Estimating impacts of warming temperatures on California's electricity system     

Jayant A. Sathaye  Larry L. Dale  Peter H. Larsen  Gary A. Fitts  Kevin Koy  Sarah M. Lewis  André Frossard Pereira de Lucena 《Global Environmental Change》2013,23(2):499-511

Despite a clear need, little research has been carried out at the regional-level to quantify potential climate-related impacts to electricity production and delivery systems. This paper introduces a bottom-up study of climate change impacts on California's energy infrastructure, including high temperature effects on power plant capacity, transmission lines, substation capacity, and peak electricity demand. End-of-century impacts were projected using the A2 and B1 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change emission scenarios. The study quantifies the effect of high ambient temperatures on electricity generation, the capacity of substations and transmission lines, and the demand for peak power for a set of climate scenarios. Based on these scenarios, atmospheric warming and associated peak demand increases would necessitate up to 38% of additional peak generation capacity and up to 31% additional transmission capacity, assuming current infrastructure. These findings, although based on a limited number of scenarios, suggest that additional funding could be put to good use by supporting R&D into next generation cooling equipment technologies, diversifying the power generation mix without compromising the system's operational flexibility, and designing effective demand side management programs.  相似文献   

The Combined EMT/VES Geophysical Method for Siting Boreholes   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Sarah Beeson  Charles R. C. Jonesa 《Ground water》1988,26(1):54-63

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Field verification of a theoretical model to predict the dynamic response of a soft clay deposit     

V. R. Raju  Th. Neidhart  G. Huber 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1995,14(1)

A 40-m thick clay deposit was subjected to sinusoidal excitations using a foundation block and an eccentric mass type vibrator. The response of the foundation block and the surrounding soil was measured using geophones inside the soil and on the surface. The phase shift between the excitation signal and the response signal, the accelerations of the foundation block and the particle velocities in the soil are compared with those obtained from a frequency-dependent numerical model based on the exact analytical solution for the boundary value problem of a rectangular foundation resting on a linear elastic halfspace.  相似文献   

Trends in Atlantic equatorial current variability     

Dr. William J. Emery  Dr. Walter Zenk  Dr. Klaus Huber  Dr. Pierre Rual  Dr. Paul Nowlan 《Ocean Dynamics》1987,40(6):261-276

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Spatially discontinuous modern sedimentation in Georgian Bay, Huron Basin, Great Lakes     

Francine M. G. McCarthy  John H. McAndrews  Steve M. Blasco  Sarah H. Tiffin 《Journal of Paleolimnology》2007,37(3):453-470

High-resolution seismic reflection profile data show that the modern sediment cover (over the last 150 years) in Georgian Bay is thin and spatially discontinuous. Sediments rich in ragweed pollen, largely derived from siltation linked to land clearing and European settlement, form a thin, discontinuous veneer on the lakebed. Much of the lakebed consists of exposed sediments deposited during the late glacial or early postglacial. Accumulation rates of modern sediments range from < 0 mm/year (net erosion) to ∼3.2 mm/year, often within a few hundred metres spatially. These rates are much lower than those reported for the main basin of Lake Huron and the other Great Lakes, and are attributed to the low sediment supply. Only a few small rivers flow into Georgian Bay, and most of the basin is surrounded by bedrock of Precambrian gneiss and granite to the east, and Silurian dolostone, limestone and shale to the west. Thick deposits of Pleistocene drift, found on the Georgian Bay shoreline only between Meaford and Port Severn, are the main sediment source for the entire basin at present. Holocene to modern sediments are even absent from some deep basins of Georgian Bay. These findings have implications for the ultimate fate of anthropogenic contaminants in Georgian Bay. While microfossil assemblages in the ragweed-rich sediments record increased eutrophication over the last 150 years, most pollutants generated in the Georgian Bay catchment are not accumulating on the lakebed and are probably exported from the Bay.  相似文献   

On‐line Dangers?: Geographies of Parents’ Fears for Children's Safety in Cyberspace     

Gill Valentine  Sarah Holloway 《The Professional geographer》2001,53(1):71-83

Children are considered particularly important in debates about the possibilities and dangers of information and communication technologies (ICT). Discourses on ICT contain paradoxical representations of childhood. On the one hand, unlike most other understandings of child/adult relations, these discourses assume children to be equally, if not more, technologically competent than adults. On the other hand, children's very competence at using ICT is alleged to be putting them “at risk” of abuse or corruption. This paper addresses these moral panics about children and ICT by exploring to what extent and why parents are concerned about their children's safety in on‐line space. In doing so the paper reflects on the extent to which anxieties about children in cyberspace replicate concerns about public outdoor space and the way networked computers emerge as different tools in different households.  相似文献   

Seasonal Forecasting for Climate Hazards: Prospects and Responses     

Murphy  Sarah J.  Washington  Richard  Downing  Thomas E.  Martin  Randall V.  Ziervogel  Gina  Preston  Anthony  Todd  Martin  Butterfield  Ruth  Briden  Jim 《Natural Hazards》2001,23(2-3):171-196

One of the most promising developments for early warning of climate hazards is seasonal climate forecasting. Already forecasts are operational in many parts of the tropics and sub-tropics, particularly for droughts and floods associated with ENSO events. Prospects for further development of seasonal forecasting for a range of climatichazards are reviewed, illustrated with case studies in Africa, Australia, the U.S.A. and Europe. A critical evaluation of the utility of seasonal forecasts centres on vulnerability, communicationchannels, and effective responses. In contrast to short-term prediction, seasonal forecasts raise new issues of preparedness and the use of information.  相似文献   

The historic and artistic heritage facing the earthquake risk: The Italian case     

Antonella Huber  Michele Dragoni 《Natural Hazards》1992,5(3):269-278

The problem of protection against earthquakes in Italy is made difficult by the presence of a huge historic and artistic heritage. Such a heritage is mainly made up of ancient buildings and monuments situated in the urban centres, which are densely distributed throughout Italy. Therefore, very complex problems are met in the determination of the value parameter concurring with the determination of seismic risk, in addition to hazard and vulnerability. An indication of the monetary value of a building is not sufficient as far as the cultural heritage is concerned: different criteria are necessary in order to distinguish which are the strategic buildings. If we consider that there are more than 2000 museums in Italy, most of which are placed inside historic buildings, it appears that museums should receive the highest priority in future initiatives for seismic rehabilitation.  相似文献   

Dendrochronologie     

Bruno Huber 《International Journal of Earth Sciences》1960,49(1):120-131

Zusammenfassung Die Dendrochronologie arbeitet mit der Jahresschichtung des Holzes. Der Zuwachs gleichzeitig wachsender Hölzer ist ähnlich. Diese Forschungsrichtung braucht viel Material zur Herstellung typischer Mittelkurven. Mit Hilfe der Überbrückungsmethode kommt man örtlich sehr weit zurück. Schwierigkeiten liegen in der gesetzmäßigen Abnahme der Ähnlichkeit von Jahresringkurven mit der Entfernung voneinander. Neben einer absoluten Chronologie sind in Deutschland relative Chronologien aus Jungsteinzeit und Bronzezeit erarbeitet worden. Die Dendrochronologie kann gewisse Aussagen über Klimaschwankungen machen.  相似文献   

Assessment of flow–ecology relationships for environmental flow standards: a synthesis focused on the southeast USA     

Sarah Praskievicz  Cehong Luo 《水文科学杂志》2020,65(4):571-582

ABSTRACT

Environmental flow standards are a management tool that can help to protect the ecosystem services sustained by rivers. Although environmental flow requirements can be assessed using a variety of methods, most of these methods require establishing relationships between flow and habitat of species of concern. Here, we conducted a synthesis of past flow–ecology studies in the southeast USA. For each state or interstate river basin, we used the published data to determine the flow metrics that resulted in the greatest changes in ecological metrics, and the ecological metrics that were most sensitive to hydrologic alteration. The flow metrics that were most important in preserving ecological metrics were high-flow duration and frequency, 3-day maximum and minimum, and number of reversals. The ecological metrics most sensitive to hydrologic alteration were mostly related to presence or absence of key indicator species.  相似文献