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81.
Effective quantification of land cover changes remains a challenge in Himalayan hills and mountains, and has a colossal value addition for natural resource management. Here we present a new robust method for classifying land cover vegetation at physiognomic scale along steep elevational gradients from ~?200 to ~?7000 masl in the Kailash Sacred Landscape, Western Himalaya, India along with four decades of land use and land cover changes (1976–2011) using remote sensing techniques coupled with intensive ground surveys. Results show that forest cover loss was minimum ca 7.14% of existing forest in 1976; but, however forest fragmentation is high especially in montane broad-leaved and subtropical needle leaved forests. This change largely impacted the quality of valuable tree species such as Quercus spp. Post 1976, continuous migration forced conversion of high altitude agricultural lands into grasslands and scrublands. Human settlement expansion was high especially in low altitudinal range valleys between 1000 and 2000 masl and has increased 6.76 fold since 1976, leading to high forest fragmentation in spite of reduced agriculture area in the landscape. Our physiognomic level classified land cover map will be a key for forest managers to prioritize conservation zones for protecting this unique forest land.  相似文献   
82.

Poverty is the most important metric for determining the nature and sense of wellbeing in a given area. Most economists consider poverty to be an economic criterion for assessing many aspects of human development as well as overall social development; yet, society is multi-faceted in its many forms. To address this pressing societal issue, the current study used the Multidimensional poverty index (MPI). To analyse urban poverty among slum communities, the researchers used the Global MPI of the Oxford Poverty and Human Development Initiative and UNDP (following Alkire and Foster) techniques. Researchers attempted to create a Multidimensional poverty index (MPI) for impoverished households in Purulia's designated slums in this study. In the second phase, the multidimensional poverty of Purulia's urban poor households was assessed based on (a) location, (b) social groupings, and (c) length of stay. Finally, researchers have attempted to identify the factors that contribute to multidimensional poverty. Two indicators, the Head Count Ratio (H) and Intensity of Poverty, have been offered to better explain the nature of MPI (A). Based on slum population density and areal density, eight urban slum areas with 320 households has been taken from 8 selected slums based on Yamane’s methodology from Purulia Municipality's wards. A structured questionnaire, an oral history interview, and a focus group discussion were used as primary data sources, with secondary data acquired from several officially published sources. The study displays a decomposed multidimensional poverty picture in terms of overall condition, socioeconomic groups, and household age, with a quantitative methodology that is transparent. When the locations have been considered, a qualitative approach has been used to determine that the slums closest to the railway track are the most multidimensionally disadvantaged of the eight slums. Furthermore, the schedule caste population has been found to be more deprived across many socioeconomic groups, with Scheduled tribe (ST) households being the most deprived in terms of health on one hand (applied quantitative methodology) and multi-nominal regression (applied qualitative methodology) indicating a mix mode approach. This form of analysis, which combines quantitative and qualitative approaches, can aid stakeholders and policymakers in developing specific poverty-reduction policies at the regional level.

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83.
We have estimated soil moisture (SM) by using circular horizontal polarization backscattering coefficient (\(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\)), differences of circular vertical and horizontal \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}} \, (\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RV}} {-} \sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}})\) from FRS-1 data of Radar Imaging Satellite (RISAT-1) and surface roughness in terms of RMS height (\({\hbox {RMS}}_{\mathrm{height}}\)). We examined the performance of FRS-1 in retrieving SM under wheat crop at tillering stage. Results revealed that it is possible to develop a good semi-empirical model (SEM) to estimate SM of the upper soil layer using RISAT-1 SAR data rather than using existing empirical model based on only single parameter, i.e., \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}\). Near surface SM measurements were related to \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\), \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RV}} {-} \sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\) derived using 5.35 GHz (C-band) image of RISAT-1 and \({\hbox {RMS}}_{\mathrm{height}}\). The roughness component derived in terms of \({\hbox {RMS}}_{\mathrm{height}}\) showed a good positive correlation with \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RV}} {-} \sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}} \, (R^{2} = 0.65)\). By considering all the major influencing factors (\(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\), \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RV}} {-} \sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\), and \({\hbox {RMS}}_{\mathrm{height}}\)), an SEM was developed where SM (volumetric) predicted values depend on \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\), \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RV}} {-} \sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}_{\mathrm{RH}}\), and \({\hbox {RMS}}_{\mathrm{height}}\). This SEM showed \(R^{2}\) of 0.87 and adjusted \(R^{2}\) of 0.85, multiple R=0.94 and with standard error of 0.05 at 95% confidence level. Validation of the SM derived from semi-empirical model with observed measurement (\({\hbox {SM}}_{\mathrm{Observed}}\)) showed root mean square error (RMSE) = 0.06, relative-RMSE (R-RMSE) = 0.18, mean absolute error (MAE) = 0.04, normalized RMSE (NRMSE) = 0.17, Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) = 0.91 (\({\approx } 1\)), index of agreement (d) = 1, coefficient of determination \((R^{2}) = 0.87\), mean bias error (MBE) = 0.04, standard error of estimate (SEE) = 0.10, volume error (VE) = 0.15, variance of the distribution of differences \(({\hbox {S}}_{\mathrm{d}}^{2}) = 0.004\). The developed SEM showed better performance in estimating SM than Topp empirical model which is based only on \(\sigma ^{\mathrm{o}}\). By using the developed SEM, top soil SM can be estimated with low mean absolute percent error (MAPE) = 1.39 and can be used for operational applications.  相似文献   
84.
85.
Indian region is severely affected by the tropical cyclones (TCs) due to the long coast line of about 7500 km. Hence, whenever any low level circulation (LLC) forms over the Indian Seas, the prediction of its intensification into a TC is very essential for the management of TC disaster. Satellite Application Centre (SAC) of Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), Ahmedabad, has developed a technique to predict TCs based on scatterometer-derived winds from the polar orbiting satellite, QuikSCAT and Oceansat-II. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has acquired the technique and verified it for the years 2010–2013 for operational use. The model is based on the concept of analogs of the sea surface wind distribution at the stage of LLC or vortex (T1.0) as per Dvorak’s classifications, which eventually leads to cyclogenesis (T2.5). The results indicate that the developed model could predict cyclogenesis with a probability of detection of 61% and critical success index of 0.29. However, it shows high over-prediction of the model is better over the Bay of Bengal than over Arabian Sea and during post-monsoon season (September–December) than in pre-monsoon season (March–June).  相似文献   
86.
The Gulmarg gamma-ray telescope (threshold energy 6 TeV) was tracking Cygnus X-3 on four days in October 1985, around the time the source produced one of its most outstanding radio flares. Examined here is the behaviour of the event rates recorded during this period with a time-resolution of 216 s. Two episodes of higher event rates, each several minutes in duration and having a Poissonian significance of 4, were recorded on 10 and 12 October, suggesting possible activity at TeV energies during the radio flare period of Cygnus X-3.  相似文献   
87.
An attempt has been made to study the relief aspects from three different sources of Digital Elevation Models (DEMs) viz., Survey of India (SOI) topographic map (1:25,000), Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM-90 m and SRTM-30 m) and Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER-30 m). These aspects are evaluated to examine differences among them and their influence on time of concentration (TC) of runoff at Moolbari Experimental Watershed (MEW), Sub Himalayan region (Shimla, District of Himachal Pradesh) India. For detailed study of relief aspects, morphometry parameters, SOI topographic map (as base map) were used. The results show that the relief aspects morphometric parameters derived from the SRTM30m and ASTER30m lie between SOI topographic map, and SRTM90m. We estimated TC of 21 micro watersheds from different sources DEMs by using Kirpich, Johnstone, Témez, and Barnsby equation only. Témez and Barnsby equation demonstrate high potential for the identification of TC from SOI Topographic map, SRTM90m, ASTER and SRTM30m DEMs. TC_Topo has a positive relationship with TC_SRTM90m, TC_ASTER and TC_SRTM30m for both Témez, and Barnsby equation with R2=0.804Topo & SRTM90m, 0.810Topo & ASTER & 0.839Topo & SRTM30m and 0.712Topo & SRTM90m, 0.747 Topo & ASTER & 0.785 Topo & SRTM30m. Further statistical test of Témez, and Barnsby equation based TC, only Témez equation based TC qualify/satisfy the statistical test. by considering all freeware DEMs a Semi-empirical model (SEM) has been developed, where TC predicted in term of TC_Topo is a function of TC_SRTM90m, TC_ASTER and TC_SRTM30m. This SEM has R2=0.883 and adjusted R= 0.874, Multiple R=0.907 and with Standard Error =2.131 at 95% confidence level. Comparison of the TC derived from the multiple regressions among three DEMs with TC_Topo shows an RMSE of 3.803, R-RMSE of 0.169, NRMSE of 0.342, R2 of 0.89, and RMSE% of 3.296 for Témez equation.  相似文献   
88.
Radiocarbon dating of archaeological carbonates from seven cultural stages of Dholavira, Great Rann of Kachchh (GRK), the largest excavated Harappan settlement in India, suggests the beginning of occupation at ~5500 years BP (pre-Harappan), and continuation until ~3800 years BP (early part of the Late Harappan period). The settlement rapidly expanded under favourable monsoonal climate conditions when architectural elements such as the Citadel, Bailey, Lower and Middle Town were added between the Early and mid-Mature Harappan periods. Abundant local mangroves grew around the GRK sustaining prolific populations of the edible gastropod Terebralia palustris. Oxygen isotope (δ18O) sclerochronology of Early Harappan gastropod shell suggests seasonal mixing of some depleted (δ18O ~ −12‰) river water in summer/monsoon months (through ancient Saraswati and/or Indus distributary channels) with seawater that periodically inundated the GRK. Evaporation from this semi-enclosed water body during the non-monsoon months enriched the δ18O of water/shell carbonates. The humid fluvial landscape possibly changed due to a catastrophic drought driving the final collapse of the settlement of Dholavira exactly at the onset of the Meghalayan (Late Holocene) stage (~4300–4100 years BP ). Indeed, Dholavira presents a classic case for understanding how climate change can increase future drought risk as predicted by the IPCC working group. Copyright © 2019 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
89.
Digital elevation model (DEM) data of Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) are distributed at a horizontal resolution of 90 m (30 m only for US) for the world, Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) DEM data provide 30 m horizontal resolution, while CARTOSAT-1 (IRS-P5) gives 2.6 m horizontal resolution for global coverage. SRTM and ASTER data are available freely but 2.6 m CARTOSAT-1 data are costly. Hence, through this study, we found out a horizontal accuracy for selected ground control points (GCPs) from SRTM and ASTER with respect to CARTOSAT-1 DEM to implement this result (observed from horizontal accuracy) for those areas where the 2.6-m horizontal resolution data are not available. In addition to this, the present study helps in providing a benchmark against which the future DEM products (with horizontal resolution less than CARTOSAT-1) with respect to CARTOSAT-1 DEM can be evaluated. The original SRTM image contained voids that were represented digitally as ?140; such voids were initially filled using the measured values of elevation for obtaining accurate DEM. Horizontal accuracy analysis between SRTM- and ASTER-derived DEMs with respect to CARTOSAT-1 (IRS-P5) DEM allowed a qualitative assessment of the horizontal component of the error, and the appropriable statistical measures were used to estimate their horizontal accuracies. The horizontal accuracy for ASTER and SRTM DEM with respect to CARTOSAT-1 were evaluated using the root mean square error (RMSE) and relative root mean square error (R-RMSE). The results from this study revealed that the average RMSE of 20 selected GCPs was 2.17 for SRTM and 2.817 for ASTER, which are also validated using R-RMSE test which proves that SRTM data have good horizontal accuracy than ASTER with respect to CARTOSAT-1 because the average R-RMSE of 20 GCPs was 3.7 × 10?4 and 5.3 × 10?4 for SRTM and ASTER, respectively.  相似文献   
90.
Autoregressive neural network (AR-NN) models of various orders have been generated in this work for the daily total ozone (TO) time series over Kolkata (22.56°N, 88.5°E). Artificial neural network in the form of multilayer perceptron (MLP) is implemented in order to generate the AR-NN models of orders varying from 1 to 13. An extensive variable selection method through multiple linear regression (MLR) is implemented while developing the AR-NNs. The MLPs are characterized by sigmoid non-linearity. The optimum size of the hidden layer is identified in each model and prediction are produced by validating it over the test cases using the coefficient of determination (R 2) and Willmott’s index (WI). It is observed that AR-NN model of order 7 having 6 nodes in the hidden layer has maximum prediction capacity. It is further observed that any increase in the orders of AR-NN leads to less accurate prediction.  相似文献   
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