Estimating trends of Atlantic meridional overturning circulation from long-term hydrographic data and model simulations     

Gerrit Lohmann  Helmuth Haak  Johann H. Jungclaus 《Ocean Dynamics》2008,58(2):127-138

The ocean meridional overturning circulation (MOC) plays a central role for the climate in the Atlantic realm. Since scenarios for future climate change indicate a significant reduction of the MOC under global warming, an assessment of variations and trends of the real MOC is important. Using observations at ocean weather ship (OWS) stations and along oceanic sections, we examine the hydrographic information that can be used to determine MOC trends via its signature in water mass properties obtained from model simulations with the climate model ECHAM5/MPI-OM. We show that temperature trends at mid-latitudes provide useful indirect measure of large-scale changes of deep circulation: A mid-depth warming is related to MOC weakening and a cooling to MOC strengthening. Based on our model experiments, we argue that a continuation of measurements at key OWS sites may contribute to a timely detection of a possible future MOC slowdown and to separate the signal from interannual-to-multidecadal MOC variability. The simulations suggest that the subsurface hydrographic information related to MOC has a lower variability than the MOC trend measured directly. Based on our model and the available long-term hydrographic data, we estimate non-significant MOC trends for the last 80 years. For the twenty-first century, however, the model simulations predict a significant MOC decline and accompanied mid-depth warming trend.  相似文献   

Untersuchungen über den Aufbau offener Sternhaufen     

W. Lohmann 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1970,292(5):193-203

From strip counts in 20 open star clusters the characteristic parameters of their structure are derived. At the boundaries of the clusters the relative potential amounts to 0.32 on the average. The effective mean distance of the stars from the centre of the cluster introduced by SCHWARZSCHILD corresponds nearly to the radius of the cluster. The counts in two clusters allow to continue the cumulative mass functions up to Mv ≈ 8, and their exponential convergence is used for the determination of the cluster masses. The same has been done for the Pleiades and seven clusters according to the counts of VAN DEN BERGH and SHER . The mean velocities and the mean periods of revolution T of the cluster stars are of the order 0.90 km/s and 12 · 10⁶ years respectively. Between the latter and the mean (mass) density the relation T ≈≈ 20 · 10⁶ is valid. During 1 · 10⁹ years the mean cluster loses 50% of its stars by relaxation.  相似文献   

The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes (PILPS) phase 2(c) Red-Arkansas River basin experiment:: 2. Spatial and temporal analysis of energy fluxes   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Xu Liang  Eric F. Wood  Dennis P. Lettenmaier  Dag Lohmann  Aaron Boone  Sam Chang  Fei Chen  Yongjiu Dai  Carl Desborough  Robert E. Dickinson  Qingyun Duan  Michael Ek  Yeugeniy M. Gusev  Florence Habets  Parviz Irannejad  Randy Koster  Kenneth E. Mitchell  Olga N. Nasonova  Joel Noilhan  John Schaake  Adam Schlosser  Yaping Shao  Andrey B. Shmakin  Diana Verseghy  Kirsten Warrach  Peter Wetzel  Yongkang Xue  Zong-Liang Yang  Qing-cun Zeng 《Global and Planetary Change》1998,19(1-4)

The energy components of sixteen Soil-Vegetation Atmospheric Transfer (SVAT) schemes were analyzed and intercompared using 10 years of surface meteorological and radiative forcing data from the Red-Arkansas River basin in the Southern Great Plains of the United States. Comparisons of simulated surface energy fluxes among models showed that the net radiation and surface temperature generally had the best agreement among the schemes. On an average (annual and monthly) basis, the estimated latent heat fluxes agreed (to within approximate estimation errors) with the latent heat fluxes derived from a radiosonde-based atmospheric budget method for slightly more than half of the schemes. The sensible heat fluxes had larger differences among the schemes than did the latent heat fluxes, and the model-simulated ground heat fluxes had large variations among the schemes. The spatial patterns of the model-computed net radiation and surface temperature were generally similar among the schemes, and appear reasonable and consistent with observations of related variables, such as surface air temperature. The spatial mean patterns of latent and sensible heat fluxes were less similar than for net radiation, and the spatial patterns of the ground heat flux vary greatly among the 16 schemes. Generally, there is less similarity among the models in the temporal (interannual) variability of surface fluxes and temperature than there is in the mean fields, even for schemes with similar mean fields.  相似文献   

Der offene Sternhaufen NGC 5617     

Werner Lohmann 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1976,41(1):27-37

Zusammenfassung Der offene Sternhaufen NGC 5617 wurde nach dem Streifenverfahren auf Karten von photographischen Aufnahmen verschiedener Belichtungszeiten mit dem 1m-Schmidt-Teleskop des European Southern Observatory in Chile untersucht. Der Haufen enthält etwa 460 Sterne mit einer Gesamtmasse von 700 . Der Radius beträgt 3.7 pc, die Sterndichte im Zentrum 50 Sterne pc^–3, und die mittlere Sterngeschwindigkeit 0.89 km s^–1. Auf den länger belichteten Aufnahmen taucht im Abstand von 12.3 in Richtung SSE ein unbekannter offener Sternhaufen auf, der einen Radius von etwa 4.3 hat und etwa 150 Sterne bis zur GrenzgrößeV19^m enthält.

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The open cluster NGC 5617 was investigated by the strip method on charts of photographs with different exposure times taken with the 1-m Schmidt telescope of the European Southern Observatory. The cluster contains about 460 stars with a total mass of 700 . Its radius amounts to 3.7 pc; the star density in the center is 50 stars pc^–3; and the mean stellar velocity, 0.89 km s^–1. On longerexposed photographs at a distance of 12.3 in direction to SSE an unknown open star cluster becomes visible with a radius of 4.3, containing about 150 stars to the limiting magnitudeV19^m.

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Mitteilungen Serie A.  相似文献