汶川地震后四川省都江堰市龙池镇群发泥石流灾害   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

余斌  马煜  张健楠  吴雨夫  张惠惠  李丽  褚胜名  亓星 《山地学报》2011,29(6)

在2008 -05 - 12汶川地震后的极震区暴发了多处群发性泥石流灾害,龙溪河流域的龙池“8·13”群发泥石流灾害就是其中之一.龙溪河流域在2010 -08 -13遭遇强降雨过程,流域内共有45处暴发泥石流,其中34处沟谷泥石流,11处坡面泥石流,泥石流冲出总量共334×104m3,造成大量泥沙淤积在龙溪河下游河道内,该段河床平均淤高5 m.诱发“8·13”群发泥石流的最大1h降雨量达75 mm,相当于20 a一遇的1h降雨量.“8·13”群发泥石流中88.9％的泥石流活动集中在汶川地震发震断裂带附近3 km范围内,仅有11.1％的泥石流分布在距汶川地震发震断裂带3～5 km范围.除受汶川地震发震断裂带影响外,泥石流分布还受地层岩性和地形的影响.龙池群发泥石流以粘性泥石流为主,占总数的88.9％,而稀性泥石流很少,仅占总数的11.1％.小规模泥石流占多数,达到总数的60.0％;大规模泥石流很少,仅占总数的11.1％,其他为中等规模泥石流.泥石流流域主要为小流域,＜1 km2的泥石流流域占多数,达到总数的68.9％;而＞3 km2的泥石流流域很少,仅占总数的6.7％.龙溪河河道内的泥沙淤积受泥石流活动、主河道坡度和宽度的控制,河道上半段没有泥沙淤积,而下半段有大量泥沙淤积.龙溪河河道内淤积的泥沙颗粒粒径受沿岸泥石流流域岩性的影响,粒径从龙溪河上游到下游呈明显的从大到小的变化规律.龙溪河流域在遭遇较强降雨时还会暴发泥石流灾害;在汶川地震发震断裂带附近的山区,在暴雨激发下还有可能暴发群发性泥石流灾害.在雨季到来时需要提高警惕,预防地震次生泥石流灾害,特别要提防不易被发现的小流域泥石流灾害,做好防灾预案和预警报工作,最大程度地减轻泥石流灾害.  相似文献   

Case study of a giant debris flow in the Wenjia Gully, Sichuan Province, China   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Bin Yu  Yu Ma  Yufu Wu 《Natural Hazards》2013,65(1):835-849

The debris flow, which was triggered in the Wenjia Gully on August 13, 2010, is an extreme example of mass movement events, which occurred after the Wenchuan earthquake of May 12, 2008. This Earthquake triggered in the Wenjia Gully the second largest co-seismic landslide, which can be classified as a rockslide-debris avalanche. A lot of loose sediments was deposited in the basin. In the main so called Deposition Area II of this landslide, with a volume of 30?×?10⁶?m³, flash floods can easily trigger debris flows because of the steep bottom slope and the relative small grain sizes of the sediments. The largest debris flow of August 13, 2010 destroyed the most downstream dam in the catchment during a heavy rain storm. The debris flow with a peak discharge of 1,530?m³/s and a total volume of 3.1?×?10⁶?m³ caused the death of 7 persons, 5 persons were missing, 39 persons were injured and 479 houses buried. After three rainy seasons, only 16?% of the landslide-debris deposition was taken away by 5 large-scale debris flow events. Since the threshold for rainfall triggered debris flows in the Wenjia Gully and other catchments drastically decreased after the Wenchuan Earthquake, new catastrophic events are expected in the future during the rainy season.  相似文献   

A formation model for debris flows in the Chenyulan River Watershed, Taiwan   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Bin Yu  Li Li  Yufu Wu  Shengming Chu 《Natural Hazards》2013,68(2):745-762

Many debris flows were triggered in the Chenyulan River Watershed in Taiwan in a rainstorm caused by the Typhoon Toraji. There are 117 gullies with a significant steep topography in the catchment. During this Typhoon, debris flows were initiated in 43 of these gullies, while in 34 gullies, it was not certain whether they have occurred. High-intensity short-duration rainfall was the main triggering factor for these gully type debris flows which are probably entrained by a “fire hose” mechanism. Previous research identified 47 factors related to topography, geology, and hydrology, which may play a role in the formation of gully type debris flows. For a better understanding of the probability of the formation of debris flows, it is proposed to represent the factors related to topography, geology, and hydrology by one single factor. In addition to the existing topographic and geological factor, a normalized critical rainfall factor is suggested with an effective cumulative precipitation and a maximum hourly rainfall intensity. In this paper, a formation model for debris flows is proposed, which combines these topographic, geological, and hydraulic factors. A relationship of these factors with a triggering threshold is proposed. The model produces a good assessment of the probability of occurrence of debris flows in the study area. The model may be used for the prediction of debris flows in other areas because it is mostly based on the initiation mechanisms and not only on the statistical analyses of a unique variety of local factors. The research provides a new and exciting way to study the occurrence of debris flows initiated by a “fire hose” mechanism.  相似文献   

8 检验     

郝建国  潘怀文  毛国敏  张云福  唐天明  李德瑞  柳松 《地震地磁观测与研究》2000,21(4)

为获得有用的地震预测标志,对已获得的前兆信息进行多方面的检验和评估是非常必要的,为此,本文将对震前大气电场异常信息进行较严格和全面检验和评估.  相似文献   

9 震前大气电场异常的物理基础     

郝建国  潘怀文  毛国敏  张云福  唐天明  李德瑞  柳松 《地震地磁观测与研究》2000,21(4)

人们认识自然总是从实践到理论,再从理论到实践.没有理论指导的实践是盲目的实践,没有实践基础的理论是空洞的理论,只有理论与实践密切结合,才能有所发现,有所进步.  相似文献   

1 地震灾害及地震预报     

郝建国  潘怀文  毛国敏  张云福  唐天明  李德瑞  柳松 《地震地磁观测与研究》2000,21(4)

1.1 地震灾害 地球上每年要发生上百万次地震,人们可感觉到3级以上的地震就有5万多次,全球平均每年发生5级以上具有破坏性的地震上千次,其中破坏性极大的7级以上地震就有20次之多.这些地震大部分发生在海上,虽然每年发生在大陆上的地震仅占全球地震总数的15%,但给人类造成的损失却占全球地震造成损失的85%.  相似文献   

用 IAP／LASG GOALS模式模拟CO2增加引起的东亚地区气候变化   总被引：19，自引：0，他引：19  

Guo Yufu  Yu Yongqiang  Liu Xiying  Zhang Xuehong 《大气科学进展》2001,18(1):53-66

Two simulations, one for the control run and another for the perturbation run, with a global coupled ocean-atmosphere-land system model (IAP / LASG GOALS version 4) have been carried out to study the global warming, with much detailed emphasis on East Asia. Results indicate that there is no climate drift in the control run and at the time of CO2 doubling the global temperature increases about 1.65℃. The GOALS model is able to simulate the observed spatial distribution and annual cycles of temperature and precipitation for East Asia quite well. But, in general, the model underestimates temperature and overestimates rainfall amount for regional annual average. For the climate change in East Asia, the temperature and precipitation in East Asia increase 2. l℃ and 5% respectively, and the maximum warming occurs at middle-latitude continent and the maximum precipitation increase occurs around 25°N with reduced precipitation in the tropical western Pacific.  相似文献   

Recent Researches on the Short-Term Climate Prediction at IAP－A Brief Review     

Wang Huijun  Zhou Guangqing  Lin Zhaohui  Zhao Yan  Guo Yufu  Ma Zhuguo 《大气科学进展》2001,18(5):929-936

Studies on the seasonal to extraseasonal climate prediction at the Institute of Atmospheric Physics (IAP) in recent years were reviewed. The first short-term climate prediction experiment was carried out based on the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) coupled to a tropical Pacific oceanic general circulation model (OGCM). In 1997, an ENSO prediction system including an oceanic initialization scheme was set up. At the same time, researches on the SST-induced climate predictability over East Asia were made. Based on the biennial signal in the interannual climate variability, an effective method was proposed for correcting the model predicted results recently. In order to consider the impacts of the initial soil mois ture anomalies, an empirical scheme was designed to compute the soil moisture by use of the atmospheric quantities like temperature, precipitation, and so on. Sets of prediction experiments were carried out to study the impacts of SST and the initial atmospheric conditions on the flood occurring over China in 1998.  相似文献   

煤管站雷灾事故分析及防护     

李毓富  牛永波等 《山西气象》2001,(1):47-48,51

在对2000年晋城市煤管站遭雷击事故的调查分析基础上，提出今后的科学防护措施，既强化了全社会的防灾减灾意识，也促进了气象防雷减灾工作的积极开展。  相似文献   

IAP94陆面过程模式在淮河流域的验证试验   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Yang Xiaosong  Lin Zhaohui  Dai Yongjiu  Guo Yufu 《大气科学进展》2001,18(1):139-154

利用ＩＡＰ９４陆面过程模式对淮河流域不同季节（春、夏、秋）、不同下垫面（旱地、森林、水田）进行了单点数值模拟试验，结果表明ＩＡＰ９４不但能较好地模拟出观测的地气间各种能量通量以及植被的冠层温度，同时还很好地模拟出整层土壤含水量的变化趋势，从而证实了ＩＡＰ９４陆面过程模式具有正确描述东亚半湿润季风区陆气相互作用的能力。另外比较结果还揭示了水田表面强烈蒸发作用的重要性，需要在陆过程模式中予以重视。  相似文献