Natural resource exploitation and regional development in Latin America     

Cesar N. Caviedes 《GeoJournal》1985,11(1):5-6

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Modeling monthly mean air temperature for Brazil   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Clayton Alcarde Alvares  José Luiz Stape  Paulo Cesar Sentelhas  José Leonardo de Moraes Gonçalves 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2013,113(3-4):407-427

Air temperature is one of the main weather variables influencing agriculture around the world. Its availability, however, is a concern, mainly in Brazil where the weather stations are more concentrated on the coastal regions of the country. Therefore, the present study had as an objective to develop models for estimating monthly and annual mean air temperature for the Brazilian territory using multiple regression and geographic information system techniques. Temperature data from 2,400 stations distributed across the Brazilian territory were used, 1,800 to develop the equations and 600 for validating them, as well as their geographical coordinates and altitude as independent variables for the models. A total of 39 models were developed, relating the dependent variables maximum, mean, and minimum air temperatures (monthly and annual) to the independent variables latitude, longitude, altitude, and their combinations. All regression models were statistically significant (α?≤?0.01). The monthly and annual temperature models presented determination coefficients between 0.54 and 0.96. We obtained an overall spatial correlation higher than 0.9 between the models proposed and the 16 major models already published for some Brazilian regions, considering a total of 3.67?×?10⁸?pixels evaluated. Our national temperature models are recommended to predict air temperature in all Brazilian territories.  相似文献   

How to increase technology transfers to developing countries: a synthesis of the evidence     

Ana Pueyo  María Mendiluce  María Sanchez Naranjo  Julio Lumbreras 《Climate Policy》2013,13(3):320-340

The existing United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) has failed to deliver the rate of low-carbon technology transfer (TT) required to curb GHG emissions in developing countries. This failure has exposed the limitations of universalism and renewed interest in bilateral approaches to TT. Gaps are identified in the UNFCCC approach to climate change TT: missing links between international institutions and the national enabling environments that encourage private investment; a non-differentiated approach for (developing) country and technology characteristics; and a lack of clear measurements of the volume and effectiveness of TTs. Evidence from econometric literature and business experience on climate change TT is reviewed, so as to address the identified pitfalls of the UNFCCC process. Strengths and weaknesses of different methodological approaches are highlighted. International policy recommendations are offered aimed at improving the level of emission reductions achieved through TT.  相似文献   

Galaxy groups in the 2dF Galaxy Redshift Survey: the number density of groups     

V. R. Eke  Carlton M. Baugh  Shaun Cole  Carlos S. Frenk  Julio F. Navarro † 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2006,370(3):1147-1158

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On The Origin of The High-Perihelion Scattered Disk: The Role of The Kozai Mechanism And Mean Motion Resonances     

Rodney S. Gomes  Tabaré Gallardo  Julio A. Fernández  Adrián Brunini 《Celestial Mechanics and Dynamical Astronomy》2005,91(1-2):109-129

We study the transfer process from the scattered disk (SD) to the high-perihelion scattered disk (HPSD) (defined as the population with perihelion distances q > 40 AU and semimajor axes a>50 AU) by means of two different models. One model (Model 1) assumes that SD objects (SDOs) were formed closer to the Sun and driven outwards by resonant coupling with the accreting Neptune during the stage of outward migration (Gomes 2003b, Earth, Moon, Planets 92, 29–42.). The other model (Model 2) considers the observed population of SDOs plus clones that try to compensate for observational discovery bias (Fernández et al. 2004, Icarus , in press). We find that the Kozai mechanism (coupling between the argument of perihelion, eccentricity, and inclination), associated with a mean motion resonance (MMR), is the main responsible for raising both the perihelion distance and the inclination of SDOs. The highest perihelion distance for a body of our samples was found to be q = 69.2 AU. This shows that bodies can be temporarily detached from the planetary region by dynamical interactions with the planets. This phenomenon is temporary since the same coupling of Kozai with a MMR will at some point bring the bodies back to states of lower-q values. However, the dynamical time scale in high-q states may be very long, up to several Gyr. For Model 1, about 10% of the bodies driven away by Neptune get trapped into the HPSD when the resonant coupling Kozai-MMR is disrupted by Neptune’s migration. Therefore, Model 1 also supplies a fossil HPSD, whose bodies remain in non-resonant orbits and thus stable for the age of the solar system, in addition to the HPSD formed by temporary captures of SDOs after the giant planets reached their current orbits. We find that about 12 – 15% of the surviving bodies of our samples are incorporated into the HPSD after about 4 – 5 Gyr, and that a large fraction of the captures occur for up to the 1:8 MMR (a ⋍ 120 AU), although we record captures up to the 1:24 MMR (a ≃ 260 AU). Because of the Kozai mechanism, HPSD objects have on average inclinations about 25°–50°, which are higher than those of the classical Edgeworth–Kuiper (EK) belt or the SD. Our results suggest that Sedna belongs to a dynamically distinct population from the HPSD, possibly being a member of the inner core of the Oort cloud. As regards to 2000 CR₁₀₅ , it is marginally within the region occupied by HPSD objects in the parametric planes (q,a) and (a,i), so it is not ruled out that it might be a member of the HPSD, though it might as well belong to the inner core.  相似文献   

Satellites of simulated galaxies: survival, merging and their relationto the dark and stellar haloes     

Laura V. Sales  Julio F. Navarro †  Mario G. Abadi  Matthias Steinmetz 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2007,379(4):1464-1474

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GEOGRAPHY AND THE LESSONS FROM EL NIÑO*     

Cesar N. Caviedes 《The Professional geographer》1984,36(4):428-436

Recognized for years as a major environmental disruption, El Niño generated intense public interest in 1982–1983. During its last occurrence, this phenomenon, which develops in the tropical Pacific and usually affects rimlands of the Pacific basin, exceeded its boundaries and its effects were transmitted to continental North America, Europe, Africa and East Asia. Notwithstanding its vast areal extent, the interest of geographers in El Niño events, past and recent, has been comparatively less than that demonstrated by natural scientists and ecologists: little has been accomplished to place these climatic-ecological crises within global perspective. Lessons from El Niño include the acknowledgement of new concepts of climatic transitivity, ocean dynamics and energy exchanges that must find a place within the conceptual wealth of geography if this science intends to keep up with the rapid progress of other geosciences.  相似文献   

Dark matter influence on velocity dispersion profiles of clusters of galaxies     

Julio F. Navarro  Diego García Lambas 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1987,133(2):241-252

We have performed a series ofN-body experiments including the effects of a massive dominant background which follows Schuster's density law in order to simulate clusters of galaxies in which a smoothly distributed dark component is present. The existence of this background is inferred from the weak luminosity segregation observed in clusters which, however, show several characteristics of well-relaxed systems. The comparison of the velocity dispersion profiles of three clusters of galaxies (Coma, Perseus, and Virgo) with those obtained in the numerical experiments allows us to place some constraints on both the distribution and amount of distributed dark material in these clusters. The profiles are rather insensitive to variations in the ratio of the background mass to the mass attached to galaxies (M _b/M_g), but exhibit a strong dependence on their relative concentration. We conclude that highly concentrated background models are not consistent with observations. We find a maximum value for the ratio of the gravitational radius of the galaxies and the background (R _g/R_b) (approximately 0.6) and using previous results (Navarroet al., 1986) we conclude that virial theorem masses underestimate the total mass (M _b+M _g) of the clusters. As a final result, we derive a minimum value for theM _b/M_g ratio. All these conclusions could apply in general if Coma, Perseus, and Virgo constitute a fair sample of the rich clusters of galaxies in the Universe.  相似文献   

Precession of isolated neutron stars – II. Magnetic fields and type II superconductivity     

Ira Wasserman 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2003,341(3):1020-1040

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The occulation of β Scorpii by Jupiter. IV. Diurnal temperature variations and the methane mixing ratio in the Jovian upper atmosphere     

L.H. Wasserman 《Icarus》1974,22(1):105-110

The nightime cooling of the Jovian atmosphere near the occulation level of 10¹⁴cm^?3 is calculated using the models of Strobel (1973) and Strobel and Smith (1973). The amount of cooling is found to depend on χ, the methane mixing ratio; μ the mean molecular weight; and the sunrise temperature. Using the range of sunrise (emersion) temperatures observed by Veverka et al. (1974), the overnight cooling is calculated to be 1.5–5.5°K, if reasonable assumptions are made for χ and μ. The argument may be reversed to show that the agreement in measured sunrise and sunset temperatures obtained by other observers of the β Sco occulation implies that χ cannot be significantly greater than the generally accepted value of 7 ×10^?4.  相似文献