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361.
A spatio-temporal model of housing price trends is developed that focuses on individual housing sales over time. The model
allows for both the spatio-temporal lag effects of previous sales in the vicinity of each housing sale, and for general autocorrelation
effects over time. A key feature of this model is the recognition of the unequal spacing between individual housing sales
over time. Hence the residuals are modeled as a first-order autoregressive process with unequally spaced events. The maximum-likelihood
estimation of this model is developed in detail, and tested in terms of simulations based on selected data. In addition, the
model is applied to a small data set in the Philadelphia area. 相似文献
362.
This effort aims to determine the generation source sites in the Luzon Strait for energetic, long-crest, transbasin internal waves (IW) observed in the northern South China Sea (NSCS). The roles of islands distributed on eastern side of the strait, Kuroshio, submarine ridges, shoaling thermocline, and strait configuration played in the IW generation are examined using the cruise data analysis, satellite data interpretation, and dynamical analysis. The islands and channels on eastern side of the strait are excluded from a list of possible IW source sites owing to their unmatched horizontal dimensions to the scale of IW crest line length, and the relative low Reynolds number. The Kuroshio has a potential to be a radiator for the long-crest IW disturbances, meanwhile, the Kuroshio west (east) wing absorbs the eastward (westward) propagating IW disturbance. Namely, the Kuroshio blockades the outside west-east propagating IW disturbances. The 3-D configuration of the Luzon Strait is characterized by a sudden, more than one order widening of the cross-section areas at the outlets on both sides, providing a favorable condition for IW type initial disturbance formation. In the Luzon Strait, the thermocline is featured by a westward shoaling all the year around, providing the dynamical conditions for the amplitude growth (declination) to the westward (eastward) propagating IW type disturbance. Thus,the west slope of western submarine ridge at the western outlet of the Luzon Strait is a high possibility source sites for energetic,long-crest, transbasin Iws in the NSCS. The interpretation results of satellite SAR images during a 13 a period from 1995 to 2007 provide the convincing evidence for the conclusions. 相似文献
363.
Dynamical analysis of mesoscale eddy-induced ocean internal waves using linear theories 总被引:3,自引:1,他引:2
This study aims to explore generation mechanisms of the ocean internal wave using the dynamical analysis methods based on linear theories. Historical cruise measurements and recent synthetic aperture radar (SAR) observations of mesoscale eddies with diameter of several tens of kilometers to hundreds of kilometers show that the internal wave packets with wavelength of hundreds of meters to kilometer exist inside the mesoscale eddies. This coexistence phenomenon and inherent links between the two different scale processes are revealed in the solutions of governing equations and boundary conditions for the internal wave disturbance with a horizontally slowly variable amplitude in a cylindrical coordinate system. The theoretical solutions indicate that the instability of eddy current field provides the dynamical mechanism to internal wave generation. The derived dispersion relation indicates that the internal wave propagation is modified by the eddy current field structure. The energy equation of the internal waves clearly shows the internal wave energy increment comes from the eddy. The theoretical models are used to explain the observation of the mesoscale eddy-induced internal waves off the Norwegian coast. The two-dimensional waveform solution of the anticyclonic eddy-induced internal wave packet appears as ring-shaped curves, which contains the typical features of eddy stream lines. The comparison of theoretical solutions to the structure of the internal wave packets on SAR image shows a good agreement on the major features. 相似文献
364.
Spatial cluster detection techniques are widely used in criminology, geography, epidemiology, and other fields. In particular,
spatial scan statistics are popular and efficient techniques for detecting areas of elevated crime or disease events. The
majority of spatial scan approaches attempt to delineate geographic zones by evaluating the significance of clusters using
likelihood ratio statistics tested with the Poisson distribution. While this can be effective, many scan statistics give preference
to circular clusters, diminishing their ability to identify elongated and/or irregular shaped clusters. Although adjusting
the shape of the scan window can mitigate some of these problems, both the significance of irregular clusters and their spatial
structure must be accounted for in a meaningful way. This paper utilizes a multiobjective evolutionary algorithm to find clusters
with maximum significance while quantitatively tracking their geographic structure. Crime data for the city of Cincinnati
are utilized to demonstrate the advantages of the new approach and highlight its benefits versus more traditional scan statistics. 相似文献
365.