Mediterranean drought fluctuation during the last 500 years based on tree-ring data   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

A. Nicault  S. Alleaume  S. Brewer  M. Carrer  P. Nola  E. Guttierez  J. L. Edouard  C. Urbinati  J. Guiot 《Climate Dynamics》2008,31(2-3):227-245

A 2.5 × 2.5° gridded summer (April–September) drought reconstruction over the larger Mediterranean land area (32.5°/47.5°N, 10°W/50°E; 152 grid points) is described, based on a network of 165 tree-ring series. The drought index used is the self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index, and the period considered is 1500–2000. The reconstruction technique combines an analogue technique for the estimation of missing tree-ring data with an artificial neural network for optimal non-linear calibration, including a bootstrap error assessment. Tests were carried out on the various sources of error in the reconstructions. Errors related to the temporal variations of the number of proxies were tested by comparing four reconstructions calibrated with four different sized regressor datasets, representing the decrease in the number of available proxies over time. Errors related to the heterogeneous spatial density of predictors were tested using pseudo-proxies, provided by the global climate model ECHO-G. Finally the errors related to the imperfect climate signal recorded by tree-ring series were tested by adding white noise to the pseudo-proxies. Reconstructions pass standard cross-validation tests. Nevertheless tests using pseudo-proxies show that the reconstructions are less good in areas where proxies are rare, but that the average reconstruction curve is robust. Finally, the noise added to proxies, which is by definition a high frequency component, has a major effect on the low frequency signal, but not on the medium frequencies. The comparison of the low frequency trends of our mean reconstruction and the GCM simulation indicates that the detrending method used is able to preserve the long-term variations of reconstructed PDSI. The results also highlight similar multi-decadal PDSI variations in the central and western parts of the Mediterranean basin and less clear low frequency changes in the east. The sixteenth and the first part of the seventeenth centuries are characterized by marked dry episodes in the west similar to those observed in the end of the twentieth century. In contrast, the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries (Little Ice Age) are characterized by dominant wet periods. In the eastern part of the Mediterranean basin the observed strong drought period of the end of the twentieth century seems to be the strongest of the last 500 years.  相似文献   

The Laramide orogeny: Evidence from cocorp deep crustal seismic profiles in the wind river mountains, wyoming     

J.A. Brewer  S.B. Smithson  J.E. Oliver  S. Kaufman  L.D. Brown 《Tectonophysics》1980,62(3-4)

Deep crustal reflection data that are critical for the interpretation of Laramide structure have been obtained by the Consortium for Continental Reflection Profiling (COCORP). The Laramide orogeny, which occurred from the late Cretaceous to early Eocene, is characterized in Wyoming by large uplifts of Precambrian basement, commonly flanked by reverse faults. The attitude of these faults at depth has been a major tectonic problem and is very important for deciding whether horizontal or vertical crustal movements were primarily responsible for the basement uplifts. COCORP has run 158 km of deep seismic reflection profiles (recording to 20-sec two-way travel time) across the southeastern end of the Wind River Mountains, the largest of these Laramide uplifts. Reflections from the thrust fault flanking the Wind River uplift can be clearly traced on the profiles to at least 24-km depth and possibly as deep as about 36 km with a fairly uniform apparent dip of 30°–35°. Other reflection events subparallel to the main Wind River thrust are present in the seismic profiles and may represent other faults. There is at least 21 km of crustal shortening along the thrust. There is no evidence in the reflection profiles for large-scale folding of the basement; the Wind River Mountains were formed predominantly by thrust movements. Gravity anomalies in the Wind River Mountains can be modeled by a thrust that displaces dense material in the lower crust. If the thrust ever cut the Moho, the effect is not observed in the gravity today. A proposed model for the presence of uplifted basement in Wyoming invokes a shallowly dipping, subducted Farallon plate beneath the North American continent; drag between the two plates localized compressional stresses in an area over 800 km into the North American plate causing large thrusts to develop. The earth's crust seems to have fractured as a fairly rigid plate  相似文献   

Measurements of total carbon dioxide and alkalinity by potentiometric titration in the GEOSECS program     

Alvin L. Bradshaw  Peter G. Brewer  Deborah K. Shafer  Robert T. Williams 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1981,55(1):99-115

Approximately 6000 determinations of the alkalinity and total carbon dioxide content of seawater have now been made in the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian Oceans as part of the GEOSECS program by a computer-controlled potentiometric titration technique. The equations used to locate the equivalence points of the carbonic acid system on this titration curve were developed in 1971 but have not previously been published. These functions may be represented by:$\begin{array}{l}{F}_1=\frac{\left(V_2?V\right)}{V_0}N\left[H^{+}\right]/K_{1C}+\frac{\left(V_0+V\right)}{V_0}\left(\left[H^{+}\right]+\left[HS{O}_4^{?}\right]+\left[HF\right]?\left[B{\left(OH\right)}_4^{?}\right]\right)\\ \times \left(1+\left[H^{+}\right]/K_{1C}\right)\\ F_2=\frac{\left(V_0+V\right)}{V_0}\left(\left[H^{+}\right]+\left[HS{O}_4^{?}\right]+\left[HF\right]?\left[HC{O}_3^{?}\right]\right)\end{array}$Upon inspection, these functions are analogous to the modified Gran functions of Hansson and Jagner [25] with the omission of the contributions of [OH^?] and [CO₃^2?], and with the contribution of B(OH)₄^? being assessed at a chlorinity of 19‰ for all samples. Reprocessing the original titration e.m.f.-volume data with appropriate corrections and modified Gran functions reveals an error of about +12 μmol/kg in the GEOSECS total carbon dioxide data. In addition, the protonation of dissolved phosphate species during the titration results in a contribution to measured total carbon dioxide equal to the total phosphate concentration. Differences in the application of the GEOSECS functions between the Atlantic and the Pacific-Indian Oceans expeditions are also to be found so that the error deriving from this source for the Atlantic expedition was only +5 μmol/kg. The application of the correct functions increases precision enabling smaller differences, such as those attributable to fossil fuel carbon dioxide, potentially to be observed, and increases accuracy so that the error in titrator total carbon dioxide previously diagnosed by Takahashi [14] can be logically accounted for.  相似文献   

Thermal effects of thrust faulting     

Jon Brewer 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1981

Calculations based on simple models of overthrust sheets in crystalline basement rocks show that significant thermal effects may result from their movements. If rates are sufficiently high (e.g. plate tectonic rates), the thrust sheets sufficiently thick (5, 10 and 15 km are modelled here), the distances moved sufficiently large, and for reasonable values of the coefficient of friction along the thrust plane overthrusting can cause metamorphic mineral zonations and heat flow anomalies observable in the field. Regions where large-scale overthrusting has occurred should be characterized by a decrease with depth of grade of metamorphic mineral assemblages and anomalously low heat flow. The theoretical effects are presented as a series of maximum temperature vs. depth and heat flow vs. time plots.  相似文献   

The distribution of particulate matter in the Atlantic Ocean     

Peter G. Brewer  Derek W. Spencer  Pierre E. Biscaye  Adele Hanley  Peter L. Sachs  Clarence L. Smith  Susan Kadar  Janet Fredericks 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1976,32(2):393-402

We have determined the dry weight of suspended particulate matter in seawater in a section through the western Atlantic Ocean from 75°N to 52°S. The concentrations, operationally defined as that weight retained on 0.6-μm and 0.4-μm pore size Nuclepore filters, contained in 1 kg of seawater, range from 5 to 300 μg/kg and show readily explainable regional features. High concentrations are found in surface waters and in association with radpidly moving bottom waters in the Denmark Straits overflow and in Antarctic bottom waters to 15°S. Low concentrations, <12 μg/kg, characterize the mid-water regions of the sub-tropical gyres. High concentrations are seen in sinking Labrador Sea water and in a plume extending at least a kilometer off the bottom at 35°N–40°N where the cruise track intersects the North Atlantic gyre. It is doubtful whether this important phenomenon could be observed by any means other than through particulate observations, either optical or gravimetric, and this provides a unique insight into the scale of vertical turbulent processes.  相似文献   

An oceanic calcium problem?     

Peter G. Brewer  George T.F. Wong  Michael P. Bacon  Derek W. Spencer 《Earth and Planetary Science Letters》1975,26(1):81-87

Recent published data on dissolved calcium in seawater reveal an apparent excess of calcium over that predicted from the changes in alkalinity. In the South Pacific this excess calcium is approximately 40 μmoles/kg. We suggest that this arises from an in-situ titration of some of the alkalinity by protons derived from the redox changes associated with oxidative decomposition of organic matter. This postulates an effective flux of nitric and phosphoric acids into the deep water. Other redox changes, such as in the oxidation of reduced sulfur, may also contribute protons, but these are more difficult to evaluate. This concept changes current thinking on the oceanic CO₂-carbonate system. It increases the amount of calcium carbonate believed to have dissolved in the ocean by ca. 25%; and alters the proportions of abyssal CO₂ believed to be derived from respiration versus carbonate dissolution by about 10%.  相似文献   

Evidence for textural and alteration changes in basaltic lava flows using variations in rock magnetic properties (ODP Leg 183)     

H. Delius  T. S. Brewer  P. K. Harvey 《Tectonophysics》2003,371(1-4):111-140

The different effects of cooling and alteration on magnetic properties, in single thick flows from subaerial and submarine eruptions, cored and logged during Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Leg 183 at Sites 1137 and 1140 (Kerguelen Plateau) are examined. Downhole logging data from both sites is supplemented by petrology and geochemistry of 32 samples from three subaerial lava flows at Site 1137 and two flows units at Site 1140, covering transects from fresh to highly altered basalts.Changes in magnetic properties have previously been observed in several ODP drill holes, which penetrate basaltic basement. In subaerial basalts, a typical trend is that of high magnetic susceptibility and natural remanent magnetization (NRM) values in the altered flow top, and lower values in the less-altered massive flow interior. In contrast, submarine lava flows display the opposite behavior in their magnetic properties. Altered pillow rims have lower susceptibility and NRM values than the fresh pillow interiors. It is concluded that rate of cooling and degree of alteration are the main factors influencing the magnetization and, hence, the distribution of iron oxides. The effects of low-temperature alteration are most noticeable in the distribution of more mobile elements, such as K. Consequently, the spectral gamma ray (SGR) log, which in basaltic basement is largely controlled by K concentration, is an excellent proxy to the downhole identification of alteration. The strong positive correlation observed for the subaerial basalts between the downhole total magnetic field (F_tot) and SGR, suggest a potential link with alteration in the drilled sections. The alteration of the submarine basalts is not as pronounced and therefore no correlation is evident.  相似文献   

The trade regime and the climate regime: institutional evolution and adaptation     

Thomas L. Brewer 《Climate Policy》2003,3(4):329-341

This article addresses concerns that the multilateral trade regime centered in the WTO and the emerging climate regime may conflict in ways that could be damaging to either or both. The article discusses the institutional and diplomatic context of these concerns, and it identifies the kinds of issues that are in question. The analysis suggests that there are opportunities for win–win outcomes in the interactions of the two regimes, for instance in the possibility of reducing fossil fuel subsidies. However, there are also problematic areas where they intersect. A core issue—and as yet an unresolved one—is whether and how emission credit trading and other activities envisioned by the Kyoto Protocol would be subject to WTO rules. The resolution of this issue will affect many other issues as well. Additional specific issues about the interactions of particular provisions in WTO agreements and the Kyoto Protocol are analyzed in a subsequent companion article in Climate Policy.  相似文献   

Evaluation of a Model for Predicting Simultaneous Contrast on Color Maps     

Cynthia A. Brewer 《The Professional geographer》1997,49(3):280-294

Perceptions of colors of individual map symbols are affected by simultaneous contrast, or induction, from surrounding colors. In an experiment with human subjects, reaction times were significantly slower, with significantly more errors, for test maps on which an induction model predicted that colors would be misinterpreted. Reaction times and error rates improved significantly with map color adjustments that the model predicted would remove induced confusions. These results represent progress toward establishing objective guidance for the design of effective color schemes in computer-assisted mapping environments common in cartography, geographic information systems, and scientific visualization.  相似文献   

A geomorphological approach to the management of rivers contaminated by metal mining   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

M.G. Macklin  P.A. Brewer  K.A. Hudson-Edwards  G. Bird  T.J. Coulthard  I.A. Dennis  P.J. Lechler  J.R. Miller  J.N. Turner 《Geomorphology》2006,79(3-4):423

As the result of current and historical metal mining, river channels and floodplains in many parts of the world have become contaminated by metal-rich waste in concentrations that may pose a hazard to human livelihoods and sustainable development. Environmental and human health impacts commonly arise because of the prolonged residence time of heavy metals in river sediments and alluvial soils and their bioaccumulatory nature in plants and animals. This paper considers how an understanding of the processes of sediment-associated metal dispersion in rivers, and the space and timescales over which they operate, can be used in a practical way to help river basin managers more effectively control and remediate catchments affected by current and historical metal mining. A geomorphological approach to the management of rivers contaminated by metals is outlined and four emerging research themes are highlighted and critically reviewed. These are: (1) response and recovery of river systems following the failures of major tailings dams; (2) effects of flooding on river contamination and the sustainable use of floodplains; (3) new developments in isotopic fingerprinting, remote sensing and numerical modelling for identifying the sources of contaminant metals and for mapping the spatial distribution of contaminants in river channels and floodplains; and (4) current approaches to the remediation of river basins affected by mining, appraised in light of the European Union's Water Framework Directive (2000/60/EC). Future opportunities for geomorphologically-based assessments of mining-affected catchments are also identified.  相似文献