Convective mixing influenced by the capillary transition zone     

Maria T. Elenius  Jan M. Nordbotten  Henrik Kalisch 《Computational Geosciences》2014,18(3-4):417-431

Convective mixing of dissolved carbon dioxide (CO₂) with formation brine has been shown to be a significant factor for the rate of dissolution of CO₂ and thus for determining the viability of geological CO₂ storage sites. In most previous convection investigations, a no-flow boundary condition was used to represent the interface between an upper region with CO₂ and brine and the single-phase brine region beneath. However, due to interfacial tension between the phases, the water phase is partly mobile in the upper region and advection may occur. Based on linear stability analysis and numerical simulations, we show that advection across the interface leads to considerable destabilization of the system. In particular, the time of onset of instability is reduced by a factor of two and the rate of dissolution is enhanced by a factor of two for three of four formations we consider, and by 40 % for the fourth formation. It is found that exponential decay of the relative permeability away from the interface provides a useful approximation to the real system. In addition, the exponential decay also simplifies the linear stability analysis. Interestingly, formations with large absolute permeability and small porosity have the largest impact from the transition zone, despite the fact that the relative permeability decays quickly above the interface in these formations. This is because the length-scale of instability is smallest in these formations.  相似文献   

Cassini VIMS observations of latitudinal and hemispheric variations in Saturn’s infrared auroral intensity     

Sarah V. Badman  Chihiro Tao  Adrian Grocott  Satoshi Kasahara  Henrik Melin  Robert H. Brown  Kevin H. Baines  Masaki Fujimoto  Tom Stallard 《Icarus》2011,216(2):367-375

The intensity of Saturn’s infrared aurora is investigated using Cassini VIMS images acquired during October 2006–February 2009. Polar and main oval auroral regions were defined in both hemispheres, which extend between 0–10° and 10–25° co-latitude, respectively. Average intensities were computed for these regions and compared. While the northern and southern main oval regions covered a similar range of intensities, the southern main oval was on average more intense by a factor of ∼1.3. The emission from the southern polar region was usually less intense than the main oval emissions, while this was only the case for approximately half of the northern hemisphere images. The northern hemisphere polar region displayed intensities more than twice as high as those in the south and the difference between the two hemispheres was most pronounced on the dayside. In general, more intense polar emissions were accompanied by more intense main oval emissions. Possible explanations for the hemispheric and latitudinal differences are discussed in terms of particle energies and fluxes, ionospheric conductivity, temperature and magnetic field strength.  相似文献   

Ørkenspredningen i Sudan-Sahel regionen—et af tidens alvorlige problemer/Et spændende og markant 100 års minde—om et helt fantastisk menneske!/De fynske landsbyers historie     

Sofus Christiansen  Henrik S. Jensen  Christian Wichmann Matthiessen 《Geografisk tidskrift / udgivet af Bestyrelsen for Det Kongelige danske geografiske selskab》2013,113(1):117-123

Erland Porsmose: De fynske landsbyers historie: i dyrkningsfællesskabets tid. Odense University studies in history and social sciences, Vol. 109.  相似文献   

Risk and vulnerability analysis in practice: evaluation of analyses conducted in Swedish municipalities     

Henrik Hassel 《Natural Hazards》2012,63(2):605-628

Risk and vulnerability analysis (RVA) can benefit the process of preventing and preparing for disasters, both by generating a basis for making decisions and by enhancing risk awareness, safety culture and response capacity through the RVA process itself. In studying and understanding the practices related to RVA, insights can be gained regarding ways in which the RVA can be improved in society, as well as into how methods for RVA can be designed to suit the particular context. However, studies of this sort are rare. This paper presents an evaluation of RVA performed by Swedish municipalities, which are important actors in the Swedish emergency management system. This is done by employing a systematic, design science approach outlined in the paper. Document studies and interviews were used to collect data on the analyses performed by the municipalities, and the evaluation shows that there is room for improvement. The results can be especially relevant for municipalities developing their RVA practices, as well as for other actors performing similar types of analyses.  相似文献   

Foreword: International Space Science Institute (ISSI) Workshop on Observing and Modeling Earth’s Energy Flows     

Lennart Bengtsson 《Surveys in Geophysics》2012,33(3-4):333-336

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A partial ensemble Kalman filtering approach to enable use of range limited observations   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Morten Borup  Morten Grum  Henrik Madsen  Peter Steen Mikkelsen 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2015,29(1):119-129

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Incorporating multiple observations for distributed hydrologic model calibration: An approach using a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm and clustering     

Soon-Thiam Khu  Henrik Madsen  Francesco di Pierro 《Advances in water resources》2008

The use of distributed data for model calibration is becoming more popular in the advent of the availability of spatially distributed observations. Hydrological model calibration has traditionally been carried out using single objective optimisation and only recently has been extended to a multi-objective optimisation domain. By formulating the calibration problem with several objectives, each objective relating to a set of observations, the parameter sets can be constrained more effectively. However, many previous multi-objective calibration studies do not consider individual observations or catchment responses separately, but instead utilises some form of aggregation of objectives. This paper proposes a multi-objective calibration approach that can efficiently handle many objectives using both clustering and preference ordered ranking. The algorithm is applied to calibrate the MIKE SHE distributed hydrologic model and tested on the Karup catchment in Denmark. The results indicate that the preferred solutions selected using the proposed algorithm are good compromise solutions and the parameter values are well defined. Clustering with Kohonen mapping was able to reduce the number of objective functions from 18 to 5. Calibration using the standard deviation of groundwater level residuals enabled us to identify a group of wells that may not be simulated properly, thus highlighting potential problems with the model parameterisation.  相似文献   

Efficient global matrix approach to the computation of synthetic seismograms   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Henrik Schmidt  Gerard Tango 《Geophysical Journal International》1986,84(2):331-359

Summary. A numerically efficient global matrix approach to the solution of the wave equation in horizontally stratified environments is presented. The field in each layer is expressed as a superposition of the field produced by the sources within the layer and an unknown field satisfying the homogeneous wave equations, both expressed as integral representations in the horizontal wavenumber. The boundary conditions to be satisfied at each interface then yield a linear system of equations in the unknown wavefield amplitudes, to be satisfied at each horizontal wavenumber. As an alternative to the traditional propagator matrix approaches, the solution technique presented here yields both improved efficiency and versatility. Its global nature makes it well suited to problems involving many receivers in range as well as depth and to calculations of both stresses and particle velocities. The global solution technique is developed in close analogy to the finite element method, thereby reducing the number of arithmetic operations to a minimum and making the resulting computer code very efficient in terms of computation time. These features are illustrated by a number of numerical examples from both crustal and exploration seismology.  相似文献   

The signature of ENSO in the Northern Hemisphere midlatitude seasonal mean flow and high-frequency intraseasonal variability     

Dr. W. May  L. Bengtsson 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》1998,69(1-2):81-100

Summary The impact of pronounced positive and negative sea surface temperature (STT) anomalies in the tropical Pacific associated with the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon on the atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics during the boreal winter season is investigated. This includes both the impact on the seasonal mean flow and on the intraseasonal variability on synoptic time scales. Moreover, the interaction between the transient fluctuations on these times scales and the mean circulation is examined. Both data from an ensemble of five simulations with the ECHAM3 atmospheric general circulation model at a horizontal resolution of T42 each covering the period from 1979 through 1992 and operational analyses from ECMWF for the corresponding period are examined. In each of the simulations observed SSTs for the period of investigation are given as lower boundary forcing, but different atmospheric initial conditions are prescribed.The simulations with ECHAM3 reveal a distinct impact of the pronounced SST-anomalies in the tropical Pacific on the atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere extratropics during El Niño as well as during La Niña events. These changes in the atmospheric circulation, which are found to be highly significant in the Pacific/North American as well as in the Atlantic/European region, are consistent with the essential results obtained from the analyses. The pronounced SST-anomalies in the tropical Pacific lead to changes in the mean circulation, which are characterized by typical circulation patterns. These changes in the mean circulation are accompanied by marked variations of the activity of the transient fluctuations on synoptic time scales, that are changes in both the kinetic energy on these time scales and the atmospheric transports of momentum and heat accomplished by the short baroclinic waves. The synoptic disturbances, on the other hand, play also an important role in controlling the changes in the mean circulation associated with the ENSO phenomenon. They maintain these typical circulation patterns via barotropic, but counteract them via baroclinic processes.The hypothesis of an impact of the ENSO phenomenon in the Atlantic/European region can be supported. As the determining factor the intensification (reduction) of the Aleutian low and the simultaneous reduction (intensification) of the Icelandic low during El Niño and during La Niña events respectively, is identified. The changes in the intensity of the Aleutian low during the ENSO-events are accompanied by an alteration of the transport of momentum caused by the short baroclinic waves over the North American continent in such a way that the changes in the intensity of the Icelandic low during El Niño as well as during La Niña events are maintained.With 16 Figures  相似文献   

Probability of combined high sea levels and large rains in Malmö, Sweden,southern Öresund          下载免费PDF全文

Lars Bengtsson 《水文研究》2016,30(18):3172-3183

Observations of sea level and precipitation in Malmö, Sweden in the southeastern part of the sound Öresund have been used to estimate the probabilities of local compound events of high sea level and large daily and hourly rains. There are observations of sea level and daily rains extending back to 1930. The observations of short‐term rainfall are from 1980 and onwards. Most large rainfalls come in the summer, while the highest sea levels are in the autumn and in the winter. The highest observed sea level is about 130 cm above mean sea level, and the largest daily rain is close to 100 mm. However, the highest sea level observed during a day with rainfall corresponding to the 1‐year rain is less than 60 cm. The highest sea level observed during an hour with 1‐year hourly rainfall is 30 cm. From the statistics of daily rains, hourly rains and sea level, extreme values for each of them have been computed. For events with frequency higher than one per four years the probabilities of combined events sea level – rainfall are determined directly from the observations. For more rare events, marginal distributions of sea level and rainfall are determined. Copulas and conditional probabilities are used. When the sea level exceeds 20 cm above mean sea level, daily rains exceeding 10 mm are almost independent of the sea level and so are hourly rains exceeding 5 mm. It is extremely rare that large rains occur when the sea level is very high. The combination of 1‐year rainfall and the 1‐year sea level has a return period of more than 200 years.  相似文献