A general scheme for modelling γ-ray burst prompt emission     

Pawan Kumar  Erin McMahon 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2008,384(1):33-63

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A multi-perspective examination of heat waves affecting Metro Vancouver: now into the future     

Ronald E. Stewart  Daniel Betancourt  James B. Davies  Deborah Harford  Yaheli Klein  Robert Lannigan  Linda Mortsch  Erin O’Connell  Kathy Tang  Paul H. Whitfield 《Natural Hazards》2017,87(2):791-815

Using studies of places where heat waves are common, projected changes in heat waves in Metro Vancouver are assessed from a multi-disciplinary perspective with respect to the potential impacts of the physical change on the people and infrastructure with the intention of being better prepared for future events. Trends in maximum temperature parameters for Metro Vancouver for the past 75 years are generally not statistically significant; however, projections for 2041–2060 and 2081–2100 suggest that the region will experience such events more frequently in the future due to climate change. While Metro Vancouver, British Columbia (BC) generally does not typically experience heat waves it was strongly affected by a major heat event in July 2009, with temperature records being broken at Vancouver (≥31 °C) on the coast and at Abbotsford (≥36 °C) 65-km inland. A lack of sea breeze during this event meant that there was no cooling effect, and land surface temperatures over the downtown area approached 40 °C and excess deaths occurred. Many victims were either in the 65–74 age category, the vulnerable poor, or people with mental health issues. Because these events are rare, many buildings lack air-conditioning, and residents of Metro Vancouver under-anticipate their vulnerability. The costs of health-related impacts outweighed those related to higher electricity usage.  相似文献   

The Changing Cold Regions Network:Observation,diagnosis and prediction of environmental change in the Saskatchewan and Mackenzie River Basins,Canada     

Chris M DEBEER  Howard S WHEATER  William L QUINTON  Sean K CAREY  Ronald E STEWART  Murray D MACKAY  Philip MARSH 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2015,(1):46-60

Climate change is causing rapid and severe changes to many Earth systems and processes,with widespread cryospheric,ecological,and hydrological impacts globally,and especially in high northern latitudes.This is of major societal concern and there is an urgent need for improved understanding and predictive tools for environmental management.The Changing Cold Regions Network(CCRN)is a Canadian research consortium with a focus to integrate existing and new experimental data with modelling and remote sensing products to understand,diagnose,and predict changing land,water,and climate,and their interactions and feedbacks over the geographic domain of the Mackenzie and Saskatchewan River Basins in Canada.The network operates a set of 14 unique and focused Water,Ecosystem,Cryosphere and Climate(WECC)observatories within this region,which provide opportunities to observe and understand processes and their interaction,as well as develop and test numerical simulation models,and provide validation data for remote sensing products.This paper describes this network and its observational,experimental,and modelling programme.An overview of many of the recent Earth system changes observed across the study region is provided,and some local insights from WECC observatories that may partly explain regional patterns and trends are described.Several of the model products being developed are discussed,and linkages with the local to international user community are reviewed—In particular,the use of WECC data towards model and remote sensing product calibration and validation is highlighted.Some future activities and prospects for the network are also presented at the end of the paper.  相似文献   

Modeling anthropogenic boron in groundwater flow and discharge at Volusia Blue Spring (Florida,USA)     

Erin M. Reed  Dingbao Wang  Steven J. Duranceau 《Hydrogeology Journal》2017,25(1):91-101

Volusia Blue Spring (VBS) is the largest spring along the St. Johns River in Florida (USA) and the spring pool is refuge for hundreds of manatees during winter months. However, the water quality of the spring flow has been degraded due to urbanization in the past few decades. A three-dimensional contaminant fate and transport model, utilizing MODFLOW-2000 and MT3DMS, was developed to simulate boron transport in the Upper Florida Aquifer, which sustains the VBS spring discharge. The VBS model relied on information and data related to natural water features, rainfall, land use, water use, treated wastewater discharge, septic tank effluent flows, and fertilizers as inputs to simulate boron transport. The model was calibrated against field-observed water levels, spring discharge, and analysis of boron in water samples. The calibrated VBS model yielded a root-mean-square-error value of 1.8 m for the head and 17.7 μg/L for boron concentrations within the springshed. Model results show that anthropogenic boron from surrounding urbanized areas contributes to the boron found at Volusia Blue Spring.  相似文献   

Petrogenesis of Late Archaean Flood-Type Basic Lavas from the Klipriviersberg Group, Ventersdorp Supergroup, South Africa     

MARSH  J. S.; BOWEN  M. P.; ROGERS  N. W.; BOWEN  T. B. 《Journal of Petrology》1992,33(4):817-847

The Klipriviersberg Group is a small continental flood-typetholeiitic suite forming the basal unit of the Ventersdorp Supergroup,an undeformed late-Archaean supracrustal sequence covering 200000km² in the SW part of the Kaapvaal Craton. From the base up,the Klipriviersberg Group consists of the Westonaria, Alberton,Orkney, Jeannette, Loraine, and Edenville formations, with amaximum combined thickness of 1–8 km. Samples were obtainedfrom several borehole cores in the Klerksdorp goldfield closeto the type area of the Klipriviersberg Group. This sample suiteincludes a detailed collection from a 1–36-km core intersection.These samples reveal that the Westonaria Formation is absentfrom the succession and that the Jeannette Formation is representedby a thin sequence of breccias. The remaining units are builtof lavas ranging from siliceous picrite basalts to tholeiiticandesites in composition. All lavas exhibit the effects of greenschistfacies metamorphism but igneous textures are well preservedand reveal that most lavas are aphyric to sparsely porphyritic.A well-developed geochemical stratigraphy exists in the lavasequence and is characterized by an upward trend from evolvedto primitive lavas. The Alberton (mg-number = 0.53–0.43;Zr= 108–137 ppm) and Orkney (mg-number = 0.51–O.42;Zr = 90–110ppm) lavas have a narrow compositional rangeand are more differentiated than the compositionally more variableLoraine/Edenville lavas (mg-number = 0.75 0.47; Zr = 34–97ppm). Unusual inter-element correlations in the Alberton andOrkney lavas suggest that magma mixing processes were importantin their petrogenesis. Compositional variation in the Loraine/Edenvillelavas is consistent with simple fractional crystallization dominatedby orthopyroxene. Collectively, all these lavas are light rareearth element (LREE)-enriched and have negative Nb-Ta, P, andTi anomalies on mid-ocean ridge basalt (MORB)- or primitivemantle-normalized abundance diagrams. In this they resemblemafic lavas from modern subduction-zone environments and manyArchaean and early Proterozoic siliceous high-magnesium basalts.The Klipriviersberg lavas also have initial Nd-isotopic compositionsthat cluster about the chondritic uniform reservoir (CHUR) valueregardless of degree of differentiation. It is unlikely thatcrustal contamination has influenced the composition of theKlipriviersberg lavas to any significant extent, and their geochemicalfeatures have probably been inherited from lithospheric mantlesources.  相似文献   

Map and GIS database of glacial landforms and features related to the last British Ice Sheet   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

CHRIS D. CLARK  DAVID J. A. EVANS  ANJANA KHATWA  TOM BRADWELL  COLM J. JORDAN  STUART H. MARSH  WISHART A. MITCHELL  MARK D. BATEMAN 《Boreas: An International Journal of Quaternary Research》2004,33(4):359-375

A review of the academic literature and British Geological Survey mapping is employed to produce a 'Glacial Map', and accompanying geographic information system (GIS) database, of features related to the last (Devensian) British Ice Sheet. The map (1:625 000) is included in a folder and GIS data are freely available by web download (http://www.shef.ac.uk/geography/staff/clark_chris/britice.html). Emphasis is on information that constrains the last ice sheet. The following are included: moraines, eskers, drumlins, meltwater channels, tunnel valleys, trimlines, limit of key glacigenic deposits, glaciolacustrine deposits, ice-dammed lakes, erratic dispersal patterns, shelf-edge fans and the Loch Lomond Readvance limit of the main ice cap. The GIS contains over 20 000 features split into thematic layers (as above). Individual features are attributed such that they can be traced back to their published sources. Given that the published sources of information that underpin this work were derived by piecemeal effort over 150 years, then our main caveat is of data consistency and reliability. It is hoped that this compilation will stimulate greater scrutiny of published data, assist in palaeoglaciological reconstructions and facilitate use of field evidence in numerical ice-sheet modelling. It may also help direct field workers in their future investigations.  相似文献   

Process-based snowmelt modeling: does it require more input data than temperature-index modeling?   总被引：4，自引：0，他引：4  

M. Todd Walter  Erin S. Brooks  Donald K. McCool  Larry G. King  Myron Molnau  Jan Boll 《Journal of Hydrology》2005,300(1-4):65-75

Modeling snow hydrology for cold regions remains a problematic aspect of many hydro-environmental models. Temperature-index methods are commonly used and are routinely justified under the auspices that process-based models require too many input data. To test this claim, we used a physical, process-based model to simulate snowmelt at four locations across the conterminous US using energy components estimated from measured daily maximum and minimum temperature, i.e. using only the same data required for temperature-index models. The results showed good agreement between observed and predicted snow water equivalents, average R²>0.9. We duplicated the simulations using a simple temperature-index model best fitted to the data and results were poorer, R²<0.8. At one site we applied the process-based model without substantial parameter estimation, and there were no significant (=0.05) differences between these results and those obtained using temperature-estimated parameters, despite relatively poorly predicted specific energy budget components (R²<0.8). These results encourage the use of mechanistic snowmelt modeling approaches in hydrological models, especially in distributed hydrological models for which landscape snow distribution may be controlled by spatially distributed components of the environmental energy budget.  相似文献   

On the Origin of High-Alumina Arc Basalt and the Mechanics of Melt Extraction   总被引：3，自引：2，他引：3  

BROPHY  JAMES G.; MARSH  BRUCE D. 《Journal of Petrology》1986,27(4):763-789

Most models of high-alumina arc basalt petrogenesis rely heavilyon the supposition that the abundances of certain trace elements,in particular the relatively unfractionated Rare Earth Element(REE) patterns and the unusually high concentrations of K, Rb,Sr, and Ba are incompatible with a garnet-bearing subductedoceanic crustal (quartz eclogite) source rock. We have carefullyexamined this apparently unequivocal evidence in light of recentprogress on the physics of melt extraction and the heat transferand mechanics of magma ascent. The weakest element of all traceelement models involving a quartz eclogite source is the assumptionthat the element concentrations are fixed at the source andonly later modified in the near-surface environment. We expandon such models by monitoring the concentrations of REE and majorand trace elements during initial melting, ascent, and extractionof magma. This is done by combining calculated cooling curvesfor ascending magmatic bodies with high pressure phase equilibria.The amount that each phase contributes to the melt is monitoredalong with the composition of the melt and residual solids.With quartz eclogite, initial melting initiates gravitationalinstability of the entire source material (melt plus solids)before melt extraction can occur. During ascent of this mush,melting increases until the solids can be repacked to free themelt. This extraction takes place some 15–20 km abovethe slab, after about 50 per cent melting, at which point themelt has a pattern of REE and other trace element concentrationsalmost identical to those observed in high-alumina arc basalts,assuming an initial composition equivalent to altered oceaniccrust plus 5 per cent pelagic sediment. Sr abundances are theonly ones which are not well-matched by this process. The majorelement concentrations of the extracted melt also closely matchthose of high-alumina arc basalt. A similar, but less detailedevaluation of both fertile and depleted peridotite source rocksyields good agreement for the REE and other trace element concentrationsassuming a LREE-enriched source rock strongly enriched in K,Rb, Sr, and Ba. Ni, Cr, and Co abundances are satisfied onlythrough substantial low pressure fractionation of mafic phases,in particular olivine. Though not rigorously tested, such aprocess may be compatible with the observed major element concentrationsof high-alumina basalt. However, the experimentally verifiedfact that high-alumina basalts could never have been in equilibriumwith either an olivine-bearing magma or source rock eliminatesthis possibility altogether. Thus, the simultaneous considerationof the mechanics of ascent and melt extraction along with phaseequilibria clearly shows that partial melting of quartz eclogitebest satisfies the chemical constraints of major, trace, andREE characteristics of high-alumina arc basalts.  相似文献   

Rhizome growth dynamics of native and exotic haplotypes ofPhragmites australis (Common reed)     

Michael T. League  Erin P. Colbert  Denise M. Seliskar  John L. Gallagher 《Estuaries and Coasts》2006,29(2):269-276

Phragmites australis (common reed), a clonal grass, has expanded from a minor component of the mid-Atlantic wetlands to a dominant species. It has been suggested that invasive populations ofPhragmites are an exotic haplotype responsible for the dramatic increase in the distribution of the species. We used field observations and measurements and a greenhouse assay to compare native (haplotype F) and exotic (haplotype M) populations, growing adjacent to one another in a brackish marsh near Odessa, Delaware. In the marsh, shoots of the exotic strain emerged from the rhizomes earlier than those of the native and by March there was an order of magnitude more new shoots of the exotic strain than the native. In August, the exotic strain was 30% taller than the native, had twice the leaf biomass, and twice the total biomass. Nine of ten morphological and biomass characteristics measured differed significantly between the native and exotic strains. A greenhouse assay was conducted by planting rhizomes collected in March in shallow trays and growing them for 70 d followed by shoot harvest (Harvest 1). Rhizomes were measured, replanted, and grown for 35 d after which time they were measured and shoots were harvested (Harvest 2). At Harvest 1, shoot height was approximately 80% greater in the exotic strain, shoot biomass was three times higher, aboveground to belowground biomass ratio was twice as high, and rhizome internode length was 50% greater in the exotic strain than the native. These traits, in addition to number of shoots, were also greater in the exotic strain at Harvest 2. The number of rhizome buds at Harvest 1 was three times greater in the native than in the exotic strain. The greater number of rhizome buds in the native would seem to be an advantage, but it did not result in more shoot production. Buds were maintained in an inactive state that does not allow this strain to compete well in a wetland environment inhabited by a more efficient spreader. The earlier emergence of new shoots from the rhizomes, the greater aboveground structure, the greater rhizome internode length, and the quick transition of rhizome buds to shoot or rhizome explain in part the exotic strain's advantage over the native and the mechanisms for its invasive nature.  相似文献   

Corrigendum to “Optically stimulated luminescence dating of late Holocene raised strandplain sequences adjacent to Lakes Michigan and Superior, Upper Peninsula, Michigan, USA” [Quaternary Research 63 (2005) 122-135]     

Erin P. Argyilan  Steven L. Forman  Douglas A. Wilcox 《Quaternary Research》2006,65(1):187

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