全文获取类型
收费全文 | 122篇 |
免费 | 5篇 |
国内免费 | 4篇 |
专业分类
测绘学 | 3篇 |
大气科学 | 28篇 |
地球物理 | 29篇 |
地质学 | 17篇 |
海洋学 | 25篇 |
天文学 | 25篇 |
综合类 | 2篇 |
自然地理 | 2篇 |
出版年
2022年 | 1篇 |
2021年 | 2篇 |
2020年 | 1篇 |
2019年 | 4篇 |
2018年 | 5篇 |
2017年 | 6篇 |
2016年 | 15篇 |
2015年 | 6篇 |
2014年 | 6篇 |
2013年 | 9篇 |
2012年 | 9篇 |
2011年 | 6篇 |
2010年 | 5篇 |
2009年 | 6篇 |
2008年 | 5篇 |
2007年 | 6篇 |
2006年 | 6篇 |
2005年 | 7篇 |
2004年 | 3篇 |
2003年 | 5篇 |
2002年 | 3篇 |
2000年 | 1篇 |
1999年 | 2篇 |
1996年 | 1篇 |
1992年 | 2篇 |
1989年 | 1篇 |
1988年 | 2篇 |
1985年 | 1篇 |
1983年 | 1篇 |
1982年 | 2篇 |
1981年 | 1篇 |
1980年 | 1篇 |
排序方式: 共有131条查询结果,搜索用时 15 毫秒
41.
S. E. Ahn C. S. Park H. M. Kim 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2007,21(6):711-716
This paper is intended to compare the hazard rate from the Bayesian approach with the hazard rate from the maximum likelihood
estimate (MLE) method. The MLE of a parameter is appropriate as long as there are sufficient data. For various reasons, however,
sufficient data may not be available, which may make the result of the MLE method unreliable. In order to resolve the problem,
it is necessary to rely on judgment about unknown parameters. This is done by adopting the Bayesian approach. The hazard rate
of a mixture model can be inferred from a method called Bayesian estimation. For eliciting a prior distribution which can
be used in deriving a Bayesian estimate, a computerized-simulation method is introduced. Finally, a numerical example is given
to illustrate the potential benefits of the Bayesian approach. 相似文献
42.
We present an analysis of a high resolution multi-decadal simulation of recent climate (1971–2000) over the Korean Peninsula
with a regional climate model (RegCM3) using a one-way double-nested system. Mean climate state as well as frequency and intensity
of extreme climate events are investigated at various temporal and spatial scales, with focus on surface air temperature and
precipitation. The mother intermediate resolution model domain encompasses the eastern regions of Asia at 60 km grid spacing
while the high resolution nested domain covers the Korean Peninsula at 20 km grid spacing. The simulation spans the 30-year
period of January 1971 through December 2000, and initial and lateral boundary conditions for the mother domain are provided
from ECHO-G fields based on the IPCC SRES B2 scenario. The model shows a good performance in reproducing the climatological
and regional characteristics of surface variables, although some persistent biases are present. Main results are as follows:
(1) The RegCM3 successfully simulates the fine-scale structure of the temperature field due to topographic forcing but it
shows a systematic cold bias mostly due to an underestimate of maximum temperature. (2) The frequency distribution of simulated
daily mean temperature agrees well with the observed seasonal and spatial patterns. In the summer season, however, daily variability
is underestimated. (3) The RegCM3 simulation adequately captures the seasonal evolution of precipitation associated to the
East Asia monsoon. In particular, the simulated winter precipitation is remarkably good, clearly showing typical precipitation
patterns that occur on the northwestern areas of Japan during the winter monsoon. Although summer precipitation is underestimated,
area-averaged time series of precipitation over Korea show that the RegCM3 agrees better with observations than ECHO-G both
in terms of seasonal evolution and precipitation amounts. (4) Heavy rainfall phenomena exceeding 300 mm/day are simulated
only at the high resolution of the double nested domain. (5) The model shows a tendency to overestimate the number of precipitation
days and to underestimate the precipitation intensities. (6) A CSEOF analysis reveals that the model captures the strength
of the annual cycle and the surface warming trend throughout the simulated period. 相似文献
43.
Dependence of the amount of open magnetic flux on the direction of the interplanetary magnetic field
The power generated by the solar wind—magnetosphere dynamo is proportional to the amount of the open magnetic flux Φ. It is difficult to use this fact in determining observationally the dependence of Φ on the orientation of the interplanetary magnetic field vector. It is shown that, for a simple vacuum superposition of the earth's dipole field and a uniform magnetic field, Φ is very closely proportional to sin θ/2) for a wide range of the intensity of the uniform field, where θ denotes the polar angle of the interplanetary magnetic field vector in the Y-Z plane of solar-magnetospheric coordinates. 相似文献
44.
SoEun Ahn Joseph E. de Steiguer Raymond B. Palmquist Thomas P. Holmes 《Climatic change》2000,45(3-4):493-509
Global warming due to the enhanced greenhouse effect through human activities has become a major public policy issue in recent years. The present study focuses on the potential economic impact of climate change on recreational trout fishing in the Southern Appalachian Mountains of North Carolina. Significant reductions in trout habitat and/or populations are anticipated under global warming since the study area is on the extreme margins of trout habitat of the eastern U.S. The purpose of this study is to estimate the potential welfare loss of trout anglers due to global warming. A nested multinomial logit model was developed and estimated to describe the angler's fishing choice behavior. The estimated median welfare loss (Compensating Variation) ranged from $5.63 to $53.18 per angler per single occasion under the various diminished trout habitat and/or population scenarios. 相似文献
45.
46.
Sun-Yong Ha Hyong-Min Joo Sung-Ho Kang In-Young Ahn Kyung-Hoon Shin 《Journal of Oceanography》2014,70(1):1-10
We investigated the effects of ultraviolet-B (UV-B) radiation on the natural phytoplankton assemblage in Marine Cove on King George Island, Antarctica, in December 2005. The amount of newly synthesized phytoplankton polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFAs) was lower with exposure to full irradiation (PAR+UV-A+UV-B) than without such exposure (exposed instead to PAR+UV-A radiation) in an in situ incubation under the light conditions in two different types of incubation bottles: quartz bottles transmitting all light wavelengths including UV-B and polycarbonate bottles with no UV-B transmission and 20 % reduced PAR compared to the quartz bottle. However, the amount of newly synthesized saturated fatty acids was greater with than without UV-B radiation. Thus, UV-B radiation may have a significant influence on fatty acid synthesis in phytoplankton. In particular, the production of eicosapentaenoic acid [20:5(n-3)] and docosahexaenoic acid [22:6(n-3)] was reduced during incubation under the natural solar radiation including UV-B. To understand the indirect influence of UV-B on herbivores (the secondary producer), we conducted feeding experiments with amphipods fed in situ on the natural phytoplankton assemblage. The amphipods fed on the phytoplankton with the low PUFA values also exhibited a low PUFA accumulation rate, which could negatively affect their growth, development, and reproduction. Consequently, the diminished rate of essential fatty acid synthesis [especially 20:5(n-3) and 22:6(n-3)] in primary producers caused by UV-B exposure could affect the structure and function of the Antarctic marine ecosystem. 相似文献
47.
Sensitivity analysis for the GIS-based mapping of the ground subsidence hazard near abandoned underground coal mines 总被引:3,自引:3,他引:0
Ground subsidence around abandoned underground coal mines can cause much loss of life and property. We analyze factors that
can affect ground subsidence around abandoned mines in Jeongahm in Kangwon-do by sensitivity analysis in geographic information
system (GIS). Spatial data for the subsidence area, topography and geology and various ground engineering data were collected
and used to make a factor raster database for a ground subsidence hazard map. To determine the importance of extracted subsidence-related
factors, frequency ratio model and sensitivity analysis were employed. Sensitivity analysis is a method for comparing the
combined effects of all factors except one. Sensitivity analysis and its verification showed that using all factors provided
91.61% accuracy. The best accuracy was achieved by not considering the groundwater depth (92.77%) and the worst by not considering
the lineament (85.42%). The results show that the distance from the lineament and the distance from the drift highly affected
the occurrence of ground subsidence, and the groundwater depth, land use and rock mass rating had the least effects. Thus,
we determined causes of ground subsidence in the study area and this information could help in the prediction of ground subsidence
in other areas. 相似文献
48.
We study interval constants that are related to motions of the Sun and Moon,i.e., the Qi, Intercalation, Revolution and Crossing interval, in calendars affiliated with the Shoushi calendar(Shoushili), such as Datongli and Chiljeongsannaepyeon. It is known that these interval constants were newly introduced in the Shoushili calendar and revised afterward, except for the Qi interval constant, and the revised values were adopted in later calendars affiliated with the Shoushili. We first investigate the accuracy of these interval constants and then the accuracy of calendars affiliated with the Shoushili in terms of these constants by comparing times for the new moon and the maximum solar eclipse calculated by each calendar with modern methods of calculation. During our study, we found that the Qi and Intercalation interval constants used in the early Shoushili were well determined, whereas the Revolution and Crossing interval constants were relatively poorly measured. We also found that the interval constants used by the early Shoushili were better than those of the later one, and hence better than those of Datongli and Chiljeongsannaepyeon. On the other hand, we found that the early Shoushili is, in general, a worse calendar than Datongli for use in China but a better one than Chiljeongsannaepyeon for use in Korea in terms of times for the new moon and when a solar eclipse occurs, at least for the period 1281 – 1644.Finally, we verified that the times for sunrise and sunset in the Shoushili-Li-Cheng and Mingshi are those at Beijing and Nanjing, respectively. 相似文献
49.
Sang-hyeon Ahn 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》2004,95(1-4):63-68
We have analyzed the meteor records in the chronicles of the east Asian countries, especially the Korean records. Our results
show that the seasonal variation of sporadic meteors has persisted at least for the last two millennia. We also observed the
prominent showers such as the Perseids and the Leonids, which are formed by Halley-type comets. We obtained the regression
rate of nodal points for the Leonids to be approximately 1.52± 0.04 days per century. 相似文献
50.
It is shown that the power ε generated by the solar wind-magnetosphere dynamo is transmitted to the convective motion of magnetospheric plasma. This convective motion generates what we may call the “Pedersen counterpart currents” in the magnetosphere and drives a large part of the “region 1 and 2” field-aligned currents which are closed by the Pedersen currents in the ionosphere. These results are based on a self-consistent set of the ionospheric current and potential distribution patterns obtained from a study of the International Magnetosphere Study Alaska meridian chain data. 相似文献