地区场选样洪水计算在西部流域应用分析     

王进  赵映东  邓居礼  吕明侠 《水文》2018,38(5):59-62

为采用地区场选样洪水计算方法分析研究建立了西部祖厉河流域设计洪水计算经验公式,设计计算成果经与皮尔逊三型频率曲线设计计算成果比较分析,计算成果精度较高。由此确定了该流域设计洪水计算相关成果图及查算表,为该流域设计洪水计算提供技术支撑。  相似文献   

Evaluating functional connectivity in a small agricultural catchment under contrasting flood events by using UAV     

Aleix Calsamiglia  Jorge Gago  Julián Garcia-Comendador  Josep Fortesa Bernat  Adolfo Calvo-Cases  Joan Estrany 《地球表面变化过程与地形》2020,45(4):800-815

Concentrated erosion, a major feature of land degradation, represents a serious problem for soil and water resources management and a threat to ecosystems. Understanding the internal mechanisms (de-)coupling sediment pathways can improve the management and resilience of catchments. In this study, concentrated erosion and deposition forms were mapped accurately through field and aerial unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) campaigns, in order to assess the evolution of connectivity pathways over a series of three contrasted and consecutive flood events occurring between October 2016 and January 2017 (return period ranging from 0.5 to 25 years) in a small Mediterranean agricultural catchment (Can Revull, Mallorca, Spain; 1.4 km²). In addition, a morphometric index of connectivity (IC) was used to identify the potential trajectories of different concentrated erosion forms and deposition areas. IC predictions were calibrated by identifying the optimal critical thresholds, i.e. those most consistent with field observations after each of the events studied. The results found that the index performed well in predicting the occurrence and the length/area of the different type of landforms, giving kappa (κ) coefficients of variation ranging between 0.21 and 0.92 and linear correlations R² between 0.33 and 0.72. The type of landform affected the correspondence of IC predictions and field observations, with lower thresholds the greater the magnitude of their associated geomorphic processes. Rainfall magnitude proved to be a very important factor controlling the development of erosion and deposition landforms, with large differences in length/area between the contrasted events. The evolution of the observed trajectories revealed feedback dynamics between the structural and functional connectivity of the catchment, in which morphological changes determined the spatial distribution of the processes’ activity in the successive events and vice versa. © 2020 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Slope instabilities triggered by the 11th May 2011 Lorca earthquake (Murcia,Spain): comparison to previous hazard assessments and proposition of a new hazard map and probability of failure equation     

Martín Jesús Rodríguez-Peces  Julián García-Mayordomo  José Jesús Martínez-Díaz 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2014,12(5):1961-1976

The Lorca Basin has been the object of recent research aimed at studying the phenomena of earthquake-induced landslides and its assessment in the frame of different seismic scenarios. However, it has not been until the 11th May 2011 Lorca earthquakes when it has been possible to conduct a systematic approach to the problem. In this paper we present an inventory of slope instabilities triggered by the Lorca earthquakes which comprises more than 100 cases, mainly rock and soil falls of small size (1–100  \(\hbox {m}^{3}\) ). The distribution of these instabilities is here compared to two different earthquake-triggered landslide hazard maps: one considering the occurrence of the most probable earthquake for a 475-years return period in the Lorca Basin \((\hbox {M}_{\mathrm{w}}=5.0)\) based on both low- and high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM); and a second one matching the occurrence of the \(\hbox {M}_{\mathrm{w}}=5.2\) 2011 Lorca earthquake, which was performed using the higher resolution DEM. The most frequent Newmark displacements related to the slope failures triggered by the 2011 Lorca earthquakes are lower than 2 cm in both the hazard scenarios considered. Additionally, the predicted Newmark displacements were correlated to the inventory of slope instabilities to develop a probability of failure equation. The fit seems to be very good since most of the mapped slope failures are located on the higher probability areas. The probability of slope failure in the Lorca Basin for a seismic event similar to the \(\hbox {M}_{\mathrm{w}}\) 5.2 2011 Lorca earthquake can be considered as very low (0–4 %).  相似文献   

Reconstruction of annual winter rainfall since A.D.1579 in central-eastern Spain based on calcite laminated sediment from Lake La Cruz     

Lidia Romero-Viana  Ramon Julià  Martin Schimmel  Antonio Camacho  Eduardo Vicente  M. Rosa Miracle 《Climatic change》2011,107(3-4):343-361

We present the first winter (December to March) rainfall reconstruction based in a novel proxy, the thickness of annual calcite laminations preserved in Lake La Cruz (central–eastern Spain). A previous calibration analysis between laminae thickness and the instrumental data series (1950 to present) indicated a highly significant correlation with winter rainfall. Therefore this study attempts the winter rainfall reconstruction since the onset of laminations (1579 a.d.) by means of the calibration function previously developed. The verification analysis between inferred annual values and earlier instrumental data (1859–1949) confirms the suitability of this novel proxy and the reliability of the series reconstructed. The reconstructed series show the fluctuating character of winter rainfall in the western Mediterranean area; interdecadal dry periods alternated with wetter periods following, in a board sense, the pattern recorded by documentary sources in other regions of the Iberian Peninsula. At present times regional winter rainfall anomalies are highly correlated with the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). However the time series analysis showed the dominance of nonstationary components at high frequencies of the climate signal over the last four centuries suggesting that the connection between winter rainfall and the NAO has not been stable over time and also other modes of variability, not only NAO, may have conditioned winter rainfall variability.  相似文献   

Adapting a texture synthesis algorithm for conditional multiple point geostatistical simulation   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

��lvaro Parra  Juli��n M. Ortiz 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2011,25(8):1101-1111

Computer vision provides several tools for analyzing and simulating textures. The principles of these techniques are similar to those in multiple-point geostatistics, namely, the reproduction of patterns and consistency in the results from a perceptual point of view, thus, ensuring the reproduction of long range connectivity. The only difference between these techniques and geostatistical simulation accounting for multiple-point statistics is that conditioning is not an issue in computer vision. We present a solution to the problem of conditioning simulated fields while simultaneously honoring multiple-point (pattern) statistics. The proposal is based on a texture synthesis algorithm where a fixed search (causal) pattern is used. Conditioning is achieved by adding a non-causal search neighborhood that modifies the conditional distribution from which the simulated category is drawn, depending on the conditioning information. Results show an excellent reproduction of the features from the training image, while respecting the conditioning information. Some issues related to the data structure and to the computer efficiency are discussed.  相似文献   

Solar activity and life: a review     

Mauro Messerotti  Julián Chela-Flores 《Acta Geophysica》2009,57(1):64-74

During the early stages of the study of the origin of life, not enough attention was paid to the question of the correlation of chemical evolution on Earth and the all-important evolution of the still-to-be understood early Sun. Today, due to the advent of a significant fleet of space missions and the possibility of performing experiments in the International Space Station (ISS), a meaningful study begins to be possible concerning factors that led to an early onset of life on Earth. We wish to review and update recent work concerning the frontier between Space Weather (SpW) and Astrobiology. We argue that the present robust programs of various space agencies reinforce our hope for a better understanding of the bases of Astrobiology. Eventually, with a more realistic model of the Sun, more reliable discussions of all the factors influencing the origin of life on Earth, and hence Astrobiology, will be possible.  相似文献   

A Discussion on the Rifting of Ancient Yangtze Continent in the Neoproterozoic     

Zhou Dingwu  Zhang Chengli  Liu Liang  Wang Juli  Zhou Xiaohu 《Gondwana Research》1999,2(4):544-546

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Tide-induced head fluctuations in coastal aquifers of variable thickness     

Julián Eduardo Cuello  Luis Guarracino 《水文研究》2020,34(21):4139-4146

In this work, a new analytical solution to describe tide-induced head fluctuations in aquifers of variable thickness is presented. The proposed model assumes a finite and confined aquifer with a thickness that increases or decreases quadratically with the distance to the coast. A closed-form analytical solution is obtained by solving a boundary-value problem with both a separation of variables method and a change of variables method. This solution is a generalization of the solution obtained by Cuello et al., Hydrogeological Journal, 2017, 25, 1509–1515. The analytical solution is expressed in terms of the wedging parameter, a parameter that depends on the length and thicknesses at the coast and at the inland edge of the aquifer. Positive values of the wedging parameter describe aquifers with increasing thickness towards land and negative values describe aquifers with a decreasing thickness in the inland direction. The comparison of the new solution and the solution for a finite aquifer with constant thickness indicates that the sign of the wedging parameter enhances or decreases the amplitude of the tide-induced signal. However, the differences in time-lag between both solutions are negligible near the coast. The slope factor, which quantifies the inconsistencies between aquifer diffusivities estimated from attenuation and time-lag data, is computed and analysed. Near the coast, slope factor values greater than one are obtained for negative wedging parameters while slope factor values less than one are obtained for positive wedging parameters. The analysis of the new solution also indicates that more reliable estimates of the hydraulic diffusivity can be obtained from time-lag data.  相似文献   

0920号超强台风“卢碧”引起的强海上大气波导成因分析与数值模拟研究   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

胡昊  费建芳  丁菊丽  王挺  黄小刚  程小平  袁炳 《气象学报》2018,76(4):620-634

基于中国台湾地区主持的侵台台风之飞机侦察及下投式探空仪观测实验（Dropwindsonde Observations for Typhoon Surveillance near the Taiwan Region,DOTSTAR）获得的高分辨率下投式探空仪探测资料,分析了2003年9月—2012年8月所有发生在中国台湾地区附近海域的台风型大气波导事件,遴选出一次由0920号超强台风“卢碧”引起的强台风型海上大气波导过程作为研究对象。利用欧洲中期数值预报中心（ECMWF）再分析资料（水平分辨率0.125°×0.125°）,对此次波导的生成原因进行了分析;基于WRF模式比较了不同初始化方法对台风强度、尺度和周围台风型大气波导的模拟能力。结果表明,此次强台风型大气波导发生在台风环流西北侧外围的弱下沉运动区,其形成与850 hPa高度附近北方强干空气平流导致湿度随高度锐减密切相关。在数值模拟中运用台风动力初始化方法,可以有效改进台风强度、路径和尺度的模拟效果,进而有利于改善台风型大气波导尤其是波导层所在高度的模拟效果。台风外围出现的大气波导通常以悬空波导为主,模拟效果与台风螺旋雨带和内核尺度的模拟关系密切,而与台风强度和眼墙结构关系不大。中尺度数值模式WRF具有模拟台风型大气波导的能力,是研究台风型大气波导的有力手段。   相似文献   

新疆萨日达拉金矿地质特征及成因探讨   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

王居里  刘养杰  周鼎武  陆关祥 《矿床地质》2001,20(4):385-393

萨日达拉金矿是新近发现的一个成矿机制和控矿因素都与韧性剪切带密切相关的金矿床，具有独特的成矿特征。文章对萨日达拉金矿的地质特征和作用特征进行了较系统的研究，结合矿区不同岩石的痕量金、自然金和硫化物的成分及硫化物的硫同位素、铅同位素测试结果，对矿床的形成过程进行了详细讨论。研究表明，萨日达拉金矿与胜利达坂韧性剪切带在空间、时间及成因上密切相关，属典型的韧性剪切带型金矿，成矿具有多期、多阶段和多物源的特点，韧性剪切变形、热液活动及其成矿构成了统一的韧性剪切成岩成矿作用过程。对于一个含金韧性剪切带系统，不论是垂向上还是横向上，强变形区段都是成矿元素活化、迁出的区段，而低应变－中等应变部位以及不同强度应变带的过渡部位才是含金流体中的金富集、沉淀成矿的最有利部位，也是寻找大型矿床、矿体的有利部位。  相似文献