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32.
Ensemble smoothing of land subsidence measurements for reservoir geomechanical characterization 下载免费PDF全文
Domenico Baù Massimiliano Ferronato Giuseppe Gambolati Pietro Teatini Ayman Alzraiee 《国际地质力学数值与分析法杂志》2015,39(2):207-228
Geomechanical models are often used to predict the impact on land surface of fluid withdrawal from deep reservoirs, as well as investigating measures for mitigation. The ability to accurately simulate surface displacements, however, is often impaired by limited information on the geomechanical parameters characterizing the geological formations of interest. In this study, we employ an ensemble smoother, a data assimilation algorithm, to provide improved estimates of reservoir parameters through assimilation of measurements of both horizontal and vertical surface displacement into geomechanical model results. The method leverages the demonstrated potential of remote sensing techniques developed in the last decade to provide accurate displacement data for large areas of the land surface. For evaluation purposes, the methodology is applied to the case of a disk‐shaped reservoir embedded in a homogeneous, isotropic, and linearly elastic half space, subject to a uniform change in fluid pressure. Multiple sources of uncertainty are investigated, including the radius, R, the thickness, h, and the depth, c, of the reservoir; the pore pressure change, Δp; porous medium's vertical uniaxial compressibility, cM, and Poisson's ratio, ν, and the ratio, s, between the compressibilities of the medium during loading and unloading cycles. Results from all simulations show that the ensemble smoother has the capability to effectively reduce the uncertainty associated with those parameters to which the variability and the spatial distribution of land surface displacements are most sensitive, namely, R, c, cM, and s. These analyses demonstrate that the estimation of these parameters values depends on the number of measurements assimilated and the error assigned to the measurement values. Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
33.
Pietro Mosca Riccardo Polino Sergio Rogledi Massimo Rossi 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》2010,99(4):833-849
Alps and Apennines are juxtaposed within an approximately 100 km-wide area covered by the Upper Eocene to Miocene successions
of the Tertiary Piedmont Basin. The Upper Eocene–Oligocene evolution of this area was characterized to the north and west
by the propagation of the SE-verging Southalpine thrust-fold belt that can be traced from the Po Plain subsurface until the
Torino Hill-Saluzzese area, and to the south by a high-angle, broadly E–W oriented megashear zone that led to the juxtaposition
of different crustal levels and controlled the development of a mosaic of partly independent sub-basins. Since the latest
Oligocene the N-verging Apenninic tectonics prevailed in the collisional system and the Tertiary Piedmont Basin evolved as
a wide thrust-top basin, bounded to the north by the N-verging Monferrato arc and characterized by a tectono-sedimentary evolution
recording changes of subsidence and shift of depocentres in relation to crustal structures. 相似文献
34.
Franco Mantovani Francisco Javier Gracia Pietro Domenico de Cosmo Andrea Suma 《Landslides》2010,7(1):69-74
This paper presents the preliminary results of a geomorphological survey of the Olvera area (Cadiz province, Betic Ranges,
Spain) and the use of the Geographic Information System (GIS) Open Source (OS) software plus Database Management System (DBMS)
for making available and distributing the landslide data over the Web. In the geomorphologic survey, different landforms have
been identified in the area, including structural, anthropogenic, fluvial, karst, and slope forms. In particular, the majority
of the slope forms are complex (from topple to rotational slides and falls), but there are also minor forms like debris flows
and mudslides. To manage geomorphological data, an Open Source GIS was used, which contained the following components: QuantumGIS,
System for Automated Geoscientific Analyses (SAGA), GIS and Geographic Resources Analysis Support System (GRASS), GIS for
Digital Elevation Model (DEM) generation. A key aim was to make the project-derived data available over the Web. This was
achieved using MapServer which allows for the representation of the derived geospatial data with pMapper providing the graphical
Web interface. Our study highlights the process dynamics of run-off erosion in Olvera derived through the use of advanced
computer-based mapping tools. The resulting map products and interpretations are available via the Internet. To date, derivative
maps have been produced to improve maintenance of roads and transport and of the construction of new infrastructure. 相似文献
35.
Antonio Bucci Gino Naclerio Vincenzo Allocca Pietro Celico Fulvio Celico 《水文研究》2011,25(12):1866-1873
The Ischia hydrothermal system was analysed through hydrogeological and microbial community investigations. Mesophilic communities were detected in two cold springs, suggesting a negligible influence of thermal circuits in freshwater sub‐systems which are mainly or only fed by local precipitations. Thermophilic and extremely thermophilic bacteria were detected in two wells, according to higher water temperatures (61 and 85 °C), even if the two communities show significant differences. In one well, thermophilic and extremely thermophilic bacteria are associated with strains belonging to ε‐Proteobacteria isolated in different sulphur‐rich carbonate environments. This association suggests a greater influence on ascending hot fluids that interact with the carbonate basement of volcanic rocks. In the other well, thermophilic and extremely thermophilic bacteria are associated with strains isolated in cold hypersaline environments or in aquatic habitats where terrestrial and marine components are coupled. This association supports the fact that seawater intrusion can affect this part of Ischia, according to results of hydrogeological and geochemical surveys. Differences in groundwater temperature and bacterial communities are probably mainly due to differences in permeability between volcanic rocks and differences in hydrogeologic behaviour between faults in the upper carbonate basement, above the deep magma chamber, that influence relationships between ascending hot fluids and local recharge. This study contributes to discussion of the reliability of the actual behaviour models of the Ischia system, based on the results of geochemical and isotopic investigations, and, in a wider context, it shows that microbial community investigations may be a valuable supplementary tool for analysing hydrothermal system behaviour. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. 相似文献
36.
Luigi Tosi Pietro Teatini Laura Carbognin Jane Frankenfield 《Environmental Geology》2007,52(5):889-898
The paper deals with the implementation of a levelling and Global Positioning System (GPS) network to control land subsidence
in the coastal area north of the Venice Lagoon. About 480 km of levelling lines with 527 benchmarks, 45 of which suited for
Differential GPS measurements, were established in 2004. A complete survey of the net was carried out in 2004 soon after its
establishment. The 2004 records have been compared with previous scattered data obtained by the use of levelling surveys,
DGPS and SAR interferometry. The results show a trend in land settlement that increases from the lagoon margin to the north
and jeopardize the Venice coastland. Groundwater withdrawals for domestic, agricultural, and health spas uses, peat oxidation
of reclaimed marshlands for farming, natural consolidation of the Holocene deposits, and tectonics of the pre-Quaternary basement
are the causes of land subsidence in the study area. Since most of the area lies below the mean sea level and on account of
the expected sea level rise due to global change, a detailed monitoring of land displacements in the near future will be of
paramount importance to plan necessary works for coastland protection. 相似文献
37.
Modeling regional initiation of rainfall-induced shallow landslides in the eastern Umbria Region of central Italy 总被引:3,自引:6,他引:3
Diana Salciarini Jonathan W. Godt William Z. Savage Pietro Conversini Rex L. Baum John A. Michael 《Landslides》2006,3(3):181-194
We model the rainfall-induced initiation of shallow landslides over a broad region using a deterministic approach, the Transient Rainfall Infiltration and Grid-based Slope-stability (TRIGRS) model that couples an infinite-slope stability analysis with a one-dimensional analytical solution for transient pore pressure response to rainfall infiltration. This model permits the evaluation of regional shallow landslide susceptibility in a Geographic Information System framework, and we use it to analyze susceptibility to shallow landslides in an area in the eastern Umbria Region of central Italy. As shown on a landslide inventory map produced by the Italian National Research Council, the area has been affected in the past by shallow landslides, many of which have transformed into debris flows. Input data for the TRIGRS model include time-varying rainfall, topographic slope, colluvial thickness, initial water table depth, and material strength and hydraulic properties. Because of a paucity of input data, we focus on parametric analyses to calibrate and test the model and show the effect of variation in material properties and initial water table conditions on the distribution of simulated instability in the study area in response to realistic rainfall. Comparing the results with the shallow landslide inventory map, we find more than 80% agreement between predicted shallow landslide susceptibility and the inventory, despite the paucity of input data. 相似文献
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In this paper, the distribution patterns and abundance of pelagic tunicates in the North Yellow Sea of China during the period 2006-2007 were analyzed. Zooplankton samples were obtained with vertical towing from bottom to surface using a WP2 plankton net(200 μm mesh size; mouth area: 0.25 m2). Five species belonging to two classes were identified: Oikopleura dioica, O. longicauda and Fritillaria borealis belonging to class Appendicularia; Salpa fusiformis and Doliolum denticulatum of class Thaliacea. O. dioica and O. longicauda were the dominant species, occurring in the samples of all four seasons, with different distribution patterns. Their maximum abundance were 1664.7 ind. m-3(spring) and 1031.7 ind. m-3(spring) respectively. Following Oikopleura spp. were D. denticulatum, which was found only in autumn with an average abundance of 149.6 ind. m-3, and S. fusiformis, which was detected all the year long except for autumn with low abundance(max. abundance 289.4 ind. m-3 in summer). Only a very small amount of F. borealis was detected in summer samples, with an average abundance of 2.7 ind. m-3. The relationship between tunicates abundances and the environmental factors was analyzed using the stepwise regression model for each species. The variation of appendicularian abundance showed a significant correlation with the surface water temperature and with the concentration of Chl-a. No relationship was found between tunicates abundance and salinity, likely due to the slight changes in surface salinity of the studied area during the four seasons. Salps abundance and that of doliolids were significantly correlated to bottom water temperature, indicating that these two species(S. fusiformis and D. denticulatum) migrate vertically in the water column. In particular D. denticulatum, known to be a warm water species, showed not only an important correlation with water temperature, but also a spatial distribution connected to the warm currents in the North Yellow Sea. The occurrence of D. denticulatum represents an interesting result never found in past research work. Water temperature, algal distribution and currents were the most relevant environmental factors influencing the tunicate abundance and distribution in the North Yellow Sea. Further research is needed in order to get more information on the ecology of these organisms and to better understand their role in the ecosystem including the oceanic food web. 相似文献