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411.
The statistics of reverberation in active sonar are characterized by non-Rayleigh distributed amplitudes in the normalized matched filter output. Unaccounted for, this property can lead to high false-alarm rates in fixed-threshold detectors. A new approach to modeling threshold-crossing statistics based on extreme value theory is proposed, which uses the generalized Pareto distribution as the unique asymptotic model of the tail distribution, valid at large thresholds. Methods of parameter estimation are discussed and applied to active sonar reverberation collected on a hull-mounted sonar system. The statistics of reverberation in active sonar are found to generally have a power-law behavior in the tails with a shape parameter that is persistent in time and bandwidth dependent. The threshold needed for accurate parameter estimation is generally found to be well below that of typical fixed-threshold detectors.  相似文献   
412.
Numerical modelling of concrete cracking requires robust models able to describe opening and propagation of cracks. Structural concrete codes provide practical relations to describe crack openings. However, these empirical methods were developed for specific structures and cannot be used for general applications. Here, a continuous modelling approach based on damage mechanics is used to compute crack openings in a tie‐beam concrete structure. We propose a post‐processing method to extract crack openings from a continuum damage finite element computation. This method can be applied to all continuum damage/plasticity models. The tie‐beam concrete is characterized by a weak stress gradient; this aspect complicates predictions of crack positions and number. A stochastic method is used to take into account the spatial variability in concrete properties and create a spatially correlated random property field. Copyright © 2010 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
413.
The Permian–Triassic sediments of the Iberian Plate are a well studied case of classical Buntsandstein–Muschelkalk–Keuper facies, with good sedimentological interpretations and precise datings based on pollen and spore assemblages, ammonoids and foraminifera. Synrift–postrift cycles are recorded in these facies, but there are only a few studies of quantitative subsidence analysis (backstripping method) and only a previous one using forward modelling for the quantification of synrift–postrift phases of this period.Here we present the results obtained by the quantitative analysis of fourteen field sections and oil-well electric log records in the Iberian and Ebro Basins, Spain. Backstripping analysis showed five synrift phases of 1 to 3 million years duration followed by postrift periods for the Permian–Triassic interval. The duration, however, shows lateral variations and some of them are absent in the Ebro Basin. The forward modelling analysis, assuming local isostatic compensation, has been applied to each observation point using one-layer and two-layer lithospheric configurations. The second one shows a better fit between observation and model prediction in a systematic way, so a two layer configuration is assumed for the sedimentary basin filling analysis. Lithospheric stretching factors β and δ obtained in the forward modelling analysis are never higher than 1.2, but sometimes β < 1 and simultaneously δ > 1 in the same section. If surficial extension is compensated by deep compression either at the roots of the rift basins or in far-away zones is not yet clear, but this anomaly can be explained using a simple shear extensional model for the Iberian and Ebro basins.  相似文献   
414.
Natural Hazards - Using the methodology developed by the Mexican National Disaster Prevention Centre (CENAPRED), we assessed the housing’s structural risk to earthquakes and floods of the...  相似文献   
415.
The fluvial–tidal transition (FTT) is a complex depositional zone, where fluvial flow is modified by tides as rivers approach a receiving marine basin. Variations in the relative importance of tidal versus fluvial processes lead to a distinctive distribution of sediments that accumulate on channel bars. The FTT generally consists of three broad zones: (1) a freshwater-tidal zone; (2) a tidally influenced freshwater to brackish-water transition; and (3) a zone of relatively sustained brackish-water conditions with stronger tides. A very common type of deposit through the fluvial–tidal transition, especially on the margins of migrating channels, is inclined heterolithic stratification (IHS). At present, a detailed account of changes in the character of IHS across the FTT of a paleo-channel system has not been reported, although a number of modern examples have been documented. To fill this gap, we quantitatively assess the sedimentology and ichnology of IHS from seven cored intervals in three geographic areas situated within the youngest paleovalley (“A” Valley) in the Lower Cretaceous McMurray Formation of Alberta, Canada. We compare the data to trends defined along the FTT in the present-day Fraser River in British Columbia, Canada to interpret paleo-depositional position in the ancient fluvial–tidal channels.Analysis determined that the mean mudstone thickness is 8.2 cm in the southern study area (SA). Mean thickness increases to 11 cm in the central study area (CA), and decreases again to 4.4 cm in the northern study area (NA). The proportion of mudstone is 31% in SA, 44% in CA, and 27% in NA. Thickness-weighted mean bioturbation intensity in sands varied from 0.29 in SA and CA, to 0.28 in NA. On the other hand, thickness-weighted mean bioturbation intensity (BI) in mudstone increases from 1.46 in SA, to 1.77 in CA, and is 1.94 in NA. The ichnological diversity also increased from south to north.Sedimentological results show similar trends to those of the Fraser River, enabling the identification of a freshwater to brackish-water transition zone with tidal influence. The interpreted position of the transition is underpinned by the bioturbation intensity and trace-fossil diversity trends, indicating periodic brackish-water conditions throughout SA in the McMurray Formation during low river flow conditions. Together, these data suggest that a broad FTT existed in the “A” Valley, with fluvial-dominated channels to the south that experienced seasonal brackish-water inundation during base flow, and channels experiencing increasing brackish-water influence lying further north towards a turbidity maximum zone. The FTT zone appears to have extended for several hundred kilometers from south to north.Based on the sedimentological and ichnological data, as well as estimations of lateral accretion rates, we refute the commonly applied Mississippi River depositional analogue for McMurray Formation channels. Rather, we show that while not a perfect fit, the tidally influenced Fraser River shows much greater agreement with the depositional character recorded in McMurray Formation IHS. Future work on the McMurray system should focus on characterizing tide-dominated deltaic and estuarine systems, such as the Ganges-Brahmaputra, and on forward-modeling the evolution of tide-dominated and tide-influenced river systems.  相似文献   
416.
sedonthetheoryoffiniteelementanalysis,aninverseanalysismodelforthecomprehensivemediumparametersoftheQinghai-TibetPlateauissetup.WiththehelpofGPSvelocityfield,thecomprehensivecrustalmediumparametersoftheplateauareinverselyanalyzedandthecharacteristicsoftherelatedmovementmacroscopicallysimulated.ItisthenconcludedthatthetectonicdeformationoftheplateauismainlyintheformofaN-ScompressionaccompaniedbyanE-Wstretching,andthepresenttectonicsettingoftheplateaushouldbetheresultofthecollisionbetweentheIndianandtheEurasiancontinentsduringtheCenozoic.  相似文献   
417.
拉萨近半个世纪降水的变化特征   总被引:7,自引:1,他引:6  
杜军  建军  余燕群  杨斌  拉巴 《干旱区地理》2008,31(3):397-402
利用拉萨1952-2005年逐月降水量,≥0.1 mm、1.0 mm、5.0 mm和10.0 mm年降水日数,分析了近半个世纪拉萨年、季降水量及年降水日数的年际和年代际变化.结果发现:近半个世纪以来,拉萨年降水量表现为前30年呈不显著的减少趋势,减幅为17.8 mm/10 a;季降水量除夏季呈不显著的减少趋势外,其它各季均表现为增加趋势,以秋季增幅最大;≥0.1 mm、≥1.0 mm和≥5.0 mm年降水日数表现为不同程度的增加趋势.近25年≥10.0 mm的年降水日数呈极显著的增加趋势.20世纪50年代至80年代夏季降水量表现为逐年代减少趋势,秋季降水量则呈逐年代增加趋势,而冬季降水量为负距平.各等级年降水日数20世纪80年代偏少,90年代偏多.年降水量异常偏旱年主要出现在20世纪80年代,50年代和60年代的初期各出现一次异常偏涝年,70年代从未出现过异常年份.14年振荡周期可能是影响年降水量的主导周期.  相似文献   
418.
遥感反演的前提需对模型的输入参数进行敏感性分析.该文选取冬小麦返青期、拔节期、孕穗期和抽穗期,考虑输入参数之间的相关性,以辐射传输模型(PROSAIL)为研究对象,对比分析了局部敏感性和全局敏感性方法在模型不确定性和LAI敏感性上的差异.结果表明,随着冬小麦的生长,模拟光谱与实测光谱吻合度提高,模型模拟的不确定性降低;与局部敏感性方法相比,全局敏感性方法的模型不确定性降低,模拟精度提高,冠层光谱对LAI的敏感性有明显变化,植被指数对LAI的敏感性则相对稳定;与NDVI相比,TGDVI对LAI更敏感.  相似文献   
419.
西藏高原汛期降水类型的研究   总被引:18,自引:0,他引:18  
周顺武  普布卓玛  假拉 《气象》2000,26(5):39-43
利用西藏高原26个测站26年(1973 ̄1998年)汛期(5 ̄9月)降水量资料,采用主成分分析和旋转主成分分析方法,对高原汛期降水空间分布型进行了分析。结果表明,主成分分解得到的降水空间分布形式较为集中,前3个特征向量场的分布型具有十分明确的物理意义,可表示降水场部方差的63.14%。旋转主成分分解生前6个载荷向量的累积方差贡献达76.67%,可较好反映西藏高原汛期降水6个异常敏感区:东南部、东北  相似文献   
420.
Data analyzed in the present work correspond to a 40 days field experiment carried out in Teide Volcano (Canary Islands, Spain) with two short-period small-aperture dense seismic antennas in 1994. The objective of this experiment was to detect, analyze and locate the local seismicity. We analyzed also the background seismic noise to investigate the possible presence of volcanic tremor. From a set of 76 events, we selected 21 of them in base of their good signal-to-noise ratio and their possibility to locate their seismic source by using the seismic antennas. A visual classification based on the S–P time and seismogram shape has permitted to establish three groups of events: local seismicity (S–P time between 3 and 5 s), very local earthquakes (S–P time smaller than 3 s) and artificial explosions. These earthquakes have been located by applying the Zero Lag Cross-Correlation technique and the inverse ray-tracing procedure. Those earthquakes that were recorded simultaneously by both seismic antennas were also located by intersecting both back-azimuths. The analysis of the seismicity has revealed that the amount of seismicity in Teide Volcano is moderate. This seismicity could be distributed in three main areas: inside the Caldera Edifice (below the Teide–Pico Viejo complex), in the eastern border of the Caldera Edifice and offshore of the island. At present, this activity is the only indicator of the volcano dynamics. The analysis of the back-ground seismic noise has revealed that at frequencies lower than 2 Hz, the Oceanic Load signal is predominant over other signals, even over local earthquakes with a magnitude of 2.0. Due to this, although if in the Teide area were present a weak volcanic tremor, or other volcanic signals with predominant peaks below 2 Hz, to observe them would be a very difficult task.  相似文献   
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