The grazing encounter between IC 2163 and NGC 2207: pushing the limits of observational modelling     

Curtis Struck  Michele Kaufman  Elias Brinks †  Magnus Thomasson  Bruce G. Elmegreen  Debra Meloy Elmegreen 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2005,364(1):69-90

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New techniques for integral field spectroscopy – II. Performance of the GNIRS IFU     

Jeremy Allington-Smith  Cornelis M. Dubbeldam  Robert Content  David Robertson  James Turner  Bernadette Rodgers  Jonathan Elias  Joris Gerssen †  Mark Swinbank 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,376(2):785-792

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Localized climate change scenarios of mean temperature and precipitation over Switzerland     

Elias M. Zubler  Andreas M. Fischer  Mark A. Liniger  Mischa Croci-Maspoli  Simon C. Scherrer  Christof Appenzeller 《Climatic change》2014,125(2):237-252

There is a growing need of the climate change impact modeling and adaptation community to have more localized climate change scenario information available over complex topography such as in Switzerland. A gridded dataset of expected future climate change signals for seasonal averages of daily mean temperature and precipitation in Switzerland is presented. The basic scenarios are taken from the CH2011 initiative. In CH2011, a Bayesian framework was applied to obtain probabilistic scenarios for three regions within Switzerland. Here, the results for two additional Alpine sub-regions are presented. The regional estimates have then been downscaled onto a regular latitude-longitude grid with a resolution of 0.02° or roughly 2 km. The downscaling procedure is based on the spatial structure of the climate change signals as simulated by the underlying regional climate models and relies on a Kriging with external drift using height as auxiliary predictor. The considered emission scenarios are A1B, A2 and the mitigation scenario RCP3PD. The new dataset shows an expected warming of about 1 to 6 °C until the end of the 21st century, strongly depending on the scenario and the lead time. Owing to a large vertical gradient, the warming is about 1 °C stronger in the Alps than in the Swiss lowlands. In case of precipitation, the projection uncertainty is large and in most seasons precipitation can increase or decrease. In summer a distinct decrease of precipitation can be found, again strongly depending on the emission scenario.  相似文献   

Key climate indices in Switzerland; expected changes in a future climate     

Elias M. Zubler  Simon C. Scherrer  Mischa Croci-Maspoli  Mark A. Liniger  Christof Appenzeller 《Climatic change》2014,123(2):255-271

Climate indices facilitate the interpretation of expected climate change impacts for many sectors in society, economy, and ecology. The new localized data set of climatic change signals for temperature and precipitation presented by Zubler et al. (Clim Change, 2013) is applied for an analysis of frequently used climate indices in Switzerland. The indices considered are: number of summer days and tropical nights, growing season length, number of frost days and ice days, heating and cooling degree days, and the number of days with fresh snow. For the future periods 2020-49, 2045-74 and 2070–2099 the indices are computed using a delta-change approach based on the reference period 1980–2009 for the emission scenarios A1B, A2, and RCP3PD. The scenario data suggest the following relevant findings: (1) a doubling of the number of summer days by the end of the century under the scenarios A1B and A2, (2) an appearance of tropical nights even above 1500 m asl, (3) a possible reduction of the number of frost days by more than 3 months at altitudes higher than 2500 m asl, (4) a decline of heating degree days by about 30 % until the end of the century, and (5) the near disappearance of days with fresh snow at low altitudes. It is also shown that the end-of-the-century projections of all indices strongly depend on the chosen emission scenario.  相似文献   

Seismic response analysis of an interacting curved bridge–train system under frequent earthquakes          下载免费PDF全文

Qing Zeng  Elias G. Dimitrakopoulos 《地震工程与结构动力学》2016,45(7):1129-1148

This paper establishes a scheme for the seismic analysis of interacting vehicle–bridge systems. The focus is on (horizontally) curved continuous railway bridges and frequent earthquakes. Main features of the proposed scheme are (i) the treatment of the dynamics in all three dimensions (3D), employing an additional rotating system of reference to describe the dynamics of the vehicles and a realistic 3D bridge model; (ii) the simulation of the creep interaction forces generated by the rolling contact between the wheel and the rail; and (iii) the integration of the proposed scheme with powerful commercial finite element software, during the pre‐processing and post‐processing phases of the analysis. The study brings forward the dynamics of a realistic vehicle–bridge (interacting) system during seismic shaking. For the (vehicle–bridge) case examined, the results verify the favorable damping effect the running vehicles have on the vibration of the deck. By contrast, the study stresses the adverse influence of the earthquake‐induced bridge vibration on the riding comfort but, more importantly, on the safety of the running vehicles. In this context, the paper unveils also a vehicle–bridge–earthquake timing problem, behind the most critical vehicle response, and underlines the need for a probabilistic treatment. Among the 20 sets of historic records examined, the most crucial for the safety of the vehicles are near‐fault ground motions. Finally, the study shows that even frequent earthquakes, of moderate intensity, can threaten the safety of vehicles running on bridges during the ground motion excitation, in accordance with recorded accidents. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Disi Water Use for Irrigation – a False Decision and Its Consequences          下载免费PDF全文

Elias Salameh  Marwan Alraggad  Arwa Tarawneh 《洁净——土壤、空气、水》2014,42(12):1681-1686

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Particulate contribution to extinction of visible radiation: Pollution, haze, and fog   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Thierry Elias  Martial Haeffelin  Philippe Drobinski  Laurent Gomes  Jerome Rangognio  Thierry Bergot  Patrick Chazette  Jean-Christophe Raut  Michle Colomb 《Atmospheric Research》2009,92(4):443-454

A data set acquired by eight particle-dedicated instruments set up on the SIRTA (Site Instrumental de Recherche par Télédétection Atmosphérique, which is French for Instrumented Site for Atmospheric Remote Sensing Research) during the ParisFog field campaign are exploited to document microphysical properties of particles contributing to extinction of visible radiation in variable situations. The study focuses on a 48-hour period when atmospheric conditions are highly variable: relative humidity changes between 50 and 100%, visibility ranges between 65 and 35 000 m, the site is either downwind the Paris area either under maritime influence. A dense and homogeneous fog formed during the night by radiative cooling. In 6 h, visibility decreased down from 30 000 m in the clear-sky regime to 65 m within the fog, because of advected urban pollution (factor 3 to 4 in visibility reduction), aerosol hydration (factor 20) and aerosol activation (factor 6). Computations of aerosol optical properties, based on Mie theory, show that extinction in clear-sky regime is due equally to the ultrafine modes and to the accumulation mode. Extinction by haze is due to hydrated aerosol particles distributed in the accumulation mode, defined by a geometric mean diameter of 0.6 μm and a geometric standard deviation of 1.4. These hydrated aerosol particles still contribute by 20 ± 10% to extinction in the fog. The complementary extinction is due to fog droplets distributed around the geometric mean diameter of 3.2 μm with a geometric standard deviation of 1.5 during the first fog development stage. The study also shows that the experimental set-up could not count all fog droplets during the second and third fog development stages.  相似文献   

Climate change impacts on a Mediterranean river and the associated interactions with the adjacent coastal area     

Angeliki Mentzafou  Chrysa Vamvakaki  Ierotheos Zacharias  Areti Gianni  Elias Dimitriou 《Environmental Earth Sciences》2017,76(6):259

The Spercheios river basin—coastal marine area is a complex natural and interdependent ecosystem, highly affected by human activities and interventions. Such sensitive systems are even more vulnerable to alterations of the hydrological cycle components and it is likely to be rapidly and severely affected by climate change. In order to examine the climate change impacts on water resources of the study area, the interaction between the hydrology of the river basin and the hydrodynamic of the coastal marine area was examined using two models. Based on the results, although the irrigation needs decrease for the years 2050 and 2100 due to corresponding decrease in cultivated areas, temperature increase and precipitation decrease are both expected to influence the water resources of the Spercheios river basin, which will directly affect the Maliakos Gulf hydrodynamics. The necessity to adopt a holistic approach which will treat river basins and coastal marine areas as an integrated whole, with regard to environmental, socio-economic and political framework, is evident.  相似文献   

Implications for eruptive processes as indicated by sulfur dioxide emissions from K lauea Volcano, Hawai‘i, 1979–1997     

A. J. Sutton  T. Elias  T. M. Gerlach  J. B. Stokes 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》2001,108(1-4)

K lauea Volcano, Hawai‘i, currently hosts the longest running SO₂ emission-rate data set on the planet, starting with initial surveys done in 1975 by Stoiber and his colleagues. The 17.5-year record of summit emissions, starting in 1979, shows the effects of summit and east rift eruptive processes, which define seven distinctly different periods of SO₂ release. Summit emissions jumped nearly 40% with the onset (3 January 1983) of the Pu‘u ‘ ‘ -K paianaha eruption on the east rift zone (ERZ). Summit SO₂ emissions from K lauea showed a strong positive correlation with short-period, shallow, caldera events, rather than with long-period seismicity as in more silicious systems. This correlation suggests a maturation process in the summit magma-transport system from 1986 through 1993. During a steady-state throughput-equilibrium interval of the summit magma reservoir, integration of summit-caldera and ERZ SO₂ emissions reveals an undegassed volume rate of effusion of 2.1×10⁵ m³/d. This value corroborates the volume-rate determined by geophysical methods, demonstrating that, for K lauea, SO₂ emission rates can be used to monitor effusion rate, supporting and supplementing other, more established geophysical methods. For the 17.5 years of continuous emission rate records at K lauea, the volcano has released 9.7×10⁶ t (metric tonnes) of SO₂, 1.7×10⁶ t from the summit and 8.0×10⁶ t from the east rift zone. On an annual basis, the average SO₂ release from K lauea is 4.6×10⁵ t/y, compared to the global annual volcanic emission rate of 1.2×10⁷ t/y.  相似文献   

Paleoecology of late-glacial peats from the bering land bridge, Chukchi Sea shelf region, northwestern Alaska     

Scott A. Elias  Susan K. Short  R. Lawrence Phillips 《Quaternary Research》1992,38(3)

Insect fossils and pollen from late Pleistocene nonmarine peat layers were recovered from cores from the shelf region of the Chukchi Sea at depths of about 50 m below sea level. The peats date to 11,300−11,000 yr B.P. and provide a limiting age for the regional Pleistocene-Holocene marine transgression. The insect fossils are indicative of arctic coastal habitats like those of the Mackenzie Delta region (mean July TEMPERATURES = 10.6–14°C) suggesting that 11,000 yr ago the exposed Chukchi Sea shelf had a climate substantially warmer than modern coastal regions of the Alaskan north slope. The pollen spectra are consistent with the age assignment to the Birch Interval (14,000–9000 yr B.P.). The data suggest a meadow-like graminoid tundra with birch shrubs and some willow shrubs growing in sheltered areas.  相似文献