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81.
Wei Xu Nader Khoshroo Henning Bjornlund Yongyuan Yin 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2014,28(4):867-880
Climate change will affect the regional ability to achieve the poverty reduction and sustainable development (SD) objectives. Thus, any action plans to achieve these objectives should make climate change policies an integral part of the development planning process. The best practices and measures of climate change policies should be implemented to ensure regional or community sustainability. In this paper, a case study that promotes the integration of carbon sequestration into sustainable forest management and rural development plan with multi-stakeholders participation is introduced. To achieve SD goals, appropriate tools and methods are required to address impacts of alternative forest land uses on carbon sequestration and rural sustainability, and to prioritise land use options. A range of forest land use scenarios that address various aspects of the forest carbon sequestration rate and rural sustainability are evaluated against a SD indicator system. Planting vegetation is one of the practical approaches in mitigating global warming by sequestrating carbon from the atmosphere to plant matter and soil. In order to protect environment, reduce excessive soil erosion, and decrease the propensity and frequency of flooding and other natural disasters, China has initiated nationwide pivotal projects such as “Grain for Green” to mitigate exacerbated environmental deterioration and degradation. Such ecological programs may affect the socio-economic livelihoods of peasants and the economic activities of the whole region. The impact and economic uncertainty associated with such projects urge policy makers to include all stakeholders in the decision making process so that an agreeable solution towards sustainable rural development can be identified. This study uses Liping County in Guizhou province as a case study to identify a consensus among peasants regarding planting selected tree-species. Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) is used as a multicriteria decision making tool to rank sustainability criteria and determine the priority of options. The method helps policy makers to understand what the peasants want to achieve by participating in a Grain for Green program and what their priorities are with respect to particular types of vegetation. The case study finds that economic and financial concerns are the most important drivers of the decision of which trees to plant among the peasants who took part in the implementation of the Grain for Green program. As a result of this, Gingko, redpine, and Chinese chestnut were the predominant trees planted under the program. The integrated assessment based on the AHP method provides an effective tool to help understand how economic, social and environmental factors are related to each other in affecting the nature of rural sustainability. 相似文献
82.
A Bayesian linear inversion methodology based on Gaussian mixture models and its application to geophysical inverse problems are presented in this paper. The proposed inverse method is based on a Bayesian approach under the assumptions of a Gaussian mixture random field for the prior model and a Gaussian linear likelihood function. The model for the latent discrete variable is defined to be a stationary first-order Markov chain. In this approach, a recursive exact solution to an approximation of the posterior distribution of the inverse problem is proposed. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm can be used to efficiently simulate realizations from the correct posterior model. Two inversion studies based on real well log data are presented, and the main results are the posterior distributions of the reservoir properties of interest, the corresponding predictions and prediction intervals, and a set of conditional realizations. The first application is a seismic inversion study for the prediction of lithological facies, P- and S-impedance, where an improvement of 30% in the root-mean-square error of the predictions compared to the traditional Gaussian inversion is obtained. The second application is a rock physics inversion study for the prediction of lithological facies, porosity, and clay volume, where predictions slightly improve compared to the Gaussian inversion approach. 相似文献
83.
Influence of macrofauna long-term natural variability on benthic indices used in ecological quality assessment 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
An essential prerequisite for the assessment of the ecological quality of marine ecosystems is the understanding of the natural variability and its effect on the performance of quality indices. This study is focused on the long-term natural variability of diversity, biotic and multimetric indices by using long-term macrofauna data of a coastal area in the southern North Sea (1978-2005). The univariate and most biotic and multimetric indices respond significantly on specific natural disturbance events such as cold winters, but the strength of response varied between indices as well as between events. As a result, the ecological quality status can decrease over a range of 3 (out of 5) classification units. The overall ecological quality was good to high, but an increase of indices occurred from the mid 1980s onwards due to changes in the climate regime. This long-term variability has to be considered within ecological quality assessment schemes. 相似文献
84.
In this review, the nature of carbon-containing molecules and carbonaceous solids present in meteorites, comets, and the interstellar
medium is discussed. Carbon plays an active role in the lifecycle of stars and the interstellar medium. It is the basis of
a rich interstellar chemistry and the main component of pre-biotic organic material in space. The aim of the review is to
build a bridge between astronomical spectroscopy and laboratory studies relevant to the investigation of cosmic carbon. Special
emphasis is given to the structural variety of carbon-containing species and their characterization by experimental techniques.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
85.
Carlos Descourvières Niels Hartog Bradley M. Patterson Carolyn Oldham Henning Prommer 《Applied Geochemistry》2010
The injection and recovery of oxic water into deep anoxic aquifers may help to alleviate short- and long-term imbalance between freshwater supply and demand. The extent and structure of physical and geochemical heterogeneity of the aquifer will impact the water quality evolution during injection, storage and recovery. Water–sediment interactions within the most permeable parts of the aquifer, where the bulk of the injectant will penetrate, may dominate, however, water quality may also be impacted by interactions within the finer-grained, less permeable but potentially highly reactive media. In this study, the heterogeneity of the reductive capacity of an aquifer selected for water reuse projects was characterised, the amount, type and reactivity of the sedimentary reductants present determined, and the relationship between reductive capacity and sedimentary lithologies quantified. The average potential reductive capacities (PRCTOT), based on total organic C and pyrite concentrations of the sediment, were quantified for sands (382 μmol O2 g−1), clays (1522 μmol O2 g−1), and silts (1957 μmol O2 g−1). Twenty-seven samples, spanning the three different lithologies, were then incubated for 50 days and the measured reductive capacities (MRC) determined for the sands (29.2 μmol O2 g−1), silts (136 μmol O2 g−1), and clays (143 μmol O2 g−1). On average, the MRC were 10% of the PRCTOT. The main consumers of O2 were pyrite (20–100%), sedimentary organic matter (SOM; 3–56%), siderite (3–28%) and Fe(II)-aluminosilicates (8–55%). The incubation data plus hydrogeochemical modelling, indicated that pH-buffering was controlled firstly by dissolution of trace level carbonates, followed by dissolution of feldspars. Zinc, Co, Ni, Cd and Pb were readily mobilized during incubation. 相似文献
86.
Sam Boggs David H. Krinsley Gordon G. Goles Abbas Seyedolali Henning Dypvik 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2001,36(6):783-791
Abstract— Quartz grains subjected to high‐strain‐rate shock waves owing to meteorite or cometary impact on Earth's surface commonly display shock lamellae. These lamellae appear as remarkably straight, thin, planar features (microstructures) in sets within which lamellae are essentially parallel to each other and spaced ≤ 20 μm apart. Two or more intersecting sets are typically present. Shock lamellae are commonly recognized and identified by optical methods, by use of the transmission electron microscope (TEM), and by etching polished sections and subsequent examination with a scanning electron microscope (SEM) operated in the secondary electron mode. We present here a method for observing planar microstructures in shocked quartz by using a cathodoluminescence (CL) detector attached to a SEM. The method relies on the fact that planar microstructures in quartz arising as a result of shock display no CL whatever; thus, they show up as distinct, thin, black lines on otherwise luminescent quartz grains. We used scanning CL imaging to study shocked quartz from the Ries Crater, Germany, a well‐known impact crater of Miocene age. We demonstrate that shock‐produced planar microstructures are clearly displayed in SEM‐CL images and can be distinguished from microfractures generated by tectonism, and subsequently filled with quartz, and other similar features not related to impact events. The SEM‐CL method provides a powerful supplement to other methods of identifying shocked quartz. It commonly provides better spatial resolution than does standard optical methods, and does not require etching of quartz grains. Further, it is easier and faster to use than are TEM methods, although it is not capable of the fine‐scale defect analysis possible with TEM. 相似文献
87.
88.
Abstract— Crater‐ejecta correlation is an important element in the analysis of crater formation and its influence on the geological evolution. In this study, both the ejecta distribution and the internal crater development of the Jurassic/Cretaceous Mjølnir crater (40 km in diameter; located in the Barents Sea) are investigated through numerical simulations. The simulations show a highly asymmetrical ejecta distribution, and underscore the importance of a layer of surface water in ejecta distribution. As expected, the ejecta asymmetry increases as the angle of impact decreases. The simulation also displays an uneven aerial distribution of ejecta. The generation of the central high is a crucial part of crater formation. In this study, peak generation is shown to have a skewed development, from approximately 50–90 sec after impact, when the peak reaches its maximum height of 1‐1.5 km. During this stage, the peak crest is moved about 5 km from an uprange to a downrange position, ending with a final central position which has a symmetrical appearance that contrasts with its asymmetrical development. 相似文献
89.
One of the major limitations of the classical ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is the assumption of a linear relationship between
the state vector and the observed data. Thus, the classical EnKF algorithm can suffer from poor performance when considering
highly non-linear and non-Gaussian likelihood models. In this paper, we have formulated the EnKF based on kernel-shrinkage
regression techniques. This approach makes it possible to handle highly non-linear likelihood models efficiently. Moreover,
a solution to the pre-image problem, essential in previously suggested EnKF schemes based on kernel methods, is not required.
Testing the suggested procedure on a simple, illustrative problem with a non-linear likelihood model, we were able to obtain
good results when the classical EnKF failed. 相似文献
90.
N. Tolich Y. -D. Chan C. A. Currat B. K. Fujikawa R. Henning K. T. Lesko A. W. P. Poon M. P. Decowski J. Wang K. Tolich 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2006,99(1-4):229-240
A significant fraction of the 44TW of heat dissipation from the Earth’s interior is believed to originate from the decays
of terrestrial uranium and thorium. The only estimates of this radiogenic heat, which is the driving force for mantle convection,
come from Earth models based on meteorites, and have large systematic errors. The detection of electron antineutrinos produced
by these uranium and thorium decays would allow a more direct measure of the total uranium and thorium content, and hence
radiogenic heat production in the Earth. We discuss the prospect of building an electron antineutrino detector approximately
700 m3 in size in the Homestake mine at the 4850’ level. This would allow us to make a measurement of the total uranium and thorium
content with a statistical error less than the systematic error from our current knowledge of neutrino oscillation parameters.
It would also allow us to test the hypothesis of a naturally occurring nuclear reactor at the center of the Earth. 相似文献