多因素控制的城镇地震灾害应急处置模型研究     

郭红梅  张莹  陈维锋  尹文刚  鲁长江 《震灾防御技术》2017,12(4):882-892

随着城镇化水平的快速提高,地震灾害高风险暴露城镇数量将不断增加,震后有效的应急处置尤为重要。而当前城镇的地震应急处置主要依据平时制定的地震应急预案开展,缺乏针对性与可操作性。本文以提升城镇地震灾害应急处置能力为目的,总结以往城镇地震应急处置案例,提炼城镇地震灾害应急处置流程,结合城镇特殊的社会经济、自然地理等特点,在分析影响地震灾害应急处置关键因素的基础上,按地震烈度的不同,研究构建了具有区域特征且操作性较强的城镇地震灾害应急处置模型,为城镇地震应急处置的科学化、规范化提供了参考。  相似文献   

Altitudinal effect of soil <Emphasis Type="Italic">n</Emphasis>-alkane <Emphasis Type="Italic">δ</Emphasis>D values on the eastern Tibetan Plateau and their increasing isotopic fractionation with altitude     

Yan Bai  ChiHao Chen  XiaoMin Fang  XiaoMing Liu  HaiChao Guo 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2017,60(9):1664-1673

Stable isotope paleoaltimetry has provided unprecedented insights into the topographic histories of many of the world’s highest mountain ranges. However, on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), stable isotopes from paleosols generally yield much higher paleoaltitudes than those based on fossils. It is therefore essential when attempting to interpret accurately this region’s paleoaltitudes that the empirical calibrations of local stable isotopes and the relations between them are established. Additionally, it is vital that careful estimations be made when estimate how different isotopes sourced from different areas may have been influenced by different controls. We present here 29 hydrogen isotopic values for leaf wax-derived n-alkanes (i.e., _δD_wax values, and abundance-weighted average δD values of C₂₉ and C₃₁) in surface soils, as well as the δD values of soil water (δD_sw) samples (totaling 22) from Mount Longmen (LM), on the eastern TP (altitude ~0.8–4.0 km above sea level (asl), a region climatically affected by the East Asian Monsoon (EAM). We compared our results with published data from Mount Gongga (GG). In addition, 47 river water samples, 55 spring water samples, and the daily and monthly summer precipitation records (from May to October, 2015) from two precipitation observation stations were collected along the GG transect for δD analysis. LM soil _δD_wax values showed regional differences and responded strongly to altitude, varying from?160‰ to?219‰, with an altitudinal lapse rate (ALR) of?18‰ km^?1 (R ²=0.83; p<0.0001; n=29). These _δD_wax values appeared more enriched than those from the GG transect by ~40‰. We found that both the climate and moisture sources led to the differences observed in soil _δD_wax values between the LM and GG transects. We found that, as a general rule, ε _wax/rw, ε _wax/p and ε _wax/sw values (i.e., the isotopic fractionation of _δD_wax corresponding to δD_rw, δD_p and δD_sw) increased with increasing altitude along both the LM and GG transects (up to 34‰and 50‰, respectively). Basing its research on a comparative study of _δD_wax, δD_p, δD_rw(δD_springw) and δD_sw, this paper discusses the effects of moisture recycling, glacier-fed meltwater, relative humidity (RH), evapotranspiration (ET), vegetation cover, latitude, topography and/or other factors on ε _wax/p values. Clearly, if ε _wax-p values at higher altitudes are calculated using smaller ε _wax-p values from lower altitudes, the calculated paleowaterδD_p values are going to be more depleted than the actual δD values, and any paleoaltitude would therefore be overestimated.  相似文献   

The subsistence patterns of the Shengedaliang site (~4,000 yr BP) revealed by stable carbon and nitrogen isotopes in northern Shaanxi,China     

XiangLong Chen  XiaoNing Guo  WeiLin Wang  SongMei Hu  MiaoMiao Yang  Yan Wu  YaoWu Hu 《中国科学:地球科学(英文版)》2017,60(2):268-276

In order to explore subsistence patterns in northern Shaanxi Province around 4,000 yr BP,28 human and 24 animal bones from the Shengedaliang site were sampled for stable carbon and nitrogen isotope ratio analysis.The results show that most people primarily subsisted on C_4 resources,e.g.millet and millet-related animal products,despite the fact that there was some intake of C_3 plants by some individuals.Stable nitrogen isotope values indicate that there were differences in meat consumption between individuals at the site.Pigs were mainly foddered with millet and millet byproducts,as well as some cattle,according to their highδ~(13)C values.However,most cattle and the sheep/goats consumed wild C_3 plants at Shengedaliang.Our above findings indicates that subsistence patterns in northern Shaanxi around 4,000 yr BP were characterized by millet farming,while the grassland animal husbandry,e.g.cattle and sheep/goats raising,displayed very little contribution to local economy.The intensive millet farming in northern Shaanxi provided enough food for population growth,ensured the accumulation of wealth,and consequently accelerated social differentiation and complexity.  相似文献   

Effects of fracture intersections on seismic dispersion: theoretical predictions versus numerical simulations          下载免费PDF全文

Junxin Guo  J. Germán Rubino  Stanislav Glubokovskikh  Boris Gurevich 《Geophysical Prospecting》2017,65(5):1264-1276

The detection and characterisation of domains of intersecting fractures are important goals in several disciplines of current interest, including exploration and production of unconventional reservoirs, nuclear waste storage, CO₂ sequestration, and groundwater hydrology, among others. The objective of this study is to propose a theoretical framework for quantifying the effects of fracture intersections on the frequency‐dependent elastic properties of fluid‐saturated porous and fractured rocks. Three characteristic frequency regimes for fluid pressure communication are identified. In the low‐frequency limit, fractures are in full pressure communication with the embedding porous matrix and with other fractures. Conversely, in the high‐frequency limit, fractures are hydraulically isolated from the matrix and from other fractures. At intermediate frequencies, fractures are hydraulically isolated from the matrix porosity but can be in hydraulic communication with each other, depending on whether fracture sets are intersecting. For each frequency regime, the effective stiffness coefficients are derived using the linear‐slip theory and anisotropic Gassmann equations. Explicit mathematical expressions for the two characteristic frequencies that separate the three frequency regimes are also determined. Theoretical predictions are then applied to two synthetic 2D samples, each containing two orthogonal fracture sets: one with and another without intersections. The resulting stiffness coefficients, Thomsen‐style anisotropy parameters, and the transition frequencies show good agreement with corresponding numerical simulations. The theoretical results are applicable not only to 2D but also to 3D fracture systems and are amenable to being employed in inversion schemes designed to characterise fracture systems.  相似文献   

Dynamical features of near-inertial motions in global ocean based on the GDP dataset from 2000 to 2019     

Manli Guo  Ruiyi Chen  Hongzhou Xu  Philip A Vetter 《海洋学报(英文版)》2021,40(1):126-134

Based on the latest oceanic surface drifter dataset from the global drifter program during 2000–2019, this study investigated the global variation of relative frequency shift(RFS), near-inertial energy(NIE) and inverse excess bandwidth(IEB) of near-inertial motions, and analyzed their relations with oceanic mesoscale dynamics, relative vorticity and strain. Compared with previous works, we have some new findings in this study:(1) the RFS was high with negative values in some regions in which we found a significant blue shift of the RFS in the equatorward of 30°N(S) and from 50°N to 60°N in the Pacific, and a red shift in the western boundary currents and their extension regions, the North Atlantic and the Antarctic Circumpolar Current regions;(2) more peak values of the NIE were found in global regions like the South Indian Ocean, the Luzon Strait and some areas of the South Ocean;(3) the global distribution of the IEB were characterized by clear zonal bands and affected by vorticity and wind field;(4)the RFS was elevated as the absolute value of the gradient of vorticity increased, the IEB did not depend on the gradient of vorticity, and the eddy kinetic energy(EKE) weakened with the decrease of the absolute value of RFS;(5) the NIE decreased with increasing absolute value of the relative vorticity and the gradient of vorticity, but it increased with increasing strain and EKE when EKE was larger than 0.003 2 m~2/s~2.  相似文献   

Current Vertical Motion Analysis of Northwestern Margin of Ordos Based on Precise Leveling     

Guo Baozhen  Ta L  Zhou Haitao  Su Guangli 《中国地震研究》2018,32(1):113-118

Ordos block was squeezed by the Qinghai-Tibetan block and North China block, and the tectonic activity was intense. In the periphery of Ordos block, there was a series of folds zones and compressed faults with complicate structures. This paper used three-phase data of 1980,1990 and 2014 to calculate vertical velocity of Northwestern margin of Ordos and the analytical results indicated that ① the Hetao basin between the rise of Yinshan fault block and Ordos fault block showed relatively subsidence, in which Linhe basin was the most evident and the subsidence rate was about 2-4mm/a. The subsidence rate of Jartai -Yinchuan rift zone on the western margin of Ordos block was about 2mm/a; ② the whole testing zone exhibited the evident inherited movement characterized by mountain rise and basin subsidence; ③the two leveling section through the northern margin fault and Dengkou-Benjing fault showed that the difference between vertical velocities on two sides of the fault was less than 0.5mm/a.  相似文献   

A probabilistic framework for estimating the residual drift of idealized SDOF systems of non‐degrading conventional and damped structures          下载免费PDF全文

Jack Wen Wei Guo  Constantin Christopoulos 《地震工程与结构动力学》2018,47(2):479-496

This paper presents a general framework for predicting the residual drift of idealized SDOF systems that can be used to represent non‐degrading structures, including those with supplemental dampers. The framework first uses post‐peak oscillation analysis to predict the maximum ratio of residual displacement to the peak transient displacement in a random sample. Then, residual displacement ratios obtained from nonlinear time‐history analyses using both farfield and near‐fault‐pulse records were examined to identify trends, which were explained using the oscillation mechanics of SDOF systems. It is shown that large errors can result in existing probability models that do not capture the influence of key parameters on the residual displacement. Building on the observations that were made, a general probability distribution for the ratio of residual displacement to the peak transient displacement that more accurately reflects the physical bounds obtained from post‐peak oscillation analysis is proposed for capturing the probabilistic residual displacement response of these systems. The proposed distribution is shown to be more accurate when compared with previously proposed distributions in the literature due to its explicit account of dynamic and damping properties, which have a significant impact on the residual displacement. This study provides a rational basis for further development of a residual drift prediction tool for the performance‐based design and analysis of more complex multi‐degree‐of‐freedom systems.  相似文献   

兴济地电阻率观测精度提高实验     

郭学增  张蕾  信士民  李瑞卿  李凤  刘静 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,39(2):70-76

通过增大测量极距和提高供电电流2种实验途径,探讨提高兴济地电台地电阻率观测精度,结果表明,提高供电电流能明显提高兴济地震台地电阻率观测精度,且与供电电流提高倍率相当,而增大测量极距效果甚微。其原因是,提高供电电流是在干扰幅值不变情况下增大人工供电电位差,而增大测量极距使人工供电电位差和干扰幅值同比例增大,二者相抵,对观测精度作用不明显。  相似文献   

临汾地震台垂直摆倾斜观测资料阶变异常分析     

张红秀  罗振东  邰垣东  郭国祥 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,39(4):154-157

对临汾地震台垂直摆倾斜观测资料中记录到的阶变型异常图像进行分析,对异常成因进行探讨,希望对观测数据异常判断、数据预处理及地震预测预报的应用研究,提供一定参考。  相似文献   

2012年江苏扬州M 4.9地震前地磁垂直分量日变双低点异常     

郭明瑞  胡久常  吴佳林  王桂丹  王锡娇  崔泽岩 《地震地磁观测与研究》2018,39(3):89-93

2012年6月13日和7月10日华东地区部分地磁台垂直分量日变形态出现双低点异常,首次异常出现后37天,于7月20日发生江苏扬州M 4.9地震,震中位于低点位移分界线附近。分析认为,在强震前由于应力变化,引起孕震体环境中介质电导率等电磁性质发生改变,区域地磁场垂直分量日变曲线出现相位和幅度变化,说明地磁垂直分量日变双低点异常与地震的孕育和发生相关。  相似文献