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161.
162.
Eric Jonas Monica Bobra Vaishaal Shankar J. Todd Hoeksema Benjamin Recht 《Solar physics》2018,293(3):48
The precise physical process that triggers solar flares is not currently understood. Here we attempt to capture the signature of this mechanism in solar-image data of various wavelengths and use these signatures to predict flaring activity. We do this by developing an algorithm that i) automatically generates features in 5.5 TB of image data taken by the Solar Dynamics Observatory of the solar photosphere, chromosphere, transition region, and corona during the time period between May 2010 and May 2014, ii) combines these features with other features based on flaring history and a physical understanding of putative flaring processes, and iii) classifies these features to predict whether a solar active region will flare within a time period of \(T\) hours, where \(T = 2 \mbox{ and }24\). Such an approach may be useful since, at the present time, there are no physical models of flares available for real-time prediction. We find that when optimizing for the True Skill Score (TSS), photospheric vector-magnetic-field data combined with flaring history yields the best performance, and when optimizing for the area under the precision–recall curve, all of the data are helpful. Our model performance yields a TSS of \(0.84 \pm0.03\) and \(0.81 \pm0.03\) in the \(T = 2\)- and 24-hour cases, respectively, and a value of \(0.13 \pm0.07\) and \(0.43 \pm0.08\) for the area under the precision–recall curve in the \(T=2\)- and 24-hour cases, respectively. These relatively high scores are competitive with previous attempts at solar prediction, but our different methodology and extreme care in task design and experimental setup provide an independent confirmation of these results. Given the similar values of algorithm performance across various types of models reported in the literature, we conclude that we can expect a certain baseline predictive capacity using these data. We believe that this is the first attempt to predict solar flares using photospheric vector-magnetic field data as well as multiple wavelengths of image data from the chromosphere, transition region, and corona, and it points the way towards greater data integration across diverse sources in future work. 相似文献
163.
Simone Lotti Teresa Mineo Christian Jacquey Monica Laurenza Valentina Fioretti Gabriele Minervini Giovanni Santin Silvano Molendi Tommaso Alberti Paolo Dondero Alfonso Mantero Vladimir Ivanchencko Claudio Macculi Luigi Piro 《Experimental Astronomy》2018,45(3):411-428
The experience gained with the current generation of X-ray telescopes like Chandra and XMM-Newton has shown that low energy “soft” protons can pose a severe threat to the possibility to exploit scientific data, reducing the available exposure times by up to 50% and introducing a poorly reproducible background component. These soft protons are present in orbits outside the radiation belts and enter the mirrors, being concentrated towards the focal plane instruments, losing energy along their path and finally depositing their remaining energy in the detectors. Their contribution to the residual background will be even higher for ATHENA with respect to previous missions, given the much higher collecting area of the mirrors, even if the instruments will likely suffer no significant radiation damage from this particles flux. As a consequence this soft proton flux shall be damped with the use of a magnetic diverter to avoid excess background loading on the WFI or X-IFU instruments. We present here a first complete evaluation of this background component for the two focal plane instruments of the ATHENA mission in absence of a magnetic diverter, and derive the requirements for such device to reduce the soft protons induced background below the level required to enable the mission science. We estimate the soft proton flux expected in L2 for the interplanetary component and for the component generated locally by acceleration processes in the magnetotail. We produce a proton response matrix for each of the two instruments of ATHENA focal plane, exploiting two independent Monte Carlo simulations to estimate the optics concentration efficiency, and Geant4 simulations to evaluate the energy loss inside the radiation filters and deposited in the detector. With this modular approach we derive the expected fluxes and spectra for the soft protons component of the background. Finally, we calculate the specifics of a magnetic diverter able to reduce such flux below the required level for both X-IFU and WFI. 相似文献
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167.
There is a pressing need of finding innovative and beneficial ways of using scrap tires in the construction of various geotechnical
structures because a large number of waste tires are generated and discarded every year throughout the world. One example
of such geotechnical application is the use of tire shreds mixed with soil as a backfill material for mechanically stabilized
earth (MSE) walls. In this paper, we report the results of laboratory pullout tests performed to study the interaction between
ribbed-metal-strip reinforcement and tire shred–sand mixtures prepared with various tire shred sizes (9.5 mm in nominal size,
50–100 mm in length, and 100–200 mm in length) and tire shred-to-sand mixing ratios (tire shred contents of 0, 12, 25, 100%
by weight). The pullout capacities of ribbed metal strips embedded in tire shred–sand mixtures were obtained for three confining
pressures (40, 65, and 90 kPa). The test results showed that the pullout capacity of ribbed metal strips embedded in tire
shred–sand mixtures is much higher than that of ribbed metal strips embedded in samples prepared with only tire shreds. Based
on the laboratory pullout test results, an equation was developed that can be used to estimate the pullout capacity of ribbed
metal strips embedded in tire shred–sand mixtures if the tire shred size, compacted unit weight of the mixture, mean particle
size of sand, and vertical effective stress acting at the interface are known. 相似文献
168.
Wei?Song Jonathan?WilliamsEmail author Noureddine?Yassaa Monica?Martinez José?Antonio?Adame?Carnero Pablo?J.?Hidalgo Heiko?Bozem Jos?Lelieveld 《Journal of Atmospheric Chemistry》2011,68(3):233-250
Measurements of biogenic gases including enantiomeric monoterpenes and isoprene, and anthropogenic gases such as benzene, toluene, ethylbenzene, ortho-, meta- and para- xylene (BTEX) compounds were made by GC-MS in November and December 2008 within a stone pine (Pinus pinea L) forest located on the Southwest coast of Spain (37.10°N, 6.70°W). Mixing ratios of the biogenic species were found to be low (mean circa 10 pptv) consistent with previously observed low wintertime regional forest emission rates. In contrast, anthropogenic species were significantly higher (mean 10–156 pptv), the dominant emissions originating from the city of Huelva and associated petrochemical activities, located 25 km north west of the measurement site. In wintertime the monoterpene (?)-α-pinene was found to be in slight enantiomeric excess over (+)-α-pinene at night but by day the measured ratio was closer to one i.e. racemic. Samples taken the following summer in the same location showed much higher monoterpene mixing ratios and revealed a strong enantiomeric excess of (?)-α-pinene. This indicates a strong seasonal variance in the enantiomeric emission ratio which is not manifested in the day/night temperature cycles in wintertime. Mixing ratios of the xylene isomers (meta- and para-) and ethylbenzene, which are all well resolved on the beta-cyclodextrin column, were exploited to estimate average OH radical exposures to VOCs from the Huelva industrial area. These were compared to empirical estimates of OH based on JNO2 measured at the site. The deficiencies of each estimation method are discussed. 相似文献
169.
Damien Pas Anne-Christine Da Silva Thomas Suttner Erika Kido Pierre Bultynck Monica Pondrelli Carlo Corradini David De Vleeschouwer Claudia Dojen Frédéric Boulvain 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2014,103(2):519-538
The development and behavior of million year-scaled depositional sequences recorded within Palaeozoic carbonate platform has remained poorly examined. Therefore, the understanding of palaeoenvironmental changes that occur in geological past is still limited. We herein undertake a multi-disciplinary approach (sedimentology, conodont biostratigraphy, magnetic susceptibility (MS), and geochemistry) of a long-term succession in the Carnic Alps, which offers new insights into the peculiar evolution of one of the best example of Palaeozoic carbonate platform in Europe. The Freikofel section, located in the central part of the Carnic Alps, represents an outstanding succession in a fore-reef setting, extending from the Latest Givetian (indet. falsiovalis conodont zones) to the Early Famennian (Lower crepida conodont zone). Sedimentological analysis allowed to propose a sedimentary model dominated by distal slope and fore-reef-slope deposits. The most distal setting is characterized by an autochthonous pelagic sedimentation showing local occurrence of thin-bedded turbiditic deposits. In the fore-reef slope, in a more proximal setting, there is an accumulation of various autochthonous and allochthonous fine- to coarse-grained sediments originated from the interplay of gravity-flow currents derived from the shallow-water and deepwater area. The temporal evolution of microfacies in the Freikofel section evolves in two main steps corresponding to the Freikofel (Unit 1) and the Pal (Unit 2) limestones. Distal slope to fore-reef lithologies and associate changes are from base to top of the section: (U1) thick bedded litho- and bioclastic breccia beds with local fining upward sequence and fine-grained mudstone intercalations corresponding, in the fore-reef setting, to the dismantlement of the Eifelian–Frasnian carbonate platform during the Early to Late Frasnian time (falsiovalis to rhenana superzones) with one of the causes being the Late Givetian major rift pulse; (U2) occurrence of thin-bedded red nodular and cephalopod-bearing limestones with local lithoclastic grainstone intercalations corresponding to a significant deepening of the area and the progressive withdrawal of sedimentary influxes toward the basin, in relation with Late Frasnian sea-level rise. MS and geochemical analyses were also performed along the Freikofel section and demonstrate the inherent parallel link existing between variation in MS values and proxy for terrestrial input. Interpretation of MS in terms of palaeoenvironmental processes reflects that even though distality remains the major parameter influencing MS values, carbonate production and water agitation also play an important role. 相似文献
170.
Multidecadal variability of summer temperature over Romania and its relation with Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation 总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1
Monica Ionita Norel Rimbu Silvia Chelcea Simona Patrut 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2013,113(1-2):305-315
We investigate the multidecadal variability of summer temperature over Romania as measured at 14 meteorological stations with long-term observational records. The dominant pattern of summer temperature variability has a monopolar structure and shows pronounced multidecadal variations. A correlation analysis reveals that these multidecadal variations are related with multidecadal variations in the frequency of four daily atmospheric circulation patterns from the North Atlantic region. It is found that on multidecadal time scales, negative summer mean temperature (TT) anomalies are associated with positive sea level pressure (SLP) anomalies centered over the northern part of the Atlantic Ocean and Scandinavia and negative SLP anomalies centered over the northern part of Africa. It is speculated that a possible cause of multidecadal fluctuations in the frequency of these four patterns are the sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies associated to the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO). These results have implications for predicting the evolution of summer temperature over Romania on multidecadal time scales. 相似文献