Defining probability of saturation with indicator kriging on hard and soft data     

Steve W. Lyon  Arthur J. Lembo Jr.  M. Todd Walter  Tammo S. Steenhuis 《Advances in water resources》2006

In humid, well-vegetated areas, such as in the northeastern US, runoff is most commonly generated from relatively small portions of the landscape becoming completely saturated, however, little is known about the spatial and temporal behavior of these saturated regions. Indicator kriging provides a way to use traditional water table data to quantify probability of saturation to evaluate predicted spatial distributions of runoff generation risk, especially for the new generation of water quality models incorporating saturation excess runoff theory. When spatial measurements of a variable are transformed to binary indicators (i.e., 1 if above a given threshold value and 0 if below) and the resulting indicator semivariogram is modeled, indicator kriging produces the probability of the measured variable to exceed the threshold value. Indicator kriging gives quantified probability of saturation or, consistent with saturation excess runoff theory, runoff generation risk with depth to water table as the variable and the threshold set near the soil surface. The probability of saturation for a 120 m × 180 m hillslope based upon 43 measurements of depth to water table is investigated with indicator semivariograms for six storm events. The indicator semivariograms show high spatial structure in saturated regions with large antecedent rainfall conditions. The temporal structure of the data is used to generate interpolated (soft) data to supplement measured (hard) data. This improved the spatial structure of the indicator semivariograms for lower antecedent rainfall conditions. Probability of saturation was evaluated through indicator kriging incorporating soft data showing, based on this preliminary study, highly connected regions of saturation as expected for the wet season (April through May) in the Catskill Mountain region of New York State. Supplementation of hard data with soft data incorporates physical hydrology of the hillslope to capture significant patterns not available when using hard data alone for indicator kriging. With the need for water quality models incorporating appropriate runoff generation risk estimates on the rise, this manner of data will lay the groundwork for future model evaluation and development.  相似文献   

Physical model for the downhole orbital vibrator (DOV) – I. Acoustic and borehole seismic radiation     

P. C. Leary  L. A. Walter 《Geophysical Journal International》2005,163(2):647-662

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Decapod crustaceans from the Middle Jurassic Opalinus Clay of northern Switzerland, with comments on crustacean taphonomy     

Walter Etter 《Eclogae Geologicae Helvetiae》2004,97(3):381-392

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Thermal and chemical variations in subcrustal cratonic lithosphere: evidence from crustal isostasy   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

Walter D. Mooney  John E. Vidale 《Lithos》2003,71(2-4):185-193

The Earth's topography at short wavelengths results from active tectonic processes, whereas at long wavelengths it is largely determined by isostatic adjustment for the density and thickness of the crust. Using a global crustal model, we estimate the long-wavelength topography that is not due to crustal isostasy. Our most important finding is that cratons are generally depressed by 300 to 1500 m in comparison with predictions from pure crustal isostasy. We conclude that either: (1) cratonic roots may be 50 to 300 °C colder than previously suggested by thermal models, or (2) cratonic roots may be, on average, less depleted than suggested by studies of shallow mantle xenoliths. Alternatively, (3) some combination of these conditions may exist. The thermal explanation is consistent with recent geothermal studies that indicate low cratonic temperatures, as well as seismic studies that show very low seismic attenuation at long periods (150 s) beneath cratons. The petrologic explanation is consistent with recent studies of deep (>140 km) mantle xenoliths from the Kaapvaal and Slave cratons that show 1–2% higher densities compared with shallow (<140 km), highly depleted xenoliths.  相似文献   

Variations of the Ca/Ca ratio in seawater during the past 24 million years: evidence from δCa and δO values of Miocene phosphates     

Anne-Désirée Schmitt  Torsten Vennemann 《Geochimica et cosmochimica acta》2003,67(14):2607-2614

The Ca isotope variation of 11 Miocene and Pleistocene, authigenic, marine phosphates is rather small compared to the corresponding variation in δ¹⁸O values. The δ⁴⁴Ca values are not correlated with the δ¹⁸O values and, therefore, they are not temperature controlled. It is likely that the δ⁴⁴Ca values of the phosphorites reflect the variation in the δ⁴⁴Ca values of paleo-seawater but, in contrast to Sr, not the isotopic composition of seawater itself. Furthermore, Ca and Sr isotopic compositions are decoupled with decreasing stratigraphic age of the phosphate peloids with Sr isotopic compositions changing to more radiogenic values while Ca isotopic compositions remain rather stable. All samples have δ⁴⁴Ca values below present-day seawater values, suggesting that phosphate formation discriminates against heavy Ca isotopes.Phosphorites and carbonaceous sediments have a similar Ca isotopic variation during the Miocene. A systematic and more or less constant shift between marine carbonates and phosphates is observed: the phosphate samples are slightly less enriched in ⁴⁰Ca compared to carbonates. This shift has been related to a mineral-dependent kinetic mass fractionation during precipitation from seawater. The rather stable δ⁴⁴Ca value for the 19 to 9 Ma old phosphorites points to a constant δ⁴⁴Ca fractionation of about 1.1 between seawater and phosphorites during the past and suggests steady-state conditions for the Mid-Miocene seawater (sedimentation flux equals erosion flux).  相似文献   

Forest‐Cover Change from Labor‐ and Capital‐Intensive Commercial Logging in the Southern Chocó Rainforests*     

Rodrigo Sierra  Milton Tirado  Walter Palacios 《The Professional geographer》2003,55(4):477-490

This article examines two key aspects of land‐cover change in the south of the Chocó region. First, it assesses and compares the local impact on forest condition of labor‐intensive and capital‐intensive commercial logging. Second, it assesses the regional significance and permanency of these changes. Studies of land‐cover change associated with commercial logging have focused almost exclusively on capital‐intensive extraction and have assumed that after logging, degraded forests are transformed into agricultural cover. This study shows that both capital‐ and labor‐intensive logging result in similar land‐cover changes (i.e., forest degradation) if the timber sought is the same. However, labor‐intensive loggers also seek timber species not sought by capital‐intensive loggers, and this impact is statistically different from the impact of the extraction of the first group of species. Results also show that only a small fraction (20–30 percent) of the area logged is later converted to agricultural cover types. The persistence of logged forests means that up to 20 percent of the remaining forest cover could correspond to forests with significant and lasting levels of degradation. Furthermore, the different production requirements for each group of species also mean that there is a spatial differentiation in the impact of logging in the region. Logged forests are arranged into two consecutive corridors on each side of access routes (e.g., rivers). The first corridor corresponds to a narrow (approximately 1‐km) band of high‐intensity degradation. The second, broader (approximately 2‐km) forest band, with lower levels of degradation, extends inland along first‐tier corridors. A key factor determining the permanency of this land‐cover pattern is the strong control local communities have over the land in the region. This limits the spread of patterns observed in other frontier areas, especially the conversion of logged forests into agricultural cover.  相似文献   

New age constraints on the timing of volcanism and tectonism in the northern Main Ethiopian Rift–southern Afar transition zone (Ethiopia)     

Tadiwos Chernet  William K. Hart  James L. Aronson  Robert C. Walter 《Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research》1998,80(3-4)

Forty new K-Ar and ⁴⁰Ar/³⁹Ar isotopic ages from the northern Main Ethiopian Rift (MER)–southern Afar transition zone provide insights into the volcano-tectonic evolution of this portion of the East African Rift system. The earliest evidence of volcanic activity in this region is manifest as 24–23 Ma pre-rift flood basalts. Transition zone flood basalt activity renewed at approximately 10 Ma, and preceded the initiation of modern rift margin development. Bimodal basalt–rhyolite volcanism in the southern Afar rift floor began at approximately 7 Ma and continued into Recent times. In contrast, post-subsidence volcanic activity in the northern MER is dominated by Mio-Pliocene silicic products from centers now covered by Quaternary volcanic and sedimentary lithologies. Unlike other parts of the MER, Mio-Pliocene silicic volcanism in the MER–Afar transition zone is closely associated with fissural basaltic products. The presence of Pliocene age ignimbrites on the plateaus bounding the northern MER, whose sources are found in the present rift, indicates that subsidence of this region was gradual, and that it attained its present physiography with steep escarpments only in the Plio-Pleistocene. Large 7–5 Ma silicic centers along the southern Afar and northeastern MER margins apparently formed along an E–W-oriented regional structural feature parallel to the already established southern escarpment of the Afar. The Addis Ababa rift embayment and the growth of 4.5–3 Ma silicic centers in the Addis Ababa area are attributed to the formation of a major cross-rift structure and its intersection with the same regional E–W structural trend. This study illustrates the episodic nature of rift development and volcanic activity in the MER–Afar transition zone, and the link between this activity and regional structural and tectonic features.  相似文献   

Nuclear stellar discs in early-type galaxies — I. HST and WHT observations     

Frank C. van den Bosch  Walter Jaffe  & Roeland P. van der Marel 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》1998,293(4):343-363

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On the Solar Origins of Intense Geomagnetic Storms Observed During 6–11 March 1993     

Srivastava  Nandita  Gonzalez  Walter D.  Gonzalez  Alicia L.C.  Masuda  Satoshi 《Solar physics》1998,183(2):419-434

Intense geomagnetic storms with DST index -100 nT were recorded on 9 March and 11 March 1993 associated with solar activity on 6 March and 9-10 March, respectively. In this paper, we discuss the characteristic features of the solar origins of the two events that gave rise to coronal and interplanetary disturbances and as a consequence produced strong geomagnetic activity at the Earth. The source of the activity in one case is attributed to a major 3M7.0 flare that occurred on 6 March 1993 and in the other case, to two large filament disruptions on the disk during 9-10 March, 1993. Both these sources were found to be located near changing or varying low-latitude coronal holes. They were also located close to the heliospheric currents sheets. Distinct X-ray activity was observed for both the events as observed by the Yohkoh SXT telescope. The detailed evolution and a comparison of these events on the basis of Yohkoh soft X-ray observations are presented here.  相似文献   

Simulation Experiments with Cometary Analogous Material     

Kochan  Hermann W.  Huebner  Walter F.  Sears  Derek W. G. 《Earth, Moon, and Planets》1998,80(1-3):369-411

Comet simulation experiments are discussed, in the context of physical models and the results in cometary physics, gathered especially from the GIOTTO space mission to comet P'Halley. The “status of the today knowledge” about comets, the experiments could start from, is briefly reviewed. The setup of the KOSI (German = Kometen Simulation) - experiments and the techniques to produce cometary analogous material, on the basis of that knowledge are described in general, as for the different KOSI experiments. The limitations of the simulation of physical processes at the surface of real comets in an earth-bound laboratory are discussed, and the possibilities to receive common insights in cometary physics are shown. Methods and procedures are described, and the major results reviewed. As with attempting to reproduce any natural phenomenon in the laboratory, there are short-comings to these experiments, but there are possibly major new insights to be gained. Physical laws only have the same consequences under same experimental or environmental conditions. A number of small-scale comet simulation experiments have been performed, since the early 60ties in many laboratories, but the largest and most ambitious series of comet simulation experiments to date were performed between 1987 and 1993 using the German space agency's (DLR) space hardware testing facilities in Cologne. These experiments were triggered by the scientific community after the comet P'Halley's recurrence in 1986 and the many data gathered by the space missions in this year. Simulation experiments have proved valuable in developing methods for making cometary analogues, and for exploring specific properties of such materials in detail. These experiments provided new insights into the morphology and physical behavior of aggregates formed out of silicate- /water-ice -grains likely to exist in comets. The formation of a dust mantle on the surface, and a system of ice layers below the mantle from the different admixed materials, have been detected after the insolation of the artificial comet. The mechanisms for heat transfer between the comet's surface and its interior, compositional, structural, and isotopic changes that occur near the comet's surface, were described by modeling in accordance with the experimental results. The mechanisms of the ejection of dust and ice grains from the surface, and the importance of gas-drag in propelling grains were investigated by close-up video cameras. This revised version was published online in July 2006 with corrections to the Cover Date.  相似文献