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41.
The centennial?Cmillennial variation of the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) precipitation over the past 1000?years was investigated through the analysis of a millennium simulation of the coupled ECHO-G model. The model results indicate that the centennial?Cmillennial variation of the EASM is essentially a forced response to the external radiative forcing (insolation, volcanic aerosol, and green house gases). The strength of the response depends on latitude; and the spatial structure of the centennial?Cmillennial variation differs from the interannual variability that arises primarily from the internal feedback processes within the climate system. On millennial time scale, the extratropical and subtropical precipitation was generally strong during Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and weak during Little Ice Age (LIA). The tropical rainfall is insensitive to the effective solar radiation forcing (insolation plus radiative effect of volcanic aerosols) but significantly responds to the modern anthropogenic radiative forcing. On centennial time scale, the variation of the extratropical and subtropical rainfall also tends to follow the effective solar radiation forcing closely. The forced response features in-phase rainfall variability between the extratropics and subtropics, which is in contrast to the anti-correlation on the interannual time scale. Further, the behavior of the interannual?Cdecadal variation in the extratropics is effectively modulated by change of the mean states on the millennial time scale, suggesting that the structure of the internal mode may vary with significant changes in the external forcing. These findings imply that on the millennial time scale, (a) the proxy data in the extratropical EA may more sensitively reflect the EASM rainfall variations, and (b) the Meiyu and the northern China rainfall provide a consistent measure for the EASM strength.  相似文献   
42.
Rare Earth Element Geochemistry of Late Palaeozoic Coals in North China   总被引:7,自引:0,他引:7  
Instrumental Neutron Activation Analysis (INAA) was done to determine the abundances of rare earth elements (REE) of 58 samples of Late Palaeozoic Carboniferous-Permian coals and related rocks in North China. Detailed study of REE geochemistry shows that the ∑REE of most coals studied in this paper is in a normal range between 30×10-6 and 80×10-6 with a mean of 56×10-6. The REE in the Taiyuan Formation in the northern part of North China are much richer than those in the southern part. This is due to the shorter distance to the source area in the north. Moreover, the IREE is in positive correlation to coal ash, especially closely related to the content of clay minerals <2μm in size. This reveals that most REE were carried by terrigenous clastic materials, especially fine clay minerals. In the coals the light REE (LREE) are much richer than the heavy REE (HREE), and the LREE/HREE ratio in coals generally varies from 2 to 8. The LREE/HREE ratio of high-ash, low-sulphur coals is higher than that of lo  相似文献   
43.
In this paper, 3-D velocity images of the crust and upper mantle beneath the Nanbei tectonic zone of China are constructed using P-wave travel time residuals of earthquakes, with the data supplied by China's seismic networks and the International Seismic Centre.During the model parameterization in the tomographic inversion the interpolation function of grid node velocities is used as the space function of velocity, and the velocity function is allowed to be discontinuous. The difficulties caused by large memory demand and high computing cost in solving the system of equations are avoided by utilizing the least squares QR decomposition algorithm. Thus, the stability of the algorithm is ensured. Though resolution images are not derived in the inversion process based on the resolution theory of Backus and Gilbert, a covariance resolution method is put forward by the authors. The resolution analyses have proved the reliability of the image results. 3-D ray tracing is conducted to obtain the ray paths in a s  相似文献   
44.
Three major types of Ordovician intrusive-related gold-copper deposits are recognized in central-west New South Wales, Australia: porphyry, skarn and high sulphidation epithermal deposits. These deposits are mainly distributed within two Ordovician volcano-intrusive belts of the Lachlan Fold Belt: the Orange-Wellington Belt and the Parkes-Narromine Belt. Available isotopic age data suggest that mineralization of the three types of deposits is essentially coeval with the Ordovician intrusive rocks (480-430 Ma).Porphyry gold-copper deposits can be further divided into two groups. The first group is associated with monzonite showing shoshonitic features, represented by Cadia and Goonumbla. The second group is associated with diorite and dacite, including the Copper Hill and Cargo gold-copper deposits. Gold skarn is associated with Late Ordovician (430-439 Ma) monzonitic intrusive complexes in the Junction Reefs area (Sheahan-Grants, Frenchmans, and Cor-nishmens), Endeavour 6, 7 and 44, Big and Little Cadia  相似文献   
45.
针对双权重标准差法对探空温度质量控制中阈值参数不确定的问题,提出了以正态波形指标偏度和峰度为判定依据的阈值Z参数优化算法。利用2017年福建3部探空温度资料和ERA5模式再分析温度数据,对探空温度增量数据进行不同数据集质控前后对比分析总结出:峰偏值CKS随阈值Z的分布曲线表明阈值Z偏大则会造成质控不完全,阈值Z偏小则会造成过度质控;以峰偏值CKS所确定的最优阈值Z双权重标准差法比固定阈值的更符合模式同化系统正态分布要求,为探空温度数据在模式同化的应用提供了更好的质控方法。在质控前后温度增量分布特征上,温度观测增量总是以某一固定增量值在整个气压高度上剔除离群值,其中57.15%的离群点主要分布在0~100 hPa范围内,42.85%的离群点均匀分布在100~1000 hPa范围内,其中0~100 hPa范围内温度增量绝对值大于10℃的异常点是由于温度传感器受太阳辐射等因素影响超出了正常探测误差范围,这些异常点可以在质控前提前剔除,进一步提升探空温度数据质量。  相似文献   
46.
47.
A ROBUST PLS PROCEDURE   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
A robust partial least squares(PLS)regression algorithm is developed.This is achieved by substitutionof the univariate regression steps in the iterative PLS2 algorithm by a robust alternative.The anglebetween loading vectors from both perturbed and unperturbed solutions is used as a measure ofrobustness.By means of a perturbation study on a structure-activity data set,it is demonstrated thatthe stability of the robust method is superior to standard PLS.  相似文献   
48.
49.
Liu  Xueyuan  Köhl  Armin  Stammer  Detlef  Masuda  Shuhei  Ishikawa  Yoichi  Mochizuki  Takashi 《Climate Dynamics》2017,49(3):1061-1075

We investigated the influence of dynamical in-consistency of initial conditions on the predictive skill of decadal climate predictions. The investigation builds on the fully coupled global model “Coupled GCM for Earth Simulator” (CFES). In two separate experiments, the ocean component of the coupled model is full-field initialized with two different initial fields from either the same coupled model CFES or the GECCO2 Ocean Synthesis while the atmosphere is initialized from CFES in both cases. Differences between both experiments show that higher SST forecast skill is obtained when initializing with coupled data assimilation initial conditions (CIH) instead of those from GECCO2 (GIH), with the most significant difference in skill obtained over the tropical Pacific at lead year one. High predictive skill of SST over the tropical Pacific seen in CIH reflects the good reproduction of El Niño events at lead year one. In contrast, GIH produces additional erroneous El Niño events. The tropical Pacific skill differences between both runs can be rationalized in terms of the zonal momentum balance between the wind stress and pressure gradient force, which characterizes the upper equatorial Pacific. In GIH, the differences between the oceanic and atmospheric state at initial time leads to imbalance between the zonal wind stress and pressure gradient force over the equatorial Pacific, which leads to the additional pseudo El Niño events and explains reduced predictive skill. The balance can be reestablished if anomaly initialization strategy is applied with GECCO2 initial conditions and improved predictive skill in the tropical Pacific is observed at lead year one. However, initializing the coupled model with self-consistent initial conditions leads to the highest skill of climate prediction in the tropical Pacific by preserving the momentum balance between zonal wind stress and pressure gradient force along the equatorial Pacific.

  相似文献   
50.
基于高分辨率数值模拟的杭州市通风廊道气象效应研究   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
城市通风廊道能增加城市空气流通能力,缓解城市热岛,为了定量评估城市通风廊道的气象效应,本文采用区域边界层化学模式(RBLM-Chem),利用杭州市高分辨率地表类型、城市建筑等资料,开展了杭州市通风廊道影响的模拟研究,模式水平分辨率为250 m。本文针对冬季和夏季两个典型个例进行数值模拟和敏感性试验,夏季个例时间为2013年8月12日,盛行南风,风向顺着通风廊道;冬季个例时间为2014年1月28日,盛行东风,风向垂直于通风廊道。主要结论如下:城市绿色通风廊道有增加风速、降低气温、提高湿度的作用,与没有通风廊道的情况相比,夏季风顺着廊道方向时,廊道区域风速平均增加可达1.4 m/s,廊道区域内60 m高度风速平均增加可达1 m/s。而冬季风垂直于廊道时,廊道区域风速增加较小,仅有0.5 m/s左右。通风廊道夏季降温幅度平均可达2.7°C,冬季降温幅度较小,仅有0.6°C左右。通风廊道对气象场的影响随风向向下游延伸,夏季在通风廊道下游250 m处,风速增加、气温下降、相对湿度增加最大值分别为1.5 m/s、2.9°C、3.1%,即使在通风廊道下游1500 m处,最大降温仍有1.2°C。  相似文献   
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