Extreme value Birnbaum–Saunders regression models applied to environmental data     

Víctor Leiva  Marta Ferreira  M. Ivette Gomes  Camilo Lillo 《Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment (SERRA)》2016,30(3):1045-1058

Extreme value models are widely used in different areas. The Birnbaum–Saunders distribution is receiving considerable attention due to its physical arguments and its good properties. We propose a methodology based on extreme value Birnbaum–Saunders regression models, which includes model formulation, estimation, inference and checking. We further conduct a simulation study for evaluating its performance. A statistical analysis with real-world extreme value environmental data using the methodology is provided as illustration.  相似文献   

Differentiation of the sensitivity to copper and cadmium in different life stages of a copepod     

G. Verriopoulos  M. Moraïtou-Apostolopoulou 《Marine pollution bulletin》1982,13(4):123-125

Copper is more toxic to all life stages of the copepod Tisbe than cadmium. The most sensitive life stage of Tisbe to both copper and cadmium is the one-day-old nauplius. The resistance of larval stages of Tisbe increases with age (one-day-old nauplii 48h $\text{lc}{}_{50}\text{=0.3142}$ mg Cu l^?1. and 0.5384 mg Cd l^?1, 0.3415 mg Cu l^?1. and 0.645 mg Cd l^?1. for five-days-old nauplii and 0.5289 mg Cu l^?1. and 0.9061 mg Cd l^?1. for ten-days-old nauplii. The two reproductive stages of Tisbe tested (females with ovigerous bands and females bearing the first ovigerous sac) demonstrated an increased sensitivity to metals and proved more sensitive than the ten-days-old copepodids (only females with ovigerous bands had a similar sensitivity to copper with the ten-days-old copepodids).  相似文献   

Tectonic reconstruction of the northern Andean blocks: Oblique convergence and rotations derived from the kinematics of the Piedras–Girardot area, Colombia     

Camilo Montes  Robert D. Hatcher  Jr.  Pedro A. Restrepo-Pace 《Tectonophysics》2005,399(1-4):221

A detailed kinematic study in the Piedras–Girardot area reveals that approximately 32 km of ENE–WSW oblique convergence is accommodated within a northeast-trending transpressional shear zone with a shear strain of 0.8 and a convergence factor of 2. Early Campanian deformation is marked by the incipient propagation of northeast-trending faults that uplifted gentle domes where the accumulation of sandy units did not take place. Maastrichtian unroofing of a metamorphic terrane to the west is documented by a conglomerate that was deformed shortly after deposition developing a conspicuous intragranular fabric of microscopic veins that accommodates less than 5% extension. This extensional fabric, distortion of fossil molds, and a moderate cleavage accommodating less than 5% contraction, developed concurrently, but before large-scale faulting and folding. Paleogene folding and southwestward thrust sheet propagation are recorded by syntectonic strata. Neogene deformation took place only in the western flank of this foldbelt. The amount, direction, and timing of deformation documented here contradict current tectonic models for the Cordillera Oriental and demand a new tectonic framework to approach the study of the structure of the northern Andes. Thus, an alternative model was constructed by defining three continental blocks: the Maracaibo, Cordillera Central, and Cordillera Oriental blocks. Oblique deformation imposed by the relative eastward and northeastward motion of the Caribbean Plate was modeled as rigid-body rotation and translation for rigid blocks (derived from published paleomagnetic and kinematic data), and as internal distortion and dilation for weak blocks (derived from the Piedras–Girardot area). This model explains not only coeval dextral and sinistral transpression and transtension, but also large clockwise rotation documented by paleomagnetic studies in the Caribbean–northern Andean region.  相似文献   

Parallel 3-D Simulation of a Fault Gouge Using the Lattice Solid Model     

Shane Latham  Steffen Abe  Peter Mora 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2006,163(9):1949-1964

Despite the insight gained from 2-D particle models, and given that the dynamics of crustal faults occur in 3-D space, the question remains, how do the 3-D fault gouge dynamics differ from those in 2-D? Traditionally, 2-D modeling has been preferred over 3-D simulations because of the computational cost of solving 3-D problems. However, modern high performance computing architectures, combined with a parallel implementation of the Lattice Solid Model (LSM), provide the opportunity to explore 3-D fault micro-mechanics and to advance understanding of effective constitutive relations of fault gouge layers. In this paper, macroscopic friction values from 2-D and 3-D LSM simulations, performed on an SGI Altix 3700 super-cluster, are compared. Two rectangular elastic blocks of bonded particles, with a rough fault plane and separated by a region of randomly sized non-bonded gouge particles, are sheared in opposite directions by normally-loaded driving plates. The results demonstrate that the gouge particles in the 3-D models undergo significant out-of-plane motion during shear. The 3-D models also exhibit a higher mean macroscopic friction than the 2-D models for varying values of interparticle friction. 2-D LSM gouge models have previously been shown to exhibit accelerating energy release in simulated earthquake cycles, supporting the Critical Point hypothesis. The 3-D models are shown to also display accelerating energy release, and good fits of power law time-to-failure functions to the cumulative energy release are obtained.  相似文献   

Computational Earthquake Physics PART I: Introduction     

Xiang-chu Yin  Peter Mora  Andrea Donnellan  Mitsuhiro Matsuura 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2006,163(9):1737-1740

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Stress Reorientation and LURR: Implication for Earthquake Prediction Using LURR     

Can Yin  Peter Mora 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2006,163(11-12):2363-2373

After reviewing the problems associated with the current implementation of the LURR theory, we suggest that taking account of stress field complexity and stress reorientation may resolve these problems. By introducing the concept of Maximum Faulting Orientation (MFO), we propose a new approach for calculating LURR. Results presented for the case of the Northridge earthquake provide encouragement for the stress-reorientation explanation and the new approach.  相似文献   

Land Cover Classification Using High‐Resolution Aerial Photography in Adventdalen,Svalbard          下载免费PDF全文

Carla Mora  Gonçalo Vieira  Pedro Pina  Maura Lousada  Hanne H. Christiansen 《Geografiska Annaler: Series A, Physical Geography》2015,97(3):473-488

A methodology was tested for high‐resolution mapping of vegetation and detailed geoecological patterns in the Arctic Tundra, based on aerial imagery from an unmanned aerial vehicle (visible wavelength – RGB, 6 cm pixel resolution) and from an aircraft (visible and near infrared, 20 cm pixel resolution). The scenes were fused at 10 and 20 cm to evaluate their applicability for vegetation mapping in an alluvial fan in Adventdalen, Svalbard. Ground‐truthing was used to create training and accuracy evaluation sets. Supervised classification tests were conducted with different band sets, including the original and derived ones, such as NDVI and principal component analysis bands. The fusion of all original bands at 10 cm resolution provided the best accuracies. The best classifier was systematically the maximum neighbourhood algorithm, with overall accuracies up to 84%. Mapped vegetation patterns reflect geoecological conditioning factors. The main limitation in the classification was differentiating between the classes graminea, moss and Salix, and moss, graminea and Salix, which showed spectral signature mixing. Silty‐clay surfaces are probably overestimated in the south part of the study area due to microscale shadowing effects. The results distinguished vegetation zones according to a general gradient of ecological limiting factors and show that VIS+NIR high‐resolution imagery are excellent tools for identifying the main vegetation groups within the lowland fan study site of Adventdalen, but do not allow for detailed discrimination between species.  相似文献   

Sedimentary facies,fossil distribution and depositional setting of the late Ediacaran Tamengo Formation (Brazil)     

Kamilla Borges Amorim  Jhon Willy Lopes Afonso  Juliana de Moraes Leme  Cleber Quidute Clemente Diniz  Laura Carolina Montenegro Rivera  Juan Camilo Gómez-Gutiérrez  Paulo César Boggiani  Ricardo Ivan Ferreira Trindade 《Sedimentology》2020,67(7):3422-3450

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The role of inherited extensional fault segmentation and linkage in contractional orogenesis: a reconstruction of Lower Cretaceous inverted rift basins in the Eastern Cordillera of Colombia   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Andrés Mora  Tatiana Gaona†  Jonas Kley‡  Diana Montoya†  Mauricio Parra  Luis Ignacio Quiroz§  German Reyes†  Manfred R. Strecker 《Basin Research》2009,21(1):111-137

Lower Cretaceous early syn‐rift facies along the eastern flank of the Eastern Cordillera of Colombia, their provenance, and structural context, reveal the complex interactions between Cretaceous extension, spatio‐temporal trends in associated sedimentation, and subsequent inversion of the Cretaceous Guatiquía paleo‐rift. South of 4°30′N lat, early syn‐rift alluvial sequences in former extensional footwall areas were contemporaneous with fan‐delta deposits in shallow marine environments in adjacent hanging‐wall areas. In general, footwall erosion was more pronounced in the southern part of the paleorift. In contrast, early syn‐rift sequences in former footwall areas in the northern rift sectors mainly comprise shallow marine supratidal sabkha to intertidal strata, whereas hanging‐wall units display rapid transitions to open‐sea shales. In comparison with the southern paleo‐rift sector, fan‐delta deposits in the north are scarce, and provenance suggests negligible footwall erosion. The southern graben segment had longer, and less numerous normal faults, whereas the northern graben segment was characterized by shorter, rectilinear faults. To the east, the graben system was bounded by major basin‐margin faults with protracted activity and greater throw as compared with intrabasinal faults to the west. Intrabasinal structures grew through segment linkage and probably interacted kinematically with basin‐margin faults. Basin‐margin faults constitute a coherent fault system that was conditioned by pre‐existing basement fabrics. Structural mapping, analysis of present‐day topography, and balanced cross sections indicate that positive inversion of extensional structures was focused along basin‐bounding faults, whereas intrabasinal faults remained unaffected and were passively transported by motion along the basin‐bounding faults. Thus, zones of maximum subsidence in extension accommodated maximum elevation in contraction, and former topographic highs remained as elevated areas. This documents the role of basin‐bounding faults as multiphased, long‐lived features conditioned by basement discontinuities. Inversion of basin‐bounding faults was more efficient in the southern than in the northern graben segment, possibly documenting the inheritance and pivotal role of fault‐displacement gradients. Our observations highlight similarities between inversion features in orogenic belts and intra‐plate basins, emphasizing the importance of the observed phenomena as predictive tools in the spatiotemporal analysis of inversion histories in orogens, as well as in hydrocarbon and mineral deposits exploration.  相似文献   

Earthquake Trend Around Sumatra Indicated by a New Implementation of LURR Method     

Can Yin  Huilin Xing  Peter Mora  Hehua Xu 《Pure and Applied Geophysics》2008,165(3-4):723-736

The current implementation of LURR (Load/Unload Response Ratio) theory has shown promise in intermediate to short-term earthquake forecasting through past practice, but has also met difficulties at the same time. In this paper a new implementation of LURR method is presented to address one of the problems. The major change in the new implementation is that LURR values will result from a calculated maximum faulting orientation (MFO) instead of any focal mechanism selected by users. After comparison with the world stress map, the calculated MFO has been found to be in good agreement with the observation from the regional tectonic stress regime. The MFO pattern in the Indonesia region has a special feature which may be related to the unique subduction complexity. The MFO pattern in the Sumatra region in general is different from that in the Java region after the 2004 M 9.0 Sumatra Andaman Islands earthquake. This phenomenon may be supported by the evidence of the recent observation that a section in the southern part of the Sumatran arc is locked. Furthermore, the MFO pattern before the 2004 main shock is different from that after the event. Retrospective examination of the Indonesia region by means of this implementation can produce significant LURR anomaly not only prior to the 2004 main shock but also before the 2006 M 7.7 South Java earthquake. Therefore future great earthquakes might favorably be forecasted if the LURR anomaly detected by MFO method could be considered a precursor.  相似文献