A new building energy model coupled with an urban canopy parameterization for urban climate simulations—part I. formulation, verification, and sensitivity analysis of the model   总被引：1，自引：0，他引：1  

Francisco Salamanca  Andrea Krpo  Alberto Martilli  Alain Clappier 《Theoretical and Applied Climatology》2010,99(3-4):331-344

The generation of heat in buildings, and the way this heat is exchanged with the exterior, plays an important role in urban climate. To analyze the impact on urban climate of a change in the urban structure, it is necessary to build and use a model capable of accounting for all the urban heat fluxes. In this contribution, a new building energy model (BEM) is developed and implemented in an urban canopy parameterization (UCP) for mesoscale models. The new model accounts for: the diffusion of heat through walls, roofs, and floors; natural ventilation; the radiation exchanged between indoor surfaces; the generation of heat due to occupants and equipments; and the consumption of energy due to air conditioning systems. The behavior of BEM is compared to other models used in the thermal analysis of buildings (CBS-MASS, BLAST, and TARP) and with another box-building model. Eventually, a sensitivity analysis of different parameters, as well as a study of the impact of BEM on the UCP is carried out. The validations indicate that BEM provides good estimates of the physical behavior of buildings and it is a step towards a modeling tool that can be an important support to urban planners.  相似文献   

Objective probabilities about future climate are a matter of opinion     

Carlos Gay  Francisco Estrada 《Climatic change》2010,99(1-2):27-46

In this paper, the unfeasibility of producing “objective” probabilistic climate change scenarios is discussed. Realizing that the knowledge of “true” probabilities of the different scenarios and temperature changes is unachievable, the objective must be to find the probabilities that are the most consistent with what our state of knowledge and expert judgment are. Therefore, subjective information plays, and should play, a crucial role. A new methodology, based on the Principle of Maximum Entropy, is proposed for constructing probabilistic climate change scenarios when only partial information is available. The objective is to produce relevant information for decision-making according to different agents’ judgment and subjective beliefs. These estimates have desirable properties such as: they are the least biased estimate possible on the available information; maximize the uncertainty (entropy) subject to the partial information that is given; The maximum entropy distribution assigns a positive probability to every event that is not excluded by the given information; no possibility is ignored. The probabilities obtained in this manner are the best predictions possible with the state of knowledge and subjective information that is available. This methodology allows distinguishing between reckless and cautious positions regarding the climate change threat.  相似文献   

Dynamic adaptation of maize and wheat production to climate change   总被引：2，自引：0，他引：2  

Francisco J. Meza  Daniel Silva 《Climatic change》2009,94(1-2):143-156

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The SDSS DR6 luminosity functions of galaxies     

Antonio D. Montero-Dorta  Francisco Prada 《Monthly notices of the Royal Astronomical Society》2009,399(3):1106-1118

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A new insight on the decreasing sea level trend over the Ionian basin in the last decades     

Jorge Del Río Vera  Francisco Criado-Aldeanueva  Jesús García-Lafuente  F. Javier Soto-Navarro 《Global and Planetary Change》2009,68(3):232-235

Altimetry measurements over the Ionian region and tide gauge records along the southern Italian coasts have been combined to analyse the negative sea level trend over the Ionian basin in the last decades. The apparent decreasing trend should be better understood as an abrupt sea level drop in 1998 probably linked to changes in the surface circulation in the Ionian basin induced by the Eastern Mediterranean Transient, which changed from anticyclonic to cyclonic about March 1998. From then onwards, a rising rate of 7.9 ± 0.9 mm/year is observed over the basin.  相似文献   

Regional stratigraphy and distribution of epigenetic stratabound celestine, fluorite, barite and Pb–Zn deposits in the MVT province of northeastern Mexico     

Francisco González-Sánchez  Antoni Camprubí  Eduardo González-Partida  Rafael Puente-Solís  Carles Canet  Elena Centeno-García  Viorel Atudorei 《Mineralium Deposita》2009,44(3):343-361

Northeastern Mexico hosts numerous epigenetic stratabound carbonate-hosted low-temperature hydrothermal deposits of celestine, fluorite, barite and zinc-lead, which formed by replacement of Mesozoic evaporites or carbonate rocks. Such deposits can be permissively catalogued as Mississippi Valley-type (MVT) deposits. The deposits studied in the state of Coahuila are associated with granitic and metasedimentary basement highs (horsts) marginal or central to the Mesozoic Sabinas Basin. These horsts controlled the stratigraphy of the Mesozoic basins and subsequently influenced the Laramide structural pattern. The Sabinas Basin consists of ~6,000-m-thick Jurassic to Cretaceous siliciclastic, carbonate and evaporitic series. The MVT deposits are mostly in Barremian and in Aptian-Albian to Cenomanian formations and likely formed from basinal brines that were mobilized during the Laramide orogeny, although earlier diagenetic replacement of evaporite layers (barite and celestine deposits) and lining of paleokarstic cavities in reef carbonates (Zn–Pb deposits) is observed. Fluid inclusion microthermometry and isotopic studies suggest ore formation due to mixing of basinal brines and meteoric water. Homogenization temperatures of fluid inclusions range from 45°C to 210°C; salinities range from 0 to 26 wt.% NaCl equiv., and some inclusions contain hydrocarbons or bitumen. Sulfur isotope data suggest that most of the sulfur in barite and celestine is derived from Barremian to Cenomanian evaporites. Regional geology and a compilation of metallogenic features define the new MVT province of northeastern Mexico, which comprises most of the state of Coahuila and portions of the neighboring states of Nuevo León, Durango and, perhaps extends into Zacatecas and southern Texas. This province exhibits a regional metal zonation, with celestine deposits to the south, fluorite deposits to the north and barite and Zn–Pb deposits mostly in the central part.  相似文献   

Structure and stratigraphy of the Sabinas Basin and the role of sedimentary brines in the formation of MVT deposits in Northeastern Mexico     

Francisco González-Sánchez  Antoni Camprubí  Eduardo González-Partida  Carles Canet  Antonin Richard  Viorel Atudorei  Marie-Christine Boiron 《Journal of Geochemical Exploration》2009

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Effect of the wind acceleration magnitude during the first stages of the wind-wave generation process     

Robles-Diaz  Lucia  Ocampo-Torres  Francisco J.  Branger  Hubert  Garcia-Nava  Hector  Osuna  Pedro  Rascle  Nicolas 《Ocean Dynamics》2021,71(10):981-992

Ocean Dynamics - A comprehensive analysis of the wavefield evolution under accelerated wind conditions provides an essential contribution to understanding the wind-wave generation process. A set of...  相似文献   

Role of the Radiation Factor in Global Climatic Events of the Late Holocene     

Fedorov  V. M.  Frolov  D. M.  Velasco Herrera  V. M. N.  Soon  W. W.-H.  Cionco  R. G. 《Izvestiya Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics》2021,57(10):1239-1253

Izvestiya, Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics - On the basis of calculations of insolation and insolation characteristics, taking into account changes in solar activity, the causes of global climatic...  相似文献   

Late Quaternary vegetation and climate dynamics in central-eastern Brazil: insights from a ~35k cal a bp peat record in the Cerrado biome     

Ingrid Horák-Terra  Antonio Martínez Cortizas  Cynthia Fernandes Pinto Da Luz  Alexandre Christófaro Silva  Tim Mighall  Plínio Barbosa De Camargo  Carlos Victor Mendonça-Filho  Paulo Eduardo De Oliveira  Francisco Willian Cruz  Pablo Vidal-Torrado 《第四纪科学杂志》2020,35(5):664-676

The late Quaternary evolution of central-eastern Brazil has been under-researched. Questions remain as to the origin of the Cerrado, a highly endangered biome, and other types of vegetation, such as the Capões – small vegetation islands of semi-deciduous and mountain forests. We investigated the factors that influenced the expansion and contraction of the Cerrado and Capões during the late Quaternary (last ~35 ka), using a multi-proxy approach: stable isotopes (δ¹³C, δ¹⁵N), geochemistry, pollen and multivariate statistics derived from a peat core (Pinheiro mire, Serra do Espinhaço Meridional). Five major shifts in precipitation, temperature, vegetation and landscape stability occurred at different timescales. Our study revealed that changes in the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ) seem to have been coeval with these shifts: from the Late Glacial Maximum to mid-Holocene the SACZ remained near (~29.6 to ~16.5k cal a bp ) and over (~16.5 to ~6.1 k cal a bp ) the study area, providing humidity to the region. This challenges previous research which suggested that climate was drier for this time period. At present, the Capões are likely to be a remnant of a more humid climate; meanwhile, the Cerrado biome seems to have stablished in the late Holocene, after ~3.1 k cal a bp .  相似文献