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141.
142.
Valentina Krysanova Michel Wortmann Tobias Bolch Bruno Merz Doris Duethmann Judith Walter 《水文科学杂志》2013,58(4):566-590
AbstractClimate variability and change play a crucial role in the vulnerable system of the Aksu River basin located in Kyrgyzstan and northwest China, providing precious water resources for the intense oasis agriculture of the Xinjiang Province (China). Ubiquitous warming and increase in precipitation (in the lower part of the basin) have been detected. Glaciers in the region are retreating. Seasonal trends in river discharge show an increase. A clear link could be demonstrated between daily temperature and lagged river discharge at two headwater stations in summer. However, the correlation breaks over short periods in the end of summer or beginning of autumn at the Xiehela station, when the high (over 95th percentile) flow peaks caused by the glacier lake outburst floods of the Merzbacher Lake occur. This feature is a challenge for the climate impact assessment in the region, as these regular outbursts have to be represented in the projections for the future as well.
Editor D. Koutsoyiannis 相似文献
143.
Coliform Bacteria in New Jersey Domestic Wells: Influence of Geology,Laboratory, and Method 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Thomas B. Atherholt Raymond T. Bousenberry Gail P. Carter Leo R. Korn Judith B. Louis Michael E. Serfes Debra A. Waller 《Ground water》2013,51(4):562-574
Following passage of the New Jersey Private Well Testing Act, 50,800 domestic wells were tested between 2002 and 2007 for the presence of total coliform (TC) bacteria. Wells containing TC bacteria were further tested for either fecal coliform or Escherichia coli (FC/E. coli) bacteria. Analysis of the data, generated by 39 laboratories, revealed that the rate of coliform detections in groundwater (GW) was influenced by the laboratory and the method used, and also by geology. Based on one sample per well, TC and FC/E. coli were detected in wells located in bedrock 3 and 3.7 times more frequently, respectively, than in wells located in the unconsolidated strata of the Coastal Plain. In bedrock, detection rates were higher in sedimentary rock than in igneous or metamorphic rock. Ice‐age glaciers also influenced detection rates, most likely by removing material in some areas and depositing thick layers of unconsolidated material in other areas. In bedrock, coliform bacteria were detected more often in wells with a pH of 3 to 6 than in wells with a pH of 7 to 10 whereas the reverse was true in the Coastal Plain. TC and FC/E. coli bacteria were detected in 33 and 9.5%, respectively, of sedimentary rock wells with pH 3 to 6. Conversely, for Coastal Plain wells with pH 3 to 6, detection rates were 4.4% for TC and 0.6% for FC/E. coli. 相似文献
144.
Aerosol light absorption, black carbon, and elemental carbon at the Fresno Supersite, California 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
Judith C. Chow John G. Watson Prakash Doraiswamy Lung-Wen Antony Chen David A. Sodeman Douglas H. Lowenthal Kihong Park W. Patrick Arnott Nehzat Motallebi 《Atmospheric Research》2009,93(4):874-887
Particle light absorption (bap), black carbon (BC), and elemental carbon (EC) measurements at the Fresno Supersite during the summer of 2005 were compared to examine the equivalency of current techniques, evaluate filter-based bap correction methods, and determine the EC mass absorption efficiency (σap) and the spectral dependence of bap. The photoacoustic analyzer (PA) was used as a benchmark for in-situ bap. Most bap measurement techniques were well correlated (r ≥ 0.95). Unadjusted Aethalometer (AE) and Particle Soot Absorption Photometer (PSAP) bap were up to seven times higher than PA bap at similar wavelengths because of absorption enhancement by backscattering and multiple scattering. Applying published algorithms to correct for these effects reduced the differences to 24 and 17% for the AE and PSAP, respectively, at 532 nm. The Multi-Angle Absorption Photometer (MAAP), which accounts for backscattering effects, overestimated bap relative to the PA by 51%. BC concentrations determined by the AE, MAAP, and Sunset Laboratory semi-continuous carbon analyzer were also highly correlated (r ≥ 0.93) but differed by up to 57%. EC measured with the IMPROVE/STN thermal/optical protocols, and the French two-step thermal protocol agreed to within 29%. Absorption efficiencies determined from PA bap and EC measured with different analytical protocols averaged 7.9 ± 1.5, 5.4 ± 1.1, and 2.8 ± 0.6 m2/g at 532, 670, and 1047 nm, respectively. The Angström exponent (α) determined from adjusted AE and PA bap ranged from 1.19 to 1.46. The largest values of α occurred during the afternoon hours when the organic fraction of total carbon was highest. Significant biases associated with filter-based measurements of bap, BC, and EC are method-specific. Correcting for these biases must take into account differences in aerosol concentration, composition, and sources. 相似文献
145.
Knowledge of the likely future wind, wave and surge climate in Liverpool Bay is of importance for coastal flood defence management.
We examine a 140-year time series (1960–2100) of wind and wave model projections at the WaveNet buoy location in Liverpool
Bay and also of surge model projection at two ports in Liverpool Bay, namely Liverpool and Heysham. To this end we use model
projections from the UK Climate Projections 09 (UKCP09) programme. We use a medium emissions scenario ensemble from the HadCM3
climate model sensitivity tests. A continental shelf model (CS3) with ~12 km resolution was used to separately simulate the
waves and the surge. The models are forced by hourly wind and pressure data from the Met Office (Hadley Centre) regional climate
model (RCM). Swell wave boundary conditions are generated over the full Atlantic using global climate model (GCM) winds. Analysis
of significant changes in the statistics over time shows that there is little change in extreme wave and surge conditions
in Liverpool Bay. Although there is a slight increase in the severity of the most extreme events, the frequency of extreme
wind and wave events is slightly reduced, while the frequency of extreme surge events slightly increases over the 140-year
period. From the model projections, we find that the trends in the local wind are directly reflected in the wave field within
Liverpool Bay. The trends in the skew surge projections deviate slightly from those in the wind patterns. 相似文献
146.
Asian summer monsoon prediction in ECMWF System 4 and NCEP CFSv2 retrospective seasonal forecasts 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2
The seasonal prediction skill of the Asian summer monsoon is assessed using retrospective predictions (1982–2009) from the ECMWF System 4 (SYS4) and NCEP CFS version 2 (CFSv2) seasonal prediction systems. In both SYS4 and CFSv2, a cold bias of sea-surface temperature (SST) is found over the equatorial Pacific, North Atlantic, Indian Oceans and over a broad region in the Southern Hemisphere relative to observations. In contrast, a warm bias is found over the northern part of North Pacific and North Atlantic. Excessive precipitation is found along the ITCZ, equatorial Atlantic, equatorial Indian Ocean and the maritime continent. The southwest monsoon flow and the Somali Jet are stronger in SYS4, while the south-easterly trade winds over the tropical Indian Ocean, the Somali Jet and the subtropical northwestern Pacific high are weaker in CFSv2 relative to the reanalysis. In both systems, the prediction of SST, precipitation and low-level zonal wind has greatest skill in the tropical belt, especially over the central and eastern Pacific where the influence of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is dominant. Both modeling systems capture the global monsoon and the large-scale monsoon wind variability well, while at the same time performing poorly in simulating monsoon precipitation. The Asian monsoon prediction skill increases with the ENSO amplitude, although the models simulate an overly strong impact of ENSO on the monsoon. Overall, the monsoon predictive skill is lower than the ENSO skill in both modeling systems but both systems show greater predictive skill compared to persistence. 相似文献
147.
Judith Wolf 《Natural Hazards》2009,49(2):241-260
Wind waves and elevated water levels together can cause flooding in low-lying coastal areas, where the water level may be
a combination of mean sea level, tides and surges generated by storm events. In areas with a wide continental shelf a travelling
external surge may combine with the locally generated surge and waves and there can be significant interaction between the
propagation of the tide and surge. Wave height at the coast is controlled largely by water depth. So the effect of tides and
surges on waves must also be considered, while waves contribute to the total water level by means of wave setup through radiation
stress. These processes are well understood and accurately predicted by models, assuming good bathymetry and wind forcing
is available. Other interactions between surges and waves include the processes of surface wind-stress and bottom friction
as well as depth and current refraction of waves by surge water levels and currents, and some of the details of these processes
are still not well understood. The recent coastal flooding in Myanmar (May 2008) in the Irrawaddy River Delta is an example
of the severity of such events, with a surge of over 3 m exacerbated by heavy precipitation. Here, we review the existing
capability for combined modelling of tides, surges and waves, their interactions and the development of coupled models. 相似文献
148.
Jessica M. Reichmuth Ross Roudez Terry Glover Judith S. Weis 《Estuaries and Coasts》2009,32(2):298-308
Populations living in contaminated environments may exhibit behavioral changes that can alter predator–prey interactions.
Blue crabs from the contaminated Hackensack Meadowlands (HM) had reduced ability to capture juvenile blue crabs and adult
mummichogs (both active prey) compared with crabs from a reference site (Tuckerton (TK)). However, they consumed equivalent
amounts of ribbed mussels and fiddler crabs, which are less active prey. Crabs may have reduced coordination rather than appetite
or motivation. The lab data are supported by stomach analysis of field-caught crabs. HM crab stomachs contained ∼60% algae,
plant material, detritus, and sediment and much lower weights of crab, fish, and other live food than TK crabs. However, the
relative absence of bivalves in their diet may reflect reduced amounts available. When TK crabs were caged in HM or fed food
from HM in the lab for 8 weeks, their prey capture ability declined significantly, and mercury in their muscle tissue increased
significantly, indicating that environmental factors were responsible for the behavioral differences. When HM crabs were caged
in TK or fed fish from TK in the lab for 8 weeks, their prey capture ability improved significantly. Mercury levels were variable
and did not show a significant decrease. 相似文献
149.
Identification of important primary producers in a Chesapeake Bay tidal creek system using stable isotopes of carbon and sulfur 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
The use of multiple stable isotopes in the study of trophic relationships in temperate estuaries has usually been limited to euhaline systems, in which phytoplankton, benthic microalgae, andSpartina alterniflora are major sources of organic matter for consumers. Within large estuaries such as Chesapeake Bay, however, many species of consumers are found in the upper mesohaline to oligohaline portions. These lower salinity wetlands have a greater abundance of macrophytes that use C3 photosynthesis to fix carbon, in addition toS. alterniflora, which fixes carbon via the C4 photosynthetic pathway. In a broad survey of the biota and sediments of a brackish tidal creek tributary to Chesapeake Bay, combined δ13C and δ34S measurements disclosed a balanced contribution to secondary production from phytoplankton, C3 macrophytes,Spartina sp., and benthic microalgae. Surface sediment δ13C suggested that the organic matter from C3 plants was derived both from allochthonous sources (terrestrial runoff) and from autochthonous production (marsh macrophytes). Unlike most estuarine systems studied to date, which are dominated by algae (phytoplankton and benthic microalgae) and C4 macrophytes, C3 plants are of greater importance in the diets of consumers in this low-salinity creek system. 相似文献
150.
Reproducibility of Re-Os molybdenite ages depends on sample size and homogeneity, suggesting that Re and Os are decoupled within individual molybdenite crystals and do not remain spatially linked over time. In order to investigate the Re-Os systematics of molybdenite at the subgrain (micron) scale, we report LA-ICP-MS Re-Os ages for an Archean molybdenite crystal from Aittojärvi, Finland, analyzed in situ in a white aplite matrix. A related Aittojärvi molybdenite (A996D), in the form of a very fine-grained mineral separate, is used as one of our in-house NTIMS standards, and thus its age of 2760 ± 9 Ma is well established. Measurements of (187Re + 187Os)/185Re on micron scale spots along 200 μm traverses across the crystal yield a wide range of ages demonstrating that, in this case, microsampling of molybdenite does not produce geologically meaningful ages. Experimentation with mineral separations and sample size over a 7-yr period predicted that this would be the outcome. We suggest that 187Os is more likely to be the mobile species, based on its charge and ionic radius, and that 187Os becomes decoupled from parent 187Re with time on the micron and larger scale. Incompatible charge and ionic radius for Os ions formed during reduction of molybdenite-forming fluids may explain the widely observed absence of common (initial) Os in molybdenite. Geologically accurate ages for molybdenite can only be obtained for fully homogenized crystals (or crystal aggregates) so that any post-crystallization 187Re-187Os decoupling is overcome.A growing number of geologically accurate ID-NTIMS 187Re-187Os ages for homogenized molybdenite suggest that postcrystallization mobility of radiogenic 187Os must be limited to within the molybdenite mineral phase. We suggest that radiogenic 187Os may be stored in micron scale dislocations, kink bands, and delamination cracks produced by deformation, and that the unusual structure and deformation response of molybdenite results in an increased chemical stability in this mineral. Migration of 187Os into adjacent silicate phases is highly unlikely, but other contacting sulfides may take in Os. In an example from a Proterozoic skarn deposit at Pitkäranta (western Russia), we demonstrate minor loss of radiogenic 187Os from molybdenite and a corresponding gain in adjacent chalcopyrite such that the molybdenite age is not perceptibly disturbed, whereas the resulting chalcopyrite ages are impossibly old. Therefore, it is unadvisable to perform Re-Os analytical work on any sulfide in contact or intimate association with molybdenite. In addition to large errors in the age, if the isochron method is employed, initial 187Os/188Os ratios could be erroneously high, leading to seriously errant genetic interpretations. 相似文献