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481.
Ito equations are derived for simple stochastic cellular automaton with parameters describing efficiencies for avalanche triggering
and cell occupation. Analytical results are compared with the numerical one obtained from the histogram method. Good agreement
for various parameters supports the wide applicability of the Ito equation as a macroscopic model of some cellular automata
and complex natural phenomena which manifest random energy release. Also, the paper is an example of effectiveness of histogram
procedure as an adequate method of nonlinear modeling of time series. 相似文献
482.
Adam Kozioł 《Acta Geophysica》2015,63(2):514-532
Experimental research was undertaken to investigate the changes in scales of turbulent eddies (macro- and microeddies) in a compound channel and the influence of rigid, emergent floodplain vegetation on scales of turbulent eddies. The results of eight tests for different roughness conditions (smooth bed, rough bed) and with a tree system on the floodplains from two earlier studies are presented. The increase of the channel roughness resulted in a decrease of longitudinal sizes of macroeddies in the whole channel. Trees on the floodplains resulted in disintegration of the sizes of macroeddies, making values of sizes more uniform. A more significant decreasing influence on sizes of macroeddies in the whole channel was exerted by an increase of the main channel sloping bank roughness, having a higher effect than a twofold decrease in the floodplain trees density. The microeddies’ sizes are larger in the main channel centreline than on the floodplains and the smallest ones were present in the main channel/floodplain interface. 相似文献
483.
484.
This paper analyses the possibility of using integrated GPS (Global Positioning System) surveys and ground penetrating radar surveys to precisely locate damages to levees, particularly due to the activity of small fossorial mammals. The technology of intercommunication between ground penetrating radar (GPR) and an RTK (Real-Time Kinematic) survey unit, and the method of data combination, are presented. The errors which may appear during the survey work are also characterized. The procedure for processing the data so that the final results have a spatial character and are ready to be implemented in digital maps and geographic information systems (GIS) is also described. 相似文献
485.
Assessment of the Global and Regional Land Hydrosphere and Its Impact on the Balance of the Geophysical Excitation Function of Polar Motion 总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2
The impact of continental hydrological loading from land water, snow and ice on polar motion excitation, calculated as hydrological angular momentum (HAM), is difficult to estimate, and not as much is known about it as about atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) and oceanic angular momentum (OAM). In this paper, regional hydrological excitations to polar motion are investigated using monthly terrestrial water storage data derived from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission and from the five models of land hydrology. The results show that the areas where the variance shows large variability are similar for the different models of land hydrology and for the GRACE data. Areas which have a small amplitude on the maps make an important contribution to the global hydrological excitation function of polar motion. The comparison of geodetic residuals and global hydrological excitation functions of polar motion shows that none of the hydrological excitation has enough energy to significantly improve the agreement between the observed geodetic excitation and geophysical ones. 相似文献
486.
Modeling disruptions causing domino effects in urban guided transport systems faced by flood hazards
Gonzva Michaël Barroca Bruno Gautier Pierre-Étienne Diab Youssef 《Natural Hazards》2017,89(1):183-200
Coastal cities are more vulnerable to floods due to the joint impact of rainfall and tide level. Quantitative risk assessment of disaster-causing factors is critical to urban flood management. This paper presents an integrated method to quantify the hazard degree of disaster-causing factors, rainfall and tide level, and to investigate the optimal management of flooding risk in different disaster-causing factor areas. First, an urban flood inundation model is used to simulate inundated extents in different drainage districts. Then, formulas are put forward to calculate the hazard degree of rainfall and tide level based on inundated extents in different combinations of rainfall and tide level. According to the hazard degree, the main disaster-causing factor could be identified in each drainage district. Finally, the optimal management of flooding risk in different disaster-causing factor areas is selected by disaster reduction analysis and cost–benefit analysis. Furthermore, the coastal city, Haikou of China, is taken as a case study. The results indicate that the hazard degree increases with the increasing distance between the drainage district and the Qiongzhou Strait or the Nandu River in the eastern of Haikou. Heavy rain is the main disaster-causing factor in inland areas, while high tide level is the main disaster-causing factor in island areas. For the area whose main disaster-causing factor is heavy rain, water storage projects could effectively reduce flooding. Meanwhile, pumps are economical choices for the area where tide level is the main disaster-causing factor. The results can provide reference for drainage planning in other coastal areas. 相似文献
487.
The paper attempts to answer the following key question: how will a city′s world rank change in the face of crisis in its main economic sector? Crisis is defined here as a decline in financial performance in the given sector, which leads to the decline of its constituent firms and corporations on the world economic scene. The World Economic Center Index(WECI) has been created in order to rank cities based on the value of their resident corporations by sector and show their level of stability upon the removal of the most important sector. This provides information on the potential of each analyzed city as well as on its advanced features or area of specialization. Research has shown that nearly half the World Economic Centers are dominated by the financial and materials sectors of the economy. Different sectors dominate different regions of the world. For example, consumer staples and materials were dominant in North America, while information technology and financials were dominant in Europe. In Asia, several sectors tend to dominate the economy. Research has shown that the ability of a principal economic sector to resist economic crisis largely depends on the strength of the command and control function of a city. Finally, a high globalization level of a city is a key determinant of its susceptibility to economic crisis. 相似文献
488.
The integrity of wells, which are key components for CO2 sequestration, depends mainly on the seal between the wellbore cement and the geologic formation. To identify the reaction products that may alter the cement/caprock interface, batch experiments and computer modelling were conducted and analysed. Over time, the dissolution and precipitation of minerals alters the physical properties of the interface, including its tightness. One main objective of the simulation was thus to analyse the evolution of the porosity of cement and caprock over time. The alteration of the cement/caprock interface was identified as a complex problem and differentiated depending on rock type. The characteristic feature of a cement/shale contact zone is the occurrence of a highly carbonated, compacted layer within the shale, which in turn causes cement/shale detachment. In the case of a cement/anhydrite interface, the most important reaction is severe anhydrite dissolution. Secondary calcite precipitation takes place in deeper parts of the rock. The cement/rock contact zone is prone to rapid mineral dissolution, which contributes to increased porosity and may alter the well integrity. Comparison of computer simulations with autoclave experiments enabled the adjustment of unknown parameters. This enhances the knowledge of these particular assemblages. Overall, a good match was obtained between experiments and simulations, which enhances confidence in using models to predict longer-term evolution. 相似文献
489.
Memory of a stochastic process implies its predictability, understood as a possibility to gain information on the future above
the random guess level. Here we search for memory in the mining-induced seismic process (MIS), that is, a process induced
or triggered by mining operations. Long memory is investigated by means of the Hurst rescaled range analysis, and the autocorrelation
function estimate is used to test for short memory. Both methods are complemented with result uncertainty analyses based on
different resampling techniques. The analyzed data comprise event series from Rudna copper mine in Poland. The studies show
that the interevent time and interevent distance processes have both long and short memory. MIS occurrences and locations
are internally interrelated. Internal relations among the sizes of MIS events are apparently weaker than those of other two
studied parameterizations and are limited to long term interactions. 相似文献
490.
Aerosol optical thickness (AOT) and seasonal variation of AOT over Belsk, Poland, in the UV wavelength range (310–380 nm)
have been analysed using results of measurements by Brewer spectrophotometer No. 064 and Cimel sunphotometer data for the
2002–2007 period. The comparison of AOT derived from direct Sun measurements by Brewer spectrophotometer in the 310–320 nm
range and retrieved from Cimel measurements at longer wavelengths shows good correlation (R = 0.96), with overestimation of retrieved values compared to the measured ones by about 6%. Basing on aerosol microphysical
properties taken from almucantar retrievals and Mie theory, optical properties of aerosol in the UV range has been calculated.
Analysis of seasonal variation of AOT at Belsk reveals two maxima: in April and July–August. Analysis of back-trajectories
in conjunction with analysis of fire maps from Fire Information For Resource Management System shows that these seasonal maxima
are connected with seasonal biomass burning in Eastern and Southern Europe. 相似文献