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991.
992.
Meso-gamma scale forecasts using the nonhydrostatic model LM 总被引:10,自引:0,他引:10
J. Steppeler G. Doms U. Schättler H. W. Bitzer A. Gassmann U. Damrath G. Gregoric 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2003,82(1-4):75-96
Summary ?The nonhydrostatic model LM was developed for small scale operational predictions. Advances in computer development will
give the possibility of operational models of a rather fine scale, which will cover the meso-gamma scale. The LM is currently
applied at a scale of 7 km and an increase of the operational resolution to 2.5 km is planned for the next few years. Predictions
of such high resolution require to abandon the hydrostatic assumption, which is used with most current operational weather
prediction models. The LM was designed to cover all resolutions from 50 m to 50 km with an efficiency making it suitable for
operational use. It is a fully elastic model, using second order centred finite differences. The time integration is done
using the Klemp–Wilhelmson method, treating the slow modes by a larger time step than the fast modes. The vertical propagation
of the fast waves is done implicitly.
After describing the design of the LM, this paper gives examples of model predictions at the meso-γ scale. Some results of
the current operational application at the resolution 7 km are presented. Deficiencies in the localisation of model generated
precipitation are investigated using an idealised bell shaped mountain and applying different resolutions. In this way the
convergence to the correct solution can be investigated. From these results it is concluded, that orographic filtering is
necessary and the effect of such filtering on precipitation forecasts is investigated. Finally, the prediction of a squall
line over northern Germany is shown in order to demonstrate the potential of the model in forecasting the meso-γ scale.
Received May 15, 2001; revised September 21, 2001 相似文献
993.
T. Furevik M. Bentsen H. Drange I. K. T. Kindem N. G. Kvamstø A. Sorteberg 《Climate Dynamics》2003,21(1):27-51
A new coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice model has been developed, named the Bergen Climate Model (BCM). It consists of the atmospheric model ARPEGE/IFS, together with a global version of the ocean model MICOM including a dynamic–thermodynamic sea ice model. The coupling between the two models uses the OASIS software package. The new model concept is described, and results from a 300-year control integration is evaluated against observational data. In BCM, both the atmosphere and the ocean components use grids which can be irregular and have non-matching coastlines. Much effort has been put into the development of optimal interpolation schemes between the models, in particular the non-trivial problem of flux conservation in the coastal areas. A flux adjustment technique has been applied to the heat and fresh-water fluxes. There is, however, a weak drift in global mean sea-surface temperature (SST) and sea-surface salinity (SSS) of respectively 0.1 °C and 0.02 psu per century. The model gives a realistic simulation of the radiation balance at the top-of-the-atmosphere, and the net surface fluxes of longwave, shortwave, and turbulent heat fluxes are within observed values. Both global and total zonal means of cloud cover and precipitation are fairly close to observations, and errors are mainly related to the strength and positioning of the Hadley cell. The mean sea-level pressure (SLP) is well simulated, and both the mean state and the interannual standard deviation show realistic features. The SST field is several degrees too cold in the equatorial upwelling area in the Pacific, and about 1 °C too warm along the eastern margins of the oceans, and in the polar regions. The deviation from Levitus salinity is typically 0.1 psu – 0.4 psu, with a tendency for positive anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere, and negative in the Southern Hemisphere. The sea-ice distribution is realistic, but with too thin ice in the Arctic Ocean and too small ice coverage in the Southern Ocean. These model deficiencies have a strong influence on the surface air temperatures in these regions. Horizontal oceanic mass transports are in the lower range of those observed. The strength of the meridional overturning in the Atlantic is 18 Sv. An analysis of the large-scale variability in the model climate reveals realistic El Niño – Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and North Atlantic–Arctic Oscillation (NAO/AO) characteristics in the SLP and surface temperatures, including spatial patterns, frequencies, and strength. While the NAO/AO spectrum is white in SLP and red in temperature, the ENSO spectrum shows an energy maximum near 3 years. 相似文献
994.
R. H. Rapp 《Journal of Geodesy》1997,71(5):282-289
This paper suggests that potential coefficient models of the Earth's gravitational potential be used to calculate height
anomalies which are then reduced to geoid undulations where such quantities are needed for orthometric height determination
and vertical datum definition through a potential coefficient realization of the geoid. The process of the conversion of the
height anomaly into a geoid undulation is represented by a height anomaly gradient term and the usual N–ζ term that is dependent on elevation and the Bouguer anomaly. Using a degree 360 expansion of 30′ elevations and the OSU91A
potential coefficient model, a degree 360 representation of the correction terms was computed. The magnitude of N–ζ reached –3.4 m in the Himalaya Mountains with smaller, but still significant, magnitudes in other mountainous regions.
Received: 6 May 1996; Accepted: 30 October 1996 相似文献
995.
The superconducting gravimeter (SG) TT70 has been continuously recording gravity data at the GeoForschungsZentrum (GFZ) Potsdam
absolute gravity site since July 1992. The recorded data are edited and preprocessed by spike and step detection and elimination
and gap filling. An atmospheric pressure correction is carried out on gravity data in the time domain with a complex admittance
before tidal fitting. The atmospheric pressure admittance is calculated from tide free output of SG data and local atmospheric
pressure using the cross spectral method. The ground water level admittance is determined by a single coefficient. Improvements
with these corrections are shown in analysis results.
New tidal parameters for Potsdam site are determined and compared with recordings of an Askania spring gravimeter at a nearby
site. Deviations against the Wahr-Dehant-model are shown.
Polar motion data of the IERS (International Earth Rotation Service, Paris) are used to calculate variations of centrifugal
acceleration caused by polar motion (pole tide). These are compared with the corrected tide free output of SG series. For
drift determination the polar motion correction is applied on SG data.
The nutation period equivalent to the Earth's Nearly Diurnal Free Wobble is calculated from the SG data with a value of TFCN = (437.4 ± 1.5) sidereal days. This result is compared with those obtained from other SG stations.
Received 19 December 1995; Accepted 13 September 1996 相似文献
996.
The hierarchid tessellation model belongs to a class of spatial data models based on the recursive decomposition of space. The quadtree is one such tessellation and is characterized by square cells and a 1:4 decomposition ratio. To relax these constraints in the tessellation, a generalized hierarchical tessellation data model, called Adaptive Recursive Tessellations (ART), has been proposed. ART increases flexibility in the tessellation by the use of rectangular cells and variable decomposition ratios. In ART, users can specify cell sizes which are intuitively meaningful to their applications, or which can reflect the scales of data. ART is implemented in a data structure called Adaptive Recursive Run-Encoding (ARRE), which is a variant of two-dimensional run-encoding whose running path can vary with the different tessellation structures incorporated in an ART model. Given the recognition of the benefits of implementing statistical spatial analysis in GIS, the use of hierarchical tessellation models such as ART in spatial analysis is discussed. Three examples are introduced to show how ART can: (1) be applied to solve the quadrat size problem in quadrat analysis of point patterns; (2) act as the data model in the variable resolution block kriging technique for geostatistical data to reduce variation in kriging error; and (3) facilitate the evaluation of spatial autocorrelation for area data at multiple map resolutions via the construction of a connectivity matrix for calculating spatial autocorrelation indices based on ARRE. 相似文献
997.
G. H. Thomson 《The Photogrammetric Record》1997,15(90):937-944
It is often necessary to measure the resolving power of an imaging system comprising "off the shelf" components by a method that can also describe resolution in the object space. Furthermore, the results should allow useful comparisons to be made with alternative systems, where these have undergone a similar evaluation procedure. An example is given of measuring the resolving power of two imaging systems employing catadioptric objectives by a method that does not necessitate extensive laboratory tests, but utilizes the photographic product provided through field trials, or in the course of operational use. While the method reported does not claim to be a rigorous evaluation of the resolving power, it has been found to provide a convenient and practical guide to the image quality associated with a complete camera system, and its relation to the object space. 相似文献
998.
Remote sensing of horticultural plantations in Kumarsain tehsil in Shimla district, Himachal Pradesh
M M Kimothi M H Kalubarme Sujay Dutta Rajendra Thapa R K Sood 《Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing》1997,25(1):19-26
The favourable agroclimatic conditions for orchards especially apples have increased the acreages in Himachal Pradesh (HP) which has significantly contributed in the growth of state economy. Realizing the importance of horticulture in HP and its changing scenario of the land use/land cover, a study was conducted to identify and map apple and almond plantations in the Kumarsain tehsil of Shimla district using Remote Sensing (RS) techniques. IRS-IB LISS-II False Colour Composite (FCC) diapositives of October 27, March 30 and April 20, 1992 were visually analysed for mapping apple and almond plantations. The results indicate that IRS LISS-II data of April 20 on 1∶50,000 scale was found very useful for identification and mapping of apple and almond plantations in this region. Accuracy of interpretation was also tested on sample basis assuming a binomial distribution for the probability of success/failure of sample points. The overall interpretation accuracy assessed based on 40 sample points was found to be 87 per cent at 90 per cent confidence limits. 相似文献
999.
In the last decade pan evaporation measured at the Southern Dead Sea has significantly increased. Wind, temperature and humidity measurements at the Dead Sea starting in the 1930s as well as 3-D model simulations all seem to indicate a statistically significant change in the local climate of the Dead Sea region. The potential contribution to this climatic change through the weakening of the local land-sea breeze circulation caused by the reduction in the Dead Sea surface area in 1979–1981, is examined. It is suggested that since the breeze tempers the Dead Sea climate, its weakening has caused the air temperature to increase, the relative humidity to decrease and thus increased the pan evaporation. The climatic changes as implied by the MM4 Mesoscale PSU/NCAR model simulations, seem to fit the observed changes and to suggest a local tendency to the more arid climate that now prevails to the south of the study region. 相似文献
1000.
TH. Blumenstock H. Fisher A. Friedle F. Hase P. Thomas 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》1997,26(3):311-321
During SESAME phase I ground-based FTIR measurements were performed atEsrange near Kiruna, Sweden, from 28 January to 26 March 1994. Zenith columnamounts of ClONO2, HCl, HF, HNO3,O3, N2O, CH4, and CFC-12 werederived from solar absorption spectra. Time series of ClONO2and HCl indicate a chlorine activation at the end of January and around 1March. On 1 March a very low amount of HCl of 2.09times; 1015molec. cm-2 was detected, probably caused by a second chlorineactivation phase starting from an already decreased amount of HCl. The ratioof column amounts of HCl to ClONO2 decreased inside the vortexfrom about 1 in January to 0.4 in late March compared to values of about 2outside the vortex. Although the Arctic stratosphere was rather warm in winter1993/94 and PSCs occurred seldom, chlorine partitioning into its reservoirspecies HCl and ClONO2 changed during that winter andClONO2 is the major chlorine reservoir at the end of thewinter as in cold winters like 1991/92 and 1994/95. 相似文献