Projected 21st century climate change on snow conditions over Shasta Dam watershed by means of dynamical downscaling          下载免费PDF全文

Toan Trinh  M. Levent Kavvas  Kei Ishida  Kara Carr  Noriaki Ohara 《水文研究》2017,31(16):2887-2901

Snow is an important component of the Earth's climate system and is particularly vulnerable to global warming. It has been suggested that warmer temperatures may cause significant declines in snow water content and snow cover duration. In this study, snowfall and snowmelt were projected by means of a regional climate model that was coupled to a physically based snow model over Shasta Dam watershed to assess changes in snow water content and snow cover duration during the 21st century. This physically based snow model requires both physical data and future climate projections. These physical data include topography, soils, vegetation, and land use/land cover, which were collected from associated organizations. The future climate projections were dynamically downscaled by means of the regional climate model under 4 emission scenarios simulated by 2 general circulation models (fifth‐generation of the ECHAM general circulation model and the third‐generation atmospheric general circulation model). The downscaled future projections were bias corrected before projecting snowfall and snowmelt processes over Shasta Dam watershed during 2010–2099. This study's results agree with those of previous studies that projected snow water equivalent is decreasing by 50–80% whereas the fraction of precipitation falling as snowfall is decreasing by 15% to 20%. The obtained projection results show that future snow water content will change in both time and space. Furthermore, the results confirm that physical data such as topography, land cover, and atmospheric–hydrologic data are instrumental in the studies on the impact of climate change on the water resources of a region.  相似文献   

Observations of Fractures Induced by Hydraulic Fracturing in Anisotropic Granite     

Youqing Chen  Yuya Nagaya  Tsuyoshi Ishida 《Rock Mechanics and Rock Engineering》2015,48(4):1455-1461

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Middle Eocene low-paleolatitude radiolarian evidence for the Cabog Formation,Central East Luzon,Philippine Mobile Belt     

Keisuke Ishida  Shigeyuki Suzuki  Graciano P. Yumul  Carla B. Dimalanta 《Gondwana Research》2011,19(1):61-70

The Cabog Formation, newly established herein and exposed in central East Luzon, Philippine Mobile Belt, is defined in age by the occurrence of radiolarians. The radiolarian assemblage is correlative with the middle Eocene and suggests a low paleolatitude affinity. The correlation, sedimentary environment, and the tectonic significance are discussed. The Cabog Formation is correlative with the distal part of the middle–late Eocene Caraballo Formation, which is exposed in the northeastern side of the Philippine Fault Zone. The sandstone composition and radiolarian age suggest that the Cabog Formation represents the first depositional stage in the early arc setting. The northward migration of the formation is also estimated in relation with the Philippine Sea Plate motion along the Older Philippine Fault from the equatorial area.  相似文献   

Crystallization temperature determination of Itokawa particles by plagioclase thermometry with X‐ray diffraction data obtained by a high‐resolution synchrotron Gandolfi camera     

Masahiko Tanaka  Tomoki Nakamura  Takaaki Noguchi  Aiko Nakato  Hatsumi Ishida  Toru Yada  Kei Shirai  Akio Fujimura  Yukihiro Ishibashi  Masanao Abe  Tatsuaki Okada  Munetaka Ueno  Toshifumi Mukai 《Meteoritics & planetary science》2014,49(2):237-244

The crystallization temperatures of Itokawa surface particles recovered by the space probe Hayabusa were estimated by a plagioclase geothermometer using sodic plagioclase triclinicity. The Δ131‐index required for the thermometer, which is the difference in X‐ray diffraction peak positions between the 131 and 11 reflections of plagioclase, was obtained by a high‐resolution synchrotron Gandolfi camera developed for the third generation synchrotron radiation beamline, BL15XU at SPring‐8. Crystallization temperatures were successfully determined from the Δ131‐indices for four particles. The observed plagioclase crystallization temperatures were in a range from 655 to 660 °C. The temperatures indicate crystallization temperatures of plagioclases in the process of prograde metamorphism before the peak metamorphic stage.  相似文献   

Flux limited diffusion theory in a moving fluid     

Mitsuya Katoh  Shiro Sakashita 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1993,203(2):275-288

We extend the flux limited diffusion theory in a moving fluid to be able to treat any combination of absoption and scattering.The extended flux limited diffusion theory is fully flux limited and displays the correct behavior in the free streaming limit and in the near thermodynamic equilibrium limit.  相似文献   

Three-mode Cepheid pulsation     

T. Ishida  M. Saitou 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1991,182(1):69-74

We simulated two models of classical Cepheids with the same effective temperature and luminosity but different masses. Neither model has significant resonance among linear nonadiabatic periods of the fundamental, the first overtone, and the second overtone radial modes. The higher mass model found to approach to the second overtone-only state. The lower mass model shows a complicated three-mode interaction and none of the amplitudes of three modes is negligible. The relation of the higher mass model to the shortest period Cepheid HR 7308, and that of the lower mass model to the double-mode Cepheids are discussed. It appears that three-mode nonresonant coupling should be considered to explain the behaviours of both models.  相似文献   

Three-mode Cepheid pulsation     

T. Ishida 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1990,168(2):243-252

Amplitude equations, that are used in the investigation of stellar pulsations, for the three-mode nonresonant coupling case are inferred from that of the two-mode nonresonant coupling case. Characteristics of the fixed points of the amplitude equations are studied. Chaotic behaviour is expected when the amplitude equations consist of more than two modes.  相似文献   

A criterion of double-mode pulsation from coupling coefficients     

T. Ishida 《Astrophysics and Space Science》1990,167(1):173-176

A criterion for the occurrence of double-mode pulsations is derived from linear adiabatic coupling coefficients The criterion indicates that double-mode pulsations of classical Cepheids occur at a shorter period range than the observed one, and that the evolutionary mass models are preferable for the double-mode pulsations.  相似文献   

Western Arctic primary productivity regulated by shelf-break warm eddies     

Eiji Watanabe  Michio J. Kishi  Akio Ishida  Maki Noguchi Aita 《Journal of Oceanography》2012,68(5):703-718

The response of phytoplankton to the Beaufort shelf-break eddies in the western Arctic Ocean is examined using the eddy-resolving coupled sea ice–ocean model including a lower-trophic marine ecosystem formulation. The regional model driven by the reanalysis 2003 atmospheric forcing from March to November captures the major spatial and temporal features of phytoplankton bloom following summertime sea ice retreat in the shallow Chukchi shelf and Barrow Canyon. The shelf-break warm eddies spawned north of the Barrow Canyon initially transport the Chukchi shelf water with high primary productivity toward the Canada Basin interior. In the eddy-developing period, the anti-cyclonic rotational flow along the outer edge of each eddy moving offshore occasionally traps the shelf water. The primary production inside the warm eddies is maintained by internal dynamics in the eddy-maturity period. In particular, the surface central area of an anti-cyclonic eddy acquires adequate light, nutrient, and warm environment for photosynthetic activity partly attributed to turbulent mixing with underlying nutrient-rich water. The simulated biogeochemical properties with the dominance of small-size phytoplankton inside the warm eddies are consistent with the observational findings in the western Arctic Ocean. It is also suggested that the light limitation before autumn sea ice freezing shuts down the primary production in the shelf-break eddies in spite of nutrient recovery. These results indicate that the time lag between the phytoplankton bloom in the shelf region following the summertime sea ice retreat and the eddy generation along the Beaufort shelf break is an important index to determine biological regimes in the Canada Basin.  相似文献   

When did cosmic acceleration start? How fast was the transition?     

mille E.O. Ishida  Ribamar R.R. Reis  Alan V. Toribio  Ioav Waga 《Astroparticle Physics》2008,28(6):547-552

Cosmic acceleration is investigated through a kink-like expression for the deceleration parameter (q). The new parametrization depends on the initial (q_i) and final (q_f) values of q, on the redshift of the transition from deceleration to acceleration (z_t) and the width of such transition (τ). We show that although supernovae (SN) observations (Gold182 and SNLS data samples) indicate, at high confidence, that a transition occurred in the past (z_t > 0) they do not, by themselves, impose strong constraints on the maximum value of z_t. However, when we combine SN with the measurements of the ratio between the comoving distance to the last scattering surface and the SDSS + 2dfGRS BAO distance scale (S_k/D_v) we obtain, at 95.4% confidence level, and for (S_k/D_v+Gold182), and and for (S_k/D_v+SNLS), assuming q_i = 0.5 and q_f = −1. We also analyze the general case, q_f  (−∞, 0) finding the constraints that the combined tests (S_k/D_v+SNLS) impose on the present value of the deceleration parameter (q₀).  相似文献