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941.
泥浆滤液侵入渗透性地层会改变井周地层流体的原始分布状态,使井周地层电阻率发生变化、储集层电测井响应失真。本文基于油水两相渗流理论和水对流扩散理论,应用数值模拟方法构建地层模型,研究低渗储层泥浆侵入过程中井周地层矿化度、含水饱和度、电阻率变化特征及井周油藏分布特征。对不同渗透率地层泥浆侵入的数值模拟结果表明:在低渗透储层,相同侵入时间内,随着地层渗透率的增加,泥浆侵入深度增加,且同一侵入深度的含油饱和度减小;随着侵入时间的增加,井周地层水矿化度、含水饱和度和地层电阻率的侵入剖面前缘均发生明显的变化。结合3口井的泥浆侵入数值模拟分析,发现阵列感应测井响应特征及其电阻率的幅度差异受泥浆侵入时间和侵入深度影响。不同流体性质层段的井周油藏动态演化规律模拟结果表明,井周油藏的变化情况与储层流体性质有明显关系。利用实例井侵入模拟结果与阵列感应测井响应的相关性,构建了侵入深度的计算公式;根据侵入阶跃剖面,利用几何因子理论构建了原始地层电阻率计算公式,用以辅助储层电阻率校正。正确认识井周地层泥浆侵入特征及井周油藏的分布情况有助于提高阵列感应测井评价储层的准确性。  相似文献   
942.
Compositional multiphase flow is considered to be one of the fundamental physical processes in the field of water resources research. The strong nonlinearity and discontinuity emerging from phase transition phenomena pose a serious challenge for numerical modeling. Recently, Lauser et al. (Adv Water Resour 34(8):957–966, 2011) have proposed a numerical scheme, namely the nonlinear complementary problem (NCP), to handle this strong nonlinearity. In this work, the NCP is implemented at both local and global levels of a finite element algorithm. In the former case, the NCP is integrated into the local thermodynamic equilibrium calculation, while in the latter one, it is formulated as one of the governing equations. The two different formulations have been investigated through three well-established benchmarks and analyzed for their efficiency and robustness. It is found that both globally and locally implemented NCP formulations are numerically more efficient and robust in comparison with traditional primary variable switching approach. In homogeneous media, the globally implemented NCP formulation leads to an approximately 20% faster simulation compared to the local NCP. This is because a nested Newton iteration for the local phase state identification can be avoided, and thus, the overall computational resources are saved accordingly. However, for problems involving strongly heterogeneous media, the locally integrated NCP formulation suppresses numerical oscillations and delivers more accurate and robust results, especially at the phase boundary.  相似文献   
943.
Urbanization has both direct and indirect impacts on land use change, and analyzing spatio-temporal characteristics of land use change is essential for understanding these impacts. By comparing Landsat TM images, this paper examines the changes of land use structure and landscape patterns in Shanghai from 1990 to 2015. It finds that the city doubled in size, with the growth of isolated construction land being most significant among eight land use types. A land use change matrix was established and landscape indices were selected to evaluate the change of spatial structure in Shanghai. In order to identify the main driving forces of city expansion in Shanghai, this research ran partial least square regression models to assess the impact of 10 social-economic factors on land use change of Shanghai from 1990 to 2015. It then conducted bivariate correlation analysis to explore the drivers of change of various land use types: urban settlement, rural settlement and isolated construction land. Besides quantitative analysis, this paper analyzes the influence of policy-dimensional factors in land use change. It concludes with future potential research topics on land use change in a rapidly urbanizing context.  相似文献   
944.
Generally, tsunami waves become hazardous only when approaching the coast. Studying the runup and inundation of tsunami waves is important for understanding the tsunami evolution and for tsunami hazard assessment. Here, we simulated the 1993 Hokkaido-Nansei-Oki (HNO) tsunami using a finite-difference model based on nonlinear shallow-water equations. We focused on the runup and inundation of tsunami wave propagation onto coastal area of Okushiri Island near Hokkaido, Japan, and investigate the relationship of different runup heights with the morphology and bathymetry of the seashore. In the simulation, a nested 4-layer grid system and moving boundary technique are adopted to study runup and inundation. The calculated tsunami heights and inundations in the region agreed well with field measurements. The local bathymetric and topographic characteristics had a first-order effect on the runup. Numerical experiments show that the focusing of certain local bathymetric features would amplify both wave height and current velocity remarkably. The results show that computation on dense grids is necessary to reproduce the observed runup heights, and inundation velocity is an important factor preventing tsunami devastation. In addition, we discussed the potential capability of sediment transport to illustrate the impact of tsunami waves on coastal geomorphology.  相似文献   
945.
We analyzed the survival data of the offspring from 21 sires and 42 dams of turbot. The results show that the cumulative survival rates for turbot from 2 to 18 months range from 17.5% to 28.5%; main mortality occurred during months 2–5; and the highest survival rates of families were 97.9%, 98.8%, 99.4%, 99.7% during months 2–5, 5–6, 6–8, 8–11, and 11–18, respectively, and 99.5%, being 53.5%, 23.8%, 19.5%, 14.9%, and 13.2% higher, respectively, than the mean values in each period. In all periods, the estimated heritabilities for survival were very low without significant difference from zero (P≫0.05) (values ranged from 0.06 to 0.12), indicating low additive genetic effects. The genetic correlations of survival among families in different periods were all positive, but low in magnitude (values range from 0.03 to 0.31). Genetic correlations between long-term survival and other periods’ survival had negative values (−0.06 and −0.15) and three positive values (0.16, 0.12 and 0.14). Genetic correlations between survival and weight were all positive, except for survival at months 2–5 and weight at 18 months, which was not significantly negative (−0.18).  相似文献   
946.
数字地震观测的传递函数由反馈地震计和地震数据采集器的传递函数合成。地震数据采集器的传递函数主要用数字算法生成,其精度可以做得很高。反馈地震计是机电一体化的模拟传感部件,其传递函数的精度和稳定性均欠佳。尤其是由反馈地震计生成的主导二阶极点,对应传统地震观测的周期和阻尼两个重要参数,其精度和稳定性往往较低,不利于地震学研究深入发展的需要。以四川地震观测的标定数据为例,说明数字地震观测传递函数的精度和稳定性急待改进。  相似文献   
947.
The Pearl River Delta (PRD) has one of the most complicated deltaic drainage systems with probably the highest density of crisscross-river network in the world. This article presents a regional flood frequency analysis and recognition of spatial patterns for flood-frequency variations in the PRD region using the well-known index flood L-moments approach together with some advanced statistical test and spatial analysis methods. Results indicate that: (1) the whole PRD region is definitely heterogeneous according to the heterogeneity test and can be divided into three homogeneous regions; (2) the spatial maps for annual maximum flood stage corresponding to different return periods in the PRD region suggest that the flood stage decreases gradually from the riverine system to the tide dominated costal areas; (3) from a regional perspective, the spatial patterns of flood-frequency variations demonstrate the most serious flood-risk in the coastal region because it is extremely prone to the emerging flood hazards, typhoons, storm surges and well-evidenced sea-level rising. Excessive rainfall in the upstream basins will lead to moderate floods in the upper and middle PRD region. The flood risks of rest parts are identified as the lowest in entire PRD. In order to obtain more reliable estimates, the stationarity and serial-independence are tested prior to frequency analysis. The characterization of the spatial patterns of flood-frequency variations is conducted to reveal the potential influences of climate change and intensified human activities. These findings will definitely contribute to formulating the regional development strategies for policymakers and stakeholders in water resource management against the menaces of frequently emerged floods and well-evidenced sea level rising.  相似文献   
948.
在对松原地区开展的活断裂探测工作中发现了一条晚更新世活动断裂,称之为孤店断裂。本文通过三维地震资料获得了孤店隐伏活动断裂的地下细部结构,在对其地质构造、第四纪活动性、历史地震记录及地震活动性等进行综合研究的基础上,采用石油物探三维地震资料获得的基岩破裂长度进行经验关系拟合,对其潜在地震最大震级进行了评估,评估结果认为其约为M_W7。此外,采用地震矩方法获得复发周期、年发生率等定量参数,利用中国大陆古地震复发概率模型估算出孤店断裂未来50~200a的大地震发生概率。  相似文献   
949.
950.
本文利用主成分分析法提取了川西高原北部5个样点反映气温变化的树轮宽度年表的主成分年表,其中第一主成分年表(PC1)的方差贡献率为59.52%,能够较好地代表川西高原北部地区树轮宽度变化的共同特征。在器测时段内(1961-2010年),PC1年表、6-7月区域平均气温观测序列与东亚气温场的相关分布较为一致,均与中国的西北-青藏高原一带以及西伯利亚东部呈现显著的正相关(r > 0.443,p < 0.001),表明PC1年表能够反映较大空间范围的气温变化特征。器测时期,PC1年表和观测序列与全球海温场的相关分析表明,两者均与西太平洋、印度洋及北大西洋海域显著正相关,反映了在海气相互作用过程中多个海区海表温度变化可能对研究区气温变化有一定影响;而利用PC1年表在更长时间尺度(1854-2010年)及分阶段分析则发现不同阶段对区域气温起主导作用的海区有比较明显的差异,甚至在比较大的空间范围内在不同阶段出现相反的分布型,且由相关系数反映出的海气相互作用强度也具有显著的差异,气温波动较大时,海气相互作用也比较强烈。异常年分析则反映出西北太平洋和北大西洋海温异常对研究区气温异常具有持续稳定的影响。  相似文献   
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