Climate change impacts on regional rice production in China   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Zunfu Lv  Yan Zhu  Xiaojun Liu  Hongbao Ye  Yongchao Tian  Feifei Li 《Climatic change》2018,147(3-4):523-537

Rice (Oryza sativa L.) production is an important contributor to China’s food security. Climate change, and its impact on rice production, presents challenges in meeting China’s future rice production requirements. In this study, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of how rice yield responds to climate change under different scenarios and assessed the associated simulation uncertainties of various regional-scale climate models. Simulation was performed based on a regional calibrated crop model (CERES-Rice) and spatially matched climatic (from 17 global climate models), soil, management, and cultivar parameters. Grain-filling periods for early rice were shortened by 2–7 days in three time slices (2030s, 2050s, and 2070s), whereas grain-filling periods for late rice were shortened by 10–19 days in three time slices. Most of the negative effects of climate change were predicted to affect single-crop rice in central China. Average yields of single-crop rice treated with CO₂ fertiliser in central China were predicted to be reduced by 10, 11, and 11% during the 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s, respectively, compared to the 2000s, if planting dates remained unchanged. If planting dates were optimised, single-crop rice yields were predicted to increase by 3, 7, and 11% during the 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s, respectively. In response to climate changes, early and single-crop rice should be planted earlier, and late rice planting should be delayed. The predicted net effect would be to prolong the grain-filling period and optimise rice yield.  相似文献   

黑河出山径流量年际变化特征和趋势研究   总被引：42，自引：15，他引：27  

蓝永超  张生才 《冰川冻土》1999,21(1):49-53

根据有关水文气象台站的观测数据,利用定级分类,滑动平均和波谱分析等方法,对黑河出山径流（莺落峡水文站）年际变化特征进行了分析研究,发现黑河出出径流的多年变化具有持续性,周期性和丰枯水变化较平稳,波幅不大等特性,并在此基础上对其未来变化的趋势进行了预测和分析。  相似文献   

Late Permian Sequence Stratigraphic Framework and Controlling Factors in Southern Yangtze Platform and Its Margin     

Li Sitian  Lu Yongchao  Yan Jiaxin  Chen Beiyue  Xie Xinong 《中国地质大学学报(英文版)》1999,10(2):153-160

ＩＮＴＲＯＤＵＣＴＩＯＮＴｈｅｃｏｎｃｅｐｔｓａｎｄｔｅｒｍｉｎｏｌｏｇｙｏｆｍｏｄｅｒｎｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅｓｔｒａｔｉｇｒａｐｈｙｏｒｉｇｉｎａｔｅｄｆｒｏｍｓｅｉｓｍｉｃｓｔｒａｔｉｇｒａｐｈｙｌｉｎｋｅｄｔｏｐｅｔｒｏｌｅｕｍａｎｄｇａｓｅｘｐｌ...  相似文献   

A model for simulating the response of runoff from the mountainous watersheds of inland river basins in the arid area of northwest China to climatic changes   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Ersi Kang  Guodong Cheng  Yongchao Lan  Huijun Jin 《中国科学D辑(英文版)》1999,42(1):52-60

The subaerial tidal sand area in the northern Jiangsu Province (Subei), stretching from Dongtai towards east with a fan shape, is an early developing stage of radial sand ridges distributed in the South Yellow Sea. Since 5000–6000 a BP, after the Holocene transgression maximum in the northern Jiangsu Province, subaqueous tidal sand bodies were exposed and changed into land gradually. The environmental magnetism analysis shows that subaerial tidal sand strata are formed by the convergent-divergent paleo-tidal current field. The sediment source of tidal sand strata came early from the Changjiang River and late from the Yellow River. Sea floor erosion by tidal currents also served as an important sand source. Drilling cores and ground-penetrating profile show that there exists no probability of sand supplying directly by a large river through the apical area of tidal sand ridges either on land or in the sea. Fluvial deposits supplied the tidal sand bodies by alongshore transportation, which corresponds to the conclusions obtained by the analyses of provenance and paleocurrent field. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 43236120 and 49676288).  相似文献   

人地复合生态系统韧性研究进展及其对海岸带生态系统韧性研究的启示     

刘永超  张海涛  应超  李加林 《海洋通报》2024,(3):415-425

在全球气候变化与人类高强度开发的双重影响下,人地复合生态系统和受陆海系统交互影响的海岸带地区生态脆弱性更加明显。如何有效把握人地复合生态系统发展动向,合理规划与调控社会经济活动、促进人地关系协调发展一直是可持续发展领域研究的重点课题。韧性作为系统的内在特征,在防范化解灾害风险、维护区域生态安全中发挥着重要作用,是人地复合生态系统可持续发展能力的重要表现。然而,目前关于人地复合生态系统韧性的内涵、评估方法等方面尚未形成统一的范式,韧性的量化评估方法存在较大差异。通过梳理和归纳现有研究成果认为,韧性经历了从工程韧性、生态韧性到演进韧性的转变,其概念及内涵仍在不断拓展与深化;总结对比了基于过程形成性和状态总结性的韧性评估方法发现,将韧性作为过程与结果的综合评估研究仍较为缺乏;在抵抗扰动、维持稳定和协调发展的韧性理念下,生态系统的保护与修复等将是区域可持续发展应用中人地复合生态系统安全的重要保障。根据人地复合生态系统韧性研究进展的分析结果,结合海岸带生态系统韧性研究的现状及不足,认为未来需要在加强海岸带生态系统韧性内涵挖掘、完善海岸带生态系统韧性评价体系、提高海岸带生态系统韧性监测精度、促进学...  相似文献   

基于多普勒频移的单频载波相位周跳探测   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

任永超  汪顺喜  方荣新 《测绘信息与工程》2010,35(1):8-10

阐述了多普勒探测周跳的原理,利用了静态和车载动态高频数据的L1上的载波和多普勒观测值,试验探测了其周跳。  相似文献   

PPH联合补中益气汤加减治疗直肠内脱垂60 例          下载免费PDF全文

窦晓静  周爱岩  路永超 《应用海洋学学报》2021,37(5):12

目的：探讨痔上黏膜环切术（PPH）联合补中益气汤加减治疗直肠内脱垂的临床疗效。方法：将直肠内脱垂患者120 例,随机分为治疗组和对照组,每组各60 例。对照组行PPH术治疗,治疗组在对照组基础上服用补中益气汤加减治疗。比较2组综合疗效、治疗前后肠道菌群参数和主要症状积分。结果：2组总有效率均为100%（60/60）;治疗后2组肠杆菌、肠球菌数量较治疗前减少,乳杆菌、双歧杆菌数量增加,且治疗组改善程度优于对照组,差异均有统计学意义（P＜0.05）;2组治疗后1、3、6个月主要症状积分均较治疗前减少,差异有统计学意义（P＜0.05）,但组间比较,仅治疗后6个月时差异有统计学意义（P＜0.05）。结论：PPH联合补中益气汤加减能明显减轻直肠内脱垂患者的临床症状,纠正肠道菌群失调,巩固术后远期疗效,效果优于单用PPH手术治疗。  相似文献   

人工地貌学学科体系框架构建初探   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

李加林  刘永超 《地理研究》2016,35(12):2203-2215

工业革命以来人类活动对地表利用改造的加剧,使得人工地貌研究逐渐受到科学界的重视。加强人工地貌学学科体系研究,服务社会经济建设实践亟需提上议事日程。在分析人工地貌学学科框架构建基点基础上,就人工地貌学的研究对象、任务与内容、研究方法与手段、内涵（学科属性）及外延（分支学科、学科关联）等方面探讨了人工地貌学学科体系框架构建问题,并指出人工地貌学是传统地貌学在社会经济建设过程中逐渐形成的多学科交叉综合的应用性地貌学科,如何从理论、技术及应用等层面进一步完善学科体系构建及探讨发展趋势是未来研究的重点。  相似文献   

Distribution of continental red paleosols and their forming mechanisms in the Late Cretaceous Yaojia Formation of the Songliao Basin, NE China     

Xuebin Du  Xinong Xie  Yongchao Lu  Jianye Ren  Shun ZhangPenglin Lang  Tao ChengMing Su  Cheng Zhang 《Cretaceous Research》2011,32(2):244-257

  相似文献   

黄河源区陆面过程观测和模拟研究进展   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

文军  蓝永超  苏中波  田辉  史小康  张宇  王欣  刘蓉  张堂堂  康悦  吕少宁  张静辉 《地球科学进展》2011,26(6):575-586

陆面过程对黄河源区水资源变化有重要的影响,探索黄河源区陆面过程和水分循环特征的关联机理有十分重要的意义.首先简述了黄河源区气候变化背景和陆面过程的基本特征,并详细介绍了近年来在黄河源区开展的一系列陆面过程野外观测试验及相关研究主题和研究进展;进一步给出了在野外试验观测资料分析、卫星遥感、数据同化应用和数值模拟等方面取得...  相似文献