STUDY ON MIXED MODEL OF NEURAL NETWORK FOR FARMLAND FLOOD/DROUGHT PREDICTION   总被引：18，自引：0，他引：18  

金龙  罗莹  郭光  林振山 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1997,(3)

The paper concerns a flood/drought prediction model involving the continuation of time seriesof a predictand and the physical factors influencing the change of predictand.Attempt is made toconstruct the model by the neural network scheme for the nonlinear mapping relation based onmulti-input and single output.The model is found of steadily higher predictive accuracy by testingthe output from one and multiple stepwise predictions against observations and comparing theresults to those from a traditional statistical model.  相似文献   

农田土壤湿度的人工神经网络预测诊断系统   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1       下载免费PDF全文

金龙  袁成松 《气象》1997,23(3):25-29

采用人工神经网络（ＡＮＮ）方法，研制了农田土壤湿度预测，诊断分析系统，该系统根据不同的土壤湿度特点和影响因子，可自动提供时间序列拓展的人工神经网络预测模型和人工神经网络的混合预测模型进行土壤湿度的动态预测。并提供不同降水量的土壤湿水分渗透深度诊断分析，系统采用中文菜单显示的人机对话方式操作，使具有准动力学特性，多种可调参数和网络结构的ＡＮＮ方法变得简便易于操作。实际使用表明，该系统对土壤湿度的预测  相似文献   

线性地质统计学在地质工作计算机化中的作用及意义     

杜亚军  杨龙 《四川地质学报》1996,(4)

线性地质统计学的发展与地质工作逐渐由定性向定量、由人工劳动逐渐被计算机取代的过程密切相关的。对样品品位赋予一定的权值进行滑动加权平均，来估计中心块段平均品位的方法，使地质问题的计算能在计算机上实现开辟了新的途径。  相似文献   

滇西孟连曼信一带火山岩微枕状构造特征及其地质意义——兼论曼信—老厂一带火山岩时代     

肖龙  汪劲草 《矿产与地质》1996,(5)

首次发现报道了曼信一带海相火山岩微枕状构造的地质特征。主要根据野外第一手资料，分析探讨了曼信—老厂一带火山岩的时代，主要认识是：“依柳组”火山岩的主要形成于晚二叠世；老厂地区泥盆纪—中晚石炭世有少量基性—中性火山活动及三叠纪火山活动。  相似文献   

泰和盆地构造和演化初探     

王迪文  龙天 《江西地质科技》1997,24(4):165-169

我国大部分地区的小新生代盆地的成生、演化受断裂构造的控制,泰和盆地即是严格受断裂构造控制的走滑拉张型盆地。本文着重从盆地的基底构造、盆缘断裂构造及盆地同生、后期构造阐述了它们与盆地形成和演化的关系。  相似文献   

A new form of the cokriging equations     

Andrew E. Long  Donald E. Myers 《Mathematical Geology》1997,29(5):685-703

Myers developed a matrix form of the cokriging equations, but one that entails the solution of a large system of linear equations. Large systems are troublesome because of memory requirements and a general increase in the matrix condition number. We transform Myers’s system into a set of smaller systems, whose solution gives the classical kriging results, and provides simultaneously a nested set of lower dimensional cokriging results. In the course of developing the new formulation we make an interesting link to the Cauchy-Schwarz condition for the invertibility of a system, and another to a simple situation of coregionalization. In addition, we proceed from these new equations to a linear approximation to the cokriging results in the event that the crossvariograms are small, allowing one to take advantage of a recent results of Xie and others which proceeds by diagonalizing the variogram matrix function over the lag classes.  相似文献   

STUDY ON THE VARIATION IN THE CONFIGURATION OF SUBTROPICAL ANTICYCLONE AND ITS MECHANISM DURING SEASONAL TRANSITION-PART Ⅱ:SEASONAL TRANSITION INDICES OVER THE ASIAN MONSOON REGION          下载免费PDF全文

MAO Jiangyu  WU Guoxiong  LIU Yimin 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》2004,18(1):17-32

Based on the studies in Part Ⅰ (see Mao et al.2003),this paper further examines the relationship between the Asian summer monsoon onset and variation in meridional position of the warm temperature ridge with a zonal orientation in mid-upper troposphere.During the Asian monsoon bursting consequentially over the Bay of Bengal,South China Sea,and South Asia,in addition to the reversal of winds in the lower and upper troposphere and deep convection before and after the onset,the atmospheric meridional temperature gradient (MTG) in the vicinity of the ridge-surface of subtropical high (WEB defined in Part Ⅰ) exhibits a significant reversal.Since the establishment of temperature structure with higher over north than over south of the WEB in the mid-upper troposphere (200-500 hPa) characterizes the collective essential that the Asian summer monsoon bursts over different areas,the MTG in mid-upper troposphere,based on the thermodynamics associated with the seasonal transition,should be a reasonable index to measure the Asian monsoon onset.The definition for onset date is proposed,and the time series of onset date for different sections are determined.As compared with the onset dates determined by other indices such as 850-hPa zonal wind and OLR.correlation analyses indicate that the 850-hPa zonal wind is only regional index,but the MTG index is applicable universally to the Asian monsoon regime.  相似文献   

2001年四川雅江6.0级地震序列的破裂特征及发震构造   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

龙思胜 《中国地震》2004,20(1):1-11

2001年雅江地震序列(主要地震是2月14日的Ms5．1和2月23日的Ms6．0地震)是四川地区近13年来的重要地震。选择2001年1月1日～6月30日期间，四川地震台网至少5个清晰的初动到时所记录的雅江地震序列中88次地震，并对其作了重新定位，对其中较大的13次地震用四川地区地震台网P波初动资料作了震源机制解。88次地震震源深度分布在2～16km，优势深度为9～llkm。前震、5．1级地震及其余震、6．0级地震及余震都紧邻孜河断裂分布，且按时段划分的震中优势分布方位与孜河断裂走向都是北西向。根据雅江地区近期大地形变场物质运移方向，选定了震源机制解的破裂面。13次较大地震震源机制解的主压应力P轴具有较大的垂向分量，水平投影方向为南东；地震类型都是左旋、走滑一正断型或正断一走滑型；大部分地震破裂面走向为北西一南东，倾向南西。根据前震、5．1级地震及其余震、6．0级地震及其余震震中优势分布方位，以及大多数较大地震破裂面走向和倾向，认为穿过震区的走向北西、倾向南西的孜河断裂是这次雅江地震序列的发震断裂。  相似文献   

The Bulong Gold Deposit-a Quartz-Barite Vein Type Gold Deposit in Xinjiang:Geological Characteristics and S, He and Ar Isotopic Compositions   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

YANG Fuquan  WANG Yitian  MAO Jingwen Institute of Mineral Resources  Chinese Academy of Geological Sciences  Beijing 《《地质学报》英文版》2004,78(2):404-416

The Bulong gold deposit, located in the southwest Tianshan in China, occurs in the Upper Devonian finegrained clastic rocks. The gold orebodies are controlled by an gently inclined interlayer fractured zone. They are hosted only in quartz-barite veins though there are barite veins and quartz veins in the ore district. The δ34S values of pyrite in the ores range from 14.6‰ to 19.2‰ and those of barite from 35.0‰ to 39.6‰, indicating that the sulfur was derived from the strata. 3He/4He ratios of fluid inclusions in pyrite are 0.24-0.82 R/Ra, approximating to that of the crust. The 40Ar/39Ar ratios range from 338 to 471, slightly higher than that of the atmosphere. 40Ar /4He ratios of ore fluids range from 0.015 to 0.412 with a mean of 0.153. Helium and argon isotope compositions of fluid inclusions show that the ore fluids of the Bulong gold deposit were mainly derived from the crust.  相似文献   

综合物探方法在汤上屯地热勘探中的应用研究     

龙凡  韩天成 《地下水》2004,26(1):43-47

本文通过联剖、电测深、磁法和测温法等综合工作成果,分析、推断出汤上屯热水构造的产状、性质和热水出露条件,圈定出了热水分布范围.  相似文献