The CLIVAR C20C project: which components of the Asian–Australian monsoon circulation variations are forced and reproducible?     

Tianjun Zhou  Bo Wu  A. A. Scaife  S. Brönnimann  A. Cherchi  D. Fereday  A. M. Fischer  C. K. Folland  K. E. Jin  J. Kinter  J. R. Knight  F. Kucharski  S. Kusunoki  N.-C. Lau  Lijuan Li  M. J. Nath  T. Nakaegawa  A. Navarra  P. Pegion  E. Rozanov  S. Schubert  P. Sporyshev  A. Voldoire  Xinyu Wen  J. H. Yoon  N. Zeng 《Climate Dynamics》2009,33(7-8):1051-1068

A multi-model set of atmospheric simulations forced by historical sea surface temperature (SST) or SSTs plus Greenhouse gases and aerosol forcing agents for the period of 1950–1999 is studied to identify and understand which components of the Asian–Australian monsoon (A–AM) variability are forced and reproducible. The analysis focuses on the summertime monsoon circulations, comparing model results against the observations. The priority of different components of the A–AM circulations in terms of reproducibility is evaluated. Among the subsystems of the wide A–AM, the South Asian monsoon and the Australian monsoon circulations are better reproduced than the others, indicating they are forced and well modeled. The primary driving mechanism comes from the tropical Pacific. The western North Pacific monsoon circulation is also forced and well modeled except with a slightly lower reproducibility due to its delayed response to the eastern tropical Pacific forcing. The simultaneous driving comes from the western Pacific surrounding the maritime continent region. The Indian monsoon circulation has a moderate reproducibility, partly due to its weakened connection to June–July–August SSTs in the equatorial eastern Pacific in recent decades. Among the A–AM subsystems, the East Asian summer monsoon has the lowest reproducibility and is poorly modeled. This is mainly due to the failure of specifying historical SST in capturing the zonal land-sea thermal contrast change across the East Asia. The prescribed tropical Indian Ocean SST changes partly reproduce the meridional wind change over East Asia in several models. For all the A–AM subsystem circulation indices, generally the MME is always the best except for the Indian monsoon and East Asian monsoon circulation indices.  相似文献   

Intraseasonal oscillations in 15 atmospheric general circulation models: results from an AMIP diagnostic subproject   总被引：16，自引：1，他引：16  

J. M. Slingo  K. R. Sperber  J. S. Boyle  J.-P. Ceron  M. Dix  B. Dugas  W. Ebisuzaki  J. Fyfe  D. Gregory  J.-F. Gueremy  J. Hack  A. Harzallah  P. Inness  A. Kitoh  W. K.-M. Lau  B. McAvaney  R. Madden  A. Matthews  T. N. Palmer  C.-K. Parkas  D. Randall  N. Renno 《Climate Dynamics》1996,12(5):325-357

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利用MODIS光学厚度遥感产品研究北京及周边地区的大气污染   总被引：53，自引：2，他引：53  

李成才  毛节泰  刘启汉  刘晓阳  刘桂青  朱爱华 《大气科学》2003,27(5):869-880

对2001年在北京地区利用太阳光度计观测的气溶胶光学厚度和NASA发布的MODIS气溶胶产品进行了比较,验证了这一卫星遥感产品的可靠性;比较了2001年MODIS气溶胶光学厚度(AOD)产品和由空气污染指数(API)计算的每日平均可吸入颗粒物(PM10)浓度,得到了比较高的相关系数,证实该气溶胶产品可用于污染分析.将北京地区AOD与气象能见度观测资料进行比较,得到了不同季节的气溶胶"标高".利用统计的不同季节的气溶胶标高,从光学厚度的季节分布得到了能见度(能见距离)的季节分布.气溶胶光学厚度图像的个例分析表明,除局地排放外,周边区域(主要为西南和南向)的输送对北京市区的空气污染贡献份额较大.卫星遥感气溶胶可以比较直观地再现污染物的区域分布和输送,不仅为研究全球气候变化也为研究区域环境的空气质量提供了一种有效手段.  相似文献   

Intercomparison of the climatological variations of Asian summer monsoon precipitation simulated by 10 GCMs   总被引：24，自引：2，他引：24  

I.-S. Kang  K. Jin  B. Wang  K.-M. Lau  J. Shukla  V. Krishnamurthy  S. Schubert  D. Wailser  W. Stern  A. Kitoh  G. Meehl  M. Kanamitsu  V. Galin  V. Satyan  C.-K. Park  Y. Liu 《Climate Dynamics》2002,19(5-6):383-395

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East Asian winter monsoon: results from eight AMIP models   总被引：6，自引：0，他引：6  

Y. Zhang  K. R. Sperber  J. S. Boyle  M. Dix  L. Ferranti  A. Kitoh  K. M. Lau  K. Miyakoda  D. Randall  L. Takacs  R. Wetherald 《Climate Dynamics》1997,13(11):797-820

 This study evaluates simulations of the East Asian winter monsoon in eight GCMs that participated in the Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP). In addition to validating the mean state of the winter monsoon, the cold surge and its transient properties, which includes the frequency, intensity, preferred propagation tracks, and the evolution patterns of the surges, are examined. GCM simulated temporal distribution of the Siberian high and cold surges is also discussed. Finally, the forcing of the cold surges on the tropical surface wind and convection, along with their interannual variation is analyzed. The mean state of the winter monsoon is generally portrayed well in most of the models. These include the climatological position of the Siberian high, the 200 hPa divergent center, and the large-scale wind patterns at the surface and the 200 hPa. Models display a wide range of skill in simulating the cold surge and its transient properties. In some of the models, the simulated cold surge trajectory, intensity, frequency, propagation patterns and source regions are in general agreement with those from the observed. While in others, the models cannot adequately capture these observed characteristics. The temporal distribution of the Siberian high and cold surges were realistically reproduced in most GCMs. Most models were able to simulate the effect of the cold surges on the tropical surface wind, although a few models unrealistically generated subtropical southerly wind in the mid-winter. The relationship between cold surges and the tropical convection was not satisfactorily simulated in most models. The common discrepancies in the winter monsoon simulation can be attributed to many factors. In some models, the reason is directly related to the improper location of the large-scale convective center near the western Pacific. The satisfactory simulations of the monsoon circulation and the cold surges are partly due to the topographical characteristics of the East Asian continent, i.e., the Tibetan Plateau to the west and the oceans to the east. The correct simulation of the interannual variation of the surface wind near the South China Sea (SCS) and the maritime continent is a demanding task for most of the models. This will require adequate simulations of many aspects, including tropical convection, the Siberian cold dome, the extratropical-tropical linkage, and the air-sea interaction. The discrepancies noted here furnish a guide for the continuing improvement of the winter monsoon simulations. Improved simulations will lead to an adequate delineation of the surface wind and convection near the maritime continent, which is essential for portraying the winter monsoon forcing in a coupled model. Received: 10 March 1997/Accepted: 4 June 1997  相似文献   

Asian summer monsoon anomalies induced by aerosol direct forcing: the role of the Tibetan Plateau   总被引：20，自引：2，他引：20  

K. M. Lau  M. K. Kim  K. M. Kim 《Climate Dynamics》2006,26(7-8):855-864

In this paper we present results of a numerical study using the NASA finite-volume GCM to elucidate a plausible mechanism for aerosol impact on the Asian summer monsoon involving interaction with physical processes over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). During the pre-monsoon season of March–April, dusts from the deserts of western China, Afghanistan/Pakistan, and the Middle East are transported into and stacked up against the northern and southern slopes of the TP. The absorption of solar radiation by dust heats up the elevated surface air over the slopes. On the southern slopes, the atmospheric heating is reinforced by black carbon from local emission. The heated air rises via dry convection, creating a positive temperature anomaly in the mid-to-upper troposphere over the TP relative to the region to the south. In May through early June in a manner akin to an “elevated heat pump”, the rising hot air forced by the increasing heating in the upper troposphere, draws in warm and moist air over the Indian subcontinent, setting the stage for the onset of the South Asia summer monsoon. Our results suggest that increased dust loading coupled with black carbon emission from local sources in northern India during late spring may lead to an advance of the rainy periods and subsequently an intensification of the Indian summer monsoon. The enhanced rainfall over India is associated with the development of an aerosol-induced large-scale sea level pressure anomaly pattern, which causes the East Asia (Mei-yu) rain belt to shift northwestward, suppressing rainfall over East Asia and the adjacent oceanic regions.  相似文献   

Impacts of barrage flushing and flooding in operations on upstream total suspended solids     

P. L. Law  I. N. Law  H. H. Lau  F. W. L. Kho 《International Journal of Environmental Science and Technology》2007,4(1):75-83

This study looks into the impacts of Sarawak Barrage (located in Kuching City, State of Sarawa Malaysia) flushing and flooding-in operations on upstream total suspended solids (TSS). Water samples were collected from three upstream stations on 17^th, 18^th and 19^th of August 2000. During flushing, it was observed that TSS levels increased over a distance of 11 km upstream. Maximum TSS recorded 250 mg/L at 1.5 km, 120 mg/L at 6 km, and 85 mg/L at 11 km upstream. During flushing, TSS levels increased with depth, and upstream turbulence intensities were indirectly proportional to distance from barrage. During flooding-in operation, TSS decreased from 249 to 155 mg/L at 1.5 km near the bottom, while surface TSS decreased from 86 to 58 mg/L. Generally, during flooding-in operation, TSS increased from 90 to 116 mg/L between 6 and 11 km. During flooding-in operation, maximum bottom TSS recorded 216 mg/L at 6 km upstream. Differences between bottom and mid-depth TSS levels were relatively minimal ranging from 19 to 45 mg/L, whilst the maximum difference between mid-depth and surface TSS was as high as 78 mg/L. After 9 hours of gate closure, a well-mixed regime prevailed from 6 to 11 km upstream with TSS ranged from 35 to 47 mg/L at all the monitoring points regardless of depths.  相似文献   

Light-absorbing particles in snow and ice: Measurement and modeling of climatic and hydrological impact   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Yun Qian  Teppei J. Yasunari  Sarah J. Doherty  Mark G. Flanner  William K. M. Lau  Jing Ming  Hailong Wang  Mo Wang  Stephen G. Warren  Rudong Zhang 《大气科学进展》2015,32(1):64-91

Light absorbing particles(LAP, e.g., black carbon, brown carbon, and dust) influence water and energy budgets of the atmosphere and snowpack in multiple ways. In addition to their effects associated with atmospheric heating by absorption of solar radiation and interactions with clouds, LAP in snow on land and ice can reduce the surface reflectance(a.k.a., surface darkening), which is likely to accelerate the snow aging process and further reduces snow albedo and increases the speed of snowpack melt. LAP in snow and ice(LAPSI) has been identified as one of major forcings affecting climate change, e.g.in the fourth and fifth assessment reports of IPCC. However, the uncertainty level in quantifying this effect remains very high. In this review paper, we document various technical methods of measuring LAPSI and review the progress made in measuring the LAPSI in Arctic, Tibetan Plateau and other mid-latitude regions. We also report the progress in modeling the mass concentrations, albedo reduction, radiative forcing, and climatic and hydrological impact of LAPSI at global and regional scales. Finally we identify some research needs for reducing the uncertainties in the impact of LAPSI on global and regional climate and the hydrological cycle.  相似文献   

An ensemble forecast of the South China Sea monsoon     

T. N. Krishnamurti  Mukul Tewari  Ed Bensman  Wei Han  Zhan Zhang  William K. M. Lau 《大气科学进展》1999,16(2):159-182

1.IntroductionThispaperexploresanensembleforecaststrategyforthelarge--scaletropicalpredictionproblem.Thisisgeneralizedfromarecentstudyontheuseofempiricalorthogonalfunction(EOF)--basedperturbationsforhurricanetrackensembleforecasts,(ZhangandKrishnamur...  相似文献   

Mesoscale convective systems along the Meiyu frontin a numerical model     

S.-J. Chen  W. Wang  K.-H. Lau  Q.-H. Zhang  Y.-S. Chung 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2000,75(3-4):149-160

Summary  Two organized mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) developed sequentially along the Meiyu front over the Yangzi-Huai River basin and caused severe flooding over eastern China during 12–13 June 1991. In this paper, the structure and evolution of these MCSs are studied with a high-resolution (18 km) numerical simulation using the Fifth Generation Penn-State/NCAR Mesocale Model (MM5). The model reproduced the successive development of these two MCSs along the Meiyu front. The evolution of these MCSs was recorded clearly on satellite-derived cloud-top black body temperature (T _bb ) maps. A mesoscale low-level jet (mLLJ) and a mesoscale upper-level jet (mULJ) were simulated, respectively, to the south and east of each of these two MCSs. Our analyses shows that the mLLJ and mULJ were formed as a responses to the intense convection associated with the MCS. The mLLJs transported warm, moist air with equivalent potential temperature greater than 352 K into the MCSs, and strong low-level convergence can be identified on the left-front end of the mLLJ. This strong convergence was associated with intense upward motion in the MCS with speed up to 80 cm s⁻¹. Much of inflow into the MCSs extends up to the middle and upper troposphere, and ventilated through the mULJ. The development of the MCSs was also associated with substantial increase in potential vorticity (PV). The build up of PV in the lower-level along the Meiyu front was in turn related to a local intensification of the frontal equivalent potential temperature gradient, suggesting a relationship between the MCSs and the local enhancement and cyclogenesis of the front. In a sensitivity experiment without the effect of latent heating, a series of ascent centers with average separation of about 300 km were simulated. This result suggests that the initial formation of the MCSs along the Meiyu front could occur in absence of moist-diabatic process. Since the horizontal velocity gradient across the Meiyu front near the synoptic-scale low-level jet (LLJ) was quite large while the corresponding temperature gradient across the frontal zone was rather weak, we speculate that barotropic process may be responsible for triggering these MCSs along the Meiyu front. Received December 28, 1999 Revised May 11, 2000  相似文献