Assessing the potential impact of climate change on the UK’s electricity network   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Lynsey McColl  Erika J. Palin  Hazel E. Thornton  David M. H. Sexton  Richard Betts  Ken Mylne 《Climatic change》2012,115(3-4):821-835

We investigate how weather affects the UK’s electricity network, by examining past data of weather-related faults on the transmission and distribution networks. By formalising the current relationship between weather-related faults and weather, we use climate projections from a regional climate model (RCM) to quantitatively assess how the frequency of these faults may change in the future. This study found that the incidences of both lightning and solar heat faults are projected to increase in the future. There is evidence that the conditions that cause flooding faults may increase in the future, but a reduction cannot be ruled out. Due to the uncertainty associated with future wind projections, there is no clear signal associated with the future frequency of wind and gale faults, however snow, sleet and blizzard faults are projected to decrease due to a reduction in the number of snow days.  相似文献   

Melting and Sublimation of Planetary Ices Under Low Pressure Conditions: Laboratory Experiments with a Melting Probe Prototype     

Erika?Kaufmann  Günter?Kargl  Norbert?I.?K?mleEmail author  Manfred?Steller  Johann?Hasiba  Florian?Tatschl  Stefan?Ulamec  Jens?Biele  Marc?Engelhardt  Jens?Romstedt 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2009,105(1):11-29

One possibility to explore the subsurface layers of icy bodies is to use a probe with a “hot tip", which is able to penetrate ice layers by melting. Such probes have been built and used in the past for the exploration of terrestrial polar ice sheets and may also become useful tools to explore other icy layers in the Solar System. Examples for such layers are the polar areas of Mars or the icy crust of Jupiter’s moon Europa. However, while on Earth a heated probe launched into an ice sheet always causes melting with subsequent refreezing, the behaviour of such a probe in a low pressure environment is quite different. We report on the results of some experiments with a simple “melting probe" prototype with two different kinds of hot tips in a vacuum environment. For one of the tips the probe moved into two types of ice samples: (i) compact water ice and (ii) porous water ice with a snow (firn) like texture. It was also found that the penetration behaviour was basically different for the two sample types even when the same kind of tip was used. While in the porous sample the ice was only subliming, the phase changes occurring during the interaction of the tip with the compact ice are much more complex. Here alternating phases of melting and sublimation occur. The absence of the liquid phase has severe consequences on the performance of a “melting probe" under vacuum conditions: In this environment we find a high thermal resistance between the probe surface and the underlying ice. Therefore, only a low percentage of the heat that is generated in the tip is used to melt or sublime the ice, the bulk of the power is transferred towards the rear end of the probe. This is particularly a problem in the initial phases of an ice penetration experiment, when the probe has not yet penetrated the ice over its whole length. In the compact ice sample, phases could be observed, where a high enough gas pressure had built up locally underneath the probe, so that melting becomes possible. Only during these melting periods the thermal contact between the probe and the ice is good and in consequence the melting probe works effectively.  相似文献   

Taming a “chaotic concept”: gentrification and segmented consumption in Brooklyn, 2002–2012     

Mike Owen Benediktsson  Brian Lamberta  Erika Larsen 《Urban geography》2016,37(4):590-610

Public debate and prior scholarship tend to emphasize the link between gentrification and high-end chain retail, underscoring the importance of taste cultures tied to social class in making sense of gentrification’s impact on neighborhood identity. In this study, we present evidence from 10 years of change in the businesses of Brooklyn, New York City, a period of extensive gentrification across a wide variety of neighborhood and census-tract level contexts. Adopting census tracts clustered in neighborhoods as the units of analysis, we model the effects of institutional and demographic change on two separate outcomes: chain retail density and homogeneity in the types of goods and services available. We argue that changes in consumer culture embedded in broader processes of gentrification are neither “chaotic” nor “unitary” but are “segmented” according to local spatial and demographic context, taking two discrete forms: institutionally facilitated corporatization; lifestyle-driven homogenization.  相似文献   

Evaluating Topographic Effects on Ground Deformation: Insights from Finite Element Modeling     

Erika Ronchin  Adelina Geyer  Joan Martí 《Surveys in Geophysics》2015,36(4):513-548

  相似文献   

Exploring the impact of diagenesis on (isotope) geochemical and microstructural alteration features in biogenic aragonite          下载免费PDF全文

Ann‐Christine Ritter  Vasileios Mavromatis  Martin Dietzel  Ola Kwiecien  Felix Wiethoff  Erika Griesshaber  Laura A. Casella  Wolfgang W. Schmahl  Jennifer Koelen  Rolf D. Neuser  Albrecht Leis  Dieter Buhl  Andrea Niedermayr  Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach  Stefano M. Bernasconi  Adrian Immenhauser 《Sedimentology》2017,64(5):1354-1380

For the Quaternary and Neogene, aragonitic biogenic and abiogenic carbonates are frequently exploited as archives of their environment. Conversely, pre‐Neogene aragonite is often diagenetically altered and calcite archives are studied instead. Nevertheless, the exact sequence of diagenetic processes and products is difficult to disclose from naturally altered material. Here, experiments were performed to understand biogenic aragonite alteration processes and products. Shell subsamples of the bivalve Arctica islandica were exposed to hydrothermal alteration. Thermal boundary conditions were set at 100°C, 175°C and 200°C. These comparably high temperatures were chosen to shorten experimental durations. Subsamples were exposed to different ¹⁸O‐depleted fluids for durations between two and twenty weeks. Alteration was documented using X‐ray diffraction, cathodoluminescence, fluorescence and scanning electron microscopy, as well as conventional and clumped isotope analyses. Experiments performed at 100°C show redistribution and darkening of organic matter, but lack evidence for diagenetic alteration, except in Δ₄₇ which show the effects of annealing processes. At 175°C, valves undergo significant aragonite to calcite transformation and neomorphism. The δ¹⁸O signature supports transformation via dissolution and reprecipitation, but isotopic exchange is limited by fluid migration through the subsamples. Individual growth increments in these subsamples exhibit bright orange luminescence. At 200°C, valves are fully transformed to calcite and exhibit purple‐blue luminescence with orange bands. The δ¹⁸O and Δ₄₇ signatures reveal exchange with the aqueous fluid, whereas δ¹³C remains unaltered in all experiments, indicating a carbonate‐buffered system. Clumped isotope temperatures in high‐temperature experiments show compositions in broad agreement with the measured temperature. Experimentally induced alteration patterns are comparable with individual features present in Pleistocene shells. This study represents a significant step towards sequential analysis of diagenetic features in biogenic aragonites and sheds light on reaction times and threshold limits. The limitations of a study restricted to a single test organism are acknowledged and call for refined follow‐up experiments.  相似文献   

Human and Environmental Factors Affect Patterns of Crop Diversity in an Ethiopian Highland Agroecosystem     

Leah H. Samberg  Carol Shennan  Erika S. Zavaleta 《The Professional geographer》2013,65(3):395-408

The Ethiopian highlands are a center of diversity for numerous globally important crops. Heterogeneous landscapes, traditional agricultural practices, and inaccessibility have created and maintained diverse subsistence agroecosystems. We surveyed sixty-three farms in twelve communities of the Gamo highlands and found high levels of on-farm diversity of crop species and varieties. The extent and nature of this diversity are related to both ecological factors, namely elevation, and anthropogenic factors such as land-use history, accessibility to markets and extension, and strength and scale of farmer exchange networks. These human landscape features have the potential to both enhance and mediate effects of elevation and other environmental factors on crop diversity. The interaction of environmental and anthropogenic forces on the diversity of crops grown by farmers affects the strategies farmers employ to adapt their farming to changing conditions.  相似文献   

26Al‐26Mg isotope systematics of the first solids in the early solar system     

Noriko T. Kita  Qing‐Zhu Yin  Glenn J. MacPherson  Takayuki Ushikubo  Benjamin Jacobsen  Kazuhide Nagashima  Erika Kurahashi  Alexander N. Krot  Stein B. Jacobsen 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2013,48(8):1383-1400

High‐precision bulk aluminum‐magnesium isotope measurements of calcium‐aluminum‐rich inclusions (CAIs) from CV carbonaceous chondrites in several laboratories define a bulk ²⁶Al‐²⁶Mg isochron with an inferred initial ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratio of approximately 5.25 × 10^?5, named the canonical ratio. Nonigneous CV CAIs yield well‐defined internal ²⁶Al‐²⁶Mg isochrons consistent with the canonical value. These observations indicate that the canonical ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratio records initial Al/Mg fractionation by evaporation and condensation in the CV CAI‐forming region. The internal isochrons of igneous CV CAIs show a range of inferred initial ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratios, (4.2–5.2) × 10^?5, indicating that CAI melting continued for at least 0.2 Ma after formation of their precursors. A similar range of initial ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratios is also obtained from the internal isochrons of many CAIs (igneous and nonigneous) in other groups of carbonaceous chondrites. Some CAIs and refractory grains (corundum and hibonite) from unmetamorphosed or weakly metamorphosed chondrites, including CVs, are significantly depleted in ²⁶Al. At least some of these refractory objects may have formed prior to injection of ²⁶Al into the protosolar molecular cloud and its subsequent homogenization in the protoplanetary disk. Bulk aluminum and magnesium‐isotope measurements of various types of chondrites plot along the bulk CV CAI isochron, suggesting homogeneous distribution of ²⁶Al and magnesium isotopes in the protoplanetary disk after an epoch of CAI formation. The inferred initial ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratios of chondrules indicate that most chondrules formed 1–3 Ma after CAIs with the canonical ²⁶Al/²⁷Al ratio.  相似文献   

Progression in sulfur isotopic compositions from coal to fly ash: Examples from single-source combustion in Indiana     

Yaofa Jiang  Erika R. Elswick  Maria Mastalerz   《International Journal of Coal Geology》2008,73(3-4):273-284

Sulfur occurs in multiple mineral forms in coals, and its fate in coal combustion is still not well understood. The sulfur isotopic composition of coal from two coal mines in Indiana and fly ash from two power plants that use these coals were studied using geological and geochemical methods. The two coal beds are Middle Pennsylvanian in age; one seam is the low-sulfur (< 1%) Danville Coal Member of the Dugger Formation and the other is the high-sulfur (> 5%) Springfield Coal Member of the Petersburg Formation. Both seams have ash contents of approximately 11%. Fly-ash samples were collected at various points in the ash-collection system in the two plants. The results show notable difference in δ³⁴S for sulfur species within and between the low-sulfur and high-sulfur coal. The δ³⁴S values for all sulfur species are exclusively positive in the low-sulfur Danville coal, whereas the δ³⁴S values for sulfate, pyritic, and organic sulfur are both positive and negative in the high-sulfur Springfield coal. Each coal exhibits a distinct pattern of stratigraphic variation in sulfur isotopic composition. Overall, the δ³⁴S for sulfur species values increase up the section in the low-sulfur Danville coal, whereas they show a decrease up the vertical section in the high-sulfur Springfield coal. Based on the evolution of δ³⁴S for sulfur species, it is suggested that there was influence of seawater on peat swamp, with two marine incursions occurring during peat accumulation of the high-sulfur Springfield coal. Therefore, bacterial sulfate reduction played a key role in converting sulfate into hydrogen sulfide, sulfide minerals, and elemental sulfur. The differences in δ³⁴S between sulfate sulfur and pyritic sulfur is very small between individual benches of both coals, implying that some oxidation occurred during deposition or postdeposition.The δ³⁴S values for fly ash from the high-sulfur Springfield coal (averaging 9.7‰) are greatly enriched in ³⁴S relative to those in the parent coal (averaging 2.2‰). This indicates a fractionation of sulfur isotopes during high-sulfur coal combustion. By contrast, the δ³⁴S values for fly-ash samples from the low-sulfur Danville coal average 10.2‰, only slightly enriched in ³⁴S relative to those from the parent coal (average 7.5‰). The δ³⁴S values for bulk S determined directly from the fly-ash samples show close correspondence with the δ³⁴S values for SO₄^− 2 leached from the fly ash in the low-sulfur coal, suggesting that the transition from pyrite to sulfate occurred via high-temperature oxidation during coal combustion.  相似文献   

A common methodology for risk assessment and mapping for south-east Europe: an application for heat wave risk in Romania     

Papathoma-Koehle  Maria  Promper  Catrin  Bojariu  Roxana  Cica  Roxana  Sik  Andr&#;s  Perge  Kinga  L&#;szl&#;  Peter  Czikora  Erika Bal&#;zs  Dumitrescu  Alexandru  Turcus  Cosmin  Birsan  Marius-Victor  Velea  Liliana  Glade  Thomas 《Natural Hazards》2016,81(1):89-115

This paper reports on a quantitative estimation of the risk to residents at the toe of Mount Albino, a carbonatic relief covered by shallow deposits of pyroclastic soils, which threatens the municipality of Nocera Inferiore (southern Italy). The quantitative risk analysis (QRA) focuses on one type of mass transport phenomena typical for the context at hand, namely the hyperconcentrated flows. The methodological approach includes three main steps: hazard analysis, consequence analysis and risk estimation. Based on historical incident data, the hazard analysis makes use of a high-resolution digital terrain model and advanced models that incorporate relevant geological and geotechnical input data collected via in situ investigations and laboratory tests. The consequence analysis takes into account information on the exposed persons (age, gender) and their vulnerability. The estimated risk to life is calculated at the individual level (risk to the average and most exposed person). The reported procedure is one of the first QRA’s applications to instabilities which potentially affect natural slopes in Italy, and it was successfully used as technical basis for a public participatory process in Nocera Inferiore, designed and developed to support decisions about risk mitigation measures.  相似文献   

The role of ENSO and PDO in variability of winter precipitation over North America from twenty first century CMIP5 projections     

Ramón Fuentes-Franco  Filippo Giorgi  Erika Coppola  Fred Kucharski 《Climate Dynamics》2016,46(9-10):3259-3277

  相似文献