对“评‘两次希腊大地震的预测’”的答复     

Seiya Uyeda  左玉玲 《国际地震动态》2010,(7):48-48,34

我们欢迎来自Papadopoulos的批评。但我们必须指出,这些批评大部分都是不正确的。  相似文献   

Study on SST front disappearance in the subtropical North Pacific using microwave SSTs     

Chunhua Qiu  Hiroshi Kawamura 《Journal of Oceanography》2012,68(3):417-426

We investigated the processes relating to the weakening of the SST front in the subtropical front (STF) zone using the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System SSTs for 7?years with temporal/spatial resolutions of 1?day/12.5?km. In April, the SST front is strong with a high gradient magnitude (GM) and Jensen–Shannon divergence (JSD) band; in August, SSTs become uniform (28–30?°C), together with small GMs (<0.8?°C/100?km) and JSDs (<0.75). Since the SST front features become invisible in GM/JSD snapshots and weekly–monthly averaged images, we call this phenomenon ‘SST front disappearance (SFD)’. The SFD occurs in August, but the number of high SSTs (>30?°C) in August is smaller than that in July, which indicates that the SFD results from not only the increase in lower SSTs but also the decrease in higher SSTs. In June and July, the GM distributions have quite large standard deviations compared to those in May and August. We also investigated the vertical profile of STF using in situ temperature/salinity profiles. It was revealed that the SFD influence extends to 50?m depth. The area of high integrated heat flux and shallow mixed layer depth were found to correspond to the area where the GM decreases from 0.9 to 0.6?°C/100?km during June–August. Quantitative analyses confirmed that the SFD mechanism may be attributable to the establishment of the shallow mixed layer by the high integrated heat flux from May to July. From July to August, the SST heating/cooling in the north/south of the SST front may accelerate the SFD.  相似文献   

A NUMERICAL STUDY ON THE FORMATION AND DEVELOPMENT OF ISLAND-INDUCED CYCLONE AND ITS IMPACT ON TYPHOON STRUCTURE CHANGE AND MOTION   总被引：16，自引：0，他引：16  

Meng Zhiyong  Nagata Masashi  Chen Lianshou 《Acta Meteorologica Sinica》1996,10(4):430-443

In this paper,the impact of the Taiwan Island topography on the structure change and motion ofTyphoon Dot(9017)during its crossing the Taiwan Island is studied with a modified version of aJMA operational regional model(Japan spectral model,JSM).A series of sensitivity experiments areconducted to detect the forming and developing mechanism of an island-induced cyclone.Results showthat lee side low pressure center plays a very important role in the formation of the induced-cyclonewhile a typhoon is approaching a large island with high mountains.The position and intensity of theinduced cyclone is sensitive to the height and location of island mountain,intensity of TC and under-lying surface topography distribution as well.A preliminary formation criterion of the island-inducedcyclone is obtained.  相似文献   

Parameterization of rain cell properties using an advection-diffusion model and rain gage data     

Akira Kawamura  Kenji Jinno  Ronny Berndtsson  Takashi Furukawa 《Atmospheric Research》1996,42(1-4)

To reduce flooding risks and improve urban drainage management, there is a need to increase the forecasting accuracy for rainfall models on small typical urban time and space scales. Increased rainfall forecasting accuracy will in turn improve runoff prediction and thus, prevent flooding hazards, decrease pollution discharge through combined sewers, increase waste water treatment efficiency, etc. For this purpose, we analyzed the parameters of a two-dimensional stochastic advection-diffusion model including a Fourier domain method and an extended Kalman filter algorithm for investigation of motion, shape, size, and intensity distribution of convective rainfall. The resulting set of model parameters (advective velocity, apparent turbulent diffusion, and development/decay of rainfall rate) is used to study convective rainfall variability. It appears that the speed at which the rainfall cell is advected is not dependent on the cell development stage or apparent diffusion. Instead, there is a dependence between the source/sink term and apparent diffusion. This can be explained by the turbulent updraft of warm air which results in large rainfall intensity increase. This strong turbulence results in larger diffusion (and vice versa). The behavior of the model parameters is therefore physically explainable and relevant. The results can be used as first choice of parameter values when modeling convective rainfall over ungaged areas.  相似文献   

东海与黑潮海水中宇宙射线成因核素10Be的研究   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

杨永亮 《地球化学》2001,30(4):305-314

讨论了中日东海MASFLEX合作计划中调查的东海及冲绳海槽海水中溶解态10Be浓度水平及垂直剖面的结果，在这个海区，影响10Be浓度的因素主要有生物生产力，悬浮颗粒物的再溶解，以及长江水与黑潮水的混合程度。在样品采集期间（夏季和秋季），东海水柱呈分层状态，通常10Be的垂直剖面可以分成三层，即表面混合层，10Be释放层和底层，表层水10Be的浓度众长江口到黑潮逐渐增大，在黑潮的边缘则剧烈增大，10Be的垂直分布表明，在夏季10Be富集在长江口附近和大陆架中部的底层水中，这两个富集海区是分开的，很可能是由大陆沿岸水所隔开，在秋季，10Be在底层水中的富集仅仅出现在东海大陆架的西部，这个现象是和受季风影响的东海海流的变化相一致的，黑潮分支在台湾东北外海向东海南部侵入对10Be的影响要比黑潮主干流本身更加重要显著，由箱式模型所得到的10Be质量平衡计算结果表明，来自黑潮的10Be输入要比长江及大气沉降的输入更为重要，输入东海的10Be大约81％进入到沉积物中，而19％的10Be则通过海流和水交换流出东海，在东海的10Be沉积通量是10Be全球平均大气生产率的5倍左右，因而东海是10Be的一个重要汇集地。  相似文献   

Equatorial field-aligned irregularities deduced from the echo-train and hybrid whistlers     

Masashi Hayakawa  Yoshihito Tanaka 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》1973,111(1):2336-2340

Summary Equatorial field-aligned irregularities have been studied by using low-latitude echotrain and hybrid whistlers observed at Sakushima Station (geomag. lat. 24°). The structure is discussed in relation to the propagation mode trapped by field-aligned irregularities. We then find that the field-aligned irregularities responsible for the trapping of low latitude whistlers are of such small dimension as the HF ducts.  相似文献   

Analysis of tubular steel bridge piers     

Toshiki Ishizawa  Masashi Iura 《地震工程与结构动力学》2005,34(8):985-1004

A one‐dimensional model is proposed for the static and dynamic analysis of tubular steel bridge piers subjected to strong ground motions. The present formulation does not require experimental results nor shell analysis to obtain the constitutive equation of the model, which shows strength deterioration. The material properties and dimensions of bridge piers are required for static and dynamic analysis of the present model. The present analysis consists of two steps. The first step is to obtain the stress and strain relationship of the base plastic‐hinge region, where local inelastic buckling is observed. The modified Shanley's model and fiber elements are used to establish the compressive skeleton curve. The strength deterioration is taken into account in the resulting constitutive model. The second step is to analyze static and dynamic responses of tubular steel bridge piers. For overall analysis, the base plastic‐hinge region is discretized in the circumferential direction by using fiber elements whose constitutive equation was obtained in the first step. The validity of the present model has been confirmed through comparisons with existing experimental results. Copyright © 2005 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Long-chain carboxylic acids in pyrolysates of Green River kerogen     

Kimitaka Kawamura  Eu Tannenbaum  B.J. Huizinga  I.R. Kaplan 《Organic Geochemistry》1986,10(4-6)

Long-chain fatty acids (C₁₀-C₃₂), as well as C₁₄-C21 isoprenoid acids (except for C₁₈), have been identified in anhydrous and hydrous pyrolyses products of Green River kerogen (200–400°C, 2–1000 hr). These kerogen-released fatty acids are characterized by a strong even/odd predominance (CPI: 4.8-10.2) with a maximum at C₁₆ followed by lesser amounts of C₁₈ and C₂₂ acids. This distribution is different from that of unbound and bound geolipids extracted from Green River shale. The unbound fatty acids show a weak even/odd predominance (CPI: 1.64) with a maximum at C₁₄, and bound fatty acids display an even/odd predominance (CPI: 2.8) with maxima at C₁₈ and C₃₀. These results suggest that fatty acids were incorporated into kerogen during sedimentation and early diagenesis and were protected from microbial and chemical changes over geological periods of time. Total quantities of fatty acids produced during heating of the kerogen ranged from 0.71 to 3.2 mg/g kerogen. Highest concentrations were obtained when kerogen was heated with water for 100 hr at 300°C. Generally, their amounts did not decrease under hydrous conditions with increase in temperature or heating time, suggesting that significant decarboxylation did not occur under the pyrolysis conditions used, although hydrocarbons were extensively generated.  相似文献   

Incorporation of Be isotopes and other trace metals into marine ferromanganese deposits     

Masashi Kusakabe  Teh-Lung Ku 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》1984,48(11):2187-2193

Two-to threefold inward increase of ¹⁰Be, ⁹Be, Cu and Ni have been found in surface layers of marine ferromanganese deposits. We interpret this phenomenon as reflecting the manner in which the Be isotopes and probably other trace metals (e.g. Cu and Ni) are incorporated. On reaching the sea floor exchangeable Be is released from its carrier phase to the pore water of the ferromanganese deposits, diffuses inward and gets fixed into the deposits. The fixation process may be related to the mineralogical reorganizations suggested by previous studies. We have modeled this concept and applied it to a Mn crust on which detailed analyses of Cu, Ni and natural decay-series nuclides, as well as Be isotopes are made. Post-depositional fixation of Th isotopes may also occur. The redistributions of Be and Th isotopes are confined to regions very close to the surface of the deposits. For all practical purposes, they will not affect growth rate determinations conventionally done using these isotopes. The “linearly” extrapolated ${}^{10}\text{Be}{}^9\text{Be}$ ratio to the surface from deep layers of a Mn deposit does not necessarily represent that ratio in sea water.  相似文献   

Tightly bound aliphatic acids in Lake Biwa sediments: Their origin and stability     

Kimitaka Kawamura  Ryoshi Ishiwatari 《Organic Geochemistry》1984,7(2):121-126

Tightly bound geolipids were separated from a 200 m sediment core of Lake Biwa by a second saponification of sediments from which unbound and bound lipids had been extracted. Tightly bound fatty acids, β-hydroxy acids, ω-hydroxy acids and α,ω-dicarboxylic acids were released; their concentrations ranged from 4.7–31.5, 5.6–60.5, 3.4–9.5 and 0.2–5.4 μg/g dry sediment, respectively. These geolipids were considered to be incorporated in humic substances.Tightly bound fatty acids showed a unimodal distriution with a peak at C₁₆, suggesting that they originate from algae and bacteria and that they are more stable than unbound and bound fatty acids in the sediments. Most of the total β-hydroxy acids, which probably originate from bacteria, were found in the tightly bound fraction. This suggests that a large portion of tightly bound geolipids are formed in the water column and in surface sediments as a result of microbial alteration dead algae. Each class of tightly bound lipids showed higher concentrations between depths of 3 and 15 m in the sediments, where primary production was thought to be enhanced in the past.  相似文献