Wavelet regression model as an alternative to neural networks for monthly streamflow forecasting   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Özgür Kişi 《水文研究》2009,23(25):3583-3597

The accuracy of the wavelet regression (WR) model in monthly streamflow forecasting is investigated in the study. The WR model is improved combining the two methods—the discrete wavelet transform (DWT) model and the linear regression (LR) model—for 1‐month‐ahead streamflow forecasting. In the first part of the study, the results of the WR model are compared with those of the single LR model. Monthly flow data from two stations, Gerdelli Station on Canakdere River and Isakoy Station on Goksudere River, in Eastern Black Sea region of Turkey are used in the study. The comparison results reveal that the WR model could increase the forecast accuracy of the LR model. In the second part of the study, the accuracy of the WR model is compared with those of the artificial neural networks (ANN) and auto‐regressive (AR) models. On the basis of the results, the WR is found to be better than the ANN and AR models in monthly streamflow forecasting. Copyright © 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Investigation of liquefaction and pore water pressure development in layered sands     

Pelin Tohumcu Özener  Kutay Özaydın  Mehmet M. Berilgen 《Bulletin of Earthquake Engineering》2009,7(1):199-219

This paper presents the results of shaking table model tests which were carried out to investigate the pore water pressure generation and related liquefaction mechanism in layered sand deposits. The experiments were performed on uniform sand columns, silt interlayered sand columns and two layered sand columns deposited at various relative densities and subjected to different input excitations. During the experiments excess pore water pressures were measured by pore pressure transducers installed at three different depths and, surface settlements and thickness of water film developed under less permeable inclusions were measured by a digital camera. The experimental results are discussed and compared to demonstrate the effects of relative density, input acceleration and presence of a silt seam on the generation of excess pore water pressure in sand deposits subjected to dynamic loading. The results showed that the presence of a less permeable silt interlayer within the sand deposit and existence of a loose sand layer underlying dense sand deposits can have significant effect on the pore water pressure generation mechanism.  相似文献   

The most metal-poor galaxies     

D. Kunth  G. Östlin 《Astronomy and Astrophysics Review》2000,10(1-2):1-79

Summary. Metallicity is a key parameter that controls many aspects in the formation and evolution of stars and galaxies. In this review we focus on the metal deficient galaxies, in particular the most metal-poor ones, because they play a crucial r?le in the cosmic scenery. We first set the stage by discussing the difficult problem of defining a global metallicity and how this quantity can be measured for a given galaxy. The mechanisms that control the metallicity in a galaxy are reviewed in detail and involve many aspects of modern astrophysics: galaxy formation and evolution, massive star formation, stellar winds, chemical yields, outflows and inflows etc. Because metallicity roughly scales as the galactic mass, it is among the dwarfs that the most metal-poor galaxies are found. The core of our paper reviews the considerable progress made in our understanding of the properties and the physical processes that are at work in these objects. The question on how they are related and may evolve from one class of objects to another is discussed. While discussing metal-poor galaxies in general, we present a more detailed discussion of a few very metal-poor blue compact dwarf galaxies like IZw18. Although most of what is known relates to our local universe, we show that it pertains to our quest for primeval galaxies and is connected to the question of the origin of structure in the universe. We discuss what do QSO absorption lines and known distant galaxies tell us already? We illustrate the importance of star-forming metal-poor galaxies for the determination of the primordial helium abundance, their use as distance indicator and discuss the possibility to detect nearly metal-free galaxies at high redshift from Ly emission. Received 19 August 1999 / Published online: 15 February 2000  相似文献   

Comparative study of epiphytic algal communities on Typha latifolia L. and Phragmites australis (Cav.) Trin. ex Steud in the shallow Gala Lake (European Part of Turkey)     

Burak  Öterler 《中国海洋湖沼学报》2018,36(5):1615-1628

Journal of Oceanology and Limnology - The aim of this study was to determine the species composition, biodiversity and, relative abundance of epiphytic algae and their relationship with...  相似文献   

Grand Activity Minima and Maxima via Dual Dynamos     

Ölçek  Deniz  Charbonneau  Paul  Lemerle  Alexandre  Longpré  Gabriel  Boileau  Florence 《Solar physics》2019,294(7):1-9

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Late Pleistocene–Holocene environmental change in eastern Turkey: multi‐proxy palaeoecological data of vegetation and lake‐catchment changes          下载免费PDF全文

Demet Bİltekİn  Kürşad Kadİr Erİş  Memet Namık Çağatay  Sena Akçer Ön  Dİcle Bal Akkoca 《第四纪科学杂志》2018,33(5):575-585

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Can mirage phenomena be traced on the sun?     

Yngve Öhman 《Solar physics》1985,96(1):209-212

It is suggested, that effects of total reflection and refraction may appear sometimes in various objects on the Sun in connection with grazing incidence towards layers formed by magnetic fields and perhaps also by electrostatic double layers or shock waves. It seems possible that such effects may influence sometimes the contrast of bright structures as well as dark structures at selective wavelengths as well as in white light.  相似文献   

A comparison of the near-ultraviolet continuum and chromospheric emission line fluxes of the late-type giant stars     

Kâmuran Avcioglu  M. Türker Özkan  H. Hüseyin Mentese 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1990,164(2):263-276

We investigate the near-ultraviolet high-resolution LWR spectra of the stars Cas, And, Tau, Gem, Cru, Boo, and Peg, obtained with the aid of the International Ultraviolet Explorer Satellite. We have given here a list of the strongest and most prevalent emission lines in the near-ultraviolet spectra of Boo, KlIIIp, and Peg, M2.5II-III which have the same luminosity class and different spectral type. The near-ultraviolet continuum flux measurements and integrated emission line fluxes of these stars for the 2500–3200 Å region are presented in order to compare the variations in the appearance of the near-ultraviolet flux distribution with the temperature structure of their chromospheres for K and M giant stars. We also discuss differences between observed and calculated fluxes found from the Planck function.  相似文献   

Co-ordinated traffic in a transponder based co-operative system. presentation of the NADAKOS- project     

Reinhard Müller  Thoralf Weißflog  Anke ZÖlder 《Ocean Dynamics》1997,49(4):499-510

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North-South asymmetry in the solar flare index     

Tamer Ataç  Atila Özgüç 《Solar physics》1996,166(1):201-208

This paper reports the results of a study of the N-S asymmetry in the flare index using the results of Knoka (1985) combined with our results for the solar cycles 17 to the current cycle 22. By comparing the time-variation of the asymmetry curve with the solar activity variation of the 11-year cycle, we have found that the flare index asymmetry curve is not in phase with the solar cycle and that the asymmetry peaks during solar minimum. A periodic behaviour in the N-S asymmetry appears: the activity in one hemisphere is more important during the ascending part of the cycle whereas during the descending part the activity becomes more important in the other hemisphere. The dominance of flare activity in the southern hemisphere continues during cycle 22 and, according to our findings, this dominance will increase gradually during the following cycle 23.  相似文献