be potentially related to the maintenance of the NAM,is investigated.Theoretical analysis on the dominant non-modal response to the stochastic forcing shows that this dominance is jointly decided by the properties of forcing and the non-modal grow... 相似文献
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Kyungcho Bae Recent PhD graduate in Mineral Economics DeVerle Harris 《Natural Resources Research》1995,4(4):325-339
Monthly consumption forecasts for U.S. oil, natural gas, and coal are made using state space and multiple regression applied to the same data. These forecasts are compared with actual consumption for a test period. The forecasts made using state space are preferred to those made using multiple regression models for both expost and exante cases. The state space forecasts track data cycles better than do the regression forecasts. Average absolute forecast errors are less for the state space models than they are for the multiple regression models. 相似文献
40.
大同—阳高地震烈度宏观考察组 《山西地震》1991,(3):18-30
文中叙述了大同—阳高地震区的烈度划分原则、烈度分布范围、烈度异常情况,给出了宏观地震参数(h=11.2km,震级5.8M_L),指出宏观调查的烈度值与强震仪记录的强余震加速度基本一致。 相似文献