Bioaccumulation of PCB congeners in marine benthic infauna     

Magnusson K  Ekelund R  Grabic R  Bergqvist PA 《Marine environmental research》2006,61(4):379-395

Field concentrations of polychlorinated biphenyls (PCBs) were measured in sediment and nine marine soft bottom invertebrate species. Lipid- and organic carbon normalised biota-sediment accumulation factors (BSAFs) were determined for 29 nonplanar and 11 coplanar congeners. To investigate whether the bioaccumulation was in thermodynamic equilibrium with the sediment, the determined BSAFs were compared to theoretically calculated ones to obtain a BSAFdet./BSAFtheor-ratio. Large interspecific variations were found: one suspension feeding and one deposit feeding species of brittle stars (Amphiura filiformis and A. chiajei), and one predatory polychaete (Glycera rouxii) had ratios>1 for congeners with logKow>6.5. In these species there was also a linear relationship between logKow and BSAF, both for coplanar and for planar congeners but with lower values for coplanar ones. For other species the pattern was more scattered. Only the deposit feeding polychaete Melinna cristata had BSAFdet./BSAFtheor-ratios<1 for all congeners. Thus, the interspecific variations in bioaccumulation did not correlate with differences in feeding strategies, but may be caused by differences in biotransformation, and in age and size of the analysed specimens.  相似文献   

Evaluation of forecast strategies for seasonal and decadal forecasts in presence of systematic model errors   总被引：1，自引：1，他引：0  

Linus Magnusson  Magdalena Alonso-Balmaseda  Susanna Corti  Franco Molteni  Tim Stockdale 《Climate Dynamics》2013,41(9-10):2393-2409

This study discusses and compares three different strategies used to deal with model error in seasonal and decadal forecasts. The strategies discussed are the so-called full initialisation, anomaly initialisation and flux correction. In the full initialisation the coupled model is initialised to a state close to the real-world attractor and after initialisation the model drifts towards its own attractor, giving rise to model bias. The anomaly initialisation aims to initialise the model close to its own attractor, by initialising only the anomalies. The flux correction strategy aims to keep the model trajectory close to the real-world attractor by adding empirical corrections. These three strategies have been implemented in the ECMWF coupled model, and are evaluated at seasonal and decadal time-scales. The practical implications of the different strategies are also discussed. Results show that full initialisation results in a clear model drift towards a colder climate. The anomaly initialisation is able to reduce the drift, by initialising around the model mean state. However, the erroneous model mean state results in degraded seasonal forecast skill. The best results on the seasonal time-scale are obtained using momentum-flux correction, mainly because it avoids the positive feedback responsible for a strong cold bias in the tropical Pacific. It is likely that these results are model dependent: the coupled model used here shows a strong cold bias in the Central Pacific, resulting from a positive coupled feedback between winds and SST. At decadal time-scales it is difficult to determine whether any of the strategies is superior to the others.  相似文献   

Extreme wave events and sampling variability     

Bitner-Gregersen  Elzbieta M.  Gramstad  Odin  Magnusson  Anne Karin  Malila  Mika Petteri 《Ocean Dynamics》2021,71(1):81-95

Ocean Dynamics - Wave field data are affected not only by the accuracy of instruments recording them but also by sampling variability, an uncertainty due to the limited number of observations. For...  相似文献   

Observations of distant solar system bodies     

P. Magnusson  C.-I. Lagerkvist  J. S. V. Lagerros  M. Dahlgren  M. Lundsrtm 《Astronomische Nachrichten》1998,319(4):251-255

Multicolour VRI photometry and astrometry of one Centaur and seven Edgeworth-Kuiper objects were obtained. One object, 1994 JQ₁ may be as red as 5145 Pholus, the reddest minor planet previously known. The Centaur 1995 DW₂ has more moderate colour indices, similar to main-belt asteroids. Seven R-magnitudes were obtained for 1994 JS, 1995 FB₂₁, and 1995 GY₇. No light variation above the expected noise is evident, apart from a few outliers. A total of 47 astrometric positions were obtained for the eight objects. The four nights of observations with the ESO New Technology Telescope covered 0.52 square degrees. Two previosuly unknown object, 1995 FB₂₁ and 1995 GY₇, were discovered. We estimate the density of Edgeworth-Kuiper objects brighter than R = 24 to 5.3 per square degree of sky near the ecliptic.  相似文献   

Camera Calibration     

Bertil  Hallert. 《The Photogrammetric Record》1960,3(16):376-376

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To The Editor, The Photogrammetric Record.     

Bertil  Hallert. 《The Photogrammetric Record》1959,3(14):168-169

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Quantitative evaluation of different hydrological modelling approaches in a partly glacierized Swiss watershed     

Jan Magnusson  Daniel Farinotti  Tobias Jonas  Mathias Bavay 《水文研究》2011,25(13):2071-2084

Mountain water resources management often requires hydrological models that need to handle both snow and ice melt. In this study, we compared two different model types for a partly glacierized watershed in central Switzerland: (1) an energy‐balance model primarily designed for snow simulations; and (2) a temperature‐index model developed for glacier simulations. The models were forced with data extrapolated from long‐term measurement records to mimic the typical input data situation for climate change assessments. By using different methods to distribute precipitation, we also assessed how various snow cover patterns influenced the modelled runoff. The energy‐balance model provided accurate discharge estimations during periods dominated by snow melt, but dropped in performance during the glacier ablation season. The glacier melt rates were sensitive to the modelled snow cover patterns and to the parameterization of turbulent heat fluxes. In contrast, the temperature‐index model poorly reproduced snow melt runoff, but provided accurate discharge estimations during the periods dominated by glacier ablation, almost independently of the method used to distribute precipitation. Apparently, the calibration of this model compensated for the inaccurate precipitation input with biased parameters. Our results show that accurate estimates of snow cover patterns are needed either to correctly constrain the melt parameters of the temperature‐index model or to ensure appropriate glacier surface albedos required by the energy‐balance model. Thus, particularly when only distant meteorological stations are available, carefully selected input data and efficient extrapolation methods of meteorological variables improve the reliability of runoff simulations in high alpine watersheds. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment of the Pyrenean region     

R. Secanell  D. Bertil  C. Martin  X. Goula  T. Susagna  M. Tapia  P. Dominique  D. Carbon  J. Fleta 《Journal of Seismology》2008,12(3):323-341

A unified probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) for the Pyrenean region has been performed by an international team composed of experts from Spain and France during the Interreg IIIA ISARD project. It is motivated by incoherencies between the seismic hazard zonations of the design codes of France and Spain and by the need for input data to be used to define earthquake scenarios. A great effort was invested in the homogenisation of the input data. All existing seismic data are collected in a database and lead to a unified catalogue using a local magnitude scale. PSHA has been performed using logic trees combined with Monte Carlo simulations to account for both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties. As an alternative to hazard calculation based on seismic sources zone models, a zoneless method is also used to produce a hazard map less dependant on zone boundaries. Two seismogenic source models were defined to take into account the different interpretations existing among specialists. A new regional ground-motion prediction equation based on regional data has been proposed. It was used in combination with published ground-motion prediction equations derived using European and Mediterranean data. The application of this methodology leads to the definition of seismic hazard maps for 475- and 1,975-year return periods for spectral accelerations at periods of 0 (corresponding to peak ground acceleration), 0.1, 0.3, 0.6, 1 and 2 s. Median and percentiles 15% and 85% acceleration contour lines are represented. Finally, the seismic catalogue is used to produce a map of the maximum acceleration expected for comparison with the probabilistic hazard maps. The hazard maps are produced using a grid of 0.1°. The results obtained may be useful for civil protection and risk prevention purposes in France, Spain and Andorra.  相似文献   

Estimating the snow water equivalent from snow depth measurements in the Swiss Alps   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

T. Jonas  C. Marty  J. Magnusson   《Journal of Hydrology》2009,378(1-2):161-167

The snow water equivalent (SWE) characterizes the hydrological significance of snow cover. However, measuring SWE is time-consuming, thus alternative methods of determining SWE may be useful. SWE can be calculated from snow depth if the bulk snow density is known. Thus, a reliable estimation method of snow densities could (a) potentially save a lot of effort by, at least partly, sampling snow depth instead of SWE, and would (b) allow snow hydrological evaluations, when only snow depth data are available. To generate a useful parameterization of the bulk density a large dataset was analyzed covering snow densities and depths measured biweekly over five decades at 37 sites throughout the Swiss Alps. Four factors were identified to affect the bulk snow density: season, snow depth, site altitude, and site location. These factors constitute a convenient set of input variables for a snow density model developed in this study. The accuracy of estimating SWE using our model is shown to be equivalent to the variability of repeated SWE measurements at one site. The technique may therefore allow a more efficient but indirect sampling of the SWE without necessarily affecting the data quality.  相似文献   

Lead in the North Sea and the north east Atlantic Ocean     

Lutz Brügmann  Lars-Göran Danielsson  Bertil Magnusson  Stig Westerlund 《Marine Chemistry》1985,16(1):47-60

Lead has been determined in 105 water samples from the north east Atlantic and from the North Sea. Rigorous precautions were applied to avoid contamination during sampling and analysis.Two different analytical methods were used: ASV and AAS. Determinations with ASV were carried out on board, directly after sampling. After two months storage, acidified samples were analysed by AAS after freon dithiocarbamate extraction and nitric acid back extraction. Particulate lead was determined by AAS after an acid digestion.The profiles of lead concentration versus depth show around 160 pM at the surface and around 20 pM at the bottom, both in the Atlantic and in the Norwegian Sea. The shapes of the profiles are different, however, depending on the hydrography of the area sampled. The profiles from the north east Atlantic coincide with a recently published profile from the north west Atlantic. Moreover, these profiles have lead concentrations about a factor of three higher than those in the Pacific.Considering the high lead input to the North Sea, the lead concentrations found there are remarkably low, probably because of scavenging effects in estuaries leading to a short residence time in the water column. The dominant lead input in offshore regions is from the atmosphere. The highest lead levels are found in the northern North Sea, around 300 pM in surface water.In the Atlantic, particulate lead is a minor part of the total lead whereas in the North Sea the particulate fraction is larger, up to 40%.  相似文献