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WANGXie-kang HUANGEr CUIPeng 《中国地理科学(英文版)》2003,13(3):262-266
Debris flow is one of the most destructive phenomena of natural hazards. Recently, major natural haz-ard, claiming human lives and assets, is due to debris flow in the world. Several practical methods for forecasting de-bris flow have been proposed, however, the accuracy of these methods is not high enough for practical use because of the stochastic and non-linear characteristics of debris flow. Artificial neural network has proven to be feasible and use-fill in developing models for nonlinear systems. On the other hand, predicting the future behavior based on a time se-ries of collected historical data is also an important tool in many scientific applications. In this study we present a three-layer feed-forward neural network model to forecast surge of debris flow according to the time series data collect-ed in the Jiangjia Ravine, situated in north part of Yunnan Province of China. The simulation and prediction of debris flow using the proposed approach shows this model is feasible, however, further studies are needed. 相似文献
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Pco2 of air and seawater samples from the East China Sea(ECS) were measured in situ in autumn, 1994,Ocean currents,terrestrial fluviation,biological activities,etc.,Pco2 char-acters in air and seawater were investigated,CO2 flux and its character in the East China Sea are discussed on the basis of the Pco2 profiles of air and seawater,It was clear that the nearshore was the source of CO2;and tht the oulter sea area was the sink of CO2; and that the shelf area of the EXS is a net sink for atmospheric CO2 in autumn. 相似文献
25.
本文给出1993—1994年期间,用云南天文台1米望远镜折轴摄谱仪观测获得类太阳色球活动星。εEri的5个波段高分辨、高信噪比光谱,运用两种不同方法:谱线轮廓塞曼致宽分析和多重线统计分析法成功地测定了εEri的表面磁场强度和磁场的覆盖因子,并对这两种磁场测定方法作了简单的讨论. 相似文献
26.
Two-dimensional (2D) compressible magnetohydrodynamic simulations are performed to explore the idea that the asymmetric reconnection between newly emerging intranetwork magnetic field flux and pre-existing network flux causes the explosive events in the solar atmosphere. The dependence of the reconnection rate as a function of time on the density and temperature of the emerging flux are investigated. For a Lundquist number of L
u= 5000 we find that the tearing mode instability can lead to the formation and growth of small magnetic islands. Depending on the temperature and density ratio of the emerging plasma, the magnetic island can be lifted upward and convected out of the top boundary, or is suppressed downward and convected out of the top boundary, or is suppressed downward nad submerged below the bottom boundary. The motions of the magnetic islands with different direction are accompanied respectively with upward or downward high velocity flow which might be associated with the red- and blue-shifted components detected in the explosive events. 相似文献
27.
Dynamic analysis of three-dimensional marine cables 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Shan Huang 《Ocean Engineering》1994,21(6)
Marine cables are widely used in a variety of offshore activities. In this paper, a numerical approach is presented which is capable of predicting the dynamic behaviour of three-dimensional marine cables. The solution of this problem is of practical importance in the estimation of dybamic loading and motion, and thus has direct application to the enhancement of safety and the effectiveness of the offshore activities. The approach is based upon the lump-mass-and-spring model and the finite difference method. Mathematical analysis is provided on the basic characteristics of the model and the numerical stability. A numerical example is given to demonstrate the validity of the approach. 相似文献
28.
With a new theory on the 1PN celestial mechanics recently developed by Damour, Soffel and Xu (1991,1992,1993,1994), definitions
and expressions of the 1PN spin angular momentum are investigated and analysed. The total spin angular momentum of a system
of extended bodies such as the solar system is calculated and expressed as the function of local parameters and observables
under reasonable assumptions, which would find its application in the evolution and dynamics of systems of celestial bodies.
This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date. 相似文献
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应用显微光度术、显微傅立叶红外光谱(Micro-FT.IR)和飞行时间二次离子质谱(TOF-SIMS)等原位微分析技术并结合均一温度测量对胜利油气区下第三系沙河街组沙三段中有机包裹体进行了研究。区分出两类有机包裹体,即原生有机包裹体和次生有机包裹体。结果表明两类有机包裹体特征不同,二者物质组成、有机质成分及化学结构、热演化程度等差别也较大。结合地质分析表明原生有机包裹体是沙三段烃源岩生成烃类运移产物,具“自生自储”特点,而次生有机包裹体是沙四段烃源岩生成的烃类二次运移的产物。沙三段是沙河街组油气运移和聚集的主要层位,因而是寻找油气资源的主要目标层。研究表明,有机包裹体是研究油气生成、运移、聚集和演化等成藏系统最有效的手段之一,在油气勘探中有重要的应用意义。 相似文献