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11.
基于权重调整的BP神经网络在Nino区海温预报中的应用   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
传统BP神经网络在训练完之后,其权重是固定不变的,加上神经网络的样本的标准化处理,将使得网络不易描绘样本峰值.因此,本文考虑变权的方法,以调节训练后的BP网络权重,基于变权次数,建立不同网络模型,并利用不同网络输出值与相应实测值进行比较.结果表明:变权BP网络预报效果有较大提升,同时,降低了对因子相关性的要求.  相似文献   
12.
钓鱼岛、黄岩岛海域风能及波浪能开发环境分析   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
利用模拟海浪数据、CCMP风场资料,对我国钓鱼岛、黄岩岛附近海域的波浪能、风能资源特征展开研究,为海浪发电、风力发电、海水淡化等资源开发工作提供参考,也期望可为解决我国维护海洋权益、海洋资源开发、在边远海岛驻军、军用/民用舰船在远洋活动的电力、淡水问题提供科学依据和辅助决策。此外本研究还就钓鱼岛、黄岩岛附近海域的风力等级频率、浪级频率、风向频率、波向频率等海洋环境特征进行统计分析,为海洋工程、防灾减灾等提供参考。结果表明:(1)钓鱼岛海域的风能密度呈单峰型月变化特征,年平均值为450 W·m-2,黄岩岛海域的风能密度呈"W"型月变化特征,年平均值为228 W·m-2;钓鱼岛年平均值波浪能流密度为14 kW·m-1,黄岩岛为11 kW·m-1;(2)钓鱼岛、黄岩岛海域的有效风速、可用波高、100W·m-2以上风能密度、2 kW·m-1以上波浪能流密度出现频率都整体较高,这对资源开发是很有利的;(3)1988—2010年期间,钓鱼岛、黄岩岛的风能密度、波浪能流密度整体呈递增趋势,这对风能、波浪能资源的开发也是有利的。(4)从资源的储量来看,钓鱼岛、黄岩岛蕴藏着丰富的波浪能、风能资源,且资源储量比我国沿海平均值丰富。综上,钓鱼岛、黄岩岛海域蕴藏着丰富的、适宜开发的风能、波浪能资源,实行海浪发电、风力发电、风浪联合发电、海水淡化等工作,将具有广阔的军事和经济前景。  相似文献   
13.
海洋环流模式的发展和应用Ⅱ.近海和区域环流模式   总被引:2,自引:1,他引:2       下载免费PDF全文
李荣凤  游小宝 《大气科学》2003,27(4):729-739
回顾了近20年来中国科学院大气物理研究所大气科学和地球流体动力学数值模拟国家重点实验室近海和区域海洋环流模式发展和应用的历程.介绍了正压区域海流模式在中国近海海流数值模拟研究当中的应用以及一个24层、最高水平分辨率为0.25°×0.25°的三重嵌套的中国近海环流模式及其应用.在嵌套模式基础上,基于变分原理,建立了一个中国近海环流的资料同化分析系统.初步结果表明,资料同化提高了模式计算的真实性,所揭示的黑潮的强度和流幅、夏季黄海冷水团的位置等都更接近观测结果.  相似文献   
14.
南海夏季环流机制的数值试验研究   总被引:2,自引:0,他引:2  
用一个三维、自由表面、斜压海洋模式,通过数值试验的方法对南海夏季的环流特征及其形成机制进行探讨。结果表明,产生南海南部反气旋式环流的主要机制是西南季风的驱动,斜压效应起到了增强环流强度的作用;海底地形和黑潮的强迫是形成“南海暖流”和台湾海峡中东北向流的主要原因,而斜压效应和海底地形是形成夏季“南海暖流”右侧偏西向流的主要原因;南海北部的气旋式涡旋是在黑潮、海底地形和斜压效应等因素共同作用下形成的。  相似文献   
15.
赤道潜流(the Equatorial Undercurrent: EUC)对于大洋环流和全球气候变化有着重要的作用。赤道海区,随着科氏力逐渐趋向于0,地转平衡无法维持,赤道流系无法用地转理论描述。在很多研究中,ENSO、温跃层、海表高度、赤道风应力分布以及其他相关海气要素成为潜流研究的重点要素;压强可以视为温、盐、密、深的复杂关系映射,然而较少有研究将关注重点放在南北向压强梯度力上(the Northward Pressure Gradient: NGT)。在此,本文揭示了南北向压强梯度力的特定函数形式(the Function of Northward Pressure gradient: FNP)与赤道潜流的一个诊断关系。基于原始方程和尺度分析方法,我们得出了该关系的表达形式。结果表明:贝塔效应可能是造成FNP与赤道潜流密切相关的重要影响因子;赤道潜流的垂向结构部分受限于FNP的结构分布;对于赤道潜流来说,南北向压强梯度力相较于东西向压强梯度力更为重要。  相似文献   
16.
Several remotely sensed sea surface salinity(SSS) retrievals with various resolutions from the soil moisture and ocean salinity(SMOS) and Aquarius/SAC-D missions are applied as inputs for retrieving salinity profiles(S) using multilinear regressions. The performance is evaluated using a total root mean square(RMS) error, different error sources, and the feature resolutions of the retrieved S fields. In the mixed layer of the salinity, the SSS-S regression coefficients are uniformly large. The SSS inputs yield smaller RMS errors in the retrieved S with respect to Argo profiles as their spatial or temporal resolution decreases. The projected SSS errors are dominant, and the retrieved S values are more accurate than those of climatology in the tropics except for the tropical Atlantic, where the regression errors are abnormally large. Below that level, because of the influence of a sea level anomaly, the areas of high-accuracy S values shift to higher latitudes except in the high-latitude southern oceans, where the projected SSS errors are abnormally large. A spectral analysis suggests that the CATDS-0.25° results are much noisier and that the BEC-L4-0.25° results are much smoother than those of the other retrievals. Aquarius-CAP-1° generates the smallest RMS errors, and Aquarius-V2-1° performs well in depicting large-scale phenomena. BEC-L3-0.25°,which has small RMS errors and remarkable mesoscale energy, is the best fit for portraying mesoscale features in the SSS and retrieved S fields. The current priority for retrieving S is to improve the reliability of satellite SSS especially at middle and high latitudes, by developing advanced algorithms, combining both sensors, or weighing between accuracy and resolutions.  相似文献   
17.
The Eulerian-Lagrangian method (ELM) has been used by many ocean models as the solution of the advection equation, but the numerical error caused by interpolation imposes restriction on its accuracy. In the present study, hybrid N-order Lagrangian interpolation ELM (LiELM) is put forward in which the N-order Lagrangian interpolation is used at first, then the lower order Lagrangian interpolation is applied in the points where the interpolation results are abnormally higher or lower. The calculation results of a step-shaped salinity advection model are analyzed, which show that higher order (N=3-8) LiELM can reduce the mean numerical error of salinity calculation, but the numerical oscillation error is still significant. Even number order LiELM makes larger numerical oscillation error than its adjacent odd number order LiELM. Hybrid N-order LiELM can remove numerical oscillation, and it significantly reduces the mean numerical error when N is even and the current is in fixed direction, while it makes less effect on mean numerical error when N is odd or the current direction changes periodically. Hybrid odd number order LiELM makes less mean numerical error than its adjacent even number order LiELM when the current is in the fixed direction, while the mean numerical error decreases as N increases when the current direction changes periodically, so odd number of N may be better for application. Among various types of Hybrid N-order LiELM, the scheme reducing N-order directly to 1st-order may be the optimal for synthetic selection of accuracy and computational efficiency.  相似文献   
18.
Based on the Princeton Ocean Model (POM), the seasonal thermohaline feature and the ocean circulation in the Gulf of Thailand (GOT), situated between 6°N to 14°N latitude and 99°E to 105°E longitude, were studied numerically with 37 × 97 orthogonal curvilinear grid and 10 vertical sigma levels conforming to a realistic bottom topography. A spin-up phase of the first model run was executed using wind stress calculated from climatological monthly mean wind, restoring-type surface heat and salt, and climatological monthly mean fresh water flux data. In this paper, the temperature and salinity fields taken from Levitus94 data sets and the calculated temperature and salinity from the model run for 12-month mean and for each season are presented where the winter, summer, rainy, and end of the rainy seasons of Thailand are represented by the months January, April, July, and October, respectively. The simulated circulations are also described. The results show that the temperature in the GoT is warmer than the temperature of the other parts connected to the South China Sea (SCS). At any depth of inflow from SCS into the GoT, the salinity is high, but in the outflow from the GoT at the surface, the salinity is low. The strong circulations are clockwise during summer and the rainy seasons of Thailand, which are the East Asian monsoon periods, northeasterly and southwesterly during summer. They occur near Pattani and Narathiwat provinces during summer and in the central GoT during the rainy seasons. Sensitivity experiments were designed to investigate the effects of wind forcing and open boundary conditions. Wind forcing is shown to be the important factor for generating the circulation in the GoT. The lateral velocity at the open boundaries is of considerable importance to current circulation for the rainy and end of the rainy seasons, with insignificant effect for the winter and summer seasons of Thailand.  相似文献   
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