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51.
52.
A case study was conducted on the potential impacts of climate change on fish habitat in a southeastern reservoir. A reservoir water quality model and one year of baseline meteorologic, hydrologic, and inflow water quality input were used to simulate current reservoir water quality. Total adult striped bass habitat, defined by specific quantitative temperature and dissolved oxygen criteria, was simulated. Daily reservoir volumes with optimal, suboptimal, and unsuitable temperature and DO were predicted for the year. Output from recent runs of atmospheric general circulation models (GCMs), in which atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations have been doubled, was then used to adjust the baseline inputs to the water quality model. New sets of input data were created for two grid cells for each of three GCMs. All six climate scenarios are predicted to cause overall declines in the available summer striped bass habitat, mostly due to lake water temperatures exceeding striped bass tolerance levels. These predictions are believed to result from the consensus among GCM scenarios that air temperatures and humidity will rise, and the sensitivity of the reservoir model to these parameters. The reservoir model was found to be a promising tool for examining potential climate-change impacts. Some of the assumptions required to apply GCM output to the reservoir model, however, illustrate the problems in using large-scale gridcell output to assess small-scale impacts.  相似文献   
53.
Efficient updating of kriging estimates and variances   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
This short note presents a method for efficiently updating ordinary kriging estimates and variances when one or more additional samples are incorporated into the kriging system. First, the foundation linear algebra result is presented. Then the update equations are derived. Finally, an illustrative application of updating is briefly discussed.  相似文献   
54.
Summary Chromite is a widespread accessory mineral in olivine-rich cumulates derived from komatiitic lavas. The distribution and crystal habit of chromfite is related to the degree of differentiation of the parent magma as reflected in the composition of cumulus olivine. Cumulates with olivine forsterite content greater than 93 mol percent typically contain no chromfite at all, while chromfite forms clusters of disseminated euhedral grains in cumulates with forsterite less than 91 mol percent. In the forsterite 91–93 interval, chromite may develop lobate interstitial habits. In the Six Mile Well ultramafic complex in the Yakabindie region of the Agnew-Wiluna greenstone belt, and in other olivine-rich komatiitic units within this belt, chromfite shows well developed poikilitic textures enclosing olivine.The absence of intercumulus silicate phases in these rocks and the low normative chromfite content of the parent magma make it impossible for these chromfite grains to have crystallised from intercumulus trapped liquid. These rocks must be cotectic chromite-olivine adcumulates, owing their unusual texture to differing relative rates of nucleation and growth of chromfite and olivine, crystallising togetherin situ. This observation provides further evidence for a cumulus origin for oikocrysts in layered intrusions, and casts doubt on the usefulness of cumulus terminology.
Poikilitischer Chromit in komatiitischen Kumulaten
Zusammenfassung Chromit ist in Olivin-reichen Kumulaten, die von komatiitischen Laven abstammen, ein häufiges akzessorisches Mineral. Die Verteilung und der Kristallhabitus von Chromit hängt vom Grad der Differentiation des Stammagmas, der in der Zusammensetzung der Kumulus-Olivine zum Ausdruck kommt, ab. Für Kumulate mit Olivinen mit einem Forsterit-Gehalt von über 93 mol.% ist es charakteristisch, daß sie überhaupt keinen Chromit enthalten, während Chromit in Kumulaten mit Olivinen mit weniger als 90 mol.% Forsterit Cluster aus fein verteilten, idiomorphem Körnern bildet. Im Intervall Forsterit 90–93 kann Chromit lobate, interstitielle Formen ausbilden. Im ultramafischen Komplex Six Mile Well in der Yakabindie-Region des Agnew-Wiluna-Grünsteingürtels und in anderen Olivin-reichen komatiitischen Einheiten in diesem Gürtel zeigen die Chromite gut entwickelte poikilitische Texturen mit eingeschlossenen Olivinen.Da silikatische Interkumulus-Phasen in diesen Gesteinen fehlen und der normative Chromitgehalt des Stammagmas niedrig ist, können diese Chromitkörner nicht aus einer Interkumulus-Schmelze auskristallisiert sein. Diese Gesteine müssen daher kotektische Chromit-Olivin-Adkumulate sein, die ihre ungewöhnliche Textur den variierenden relativen Keimbildungs- und Wachstumsraten von Chromit und Olivin, die gemeinsam in situ kristallisierten, verdanken. Diese Beobachtung stellt einen weiteren Beweis für die Entstehung von Oikokristallen als Kumulusphase in geschichteten Intrusionen dar und läßt die Zweckmäßigkeit der Kumulus-Terminologie als zweifelhaft erscheinen.


With 5 Figures  相似文献   
55.
56.
Concentrations of the platinum-group elements have been determined in several suites of southern African flood-type basalts and mid-ocean ridge basalt (MORB), covering some 3 Ga of geologic evolution and including the Etendeka, Karoo, Soutpansberg, Machadodorp, Hekpoort, Ventersdorp and Dominion magmas. The magmas cover a compositional range from 3.7 to 18.7% MgO, 26–720 ppm Ni, 16–250 ppm Cu, and <1–255 ppb total platinum-group elements (PGE). The younger basalts (Etendeka, Karoo) tend to be depleted in PGE relative to Cu, while most of the older basalts (Hekpoort, Machadodorp, Ventersdorp, Dominion) show no PGE depletion relative to Cu. Further, the younger basalts tend to have lower average Pt/Pd ratios than the older basalts, and the MORBs have lower average Pt/Pd than the continental basalts within the broad groupings of "old" and "young" basalts. This may reflect (1) a decreasing degree of mantle melting through geologic time, and (2) source heterogeneity, in that the MORBs are derived from predominantly asthenospheric mantle, whereas the continental basalts also contain a lithospheric mantle component enriched in Pt. In addition to these factors, some PGE fractionation also occurred during differentiation of the magmas, with Pd showing incompatible behaviour and the other PGE variably compatible behaviour. The examined southern African flood-type basalts and MORB appear to offer limited prospects for magmatic sulfide ores, largely because they show little evidence for significant chalcophile metal depletion that could be the result of sulphide extraction during ascent and crystallization.Editorial responsibility: I. Parsons  相似文献   
57.
Within the German Tropospheric Research Programme (TFS) numerous kinetic and mechanistic studies on the tropospheric reaction/degradation of the following reactants were carried out: oxygenated VOC, aromatic VOC, biogenic VOC, short-lived intermediates, such as alkoxy and alkylperoxy radicals.At the conception of the projects these selected groups were classes of VOC or intermediates for which the atmospheric oxidation mechanisms were either poorly characterised or totally unknown. The motivation for these studies was the attainment of significant improvements in our understanding of the atmospheric chemical oxidation processes of these compounds, particularly with respect to their involvement in photooxidant formation in the troposphere. In the present paper the types of experimental investigations performed and the results obtained within the various projects are briefly summarised. The major achievements are highlighted and discussed in terms of their contribution to improving our understanding of the chemical processes controlling photosmog formation in the troposphere.  相似文献   
58.
Barnes  G.  Cally  P.S. 《Solar physics》2000,193(1-2):373-382
Sunspots are strong absorbers of f and p modes. A possible absorption mechanism is direct conversion to slow magnetoacoustic waves. Calculations based on vertical magnetic field models show that this works well for f modes, but is inadequate for p modes. Using a very simple shallow spot model, in which the effects of the magnetic field are accounted for solely by a surface condition, we investigate the possibility that p modes first scatter into f modes inside the spot, which are then more susceptible to conversion to slow modes. We find that the coupling between an incident p mode and the internal f mode is unlikely to be strong enough to account for the observed absorption, but that the incident modes do couple strongly to the acoustic jacket in some cases, leading to a region immediately around the sunspot where a significant fraction of the surface velocity is due to the jacket modes.  相似文献   
59.
Alaska, U.S.A, is one of the few remaining locations in the world that has fjords that contain temperate idewater glaciers. Studying such estuarine systems provides vital information on how deglaciation affects oceanographic onditions of fjords and surrounding coastal waters. The oceanographic system of Glacier Bay, Alaska, is of particular interest ue to the rapid deglaciation of the Bay and the resulting changes in the estuarine environment, the relatively high oncentrations of marine mammals, seabirds, fishes, and invertebrates, and the Bay’s status as a national park, where ommercial fisheries are being phased out. We describe the first comprehensive broad-scale analysis of physical and iological oceanographic conditions within Glacier Bay based on CTD measurements at 24 stations from 1993 to 2002. easonal patterns of near-surface salinity, temperature, stratification, turbidity, and euphotic depth suggest that freshwater nput was highest in summer, emphasizing the critical role of glacier and snowmelt to this system. Strong and persistent tratification of surface waters driven by freshwater input occurred from spring through fall. After accounting for seasonal nd spatial variation, several of the external physical factors (i.e., air temperature, precipitation, day length) explained a large mount of variation in the physical properties of the surface waters. Spatial patterns of phytoplankton biomass varied hroughout the year and were related to stratification levels, euphotic depth, and day length. We observed hydrographic atterns indicative of strong competing forces influencing water column stability within Glacier Bay: high levels of freshwater ischarge promoted stratification in the upper fjord, while strong tidal currents over the Bay’s shallow entrance sill enhanced ertical mixing. Where these two processes met in the central deep basins there were optimal conditions of intermediate tratification, higher light levels, and potential nutrient renewal. These conditions were associated with high and sustained hlorophylla levels observed from spring through fall in these zones of the Bay and provide a framework for understanding he abundance patterns of higher trophic levels within this estuarine system.  相似文献   
60.
The growing interest in and emphasis on high spatial resolution estimates of future climate has demonstrated the need to apply regional climate models (RCMs) to that problem. As a consequence, the need for validation of these models, an assessment of how well an RCM reproduces a known climate, has also grown. Validation is often performed by comparing RCM output to gridded climate datasets and/or station data. The primary disadvantage of using gridded climate datasets is that the spatial resolution is almost always different and generally coarser than climate model output. We have used a Bayesian statistical model derived from observational data to validate RCM output. We used surface air temperature (SAT) data from 109 observational stations in California, all with records of approximately 50 years in length, and created a statistical model based on this data. The statistical model takes into account the elevation of the station, distance from coastline, and the NOAA climate region in which the station resides. Analysis indicates that the statistical model provides reliable estimates of the mean monthly SAT at any given station. In our method, the uncertainty in the estimates produced by the statistical model are directly determined by obtaining probability density functions for predicted SATs. This statistical model is then used to estimate average SATs corresponding to each of the climate model grid cells. These estimates are compared to the output of the RCM to assess how well the RCM matches the observed climate as defined by the statistical model. Overall, the match between the RCM output and the statistical model is good, with some deficiencies likely due in part to the representation of topography in the RCM.  相似文献   
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