一次暴雨过程中两个降水阶段的差异分析     

陈鹏  刘毅  刘德  何军  陈贵川  廖芷仪 《高原气象》2015,(3):732-740

利用NCEP格点再分析资料和WRF模式输出的高分辨率资料、自动站降水资料、雷达资料对2010年8月14 16日发生在重庆的一次大暴雨过程进行了数值模拟和诊断分析。结果表明:此次暴雨过程分为两个阶段,降水系统主要有两个:第一阶段的主要降水系统是低空切变线;第二阶段的主要降水系统是低空切变线和850 h Pa西南低涡,并且第二个阶段内的降水量较大、持续时间也较长。风垂直廓线的时间演变表明,暴雨发生、发展过程中,中低层强西南风风速的下传和低层切变辐合的存在对中尺度对流系统的增强有着重要的作用;数值模拟分析显示,第一阶段,弱的冷平流影响暴雨区,在低空切变线的作用下,引起气团在水平方向辐合,触发中尺度对流系统的发生、发展;第二阶段,中高层强的冷空气倾入降水区,850 h Pa低涡生成后东移至重庆东北地区,其低涡附近的垂直上升运动与700 h Pa切变线附近的上升运动相耦合,强迫抬升中低层暖湿空气并再次触发降水区域的中尺度对流系统。  相似文献   

The extremely long-runout Komansu rock avalanche in the Trans Alai range,Pamir Mountains,southern Kyrgyzstan     

Tom R. Robinson  Tim R. H. Davies  Natalya V. Reznichenko  Gregory P. De Pascale 《Landslides》2015,12(3):523-535

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http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1674987114000334     

Weronika Gorczyk  Hugh Smithies  Fawna Korhonen  Heather Howard  Raphael Quentin De Gromard 《地学前缘(英文版)》2015,6(1):23-37

The Musgrave Province developed at the nexus of the North,West and South Australian cratons and its Mesoproterozoic evolution incorporates a 100 Ma period of ultra-high temperature(UHT) metamorphism from ca.1220 to ca.1120 Ma.This was accompanied by high-temperature A-type granitic magmatism over an 80 Ma period,sourced in part from mantle-derived components and emplaced as a series of pulsed events that also coincide with peaks in UHT metamorphism.The tectonic setting for this thermal event(the Musgrave Orogeny) is thought to have been intracontinental and the lithospheric architecture of the region is suggested to have had a major influence on the thermal evolution.We use a series of two dimensional,fully coupled thermo-mechanical-petrological numerical models to investigate the plausibility of initiating and prolonging UHT conditions under model setup conditions appropriate to the inferred tectonic setting and lithospheric architecture of the Musgrave Province.The results support the inferred tectonic framework for the Musgrave Orogeny,predicting periods of UHT metamorphism of up to 70 Ma,accompanied by thin crust and extensive magmatism derived from both crustal and mantle sources.The results also appear to be critically dependent upon the specific location of the Musgrave Province,constrained between thicker cratonic masses.  相似文献   

How Do Surficial Lithic Assemblages Weather in Arid Environments? A Case Study from the Atacama Desert,Northern Chile     

Paula C. Ugalde  Calogero M. Santoro  Eugenia M. Gayo  Claudio Latorre  Sebastin Maldonado  Ricardo De Pol‐Holz  Donald Jackson 《Geoarchaeology》2015,30(4):352-368

Archaeological sites composed only of surficial lithics are widespread in arid environments. Numerical dating of such sites is challenging, however, and even establishing a relative chronology can be daunting. One potentially helpful method for assigning relative chronologies is to use lithic weathering, on the assumption that the most weathered artifacts are also the oldest. Yet, few studies have systematically assessed how local environmental processes affect weathering of surficial lithics. Using macroscopic analyses, we compared the weathering of surficial lithic assemblages from seven mid‐to‐late Holocene archaeological sites sampled from four different microenvironments in the Atacama Desert of northern Chile. Changes in polish, texture, shine, and color were used to establish significant differences in weathering between two kinds of locations: interfluves and canyon sites. Lithics from interfluve sites were moderately to highly weathered by wind and possessed a dark coating, whereas canyon lithics were mildly weathered despite greater exposure to moisture, often lacked indications of eolian abrasion, and lacked dark coatings. Our results show that lithic weathering can be used as a proxy for relative age, but only after considering local environmental factors. The power of such chronologies can be improved by combining archaeological, paleoenvironmental, geomorphological, and taphonomic data.  相似文献   

中国城际联系距离衰减的非线性规律——基于人口流动大数据     

储君  仝德  古恒宇  曹志强  潘向向 《地理科学进展》2023,42(1):1-11

以人口流动为表征的空间相互作用是热点议题,然而关于其影响因素的非线性机制尚未被充分揭示。论文利用2018年腾讯迁徙大数据,以梯度提升决策树模型改进重力模型,分析距离衰减系数的非线性特征。研究发现：(1)城际联系的距离衰减系数呈非线性,偏依赖图曲线存在2个“平台区”(距离衰减系数接近于0)和2个“衰减区”(距离衰减系数约为2.8),将直线距离替换为路网距离,2018年数据替换为其他年份数据后,结果仍然稳健;(2)与基准模型相比,航空、铁路及公路交通下的距离衰减系数非线性特征存在显著差异,春运期间的距离衰减系数基本保持一致。建议根据城际联系距离衰减规律布局都市圈和城市群,优化国土空间发展格局。  相似文献   

Biodiversity,ecological structure,and change in the sponge community of different geomorphological zones of the barrier fore reef at Carrie Bow Cay,Belize     

Estrella Villamizar  María C. Díaz  Klaus Rützler  Renato De Nóbrega 《Marine Ecology》2014,35(4):425-435

Changes in the relative abundance of benthic groups on the barrier fore reef at Carrie Bow Cay, Belize, point to a significant reduction of corals and an expansion of the sponge community in 1995–2009. Fifty‐one species are now present in the four geomorphological zones of this reef: the low‐relief spur‐and‐groove zone, the inner reef slope, the outer ridge, and the fore‐reef slope (to a depth of 30 m). Five species are new additions to the sponge fauna reported for Belize, and six species account for 42.6% of the total assemblage: Niphates erecta (9.60%), Aiolochroia crassa (8.8%), Niphates digitalis (6.9%), Callyspongia plicifera (6.63%), Aplysina archeri (5.37%) and Xestospongia muta (5.37%). Species richness, average density, diversity and evenness indexes are statistically similar in these four zones but some species appear to be more dominant in certain areas. In the same 30 years, coral cover has decreased by more than 90%, while the octocoral cover has greatly increased (by as much as 10‐fold in the low‐relief spur‐and‐groove zone). Thus the Carrie Bow fore reef appears to be undergoing a transition from coral dominance in the late 1970s to algae dominance today, with other benthic groups such as sponges and octocorals showing signs of gradual recovery.  相似文献   

Innovation benefits from nuclear phase-out: can they compensate the costs?     

Enrica De Cian  Samuel Carrara  Massimo Tavoni 《Climatic change》2014,123(3-4):637-650

This paper investigates whether an inefficient allocation of abatement due to constraints on the use of currently available low carbon mitigation options can promote innovation in new technologies and have a positive impact on welfare. We focus on the case of a nuclear power phase-out and endogenous technical change in energy efficiency and alternative low carbon technologies. The research is inspired by the re-thinking about nuclear power deployment which took place in some countries, especially in Western Europe, after the Fukushima accident in March 2011. The analysis uses an Integrated Assessment Model, WITCH, which features multiple externalities related to greenhouse gas emissions and innovation market failures. Our results show that phasing out nuclear power stimulates R&D investments and deployment of technologies with large learning potential. The resulting technology benefits that would not otherwise occur due to intertemporal and international externalities almost completely offset the economic costs of foregoing nuclear power. The extent of technology benefits depends on the stringency of the climate policy and is distributed unevenly across countries.  相似文献   

Time evolution of complex networks: commuting systems in insular Italy     

Andrea De Montis  Simone Caschili  Alessandro Chessa 《Journal of Geographical Systems》2011,13(1):49-65

The aim of this paper is to study the dynamics of the commuting system of two insular regions of Italy, Sardinia and Sicily, inspected as complex networks. The authors refer to a 20-year time period and take into account three census data sets about the work and study-driven inter-municipal origin-destination movements of residential inhabitants in 1981, 1991 and 2001. Since it is likely that the number of municipalities (in this case, the vertices of the system) does not display sharp variations, the authors direct the study to the variation of the properties emerging through both a topological and a weighted network representation of commuting in the time periods indicated.  相似文献   

The Growth of the Planetary Boundary Layer at a Coastal Site: a Case Study   总被引：2，自引：1，他引：1  

Ferdinando De Tomasi  M. Marcello Miglietta  M. Rita Perrone 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2011,139(3):521-541

A lidar system is used to determine the diurnal evolution of the planetary boundary layer (PBL) height on a summer day characterized by anticyclonic conditions. The site is located some 15 km distant from the sea, on a peninsula in south-east Italy. Contrary to expectations, the PBL height, after an initial growth consequent to sunrise, ceases to increase about 2 h before noon and then decreases and stabilizes in the afternoon. An interpretation of such anomalous behaviour is provided in terms of trajectories of air parcels towards the lidar site, which are influenced by the sea breeze, leading to a transition from a continental boundary layer to a coastal internal boundary layer. The results are analyzed using mesoscale numerical model simulations and a simple model that allows for a more direct interpretation of experimental results.  相似文献   

The Urban Heat Island Intensity of Paris: A Case Study Based on a Simple Urban Surface Parametrization   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Abhijit Sarkar  Koen De Ridder 《Boundary-Layer Meteorology》2011,138(3):511-520

We explore the ability of a simple urban surface parametrization, embedded in a mesoscale meteorological model, to correctly reproduce observed values of the urban heat island (UHI) intensity, which is defined as the urban-rural surface air temperature difference. To do so, a simple urban scheme was incorporated into the Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS). Subsequently, a simulation was performed with the coupled model over the wider area of Paris, for a 12-day period in June 2006 that was characterised by conditions prone to UHI development. Simulated 2-m air temperature was compared with observed values for urban and rural stations, yielding mean errors of 1.4 and 1.5 K, respectively. More importantly, it was found that the model also displayed an overall good capability of reproducing the observed temperature differences. In particular, the magnitude (up to 6 K) and timing of the diurnal cycle of the UHI intensity was simulated well, the model exhibiting a mean error of 1.15 K. As a result, our conclusion is that the ARPS model, extended with simple urban surface physics, is able to capture observed urban-rural air temperature differences well, at least for the domain and period studied.  相似文献