Combining microsimulation and spatial interaction models for retail location analysis     

Tomoki Nakaya  A. Stewart Fotheringham  Kazumasa Hanaoka  Graham Clarke  Dimitris Ballas  Keiji Yano 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2007,9(4):345-369

Although the disaggregation of consumers is crucial in understanding the fragmented markets that are dominant in many developed countries, it is not always straightforward to carry out such disaggregation within conventional retail modelling frameworks due to the limitations of data. In particular, consumer grouping based on sampled data is not assured to link with the other statistics that are vital in estimating sampling biases and missing variables in the sampling survey. To overcome this difficulty, we propose a useful combination of spatial interaction modelling and microsimulation approaches for the reliable estimation of retail interactions based on a sample survey of consumer behaviour being linked with other areal statistics. We demonstrate this approach by building an operational retail interaction model to estimate expenditure flows from households to retail stores in a local city in Japan, Kusatsu City.   相似文献   

Re-examination of the Source Mechanism of the 1998 Papua New Guinea Earthquake and Tsunami     

Fumihiko Imamura  Kazumasa Hashi 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2003,160(10-11):2071-2086

— Simulation of tsunami propagation and runup of the 1998 Papua New Guinea (PNG) earthquake tsunami using the detailed bathymetry measured by JAMSTEC and adding bathymetric data at depths less than 60 m is carried out, reproducing the tsunami energy focus into Warapu and Arop along the Sissano Lagoon. However, the computed runup heights in the lagoon are still lower than those measured. Even if the error in estimating the fault parameters is taken into consideration, computational results are similar. Analysis by the wave ray method using several scenarios of the source size of the tsunami and location by the wave ray method suggests that a source characterized by small size in water 1,000-m deep approximately 25 km offshore the lagoon, best fits the arrival determined from the interviews with eyewitnesses. A two-layer numerical model simulating the interaction of the tsunami with a landslide is employed to study the behavior of a landslide-generated tsunami with different size sand depths of the initial slide just outside the lagoon. A landslide model with a volume of 4–8 × 10⁹ m³ is selected as the best in order to reproduce the distribution of the measured tsunami runup in the lagoon. The simulation of a tsunami generated in two stages, fault and landslide, could show good agreement with the runup heights and distribution of the arrival time, but a time gap of around 10 minutes remains, suggesting that a tsunami generated by the mainshock at 6:49 PM local time is too small for people to notice, and the following tsunami triggered by landslide or mass movement near the lagoon about ten minutes after the mainshock attacked the coast and caused the huge damage.  相似文献   

Soil Condition and Seismic Characteristics in Shiga Prefecture,Japan     

Fujiwara  Teizo  Fukumoto  Kazumasa  Matsunami  Koji  Morii  Takeshi 《Natural Hazards》2003,29(3):523-542

The seismic observation network in Shiga prefecture iscomposed of four systems.All the observation data obtained were used to estimatethe dynamic characteristicsof the surface soils around the lake and the seismichazard for Hikone City. Since1995, 21 records have been obtained at the USP site ofwhich those for the 1999Shigaken-Hokubu Earthquake and 1999 Wakayarnaken-HokubuEarthquake wereused in this study. Transfer functions of the surfacesoil in each ward of ShigaPrefecture based on the Mt. Kojin site (KJY), whichhas relatively hard soil, werecalculated from the records of the two earthquakes.Assuming a scenario earthquakeat the Hyakusaiji fault close to Hikone City, maximumground motions were obtainedfor 15 city blocks in order to establish a damageestimation for that city. The numberof collapsed wooden houses and the damage ratiowere calculated based on the distributionof construction of wooden houses by year. Blockswith a larger ratio of old, wooden housesin Hikone showed a close correlation with blockswith a large ratio of aged persons inthem, indicative that weak persons, such as theelderly, may find themselves in a severesituation during a natural disaster.  相似文献   

Cyclic shear behaviour of steel box girders: experiment and analysis     

Praween Chusilp  Tsutomu Usami  Hanbin Ge  Hirofumi Maeno  Tetsuhiko Aoki 《地震工程与结构动力学》2002,31(11):1993-2014

An experimental investigation of the cyclic shear behaviour of steel box girders was conducted on one‐quarter scale models, comprising of two specimens with longitudinally unstiffened webs and one specimen with longitudinally stiffened webs. All the specimens exhibited ductile behaviour. The tests evidenced significant increases in the shear strength and energy dissipation capacity regarding the use of thicker webs and the provision of longitudinal web stiffeners. The web stiffeners also enhanced the stable hysteresis behaviour without substantial degradation in the energy dissipation due to pinching. The test results are compared with the shear behaviour simulated by inelastic large deformation analysis incorporated with a sophisticated constitutive model. The hysteresis behaviour, peak cyclic shear stresses, energy dissipation, and deformation shapes of the three specimens are satisfactorily predicted by the analysis. It is verified that the presented analytical method can be used precisely for further investigations of box girders in shear. Copyright © 2002 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Eddy activities of the surface layer in the western North Pacific detected by satellite altimeter and radiometer   总被引：5，自引：0，他引：5  

Shigeru Aoki  Shiro Imawaki 《Journal of Oceanography》1996,52(4):457-474

Geosat radar altimeter data during the first year (from November 1986 to November 1987) of its Exact Repeat Mission are analyzed to estimate the eddy kinetic energy and propagation characteristics of anomalies of sea surface dynamic topography (SSDT) for the western North Pacific. SSDT anomalies are compared with anomalies of sea surface temperature (SST) derived from NOAA satellite radiometer data. The eddy kinetic energy (K _e ) is large in the Kuroshio stationary meander region and Kuroshio Extension region. In the downstream region of the Kuroshio Extension,K _e is especially large on the upstream and downstream sides of prominent bathymetric features. In the interior region of the subtropical gyre is found a zonal tongue of largeK _e at around 20–20°N. Westward propagation is dominant in the SSDT and SST anomaly field at mid-latitudes. Longitude-time lag correlation diagrams reveal the coincidence of SSDT and SST anomalies statistically, which fact suggests the baroclinic nature of the anomalies. Zonal phase speeds of SSDT anomalies are approximately equal to the theoretical speeds of baroclinic first-mode long Rossby waves, but the meridional variation of observed phase speeds does not follow the simple theoretical variation of decreasing speeds monotonously with increasing latitudes.  相似文献   

Distribution of Trace Bioelements in the Subarctic North Pacific Ocean and the Bering Sea (the R/V Hakuho Maru Cruise KH-97-2)   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：2  

Yukiyo Fujishima  Kazumasa Ueda  Masahiro Maruo  Ehchiro Nakayama  Chikako Tokutome  Hiroshi Hasegawa  Masakazu Matsui  Yoshiki Sohrin 《Journal of Oceanography》2001,57(3):261-273

A column concentration-high resolution inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry (ICP-MS) determination was applied to measure the total dissolved concentrations of Fe, Co, Ni, Cu and Zn in seawater collected from the subarctic North Pacific (~45°N) and the Bering Sea in July–September 1997. Total adsorbable Mn was determined on board by column electrolysis preconcentration and chemiluminescence detection. The vertical profiles for Fe, Ni and Zn were nutrient-like. The deep water concentration of Fe was ~0.5 nM in the northeast Pacific (18°-140°W) and increased to ~1 nM in the northwest Pacific (161°E) and ~2 nM in the Bering Sea (57°N, 180°E). The deep water concentrations for Ni and Zn in the Bering Sea were also 1.3–2 times higher than in the North Pacific. The profiles for Co and Cu were examined in the subarctic North Pacific, and results obtained were consistent with previous reports. There was a significant correlation between the concentrations of Co and Mn except for surface mixed layer. The profiles for total adsorbable Mn were similar to the reported profiles for total dissolvable Mn. The deep water concentration of Mn in the Bering Sea was also 4 times higher than in the North Pacific. Iron and zinc were depleted in surface water of the subarctic North Pacific. The relationship between these trace elements and nutrients suggests that these elements could be a limiting factor of phytoplankton productivity. In the Bering Sea, surface water contained ~0.3 nM of Fe. The Zn concentration, which was less than the detection limit in surface water, increased at shallower depths (~30 m) compared with the subarctic North Pacific. These results imply a higher flux of Fe and Zn to surface water in the Bering Sea. This in turn may cause the ecosystem in the Bering Sea characterized by a dominance of diatoms and high regenerated production.  相似文献   

Titanochondrodite and titanoclinohumite derived from the upper mantle in the Buell Park kimberlite,Arizona, USA   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ken-ichiro Aoki 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1977,61(2):217-218

Titanoclinohumite, titanochondrodite, and associated Na-bearing tremolite occurring as crystal fragments in the Buell Park kimberlite are not likely crystallization products of a kimberlite magma. They more likely formed as phases in hydration assemblages of peridotite at temperatures below 700 ° C and pressures below 18 kbar. The crystals were dispersed in kimberlite as rock fragments were comminuted during transport to the surface.  相似文献   

Titanochondrodite and titanoclinohumite derived from the upper mantle in the Buell Park Kimberlite,Arizona, USA   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Ken-ichiro Aoki  Kiyoshi Fujino  Masaki Akaogi 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1976,56(3):243-253

Kimberlite from Buell Park, Arizona, which was intruded into Permian sediments about 30 m.y. ago, is characterized by the hydrous silicates titanochondrodite and titanoclinohumite. Titanochondrodite is the first finding in kimberlites. Optical properties, chemical compositions and cell dimensions of these two minerals are determined.Titanochondrodite and titanoclinohumite are considered to crystallize from kimberlite magma at a depth of about 100 km and at 1,000° C, on the basis of kimberlite mineralogy, petrography and high pressure experimental work. Although there is no direct evidence, the importance of these two minerals in peridotite wedges above sinking lithosphere at the continental margins is also discussed.  相似文献   

Synthesis of analcime from volcanic sediments in sodium silicate solution     

Hiroshi Abe  Morihiro Aoki  Hiroshi Konno 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1973,42(2):81-92

Analcime has been synthesized from natural rhyolitic tuff and green tuff (Miocene age) at 200° C and 20 kg/cm² with solution of Na₂SiO₃ (12%) in 50- to 260-hr runs. From the diffraction intensities, it was found that the alteration products of green tuff contained more analcime than those of rhyolitic tuff. It has been concluded that the lithological character of starting materials and the chemical behavior of reaction products are important controlling factors in analcimization.  相似文献   

Petrology of kaersutite-bearing ultramafic and mafic inclusions in Iki Island,Japan     

Ken-ichiro Aoki 《Contributions to Mineralogy and Petrology》1970,25(4):270-283

Kaersutite-bearing peridotite, clinopyroxenite, gabbro and hornblendite inclusions up to 5 cm in size and megacrysts of kaersutite, andesine and titanomagnetite occur in alkali basalt scoria at Takenotsuji, Iki Island, Japan. New analyses are presented for seven kaersutite-bearing basaltic rocks, three inclusions, three clinopyroxenes and six kaersutites.From the petrography and chemistry of the inclusions and recent experimental work at high pressures and temperatures on natural rock systems, it is suggested that kaersutite-bearing inclusions have been produced from alkali basalt magmas under hydrous conditions at a depth of about 25 to 30 km in the lowest part of the crust.  相似文献