Recovery of thermohaline circulation under CO₂ stabilization and overshoot scenarios   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Norikazu. Nakashiki  Dong-Hoon Kim  Frank O. Bryan  Yoshikatsu Yoshida  Daisuke Tsumune  Koki Maruyama  Hideyuki Kitabata 《Ocean Modelling》2006,15(3-4):200

In this study we examine the behavior of the thermohaline circulation, as simulated by the Community Climate System Model version 3 (CCSM3), for several centuries following CO₂ stabilization for the SRES B1 and A1B scenarios and for an “overshoot” scenario in which CO₂ levels temporarily reach the same level as in the A1B scenario before declining to an ultimate stabilization level that is identical to the B1 case. While we find no evidence for irreversible changes of the thermohaline circulation in the overshoot experiment, the interplay of the different timescales of the temperature response of the surface and interior ocean does lead to a number of differences in the long-term response of the ocean between it and the B1 stabilization scenario where the same GHG levels are approached by different paths. The stronger initial warming and its slow penetration into the deeper ocean, followed by a transient surface cooling in the overshoot scenario leads to lower static stability, deeper mixing, and a more rapid recovery of the thermohaline circulation than in the B1 stabilization scenario. While the overshoot scenario recovers surface conditions (e.g. SST, sea ice extent) very similar to the B1 scenario shortly after reaching the same GHG levels, the additional accumulation of heat in the interior ocean during the period of higher forcing causes the global mean ocean temperature and steric sea level to remain higher than in the B1 stabilization scenario for at least another several centuries.  相似文献   

On the vertical structure of temperature anomalies in the North Atlantic     

A. A. Markov  O. I. Braiko  Yu. P. Krasovsky 《Physical Oceanography》1991,2(3):185-189

The expansion of the temperature anomaly field in the North Atlantic is considered using natural orthogonal functions of depth. It is shown that the first few components of this expansion describe the field both at the surface and in the upper 1000 m layer accurately enough. The relation between the water temperature anomaly at some levels and the above components is estimated for various regions of the ocean.Translated by Mikhail M. Trufanov.  相似文献   

Errors in recent ocean tide models: possible origin and cause     

A. J. E. Smith  O. B. Andersen 《Progress in Oceanography》1997,40(1-4)

Recently, the TOPEX/POSEIDON Science Working Team has recommended the FES95.2.1 and CSR3.0 ocean tide models for reprocessing the TOPEX/POSEIDON Geophysical Data Records. Without doubt, the performance of these models, especially in the deep oceans, is excellent. However, from a comparison of these hydrodynamically consistent models with the purely empirical DW3.2 and DEOS96.1 models, it appears that FES95.2.1 and CSR3.0 are affected by basin boundary related errors which are caused by the basin-wise solution procedure of the FES ocean tide model series. In their turn, the empirical DW3.2 and DEOS96.1 models seem to suffer from significant errors in the Antarctic seas due to the seasonal growth and decay of Antarctic sea ice. Also, bathymetry-induced differences were found between the hydrodynamically consistent models and the empirical models. Concerning these differences, TOPEX/POSEIDON and ERS-1 crossover statistics unfortunately do not provide conclusive results on which models are in error.  相似文献   

Average grain-size parameters of unlithified sediments in the World Ocean     

V. N. Sval’nov  T. N. Alekseeva 《Oceanology》2006,46(4):545-556

The high diversity of grain-size parameters of marine and oceanic sediments is determined by hydrodynamical and gravitational processes. Grain-size spectra of the sediments in the World Ocean are represented by two main types. Filtering organisms that passively inherit the proportions of clayey fractions in suspended matter only accelerate the deposition of fine particles, not influencing their distribution at the bottom.  相似文献   

Experimental research on the hydrophysical characteristics and dynamics of waters in the north-west Black Sea in the region of the main Black Sea current     

V. A. Blinkov  V. A. Dulov  O. V. Shul'gin 《Physical Oceanography》1992,3(5):383-389

The results of measurements of hydrophysical parameters in the upper layer of the sea at an observation site located south-west of the Crimea are reported. The current pattern, the distribution of the upwelling and downwelling zones at the observation site, and the location of the mesoscale fronts are discussed.Translated by Mikhail M. Trufanov.  相似文献   

The choice of a dynamico-stochastic model for ocean monitoring — A compromise between the accuracy and cost of computations     

I. E. Timchenko  V. O. Belozersky  S. I. Khlopushina  V. A. Benzhitsky 《Physical Oceanography》1989,1(2):111-119

In this paper we compare, two dynamico-stochastic models (DSMs) with different hydrodynamic parts, designed to study a large-scale North Atlantic region. As a performance criterion, RMS errors (over the horizon) in density and velocity field reconstruction are used. It has been shown that in some cases it seems rational to use DSMs with simplified hydrodynamic parts. This helps to expedite the computations and to reduce the related costs without much detriment to the quality of hydrophysical field simulation.UDK 551.465.001.573(261.1).Translated by Vladimir A. Puchkin.  相似文献   

Burrowing Behavior, Substratum Preference, and Distribution of Schizaster canaliferus (Echinoidea: Spatangoida) in the Northern Adriatic Sea     

Gottfried O.  Schinner 《Marine Ecology》1993,14(2):129-145

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Statistical analysis of a global photochemical model of the atmosphere     

V. A. Frol’kis  I. L. Karol’  A. A. Kiselev  Yu. E. Ozolin  V. A. Zubov 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2007,43(4):413-422

This is a study of the sensitivity of model results (atmospheric content of main gas constituents and radiative characteristics of the atmosphere) to errors in emissions of a number of atmospheric gaseous pollutants. Groups of the model variables most dependent on these errors are selected. Two variants of emissions are considered: one without their evolution and the other with their variation according to the IPCC scenario. The estimates are made on the basis of standard statistical methods for the results obtained with the detailed onedimensional radiative—photochemical model of the Main Geophysical Observatory (MGO). Some approaches to such estimations with models of higher complexity and to the solution of the inverse problem (i.e., the estimation of the necessary accuracy of external model parameters for obtaining the given accuracy of model results) are outlined.  相似文献   

Determination of characteristics of atmospheric motions from satellite multiwave remote sensing data     

A. F. Nerushev  E. K. Kramchaninova  V. I. Solov’ev 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2007,43(4):442-450

A method of determination of atmospheric dynamic characteristics from the data of remote sensing from a geostationary satellite is described. The method is based on the use of inhomogeneities in the concentration field of a conservative additive as tracers and on the application of correlation-extreme algorithms. Unlike the common methods used abroad, this method is able to determine not only the vector field of wind velocity but also the coefficient of turbulent diffusion and vorticity. Results of computations of the fields of the horizontal component of wind velocity and the effective coefficient of horizontal mesoscale turbulent diffusion from the Meteosat-8 SEVIRI water-vapor channel data are presented. It is shown that the average values of the effective coefficient of mesoscale horizontal turbulent diffusion in the areas with a predominantly turbulized air-mass motion are 1.5 times greater than in the areas where a laminar motion dominates. Specific features of the calculated values of the upper-troposphere dynamic characteristics in different stages of the North Atlantic TC Helene (September 2006) are analyzed.  相似文献   

Second order wave diffraction forces and runup by finite—infinite element method     

B.Y. Li  S.L. Lau  C.O. Ng 《Applied Ocean Research》1991,13(6):270-286

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